大森说币

The expectation of interest rate hikes is "cooling down." Will the Federal Reserve truly be "dovish" in April? Will they remain "on the sidelines"? The market bets that the probability of an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve in April is only 4%.

The probability of an interest rate hike in April has collapsed to 4%! How will you take advantage of this wave of market movement?

Brothers, I just finished reviewing the CME data, and there’s a significant signal that must be synchronized immediately! The probability of a 25 basis point hike by the Federal Reserve in April has dramatically dropped from the previous 12.4% to 4.1%! The probability of maintaining the current interest rate is as high as 95.9%.

What does this mean? The previous market panic about "one more hike" has basically been debunked. The sword of Damocles of tightening liquidity is being lifted, providing a real breathing space for risk assets. #美联储何时降息？

My judgment is straightforward: the short-term bearish logic is weakening, and the main players are very likely to take the opportunity to test the resistance levels upward. Now is not the time to chase shorts; instead, you should pay attention to low long opportunities. Especially for the commodities that were previously suppressed by interest rate hikes, the sentiment recovery will be quick.

In terms of operations, don’t FOMO into chasing the rise; it's safer to enter in batches after a pullback to key support. Manage your positions well, don’t go all in at once. This round of "interest rate pause" window period is likely to satisfy those who are patient. #美联储降息 #全球市场波动

Follow the rhythm, and I’ll lead you to this piece of meat.

Follow Da Sen, who doesn't boast or make empty promises, but shares practical experiences that can help you survive in the circle. Brother Sen will guide you through the investment fog; let’s work together to get back on track!

3.29 Sunday $BTC trading strategy with market analysis:

Yesterday's market showed a trend of rising and then falling. Prices reached around 67200 during the night session but faced resistance, followed by a loss of momentum, fluctuating downwards in the early morning, returning to around 66200. #比特币走势分析

From the K-line shape and volume structure: the bearish strength at the daily level has significantly increased, closing with a large volume doji, indicating an intensification of high-level bullish and bearish divergence, with a preliminary sign of a trend change; at the four-hour level, bullish momentum continues to shrink, with K-lines recording two consecutive bearish candles, confirming a short-term correction trend; at the hourly level, bullish momentum further decreases, and the short-term moving average system is gradually forming a death cross diverging downwards, with downward pressure accumulating.

Trading Suggestions
Around 66700-67300 🈳, looking towards: 65800-65000 nearby

Personal opinions are for reference only; trading involves risks, and investments should be cautious!

Follow Da Sen for daily updates and in-depth analysis. Sen Ge doesn’t boast or make empty promises, just shares practical experiences that can help survive in the market! #BTC行情 #BTC走势分析

The so-called bottomless abyss, going down is also a road to a bright future.

3.28 Saturday $BTC Morning Operating Strategy with Market Analysis:

On a macro level, geopolitical disturbances in the Middle East are suppressing risk appetite, combined with BTC selling pressure and rising expectations of interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve, leading to increased market risk aversion; with the approaching options expiry, the overall market sentiment is weak and fluctuating, showing significant resistance to rebounds.

Key Ranges
Strong Resistance: 69000 (morning peak that fell back, pressured by options expiry, making it difficult for rebounds to break through)
Secondary Resistance: 69500–70000 (previous resistance area, rebound space is limited in a bearish environment)

Strong Support: 68700 (short-term boundary between bulls and bears, losing this level will open up a downward channel)
Secondary Support: 68000–68500 (area of resonance between selling pressure and contract liquidation)

Operating Suggestions
Focus on short positions during rebounds, with 68700 as the core short-term boundary:
If the rebound reaches the 69000 range and faces resistance, consider shorting in batches with targets looking down towards 68500–68200 and breaking through to 68000;
If it effectively breaks below the 68700 support, follow up with short positions targeting 68000-67500;
Maintain a bearish outlook if it stabilizes above 69500.

Personal views are for reference only, trading involves risk, and investment should be cautious!

