Trend靖哥

March 27, 2026 Ethereum Morning Strategy

Yesterday, Ethereum fell along with the market, breaking through key support levels, and the trend has shifted from consolidation to a downward trend.
Technical indicators also show that the bears are strong, with a MACD death cross, and the trading volume is high during the decline, indicating that many are selling, and the downward trend is not over yet.

From a short-term (15 minutes) perspective, the price is fluctuating at a low level. Although the volatility has decreased, it is still being suppressed, and it struggles to rise, remaining weak.

Operational advice:
Wait for the price to rebound to the 2070-2080 range, then you can short (bet on a decline).
Target for the decline: first look at 2050, then at 2035.
#以太坊合约 #ETH走势分析 #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 $ETH $BTC $XRP

BTC Signal: Rebound Failed, Prepare to Short!

The situation for Bitcoin (BTC) is not looking good:
1. Can't Rise: On the hourly level, it tried to rebound above 69000 but was immediately pushed down; sell orders are 86 times more than buy orders, with bearish strength dominating.
2. Technical Deterioration: The 4-hour MACD has crossed bearish, and the price has broken below the middle Bollinger band, entering a downward channel.
3. Lack of Momentum: The RSI indicator is around 38, with every small rebound being crushed by sell orders, and bulls lack the strength to resist.

Trading Advice (Bearish):
- Entry: Enter short in batches within the range of 68321 - 68445.
- Stop Loss: If the price rises to 69300, it indicates a wrong judgment, so quickly cut losses and exit.
- Targets: First target at 67270, second target at 66500.

Trading Tips:
When reaching the first target (67270), sell half to secure profits; for the remaining position, adjust the stop loss to your entry price, ensuring a risk-free situation. If the price rises back above 69000, the bearish position becomes invalid, so don't hold on stubbornly.

Summary:
Currently, bears have complete control; if it breaks below 68300, there will be a significant drop, with low risk and high reward (over 1:3), so it's time to take action!

Follow me for more real-time analysis in the crypto space! #CZ称比特币是硬资产 #BTC走势分析 #比特币 $BTC $ETH $XRP

Breaking! Trump announces: Strike for 10 days!

There has just been big news from the U.S.; Trump has pushed back the time he was originally going to take action against Iran by another 10 days.

To put it simply:
Previously, Trump made strong statements about bombing Iran's energy facilities and set a final deadline. Now he suddenly announces that he is delaying the action by another 10 days, pushing it to April 6.

Trump himself said that Iran asked him for more time to negotiate, so he generously granted an additional 10 days of buffer time, and he mentioned that the talks have been going quite smoothly between both sides.

During these 10 days, both the U.S. and Iran will continue to negotiate, with the whole world watching. After all, this situation directly affects oil prices and the stock market, and everyone is afraid that if a real conflict breaks out, the economy will be thrown into chaos.

Some analysts say that Trump's actions are also aimed at establishing himself as someone who can 'stabilize the situation and resolve the crisis'.
#美伊和谈陷僵局 $BTC $ETH $XRP #全球市场波动

Good morning on Wednesday! The order from last night rebounded successfully this morning, starting off with a bang! 🎉 Keep having fun!

The current market trend is down, with bears holding a significant advantage. Bitcoin dropped to 68800 last night and then started to rebound, currently oscillating between 70000-70500.

Key points (important to remember):

- 70500 is a hurdle: if it breaks through with volume, it can touch 71000; if it doesn't break through, it will have to drop back.
- 70800-71500: This is a good range for shorting.
- Target: looking to drop to 68900-68000.

Trading advice: short on highs, don't chase the rise!
#BTC走势分析 #比特币走势分析 #CZ称比特币是硬资产 $BTC $ETH $XRP

March 24 Morning: The rise of Bitcoin is fake, don't chase!

Yesterday, Bitcoin suddenly surged due to a positive news from Trump, which was an unexpected stimulus. The sentiment comes quickly and goes quickly, and this kind of rise simply cannot hold.

Operation Suggestions:

1. Don't chase the rise! The market is unstable now, and it's easy to surge high and fall back.
2. Focus on short positions: wait for a rebound to around 71200 before considering shorting.
3. Target points: bearish outlook 70300 → 69500 → 68600.

