全球市场波动

💥Big News: Russia warns the United States, a second front opens in the Middle East, U.S. stocks evaporated 1 trillion in one day on Friday, Bitcoin falls below 66,000?

🇷🇺Russia speaks harshly: Dare to touch our oil tanker heading to Cuba (73 million barrels of oil on board), U.S. military assets will face multi-regional retaliation—Middle East, Europe, and even Alaska. One ship = a global powder keg.

🇺🇸U.S. stocks lost 1 trillion in one day on Friday! S&P, Nasdaq plummeted, panic spread. Funds fled risk assets wildly, and cryptocurrencies suffered as well.

🌍Middle East in chaos: Houthis officially enter the war, missiles strike Israel. Iran unleashes "double stranglehold"—Strait of Hormuz + Strait of Mandeb, cutting off 20% of the world’s oil lifeline. Want to seize islands? Iran unleashes a million strong army, the U.S. can’t afford a ground war.

⛽Oil prices soar, gold rises, risk aversion skyrockets. 7 million Americans protest against the war, Trump is worried.

💰Bitcoin: Historical pattern, every bull market peak must break previous highs. 126,000 peak → falls below 69,000 (strong support) → bottom 30,000-60,000, time by the end of 2026. A drop of 65%-77% is very normal. Below 60,000, accumulate in batches, don’t go all in. Hold until 2029, 150,000-250,000. Bitcoin is the ultimate form.

❓Is it fear or opportunity now? See you in the comments. #全球市场波动

Adopt my strategy and learn from my own investment experience to earn over $23,000 weekly from your own investment too
#tradewithduke
#全球市场波动
#MemeWatch2024
$QI
$QNT
$QKC

Breaking! Trump announces: Strike for 10 days!

There has just been big news from the U.S.; Trump has pushed back the time he was originally going to take action against Iran by another 10 days.

To put it simply:
Previously, Trump made strong statements about bombing Iran's energy facilities and set a final deadline. Now he suddenly announces that he is delaying the action by another 10 days, pushing it to April 6.

Trump himself said that Iran asked him for more time to negotiate, so he generously granted an additional 10 days of buffer time, and he mentioned that the talks have been going quite smoothly between both sides.

During these 10 days, both the U.S. and Iran will continue to negotiate, with the whole world watching. After all, this situation directly affects oil prices and the stock market, and everyone is afraid that if a real conflict breaks out, the economy will be thrown into chaos.

Some analysts say that Trump's actions are also aimed at establishing himself as someone who can 'stabilize the situation and resolve the crisis'.
#美伊和谈陷僵局 $BTC $ETH $XRP #全球市场波动

The expectation of interest rate hikes is "cooling down." Will the Federal Reserve truly be "dovish" in April? Will they remain "on the sidelines"? The market bets that the probability of an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve in April is only 4%.

The probability of an interest rate hike in April has collapsed to 4%! How will you take advantage of this wave of market movement?

Brothers, I just finished reviewing the CME data, and there’s a significant signal that must be synchronized immediately! The probability of a 25 basis point hike by the Federal Reserve in April has dramatically dropped from the previous 12.4% to 4.1%! The probability of maintaining the current interest rate is as high as 95.9%.

What does this mean? The previous market panic about "one more hike" has basically been debunked. The sword of Damocles of tightening liquidity is being lifted, providing a real breathing space for risk assets. #美联储何时降息？

My judgment is straightforward: the short-term bearish logic is weakening, and the main players are very likely to take the opportunity to test the resistance levels upward. Now is not the time to chase shorts; instead, you should pay attention to low long opportunities. Especially for the commodities that were previously suppressed by interest rate hikes, the sentiment recovery will be quick.

In terms of operations, don’t FOMO into chasing the rise; it's safer to enter in batches after a pullback to key support. Manage your positions well, don’t go all in at once. This round of "interest rate pause" window period is likely to satisfy those who are patient. #美联储降息 #全球市场波动

Follow the rhythm, and I’ll lead you to this piece of meat.

Follow Da Sen, who doesn't boast or make empty promises, but shares practical experiences that can help you survive in the circle. Brother Sen will guide you through the investment fog; let’s work together to get back on track!