Follow Dason for daily updates and in-depth analysis. Brother Sen doesn’t boast or make empty promises, just shares practical experiences that can help survive in the market! #BTC行情 #比特币走势分析 #BTC走势分析

3.27 Friday $BTC Morning Operation Strategy with Market Analysis:

During the midnight period, prices continued the downward trend from yesterday, fluctuating downwards from around 69000, hitting a low of 68135, creating a new daily low. After reaching the low point, there was a technical rebound, with prices quickly rising back to around 68800, followed by a narrow consolidation around the 68700-69000 area. In the early morning, it slightly rose above 69000 before being pressured back down again. Overall, the price dropped first and then rebounded in the early morning, with the low of 68135 forming short-term support, but the rebound strength is limited, and prices remain under pressure below the 69000 mark. #加密市场回调

From the four-hour chart, the candlestick pattern shows a clear downward channel, with highs continuously declining and lows consistently hitting new lows, maintaining a bearish pattern. The price has currently given a certain strength of rebound near the lower boundary but has not made further recovery. There is still key resistance above, while the bottom at 68000 has once again formed a key support structure. The market is currently in a correction phase within a weak structure, experiencing short-term rebound consolidation, but the strength is not significant. The day market still needs to look for range consolidation before waiting for the evening U.S. stocks to drive the entire market.

Operation Suggestion:
For Bitcoin during the day, reference 68000-69500 for range, with a focus on short positions. #比特币走势分析

Personal opinions are for reference only, trading involves risks, and investments should be made cautiously!

Follow Da Sen for daily insights and in-depth analysis. Sen Ge does not boast or make empty promises, only shares practical experiences that can help survive in the market! #BTC走势分析

Brothers, the market keeps moving, what we want is rhythm, not impulse. Don't be greedy or anxious; take what you should. To put it modestly, this order is okay. Those who follow the rhythm will get extra chicken legs 🍗 $ESPORTS #合约带单 #带单大神

The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in April is only 6.2%! 93.8% suppresses the market awaiting unchanged interest rates.

Brothers, good evening! The recently announced number of initial jobless claims in the United States is recorded at 210,000, which is in line with expectations. Although the previous value has been slightly revised up from 205,000, overall, the job market remains resilient, without any unexpected downturns.

After the data was released, CME's "FedWatch" showed that the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike in April is only 6.2%, while the probability of maintaining the interest rate is as high as 93.8%. What does this data mean? It indicates that the market has very low expectations for the Federal Reserve to continue raising interest rates in the short term, and the tightening pressure has temporarily subsided.

From a trading perspective, stable employment data and a cooling off of interest rate hike expectations are undoubtedly short-term positives for risk assets. The upward momentum of the US dollar index is limited, and markets such as gold and cryptocurrencies are expected to welcome a window for capital inflow. #美联储降息

In terms of operations, I personally believe that in the short term, one can appropriately pay attention to low buying opportunities after a pullback stabilizes. Do not blindly chase highs, manage your positions well, and maintain good defenses. With no unexpected data, market sentiment is slightly warm, but it is still important to stay clear-headed; risk control is always the top priority. Brothers, keep up the pace and steadily seize this market opportunity! #美联储何时降息？

Follow Da Sen for daily first-hand information and in-depth analysis. Sen Ge doesn’t boast or make empty promises; he only shares practical experiences that can help survive in the market! #美国初请失业金人数

$BTC Short-term precision profit. #合约带单 #带单大神
Not much to say, the data speaks for itself. The market is always there, just keep the rhythm right. Friends who are on board, enjoy a chicken leg tonight 🍗

Why do people with small principal lose the fastest? The answer is actually very simple: it’s not the market that’s difficult, but your lack of discipline. Those with small funds often make one major mistake: impatience!

With just a few hundred or a few thousand U in the account, they think about doubling it every day.
They go all in, max out their leverage, and chase highs and lows. When the market goes up, they feel like they are taking off, and when it goes down, they hit rock bottom.

Last year, a fan reached out to me, and his account had dwindled to just 600 U, and he was completely distressed. I told him directly: stop thinking about doubling up, first learn how to survive!

