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Why are there still so many people playing in the crypto contract market even after liquidation?
1. Likes to fantasize Every time I get liquidated, my mind automatically plays: “Last time I was too greedy, this time I will only open 5 times, strictly stop loss, I will definitely turn things around.” It’s like a gambler who says to himself “one last hand” after losing everything. This kind of self-brainwashing optimism is humanity's most powerful survival mechanism—it's not rational, it's emotional opium. In reality, 99% of people are repeating the same dream, but before waking up, no one is willing to admit it. 2. Always wants to recover losses It's frustrating to lose, always wanting to make it back. I've been liquidated three times, and this time I've finally realized, the next trade will be directly 50 times to recover! Liquidation is not failure; it is a necessary path in the narrative of a hero. Losing money is not scary; what’s scary is admitting that “I just don’t fit.” So I must continue to play until I “prove myself.”
The Fast Connect VPN is going to increase in price, is it because of the US-Iran war? This is rising, that is rising, but wages are not increasing. How can ordinary people live? Brothers, come out and talk about it.
Liang Xi, this idiot said to short BGB at its peak, and now is buying the dip of BGB, it's just a case of hindsight. The peak was never shorted, and now saying to buy the dip will end badly because Bitcoin still has to drop. A mere platform coin, how can it not fall? BGB has trapped countless large investors at the top, buying now is just giving away money; at least wait until the end of the year to see, there hasn't been any upward pattern to buy a hammer!
As we judged a few days ago, the ceasefire is still unlikely.
Since the outbreak of the war, the US stock market has evaporated $4.8 trillion, and the probability of a short-term easing is extremely low.
Oil prices have skyrocketed, and 91 has encouraged everyone to get involved; congratulations to those who followed!
Crisis = Opportunity, keep an eye on these 3 core points👇
1. US-Iran War
Fight → Trade oil Cease → Trade Bitcoin
The market is not scary; what is scary is if you trade in the wrong direction.
2. Midterm Elections
The midterm elections in November 2026, with the current stock market crash and rising oil prices, many people think that the President will be impeached, leading to negative repercussions; this is a huge mistake! Impeachment ≠ negative impact; it could even be positive, but don't forget that the current trend = bear market.
During the impeachment in 2021, BTC rose from 30,000 to 69,000. To win votes, the President will likely release more favorable news about cryptocurrency. Just yesterday, the President said in Miami: America is going to become a Bitcoin superpower!
(3) US-China Meeting
On May 14, the date has been set. There may be a wave in early May; if delayed, the market will directly give you a wave of decline, then wait for a rebound after the interest rate cut in June. Right now, it is a bear market; a reversal does not exist. All rises are just rebounds, and the real surge will occur next year.
In the past two days studying crayfish in Shenzhen, I feel that everyone needs it. It can not only help you work but also provide emotional value. It can do things that humans cannot do; it really can do everything, and it can do anything.
I summarized 5 points: possessing strong understanding ability, strong creativity, multitasking ability, a system that can self-improve, and a humanized way of conversing.
The signal for a ceasefire from the Americans has arrived! Gold and cryptocurrencies are experiencing a surge, while oil is retreating!
However, while the President is saying he wants to stop the war, he is simultaneously sending troops to the Middle East, multiple directions every day, making it truly difficult to grasp!
(1) US-Iran Situation The American ceasefire plan: 1. Iran to dismantle nuclear facilities and hand over enriched uranium 2. Stop supporting regional armed groups and limit missile ranges In exchange for lifting sanctions + support for civilian nuclear projects
Iran still hasn’t responded directly; we are focusing on this date: March 27, when the US Marine Corps arrives in the Middle East
Is this real negotiation or just a smokescreen? We will wait and see!
(2) Cryptocurrencies are still full of future Let’s see what institutions are doing: 1. BitMine increased holdings by 67,111 Ethereum 2. BlackRock withdrew 2,267 Bitcoins yesterday 3. Exchange Bitcoin reserves hit an all-time low
Institutions are accumulating, long-term holders are increasing
(3) The stock market can also be monitored
Yesterday, CRCL plummeted by 17.6% because of the introduction of the CLARITY draft, which restricted stablecoin staking yields
We called the downturn at the peak, securing a 25% profit
Elon Musk's SpaceX has submitted its IPO, valued at over $1.5 trillion; we will pay close attention and find opportunities for everyone to participate
(4) Let’s talk about Teacher Zhang Xuefeng
This guy is truly hardworking; it’s rumored he sleeps only 5–6 hours a day, and after being busy all day, he still goes to the gym and runs 5 kilometers
Brothers, be sure to take care of your health, sleep less late, rest more; no matter how much money you make, if your health is gone, nothing matters!