🚨 Urgent news:
🇺🇸 President Trump's impeachment case has now been officially confirmed
Following the failure of the Iran deal and the market crash, the likelihood has surged to 73%.
If this happens, the market will collapse……#全球市场波动 #摩根士丹利比特币现货ETF $BTC $ETH $BNB

#比特币 is about to record the 6th consecutive monthly bearish candle.

This is not a daily pin bar, nor a weekly fluctuation, but a steady decline over the course of six months. Historically, this has only happened once—between August 2018 and January 2019, during which a 6-month drop of approximately 60% occurred, directly pushing a generation out of the market.

Currently, this round has retraced about 47% from the peak. It has not reached the extreme levels of that time, but the pattern is similar: it is not a sudden crash, but a continuous decline that gradually drains the sentiment. Every month, someone says, "It's about time," and then the next month continues to close red.

What is truly striking is not the percentage, but the "record." Experiencing six consecutive months of decline is, in itself, an extreme condition. When the market enters this rhythm, it indicates that buyers are consistently losing strength, rebounds lack sustainability, and funds are more willing to wait for lower positions.

But from another perspective, what happened after that historical six-month decline? A rebound in 2019 doubled the value. It was not because the news suddenly improved, but because the selling pressure was completely exhausted. The essence of consecutive bearish candles is that shares continuously flow out of the hands of those with weak sentiment.

The current environment is not exactly the same as in 2018. Back then, it was the collapse of the ICO bubble; now it is a combination of macro tightening, ETF fund speculation, and overlapping geopolitical risks. The structure is different, but the sentiment remains the same—exhaustion, doubt, and weariness.

Six consecutive months of decline indeed looks bad, but the real question is: when everyone is worn down to the point of not wanting to look at the candlestick chart, who is quietly accumulating shares?

History does not simply repeat itself, but the psychological cycles of the market have never changed. Are we setting a "record for declines" now, or preparing for the next cycle? The answer may not wait until the 7th monthly candle to be revealed.
#全球市场波动 $BTC

ETH owes no one anything!

From 2021 to 2026, the prices of Bitcoin and Ethereum have barely moved, and even experienced slight pullbacks. But just look at Solana, which has halved. In these five years, the market has changed dramatically, many projects have gone to zero, and many beliefs have collapsed. It is already quite difficult for ETH to remain stable. It may not be the flashiest, but it is definitely the most reliable.

Take a moment to think, where does true value lie? #全球市场波动 $ETH
$BTC
$SOL

Combining the early morning market conditions, after the big coin quickly retreated after probing the 67100 line yesterday, a long upper shadow engulfing pattern has formed at the four-hour level, indicating significant selling pressure at this position, and bullish momentum shows obvious exhaustion. The current high point is gradually decreasing, and the rebound stage lacks volume. The short-term moving averages have formed a death cross, suppressing prices, which are running below the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, and the technical structure leans towards a bearish arrangement.

The key support below is at the 66200 line, which is the lower edge of the previous oscillation platform. If this area is tested and broken again during the day, it is highly likely to open up further downward space, with the next target possibly pointing to around 65800 and 65200. Meanwhile, the leveraged long positions accumulated at high levels have not been fully cleared, and once the key support is breached, it may easily trigger a chain reaction, increasing downward pressure.

Overall, the short-term rebound structure has been damaged, and there is clear resistance above. Before the price stabilizes above 67000 again, any rebound can be seen as a trap for bulls. It is recommended to maintain a bearish mindset and closely monitor the gains and losses around the 66200 line; a rebound is the timing for bearish intervention. #全球市场波动 $BTC

#BTC This wave is not a wash, it's a change of hands.
The previous 70,000+ is the peak of retail sentiment,
now the 65,000 to 68,000 range,
is where institutions really start to accumulate.

Don't rush to cut losses, and don't blindly copy.
Be clear:
Breaking 65,000 is the real danger,
standing above 68,000 is the real reversal.

Are you short or long now?

#BTC #全球市场波动 ## Cryptocurrency market #Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin drops below 60,000? Don't panic, this time the 'whale sell-off' might really last until 2027! $BTC

The latest data isn't very optimistic—if Bitcoin can't hold 60,000, the time for us to break even might have to be pushed directly to 2027.

Down from 126,000, it's almost been cut in half. According to historical patterns, every additional drop of 10% requires an additional recovery period of 80 days.

