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The first week of April sees the convergence of a series of important catalysts, which could cause some altcoins to experience significant volatility in both directions. Factors such as token unlocks, protocol upgrades, and new mining integrations are occurring almost simultaneously, creating a sensitive period for the market.
In this context, Coinphoton has highlighted three notable altcoins that investors should closely monitor as they enter April and the second quarter of 2026.

Ether (ETH), the native token of Ethereum, is warned to potentially drop by up to 40%, to the $1,200 range in the coming weeks, according to fractal model analysis by Leshka.eth.
The Ethereum structure signals a “bull trap”
The scenario of a deep drop to $1,200 is built based on Supertrend signals on the daily timeframe, where the two previous bullish reversals both failed and led to strong corrections.
Supertrend is a trend indicator that closely follows price movements, changing colors to reflect market conditions: green indicates an uptrend and red indicates a downtrend.

In the context of the crypto market facing heavy pressure and an overarching downtrend, the memecoin group has become the focal point of the sell-off wave. Amidst these developments, the Official Trump (TRUMP) token has plummeted over 96% from the historical peak set in early 2025.
The decline of this memecoin reflects the rapid cooling of the politically tinted speculative wave. Nevertheless, despite the deep drop, the team behind TRUMP continues to execute profit-taking rounds.

Celestia (TIA) is facing increasing downward pressure, as both market structure and investor sentiment are weakening simultaneously.
Despite only a slight decrease of 1.3% in the past 24 hours, foundational signals indicate that the downward trend may widen further. The increasing circulating supply amid weakening demand is causing the market balance to tilt distinctly towards the sell side, increasing the risk of a deeper correction.

At the time of writing, TRON (TRX) has recorded a 3.6% increase over the past week, becoming one of the few cryptocurrencies in the top 20 by market capitalization to maintain its upward momentum. This altcoin reached a local peak of 0.317 USD on March 27 but quickly adjusted and dropped 1.48% within the next 24 hours.
Despite short-term pressure, TRON has shown significant resilience since the drop in early February. Over more than 7 weeks, TRX has increased by 15.47% and is approaching the peak area from mid-January at 0.32 USD, indicating room to retest this important resistance level.

Strategy (MSTR), the publicly listed company holding the largest amount of bitcoin in the world, seemingly did not increase its BTC position in the past week, marking a rare interruption after a continuous buying streak since the end of 2025.
Typically, CEO <a>Michael Saylor</a> signals his bitcoin buying plans through the "Orange Dot" post on the X platform every Sunday, prior to announcing transaction details on Monday morning (U.S. time). However, this familiar signal did not appear this week. Instead, Saylor focused on communicating about the new perpetual preferred stock issuance program called Stretch (STRC), indicating that the company may be prioritizing fundraising strategies rather than immediately expanding its BTC holdings.

Ondo (ONDO) recently sent out positive signals, notably the partnership information with Franklin Templeton mentioned by Coin Photon. However, this development has not yet been strong enough to have a significant impact on the price trend.

In the context of the rapidly growing RWA sector, along with gradually more favorable market conditions, ONDO is expected to benefit as both the token price and demand for the platform's services have room for expansion.

At the time of writing, TRON (TRX) recorded an increase of 0.85% in the past week, becoming one of the few crypto assets in the top 20 market cap that maintained a positive trend. This altcoin previously climbed to a local peak of $0.317 on Friday (27/3), but quickly lost all its gains and adjusted down by 1.48% within 24 hours.
However, since the sharp drop in early February, TRON has shown a remarkable recovery on the price chart. Over more than 7 weeks, the increase reached 15.47%, while opening up expectations to retest the peak area in mid-January around the mark of $0.32.

Ethereum (ETH) price currently still maintains an increase of 2.93% in March, marking the first growth month since August 2025. Previously, the period from September to the end of February recorded six consecutive months closing in the red, causing more than half of ETH's value to be eroded.
As March has only a few days left, the market's focus shifts to the key question: can Ethereum maintain this modest increase, or will the rising downward pressure pull the month back into the red, extending the weakening streak to 7 months?

The drop in Ether (ETH) price below $2,000 on Friday raised concerns about the possibility of a deeper correction in the coming weeks or months.
Forecast of further correction from traders
According to data from TradingView, the ETH/USD pair is currently trading at $1,975, down 5% in the last 24 hours. This price drop has led to over $111 million in long ETH positions being liquidated.