The first thing we did was very simple—split the 900 U.
Instead of going all in at once, we divided it into three parts and played slowly:
One part for day trading, taking profits quickly without being greedy;
One part to wait for clear trends before acting, willing to wait a few more days;
And one part to keep untouched as emergency funds.
This approach may seem slow, but it has one benefit: no matter how the market fluctuates, you won’t get kicked out! $KAT

The second thing is to control your hands.
The biggest problem for beginners is not that they can't understand, but that they want to jump in on every market condition. They trade during sideways movements, during fluctuations, and get itchy at every small movement of the K-line.
Later, I told him: 80% of the time in the market is not worth acting, only move when the opportunity arises, and sit and watch when there is none.

The most critical step is to cement the rules.
If the stop-loss hits, get out; take some profits out first, and absolutely do not add to losing positions.
Most people fail at this point: even though they are clearly wrong, they still think that waiting a bit longer might bring it back. The market loves to exploit this kind of wishful thinking. #币圈生存法则

After three months of persistence, his balance screenshot showed 18,000 U.
After five months, his account broke 30,000 U. $STO
What I value most is not the account numbers, but what he said later: I used to look for opportunities every day, now I just wait for the opportunity!

Making money in the crypto world is not that mystical; the real difficulty has never been understanding the market, but controlling your own hands. #币圈暴富

Having a small principal is not terrifying; what’s terrifying is the constant desire to make a quick turnaround. As long as your account is still there, the opportunity is still there! But if you keep going all in, no matter how good the market is, it has nothing to do with you.

Follow Da Sen, no boasting or painting dreams, just sharing practical experiences that help you survive in the circle. Brother Sen will guide you through the investment fog; let’s work together if you want to turn things around!

Little Kong takes a wave, not greedy or impatient. $BTC #合约带单
Another ordinary day, friends who follow steadily, having chicken legs 🍗 low-key at night, see you on the next order. #带单大神

Thursday, March 26, $SOL Midday Operation Strategy:

#solana Yesterday evening surged to around 93.5 and then fell back under pressure, this morning again tested 90.5.

Today's midday thought:
Short-term attention on the 4-hour level support near 90, if it effectively breaks down, look down to the range of 89.6—88.5;

If the support at the 90—89.5 range stabilizes, look for a rebound to probe the 92, 93, 94 areas. #SOL走势分析

Personal opinions are for reference only, trading has risks, investment requires caution!

Follow Dason, daily gaining firsthand information and in-depth analysis. Sen Ge does not boast or make empty promises, only shares practical experiences that can help survive in the market! #SolanaUSTD

From a floating profit of 4.6 million to only 1.16 million, why is this "insider whale" still not retreating?

$HYPE The whale still holds on to long positions, targeting $50!

Brothers, pay attention, the largest on-chain long position is still holding strong! This "insider-level" whale, who accurately ambushed before Robinhood went live last year, opened longs at an average price of $38.67 with 5x leverage, putting in $54.6 million. Now, the floating profit has only dropped to 1.16 million, yet he remains unmoved, having already lost $1.82 million in funding fees, but still doesn’t run. #巨鲸交易 #巨鲸

What does this indicate? It indicates that true big players do not care about these short-term fluctuations; their goal is very clear — to break through $50! Although the price has now fallen below $40, the liquidation price has risen from $27.55 to $30.15, but the old whale shows no intention of reducing positions, clearly bullish in the long term.

This level of position is not something we small retail traders can casually follow, but the direction is already very clear: as long as the bulls do not die, the market will not stop. As long as the liquidation line of $30.15 is not broken, this big pillar remains, and HYPE is likely to surge upwards. We can follow the whale's thoughts with small positions, but remember to set good stop-losses, don’t wait until it explodes to regret. Whether this wave can reach $50, we just need to keep an eye on the on-chain actions!

Follow Da Sen for daily updates and in-depth analysis. Sen Ge doesn't brag or make promises; he only shares practical experiences that can survive in the market! #巨鲸动向

Simply recording today's small wave. #合约带单
Friends who followed behind should have all benefited. #带单大神
Don't be greedy, secure the gains. $BTC

I want to return to a normal life! As an old hand in the crypto circle for eight years, the years 2022-2023 have welcomed a turning point—my account surpassed eight figures. #币圈暴富

Now when I travel and stay in five-star hotels, I don't even blink at the 3000 yuan per night room rate; my suitcase and hat must have some crypto elements, wherever I go, I can meet 'my people'.

Compared to friends who run factories or do e-commerce, my life is much easier: no need to worry about the supply chain, no need to haggle over contracts, and no annoying issues with customers defaulting on payments.