What impact will the sudden passing of Zhang Xuefeng have on society?
1. A collective awakening to health baseline: The sudden death of a 41-year-old after running has made countless '996' workers instantly aware—we struggle to earn tuition, mortgage, and KPIs, but risk our lives in the process. How many people, while watching his videos to plan their children's future, forget that they might collapse tomorrow? In this wave of mourning, the loudest voice isn't flowers, but the self-reflection of 'sleep earlier and get more health checkups'. 2. The absence of 'guides' for anxious ordinary families seeking higher education: Zhang Xuefeng's candid advice was once a 'pitfall guide' for many students from humble backgrounds. After his passing, countless parents panicked during the college application season: who can tell us which majors are less competitive and which cities have opportunities? His death highlighted the pain of information asymmetry in education—we are not unmotivated; we just desperately need a grounded voice to help our children avoid detours.
Just now, Suzhou Peak School Weilai Education Technology Co., Ltd. announced the obituary stating that Zhang Xuefeng unfortunately passed away due to sudden illness, and rescue efforts were ineffective. The hospital diagnosed the cause as cardiac arrest.
Teacher Zhang Xuefeng came from a humble background and dedicated his life to the vast number of students, deeply engaged in the education industry, always taking it upon himself to support education through donations and help students grow, with a sincere heart practicing educational ideals, good words and virtuous deeds, enlightening future generations.
(1) The King of Understanding Paints K-Line Charts Yesterday, the King of Understanding announced a 5-day pause in military strikes against Iran and hinted that the two sides had reached a consensus, with a ceasefire imminent. As soon as the news broke, oil prices plummeted, and risk assets surged! But Iran responded, saying there were no talks, it’s fake news, and the market reacted with a sharp decline! Remember, the King of Understanding’s nonsense should not be trusted; he has 8 different statements in a day!
(2) When will the US and Iran ceasefire? In the short term, the possibility is low. Iran wants the Beautiful Country to pay compensation and acknowledge aggressive actions, which is almost impossible. According to Polymarket data, the probability of a ceasefire before April 15 is 35%, and by the end of April, it is 55%.
(3) 24th Day of the Strait of Hormuz No matter what the US and Iran say, the strait remains closed, with only single-digit numbers of ships passing through each day, and oil prices are still not dropping.
(4) How to survive in this market? 1. Only trade short-term contracts, no big positions. Yesterday, there was a liquidation of 665 million US dollars, and a single statement from the King of Understanding caused positions to explode instantly.
2. The conflict will not end so quickly. When the situation is unclear, do not take large positions.
3. For the time being, observe the spot market, wait to accumulate Bitcoin in batches below 55,000 US dollars. Yesterday, a micro strategy bought 1,031 Bitcoins and prepared to raise 4.2 billion US dollars to continue increasing positions.
4. Stay away from junk altcoins, like the malicious project SIREN, don’t touch it, act as if it doesn’t exist.
5. Currently, focus on altcoins TAO and HYPE for potential interest.
5 professions where women are easily subjected to 'unwritten rules'
1. Entertainment, nightlife, and business companionship Bars, KTVs, business clubs, drinking companions, and etiquette models have complex environments and chaotic personnel. Many bosses and clients take advantage of drinking to get physically close; if a woman does not cooperate, she may face retaliation, such as being sidelined, having her salary deducted, or being dismissed. Women in these places are often treated as 'decorations,' making it hard to ensure safety and dignity.
2. Live streaming, internet celebrities, and artist management Many small streamers, new models, and trainees, eager to rise, gain followers, and access resources, can easily be manipulated by agents, operators, and bosses. Various demands for 'dining together, socializing, and chatting' continuously arise; noncompliance leads to a lack of traffic and opportunities. Many women are forced into difficult situations and ultimately suffer significant losses.
3. Sales, business public relations, and high-end socializing Real estate, automotive, finance, medical aesthetics, and high-end beverage sales seem lucrative with high commissions, but they often involve much socializing. Clients frequently demand drinking, attending gatherings, and returning late, even sending ambiguous messages. Noncompliance can result in lost deals and pressure from superiors. Women in such environments are easily harassed and manipulated.