Summary: In the short term, still bearish, patiently wait for high-level opportunities, operate with light positions, don't get carried away!
#比特币走势分析 #特朗普考虑结束伊朗冲突 #CZ称比特币是硬资产 #特朗普48小时最后通牒
$BTC $ETH $BNB

Bitcoin March 23 Market Analysis:

Currently, the market is just a minor level rebound (2-hour, 15-minute level pullback), essentially still in a volatile downward trend with slight adjustments; the overall direction hasn't changed.

Core Judgment: As long as it doesn't break through 70200, continue to be bearish and don't rush to catch the bottom.

Key Risk Point: The bottom has tested the 62000 level multiple times; once it breaks below, it will trigger a large-scale one-sided decline, and the downward momentum will be stronger.

Summary: Don't risk a large-level decline for the profits of a small rebound; stay steady!
#BTC走势分析 #比特币 $BTC

What does the bottom of the Bitcoin bear market look like?

Why do I think 60,000-70,000 is not the bottom? The reason is simple: the bottom of Bitcoin has never been a "V-shaped sharp bottom" but rather a "sideways range" that is ground out.

Look at the previous bear markets (2015, 2018, 2022), the trends are all the same:

1. First, it breaks through everyone's psychological bottom, frightening the last batch of panic sellers;
2. Then it stops falling and starts a long period of sideways fluctuations (building the bottom);
3. After enough grinding, it slowly begins to rise, ending the bear market.

This is not a coincidence; it is a rule of the 4-year cycle.

So if you want to catch the bottom, don’t rush; the real bottom is a rounded bottom (U-shaped bottom), which takes time to grind out.
If you’re not sure, just wait for it to consolidate for a while, and enter when it starts to rise on the right side; that’s when the signal is most clear.

Let me teach you a simple mantra to judge bulls and bears:
Bull Market: If it drops for a week, it rises back in three days;
Bear Market: If it rises for a week, it drops back in one day.

What kind of market is it now? You decide.

#比特币走势分析 #BTC走势分析 $BTC

Currently, ETH is fluctuating at a low level, and the technical indicators (MACD, moving averages) still show a bearish trend, but the decline has temporarily stopped.

- This wave of increase is an emotional rebound, lacking volume and with weak buying pressure, it is considered a "false rise".

- The selling pressure is heavy, with large sell orders around 2111 holding it down, making it difficult to rise.

- Trading suggestion: Short at the current price of 2111, with a stop loss above 2130; first target at 2080, if broken, look for 2050; a rebound is an opportunity to add to positions, with a favorable risk-reward ratio.

#ETH走势分析 #以太坊合约 $ETH $BTC $BNB

Gold and Silver Plunge: Is it a Short-term Adjustment or the End of the Trend?

Gold and silver have recently plummeted, with gold dropping from $5400 to below $4500 in half a month, nearly 10% down in a week; silver fell over 14% in a week, marking a rare decline in many years.

Core Reasons for the Plunge

1. Oil Prices Reverse Restraint: The US-Iran conflict has pushed oil prices up, leading to a surge in dollar demand, which has suppressed gold priced in dollars.
2. Federal Reserve Policy Shift: Interest rates remain high, and the expectation of rate cuts has been significantly lowered, increasing the attractiveness of the dollar. Gold does not yield interest, and holding costs are high, leading funds to shift to the dollar.
3. Previous Overheating in Price Increase: The premium of gold prices relative to the 5-year moving average has reached a historic high, with excessive speculation and strong demand for market correction.

Long-term Logic Unbroken

1. Ongoing Geopolitical Conflicts: The situation in the Middle East is unlikely to calm down in the short term, and safe-haven demand remains.
2. Progress in De-dollarization: Central banks around the world have net purchased gold for 16 consecutive years, enhancing the status of gold reserves.
3. Cracks in Petro-dollar: China is building a "Renminbi + Oil + Gold" system, shaking the old pattern of the dollar.

Market Outlook

In the short term, gold may test the support at $4400, and if it breaks, it may look towards $4000; in the medium to long term, institutional target prices still look above $6000.