People often ask me for trading tips, and I think, mindset comes first, technology second. Over the years, I have also summarized some 'mind methods',
now sharing them with those of you still exploring in the crypto space:
Bitcoin is always the 'big brother' in the crypto circle. If you want to mix in this circle, you have to keep an eye on it. When it rises, altcoins have a chance; when it falls, the little brothers all have to follow.
Ethereum occasionally walks out of an independent market trend, but don't expect altcoins to resist the market trend. #币圈

$BTC and USDT are like a seesaw. Remember: when USDT rises, Bitcoin needs to be cautious; if Bitcoin rises too sharply, just stock up on some USDT for safety.

Several key time periods to pay attention to:
From midnight to 1 AM, it's easy to have 'needle spikes', placing an order before going to bed might catch a leak; from 6 to 8 AM is the barometer for the day's trend. If it falls in the first half of the night, and these two hours also fall, just close your eyes and buy more, it’s likely to rise that day; if it rises in the first half of the night, and these two hours also rise, then hurry and sell, it's likely to fall that day. Don't lose focus at 5 PM either. Due to time zone differences, when American funds just enter the market, this is when big fluctuations are most likely.

'Black Friday'? Don't be too superstitious. It has fallen, risen, and stabilized on Fridays; the key is still to watch the news.

The most practical advice: as long as it's not a worthless coin and has trading volume, don't panic if it falls. In three to five days, or a month, it will definitely bounce back. If you have spare money, buy back in batches to lower your cost, and recover quickly; if you don't have spare money, just hold on, it’s not a big problem.

Follow Da Sen, who doesn’t boast or make empty promises but shares practical experiences that can help you survive in the circle. Brother Sen will guide you through the investment fog; for those siblings who want to turn their fortunes around, let's get on board and work together!

A $35.6 million BTC short-selling whale has appeared! Only 2.1% away from liquidation, the crisis is imminent!

Everyone pay attention, I just saw a key data point on-chain and must remind you.

A whale worth tens of millions is shorting 500 BTC on Hyperliquid with 25x leverage, valued at $35.6 million, with an average price of $70,274. His liquidation price is at $72,685, only 2.1% away from the current price, which can be said to have been pushed to the corner. #巨鲸 #巨鲸交易 #巨鲸动向

This position structure has a lot of pressure; it is worth noting that he has placed 18 buy orders in the $71,240-$72,420 range for approximately 500 BTC, which is clearly to reduce losses in case the price rises. Conversely, if BTC falls below $69,500, he has placed 200 buy orders below, ready to buy in batches all the way down to $63,500 to take profits.

In plain terms, this whale's current strategy is: hold on to the 2.1% space, if it rises then stop-loss and retreat, if it falls then significantly increase the position. This clear strategy gives us a good reference — the upper pressure zone is around $72,600, while the lower boundary of $69,500 is the short-term division between bulls and bears.

I wouldn't recommend directly following the whale, but since the whale has revealed his cards, we can leverage that. My approach is to trade within the $69,500-$72,500 range for high sell and low buy, with strict stop-losses. Once a key position is broken, follow the trend. For those who want to catch specific points, check the pinned post on the homepage.

Follow Da Sen for daily firsthand information and in-depth analysis. Sen Ge doesn't boast or make empty promises, only shares practical experience that helps survive in the market!

3.25 Wednesday $BTC morning operation strategy with market analysis:

Looking back at the early morning market, Bitcoin tested downwards to break through the 68900 line and then recovered, showing some bullish continuation, as the market again returned to oscillate around 70500, demonstrating a structure consistent with yesterday's market.

From the current market perspective, the daily line formed a doji with upper and lower shadows, indicating that the current market's bottom support structure is relatively strong, acting in conjunction with the previous consolidation's bottom as a strong support. Currently, the trend remains under pressure above, with bullish volume decreasing. The short-term movement is likely to lean towards oscillation. Combining with the four-hour chart, the current pullback has created a second rebound recovery at the bottom 69000 line. In terms of movement, the price is again in a phase of recovery upwards, but key resistance levels still exist above, and the market will remain under pressure today, maintaining an overall downward outlook. #比特币走势分析

Operational suggestion:
You can short at 70500-71000, targeting around 69000.