If 60,000 is the bottom now, we still have nearly a year to grind; if it really drops to the 40,000–45,000 range, the recovery period will be extended to over 440 days, and we might not see it until after the second quarter of 2027.

In my personal view, the on-chain indicators haven't truly bottomed out yet, with BCMI at only 0.27, while the historical bottom is around 0.12–0.15, indicating there is still room to go lower.

What's more troublesome is that the selling pressure from whales has reached its highest point in nearly 18 months, and the liquidity in both spot and futures markets is shrinking, clearly not a pace that retail investors can handle.

The biggest impact of this market situation is that—confidence will be eroded over time, bottom-fishing funds are reluctant to enter, and floating chips are instead being washed out even more.

So what should we ordinary players do?
Don't rush to go all in; keep enough ammunition and wait for the on-chain indicators to truly bottom out and for whale selling pressure to ease before taking action.

Those who endure this wave will be the ones who can truly benefit in the next round.

Want to know how to judge the signal of 'whale selling pressure easing'? Comment '1', and I will break it down for you later. #全球市场波动

Many people say that Huang Mao sways back and forth, jumping around repeatedly, but if you really treat him like a fool, then that's where the real problem lies.
A businessman who can scale the family business to this level is essentially a top-tier player in the game. Most people in the market think he is "stupid" simply because you can't understand the game he's playing.
If you can't read a person, don't force a guess. Just focus on the results — keeping an eye on oil prices is more reliable than listening to a hundred pieces of news.
How oil prices move is likely how the real situation will unfold. Everything else is just noise.
$BTC $ETH
#美国“无王”抗议
#比特币ETF价格战
#全球市场波动
#特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争

$ETH Cryptocurrency Market Analysis by Li Ying: In-depth Analysis of Ethereum (ETH) Market Conditions on March 29: Bollinger Bands Suffocating Oscillation, with Bulls and Bears in a "Meat Grinder" Market, Will There Be a Rebound or a Crash? Latest Market Conditions and Operational Suggestions
　　
　　Family members! Recently, Ethereum has experienced extreme corrective fluctuations with highs and lows: repeatedly moving within the range of 1970 to 2070, forming a very narrow converging triangle of Bollinger Bands. Currently, bulls are fiercely defending support near the lower Bollinger Band at 1972, while bears are applying pressure layer by layer in the 2100 range. Li Ying asserts that the short-term battle between bulls and bears has entered a critical stage, and the breakout direction of the Bollinger Bands will determine whether ETH will have a miraculous rebound or accelerate its crash!
　　
　　The current price of 2024 is running below the middle Bollinger Band at 2011, close to the lower band at 1949. In the short term, bear strength is dominant, but the support at the lower band is very strong and has been tested multiple times without effective breakdown. If it breaks above the upper band at 2073, it will open up upward space to 2150; if it breaks below the lower band at 1949, it will accelerate the decline to 1850 - the previous low. The short-term moving average MA has formed a death cross, and the moving averages are diverging downwards, directly suppressing the price. The MACD bear strength is waning, and the DIF continues to run below the DEA, indicating that bear strength is exhausting and bull rebound demand is increasing.
　　
　　Short-term Trading Strategy (Li Ying's Personal Teaching, Accurate Market Targeting)
　　
　　Bullish Strategy: Stabilize above 2073 and go long, stop loss at 2050, target at 2150 aiming for 2200
　　
　　Bearish Strategy: Effectively break below 1950 to go short, stop loss at 1980, target at 1850 aiming for 1800
　　
　　Risk Warning: Cryptocurrency is highly volatile, strategies are for reference only, and must be combined with personal risk tolerance for operation, strict stop loss required!
　　
　　Note: The above analysis is based solely on technical logic deduced by Li Ying and does not constitute investment advice. The market has risks, and investment should be cautious.
#全球市场波动

I believe everyone saw the news on Friday about the Strait being closed and Big Mao also banning oil sales.

As the conflict escalates, institutions have been working overtime over the weekend to revise their research reports, feeling like cursing the old man, with changes happening every day, causing people to be anxious.

Now back to the point.

Recently, oil prices and the stock market have been fluctuating back and forth. To put it bluntly, it’s a reality of oil shortages and Trump’s talk of negotiations being contradictory.

On one side, the Strait is blocked, oil cannot be shipped out, and there really is a global oil shortage.