Strategy Recommendation: In the short term, panic can be leveraged for operations, but do not lose the bottom position; when prices drop to a position of others' fear, it is the right opportunity to layout positions.
$XAU $XAG $BTC
#黄金创43年来最大单周跌幅

Today's BTC Market Overview (2022.03.22)

From early morning to morning, Bitcoin was initially sluggish and horizontal, then suddenly plummeted, dropping nearly 3000 points with a large bearish candlestick at 8 AM, with the bears showing particularly strong force.

The current price has rebounded to around 69800, but it's just a slow recovery from a low point, and the rebound strength is very weak. The key resistance level has not been breached yet.

From a technical perspective, the previous consolidation platform has been broken, moving averages are trending downwards, forming a death cross, and the MACD is also in a weak range, increasing volume during declines and decreasing volume during rebounds; this is just a technical correction, not a trend reversal.

Currently, the bears still have the advantage, and any rebound will face resistance. Focus on the 70500-71000 resistance level; if it can't breach it, it indicates weakness; the key support below is 68500-68000.

Operational suggestion: Prioritize short positions, wait for a rebound to the resistance level, and only enter when it shows no upward movement.
#比特币走势分析 #BTC走势分析 $BTC $ETH $XRP

🔥The Middle East is at war, oil prices surge by 50%, but domestic oil prices in India remain stable

1. International oil prices: The war causes a surge

- The Middle East conflict escalates, Iran launches missiles at Israel in retaliation.
- Global oil prices soar, Brent crude surpasses $108 per barrel, having surged nearly 50% since the conflict began.
- Reason: The Strait of Hormuz is a crucial oil transportation choke point, with about **20%** of the world's oil passing through; shipping is currently obstructed, and everyone is worried about supply disruptions.

2. India's oil prices: Remain unchanged

- Although international oil prices have skyrocketed, gasoline and diesel prices in major Indian cities (Delhi, Mumbai, Bangalore, Kolkata) have not increased.
- Today's oil prices in Delhi: Gasoline at 94.77 rupees/liter, diesel at 87.67 rupees/liter.

3. Official stance of India

- A former oil executive stated: Ensuring supply is more important than discussing prices right now; fuel supply is under control.
- The government is vigorously promoting piped natural gas (PNG) and encouraging everyone to use less liquefied gas.

Summary in one sentence: While the war outside causes oil prices to soar, India is temporarily withstanding pressure without raising prices, prioritizing the availability of oil for everyone. $ETH $BTC $XRP #油价 #石油 #原油

Is it safe now that BTC has returned to 70,000? Don't celebrate too early; this might just be a temporary "breather"!

Bitcoin has finally returned to 70,000, and many people feel relieved. But don’t think this means stability; three consecutive days of weak market conditions indicate a fierce debate between bulls and bears. The bulls believe it should rise, while the bears think it will drop further, resulting in back-and-forth fluctuations, repeatedly triggering everyone's stop-loss orders.

My current strategy is straightforward: hold half in cash and gradually build positions with the other half. At this point, betting on direction is useless; the key is to see who can hold out until the end.

Looking at Ethereum, after dropping below 2,200, it has little strength to rebound, indicating that funds are being cautious and hesitant to enter the market. However, there’s good news: mainstream coins are starting to resist declines, and there’s still activity in popular sectors. This suggests that the money hasn’t run away; it’s just moved to a different place.

To summarize: the market isn’t over yet, but the methods to make money have changed. The 70,000 level can be defended, but the process will definitely not be easy.

Let’s discuss in the comments: do you think this is a shakeout or a downward continuation? If BTC drops to 68,000, would you increase your position?
#比特币走势分析 #BTC突破7万大关 $BTC $ETH $XRP

Retail investors selling U must see: 4 core key points that determine the final outcome

Many retail investors selling U panic and fear after being frozen or summoned, completely unable to grasp the key points of response. In fact, the severity of the consequences related to selling U hinges on these 4 points; clarifying thoughts can maximize self-protection.