Personal opinions are for reference only; trading involves risks, and investment should be cautious!

Follow Da Sen for daily updates and in-depth analysis. Sen Ge doesn't boast or make false promises; he only shares practical experiences that can help survive in the market! #BTC走势分析 #BTC☀

This morning I casually glanced and saw that $SIREN had some activity.
I originally just wanted to do a short trade with fans, but it doubled directly; luck was pretty good. There's nothing to show off, it's just the market providing. This fast and precise rhythm is not suitable for blindly following trends, but if you understand position management, it can be quite comfortable.
Taking trades is not to prove anything, just to let the right people enjoy some gains together. The next trade is already being watched; those who want to follow, keep an eye on your positions. #siren #合约带单 #带单大神

Not aiming for sudden wealth, just keeping the right rhythm is enough. $BTR
Entering at a high position and still being able to profit like this shows that choosing the right target is more important than anything else. For those fans who are following, just look at the records yourself. No need to say more, those who understand, understand. #合约带单 #带单大神

I know a 45-year-old single mother from Guangzhou who has been in the cryptocurrency circle for six years. She has never relied on insider information or gambled on getting rich overnight. With just a few 'foolproof methods', she turned an initial investment of 300,000 into over 33 million. $ONT $DUSK

Now she owns three properties, one for herself and two for her children as future security, living a low-key and solid life. She often says: Making money in the cryptocurrency world doesn't require complex skills; sticking to a few simple habits is more effective than learning hundreds of indicators.

First: She doesn't chase the 'commotion' of skyrocketing prices. When she sees a currency suddenly surging, no matter how many people shout to get on board, she holds back. She always says, 'The crazier it rises, the harsher it falls; those who take over are greedy people.'

Second: She never bottom-fishes in a sharp decline. When encountering a flash crash, even if those around her shout 'found a treasure', she never reaches out. 'The rebound is weak and lifeless; it's just funds fleeing. Bottom-fishing is like jumping into a pit.' #币圈生存法则

Third: She can endure the loneliness of holding cash. When there's no signal in the market, she'd rather leave her money idle than blindly open positions. 'There are plenty of opportunities in the cryptocurrency world; those who rush to act often end up losing everything first.'

In these six years, she has seen too many people enter the market with millions, chasing prices and leveraging, only to end up losing everything; she has also seen many succeed by being 'steady', accumulating small gains into great wealth. In summary, the biggest enemy in trading is not the market, but one's own greed and panic. #币圈暴富

The cryptocurrency world is never short of myths about getting rich overnight, but those who can make money consistently are always the 'honest people' who stick to their principles. You don’t need to understand complex candlesticks or listen to insider news; just execute simple principles to the end, and with time, you'll naturally earn your own money.

Follow Da Sen, who doesn't boast or make empty promises but shares practical experiences that can help you survive in the circle. Brother Sen will guide you through the investment fog; those brothers and sisters who want to turn their fortunes around, hop on board and let's get to work together!

Simple and easy, $币安人生 short-term operations can be easily managed.
It's not about the number of swings, steady is what matters. Fans who keep up can enjoy some benefits together. #合约带单 #带单大神

3.24 Tuesday #Ontusdt Evening Operation Strategy with Market Analysis

Keep an eye on the market, track in real-time!
$ONT RSI soared to 83, buying pressure is thin, a collapse could happen at any moment. During regular intraday fluctuations, the price broke directly out of the upper Bollinger Band, with a significant increase in volume at the 4-hour level but stable open interest, a typical structure of funds raising prices to offload. The 1-hour MACD histogram is expanding, but there is a bullish divergence between price and RSI, with thick sell orders near 0.0507, clearly indicating the intent to support the price.

Operation Suggestions
Entry: Short directly at 0.0535 - 0.0585,
Stop loss set slightly above: 0.0610.
Target: 0.0475 - 0.0425

Personal views are for reference only, trading involves risks, and investments should be made cautiously!

Follow Da Sen for daily insights and in-depth analysis. Sen Ge does not boast or make empty promises, only sharing practical experiences that can help survive in the market! #山寨币热点 #山寨季何时到来？