On the other side, Trump is making daily statements about negotiations, trying to keep oil prices from rising with his words.

However, on Friday, Iran's tough stance and the prolonged duration of the war situation were noted.

Institutions predict that starting next week, oil prices will break out of the range controlled by Trump’s words and may rise.

The conflict will soon reach 5 weeks, and global oil reserves are dwindling.

The reality of oil shortages will overshadow the expectations expressed verbally; oil prices are determined by supply and demand and may not be suppressed by news.

Over the weekend, the failure to reach an agreement between the U.S. and Iran has been confirmed, and U.S. troops are still increasing in preparation for ground operations. The situation will only drag on longer, and it is unlikely that the Strait will be reopened soon.

Historically, conflicts that have dragged on for over a month become increasingly difficult to stop, especially as more countries get involved. #美国“无王”抗议 #全球市场波动 $ETH
$BTC

When is it appropriate to buy gold at the bottom?

Previously, every time international oil prices surged, gold was in a declining state. Especially since the changes in the Middle East situation, it has been quite unbelievable for everyone that the past safe-haven tool of gold suddenly became ineffective.

As the situation has become increasingly obvious, the decline in gold prices has been more intense. Just look at the New York gold futures, which dropped from a previous $5,500 to a low of $4,100 this time around. The strength of this decline is quite fierce.
 
I estimate that most people have not figured out this reasoning: why does a change in regional conditions lead to a significant drop in gold? The core reason is still a liquidity issue, meaning that in special periods, in order to obtain liquidity, gold is sold off to obtain local currency or foreign exchange.
 
Turkey is a typical example, as it reduced 6 tons in the week of March 13 and then reduced another 52.4 tons in the week of March 20, which impacted global gold prices.
 
I believe that if the Middle East situation continues, it may also trigger a sell-off of gold. In the future, as time goes on, in order to obtain liquidity, the sell-off of gold should not just involve Turkey alone; more economies will join in. From this perspective, the current gold price has reached $4,400, down $1,000 from the previous high. Is this position low enough?
 
I think we shouldn't define this matter too early; let the bullets fly a bit longer. Until the situation in the Middle East stabilizes completely, it's relatively difficult for gold to attract new buyers. In other words, even at the current $4,400, it is still hard to say that it is at a low position. We should observe the external environment more before making conclusions. Once the situation stabilizes completely, or calms down, we will then reassess the investment value of gold. $ETH
$BTC
#比特币ETF价格战 #全球市场波动

The upward channel has been broken, those who understand know, something big is coming $ETH #全球市场波动

🍎March 29 Afternoon Market Insights.🍎
$BTC Insight:
The low of Bitcoin at the hourly level is rising below the yellow arrow, and it has broken through the isolated high indicated by the red arrow, creating a new high. It has returned to the resistance range of 66506-66818 and after reaching a new high, it retraced to the support of 66265, confirming the support is valid and starting to rebound. As long as Bitcoin can stabilize above 66265, it will challenge the high of 67277 again. Only by breaking through 67277 can we look up at the resistance range of 68126 and 68963-69506. To rebound, it cannot break below the support of 66265. Once it breaks below the support of 66265, it will test the previous low of 65506 again. Currently, I only see a rebound, not a reversal. If it can't break above 67277 and doesn't fall below 66265, it will consolidate in this range and choose a direction. The extreme retracement can only be accepted to its previous low of 65506. If it breaks below, it will be unfavorable; however, before it breaks below 65506, there is still a chance for a rebound.

Bitcoin breaks through 66966 with volume, and enter long positions on the right side to catch the rebound. If it breaks down through 66265 with volume and cannot reclaim, enter short positions on the right side. Keep good stop losses.
Bitcoin's hourly level breaks and stabilizes at 66966, looking upwards at 68142-69200; if it can't go above 66966, it’s useless.
At the 4-hour level, breaking below 66195 looks down at 65250-64238.
Upper resistance 66966-68142-69200
Lower support 66299-65506-64326

$ETH Thought:
Altcoin breaks through 2024 with volume, enter long positions on the right side, reclaim stop losses.
1993 breaks down with volume, enter short positions on the right side, keep good stop losses.