1. Whether there is “knowledge” is the core of conviction

Selling U easily touches on aiding and abetting crimes, concealing and hiding criminal proceeds, and illegal business operations. Without evidence proving that you knew the payments were illegal proceeds, it is difficult to secure a conviction.
Retail investors' normal investments and compliant trades are unlikely to be recognized by judicial authorities as “knowledge”; the probability of insufficient evidence leading to no arrest is high.
You need to prepare evidence of “lack of knowledge”: keeping transaction records formal, prices aligning with the market, normal real-name transactions, and staying away from fraudulent or gambling-related activities, etc.
Response principle: do not deny the transaction, firmly emphasize that you are a normal cryptocurrency investor, completely unaware that the money was criminal proceeds.

2. The amount involved and profits directly affect sentencing

Amount involved = amount received from selling U - amount from legal transactions; the flow of selling U does not equal the total amount involved.
Key operation: proactively exclude unrelated legitimate flows, provide chat and transfer records of exchanges with friends and normal business cooperation, and separate non-involved amounts to directly reduce the basis for involvement.

3. Positive attitude + restitution is key to mitigation

The core demand of judicial authorities is to recover losses for victims; actively returning illicit gains and cooperating with investigations can demonstrate remorse, leading to significantly lighter sentencing, which is also the core operation for unlocking accounts.
This is the only chip that retail investors can control autonomously, and it should be executed with careful consideration.

4. The number of transactions is an important determining factor

The argument of “lack of knowledge” is more credible for a single instance of involvement, while claiming ignorance in multiple instances is almost impossible to be accepted.
This is also why professional coin traders only conduct single transactions, avoiding frequent, multiple counterparties, and large transactions; withdrawing funds as needed is safer.

The jungle rules of Web3, independent thinking, and maintaining the bottom line are the long-term solutions.
#安全出金小常识 $ETH $BTC $XRP

Today is March 21st, what's the situation with BTC?

Bitcoin is currently around $70,535, having risen by 0.47% in the last 24 hours, fluctuating around the $70,000 mark with not much volatility.

How does it look from a technical perspective?
Currently, bears have the upper hand, with prices pressed down by short-term moving averages. The 30-day line has broken below the 120-day line, indicating a clear downward trend.
Resistance is found at 72,000-73,000, while strong support lies at 69,000-70,000; if it breaks below 69,000, it may drop to 65,000.

How's the market sentiment?
Everyone is very anxious, with a fear index of only 11, indicating extreme fear.
The conflict in the Middle East has caused oil prices to rise, inflation pressures are high, and institutions are hesitant to buy, with futures demand dropping to its lowest since 2024.

What should we do?

1. Main strategy: short with light positions at 71,000-72,000, stop-loss at 72,300-73,000, target at 69,000-70,000.
2. Aggressive play: long with light positions at 68,400-69,000, stop-loss at 67,700, target at 70,400-71,200.
3. Risk control: single position should not exceed 5%, must set a stop-loss, avoid heavy positions, and wait for a clear direction before adding.

Summary
Bitcoin is currently in a consolidation phase within a downward trend, with 70,000 being a key level. Until it breaks above 73,000, the focus should be on shorting, while short-term longs can be made at support levels. With high volatility, it’s essential to control risk.

The above analysis is for reference only; investing carries risks, and one should be cautious in the market. #比特币走势分析 #BTC走势分析 $BTC $ETH $XRP

On March 21, the big player took action on ETH again!

According to monitoring by AI Aunt, a prominent figure in the crypto space, Erik Voorhees, the founder of ShapeShift, has purchased 14,424.53 Ethereum (ETH) from his associated address in the last 11 hours.

With this operation, his total amount of ETH has directly surpassed 117,000 coins. His average purchase cost this time was $2,160.24, and based on the current price, he is temporarily at a loss of $1,145,000.
#ETH #巨鲸动向 $ETH $BTC $XRP

Happy weekend! Today's short-term market outlook is bullish

Ethereum is currently fluctuating slightly around 2145. Although it has slightly declined in the last 24 hours, its resilience is strong. The market shows that the support at 2125 is solid, and the short-term bulls are dominant, with market sentiment leaning towards optimism. As long as it holds above 2120, a breakout upwards is just a matter of time.

Bitcoin support is in the range of 69600-70200, with the potential to challenge 71200-72300 later;

Ethereum support is in the range of 2120-2140, with the potential to challenge 2175-2210.

#比特币走势分析 #ETH走势分析 $BTC $ETH $XRP