A poisoned LiteLLM version turned a seemingly normal Python installation operation into a secret-stealing tool with crypto identification, silently scanning wallets, Solana validator data, and cloud credentials whenever Python starts.
On March 24, between 17:39 and 23:00, after taking over the account of a maintainer, a hacker released two malicious versions of LiteLLM on PyPI: 1.82.7 and 1.82.8.

Ethereum whales have been accelerating their accumulation speed in recent days, showing increasing confidence in this leading altcoin. Data from CryptoQuant shows that many large wallets have continuously withdrawn ETH from exchanges within just 24 hours.
Specifically, four whale wallets withdrew a total of 64,763 ETH from Binance and Bitget on Tuesday. Another wallet, believed to be associated with BitMine, also withdrew 67,111 ETH from Kraken. Meanwhile, some large whales continued to open long positions on Hyperliquid.

Bitcoin (BTC) is testing the $71,500 zone — a key technical threshold across multiple time frames — amid current signals suggesting that the price trend is tilting towards the possibility of extending gains to the $80,000 area.
Although the market remains polarized between speculative activity in the futures market and limited spot demand, Bitcoin has tested the $71,500 mark four times within just seven days. The positive point is that the price remains firm above the 50-period EMA in the 4-hour frame, indicating that the short-term structure is still intact. However, the 50-day EMA on the daily chart continues to act as a significant resistance area, limiting the medium-term upward momentum.

Polkadot (DOT) price continues to extend the downward trend, dropping below the 1.40 USD threshold at the time of recording on Wednesday, after having slightly weakened in the previous session. This downward trend is reinforced by the weakening of derivative indicators, along with a series of increasingly negative technical signals, indicating an increasing risk of deeper correction for DOT in the short term.
Derivatives index weakens

The price of Hyperliquid (HYPE) currently hovers around 38 USD after a strong increase of about 70% from the end of February to a peak of 43 USD on March 18. The subsequent correction is gradually forming a bullish flag pattern on the daily timeframe — a technical signal often indicating the potential for trend continuation.
At the same time, data from the Coinphoton analysis platform shows that Hyperliquid is the only perpetual futures DEX gaining market share in 2026. Although this fundamental factor has not triggered a clear breakout, the behavior of spot trading flows and the position structure in the derivatives market suggest that the current accumulation phase may be nearing its end.

Some altcoins are approaching their historical peaks as March 2026 enters its final week. They have all formed distinct technical structures, opening up the possibility of setting new record prices before the month closes.
Coinphoton has highlighted three notable altcoins that investors need to watch during this period.
Kite (KITE)
The price of KITE is currently trading around 0.2222 USD, up 0.95% on the day and maintaining above the EMA line at 0.2118 USD, following a correction from the historical peak of 0.3233 USD set on March 6. Notably, the price has accumulated in the range of 0.2169–0.2405 USD for nearly two weeks without breaking down — a technical signal reinforcing the trend.

Zcash (ZEC) is currently trading around 220 USD, up slightly 0.10% on the day, as the price enters an accumulation phase between Fibonacci levels after a strong correction from the 275 USD range.
The market's focus now lies on the question: will Bitcoin's next move have enough strength to break the current sideways range or pull ZEC into a deeper correction.
ZEC–Bitcoin correlation is recovering strongly
The correlation coefficient between ZEC and Bitcoin has returned to 0.91 (as of March 22), approaching nearly 1.0 recorded in February — at a time when the two assets moved almost in parallel.

Bitcoin fell last week, but the adjustment was still lighter compared to the stock market's decline since the Iran conflict erupted on 28/2.
The largest digital asset in the world is trading around $68,000 today, down about 2% in 24 hours and approximately 6% over the past 7 days, according to data from CoinGecko.
This move comes in the context of the Iran conflict entering its fourth week, pushing crude oil prices higher and putting pressure on risk assets broadly at the end of last week.

The Official Trump (TRUMP) price is currently trading around 3.21 USD, down 1.32% for the day, after nearly losing all of the 49.65% gain achieved on March 13. Notably, this token is currently only 3.2% higher than its all-time low (2.705 USD), amid many on-chain signals indicating that sellers still dominate.
Selling pressure increases as tokens flood onto exchanges
Data from Glassnode shows that during the price rally in mid-March, TRUMP holders rushed to transfer tokens to exchanges. The exchange balance surged from about 15 million tokens (March 7–9) to nearly 41 million tokens on March 14.