Retrace to 1931 confirms effective support, add one more hand,
break below 1905 to stop loss.
Altcoin's hourly level stabilizes at 2024, looking upwards at 2047-2075.
Be cautious of leaving 2075 for a short position,
break through 2111 to stop loss.
Left-side spike order: 1885 long, break below 1842 to stop loss.

Upper resistance 2024-2047-2075
Lower support 1993-1948-1909
At the 4-hour level, breaking below 1991 looks down at 1955-1908. The altcoin breaks through the flag shape and then breaks down again but returns to operate within the flag shape. Students, remember that the altcoin can only start a strong rebound by breaking through the lowest price of the large bullish candle indicated by the left red arrow. Look at the area around 2092 above; as long as it doesn't break below 1993, nothing happens. If it breaks below 1993, the previous low of 1962 will come again. The meeting is adjourned.
$BTC
#全球市场波动

The Nasdaq can lag behind Bitcoin's movements and may also experience a period of trend divergence, but ultimately, the Nasdaq will certainly catch up to Bitcoin's rhythm. The market is currently very mild, and the main event is yet to come, everything is steady, and the best part is still ahead. ​$BTC
$ETH
#全球市场波动 #BTC行情

Is the "crypto winter" about to end? The market has bottomed out, and the accumulation phase has begun!
The current "crypto winter" may have already come to an end.
Some analysts believe that this round of decline may have already hit the bottom,
or it may end before April 2026.
Bottom signals have emerged:
The correlation between Ethereum and the S&P 500
Recently, the price movement of Ethereum has been highly consistent with the historical decline of the S&P 500 —
this includes the stock market crash of 1987 and the debt crisis of 2011.
These large volatility cycles typically indicate that the market is near the bottom,
and strong "reversal" signals have already surfaced.
Long-term holders remain unfazed
Despite the market's volatility, long-term holders continue to hold their positions,
indicating their confidence in the future of the market.
On the other hand, the exchange balance is decreasing,
which usually means that speculators in the market are reducing,
and stable funds are preparing to enter.
#美国“无王”抗议 #比特币ETF价格战 #全球市场波动 #摩根士丹利比特币现货ETF #特朗普再挺比特币 $SIREN $PLAY $ONT

$ETH Update Night Strategy
BTC Short Position
• Direction: Short
• Entry: Around 67000 Target 65500
• Risk Control: Stop Loss 68000, Light Positioning, No Averaging Down
ETH Short Position
• Direction: Short
• Entry: 2030 Target 1960
• Risk Control: Stop Loss 2060, Strictly Adhere to Exit Discipline #全球市场波动

Is the cow still there? Bitcoin is at a critical point, will the next move be a short squeeze or a long liquidation?

Short-term risks outweigh opportunities, and the likelihood of a downward move is higher. This is not a wild guess; the market signals are very clear. There are three key points to watch. The price is stuck at 66,300. Above, the ceiling at 68,000 is pressing down, and funds dare not push through. Below, if the floor at 65,500 collapses, it could very likely trigger a chain reaction of crashes.

The liquidation heatmap has revealed the secret; this map is the battlefield of longs and shorts. The area above 68,000-69,200 is filled with shorts' explosives, but the bulls simply do not have the ability to ignite them. On the contrary, the area below 63,300-65,000 is a minefield for the bulls, with dense stop-loss orders like a thin layer of ice. Right now, we are closer to the thin ice than to the explosives; would you say it's dangerous?

Don't forget, it is now 2026. The old story of Bitcoin halving is over; everything now depends on the global central banks' sentiments and the movements of large ETF funds. Any sudden news could instantly rewrite the technical landscape.

My personal trading advice: I am currently very cautious, choosing to watch more and act less. Specifically, there are two strategies: wait, the market will choose a direction. Either break through 68,000 with strong volume, and I will consider following up with a long; or if it breaks below 65,500, the trend will turn bearish. Until then, doing nothing is the best action.
Based on my bearish judgment, I would rather wait for the price to rebound to around 67,500-68,000 to try a light short, or wait until it really breaks below 65,500 to chase a short. I will absolutely not try to catch a bottom at this position. This is for reference only.

Brothers, a strong coin that can explode to 10 times profit is here; I will prepare for a big wave in the upcoming market. This time, successfully going all in will definitely fill our pockets. Want to witness 上聊天室.

#BTC行情 #全球市场波动 $BTC