Bitcoin drops below 60,000? Don't panic, this time the 'whale sell-off' might really last until 2027! $BTC

The latest data isn't very optimistic—if Bitcoin can't hold 60,000, the time for us to break even might have to be pushed directly to 2027.

Down from 126,000, it's almost been cut in half. According to historical patterns, every additional drop of 10% requires an additional recovery period of 80 days.

If 60,000 is the bottom now, we still have nearly a year to grind; if it really drops to the 40,000–45,000 range, the recovery period will be extended to over 440 days, and we might not see it until after the second quarter of 2027.

In my personal view, the on-chain indicators haven't truly bottomed out yet, with BCMI at only 0.27, while the historical bottom is around 0.12–0.15, indicating there is still room to go lower.

What's more troublesome is that the selling pressure from whales has reached its highest point in nearly 18 months, and the liquidity in both spot and futures markets is shrinking, clearly not a pace that retail investors can handle.

The biggest impact of this market situation is that—confidence will be eroded over time, bottom-fishing funds are reluctant to enter, and floating chips are instead being washed out even more.

So what should we ordinary players do?

Don't rush to go all in; keep enough ammunition and wait for the on-chain indicators to truly bottom out and for whale selling pressure to ease before taking action.

Those who endure this wave will be the ones who can truly benefit in the next round.

Want to know how to judge the signal of 'whale selling pressure easing'? Comment '1', and I will break it down for you later. #全球市场波动