4. Performing arts, extras, and film crew-related jobs Film crews, sets, actor assistants, and extra team leaders operate in a chaotic sphere with unequal power dynamics. Directors, producers, assistant directors, and agents hold opportunities and may exploit their advantages to make unreasonable demands on women. Those wishing to act or gain visibility may easily fall victim to 'unwritten rules,' making it difficult to protect their rights and gather evidence.
5. High-end services, personal assistants, and close secretaries Working as a personal assistant, close secretary, or life assistant for bosses or executives appears respectable and stable, but the boundaries are often blurred. Frequent travel for business, socializing, and handling personal matters can lead to a lack of freedom and independence. Encountering a boss with poor character can easily lead to harassment and control, making it hard to escape.
(1) 23rd Day of the Hormuz Strait Blockade Last Saturday, the understanding king warned Iran that if they don't open within 48 hours, they would strike power facilities. Iran responded: We will completely close the strait; I won't even give you a glance. Currently, the probability of a ceasefire is extremely low, oil prices are fluctuating at high levels, and there will be no relief in the short term. If oil prices don't drop, inflation won't decrease, and expectations for interest rate cuts won't drop, the crypto market will have no movement.
(2) BSC Standalone Coin SIREN Soars SIREN is suspected to be controlled by DWF, holding 88.5% of the total supply, They can pump it or dump it as they wish; there's no need to participate in such projects, regardless of bullish or bearish trends. There's no need to lick blood off the tip of a knife; what you're licking is not blood, it's your principal.
(3) Global Stock Market Crash The KOSPI index in South Korea plunged 6% in a single day, the Japan-Korea stock markets opened with major declines, and the US stock market is in a state of bloodshed, with the S&P falling for four consecutive weeks. Mainly referencing (1), because the war prevents inflation from decreasing, and expectations for interest rate cuts are not coming down.
(4) USR Depegged 95% Over the weekend, the stablecoin USR depegged to $0.049, dropping over 95%, You can lose money even holding stablecoins; don't touch unknown stablecoin investments.
(5) ETF/On-chain Data Bitcoin ETF saw a net outflow for three consecutive days, US stock users are in panic, There are no signs of inflow in the Bitcoin inventory on exchanges, and large holders are still observing, but thankfully there hasn't been a panic sell-off.
Operational Suggestions 1. If the strait is not unblocked and the war is not stopped, do not heavily invest. 2. Bitcoin at $68,000 is a short-term support; if it breaks, look at the $64,000-66,000 range. 3. Don't touch garbage altcoins, don't touch garbage altcoins, don't touch garbage altcoins. 4. Don't invest in unknown stablecoin products to avoid being harvested. 5. Below $55,000, staggered dollar-cost average into BTC spot; only do short-term trades for contracts. 6. If oil prices do not drop and crypto does not rise, wait for the wind to come, don't rush.
It's almost the end of the month. The big pancake might have another bottom at the end of March or early April, likely in the 64000-66000 range. There will be another top in April, in the 78000-83000 range, and then it will continue to decline or even hit a new low. In June, it's highly likely that there will be an interest rate cut. Brothers, do you know what to do now?
Real feelings after a few days of traveling in Chengdu
Just returned from Chengdu, and my overall impression is still very pleasant. What impressed me most about this city is: the pace is really slow. Unlike the fast-paced vibe of cities like Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen, where everyone seems to be on fast forward, walking with a rush, the streets of Chengdu are filled with tea cups, bamboo chairs, and elderly people basking in the sun. People waiting outside hot pot restaurants are also not in a hurry, playing on their phones while chatting. Even when the waitstaff lazily asks, 'Would you like more soup?', their tone is relaxed. While strolling through Taikoo Li, Kuanzhai Alley, Jinli, and even on the subway, it’s rare to see scenes of pushing, jostling, or people with unpleasant expressions. Living here feels like being automatically slowed down, time becomes thick, allowing one to truly feel the weight of the phrase '巴适'.
Today is the 5th day in Chengdu. Thanks to the brothers for their warm hospitality. The authentic Sichuan cuisine tastes really good. Chengdu gives Long Ge a very good feeling. Thumbs up for this city and its people 👍
First, let's see what Powell said last night, the conclusion can be summarized in three sentences:
1. Maintain interest rates 2. The probability of interest rate cuts this year is only 50% 3. War in the Middle East, energy inflation cannot be ignored
The market collapsed directly after hearing this, Bitcoin fell below 71,000, and the US stock market is in chaos!
The core logic of the decline is that inflation has not been controlled, the bear market is in a downward trend, oil prices have surged due to the Hormuz situation, and there are additional tariffs. Three sources of inflation are pressing down simultaneously, and Powell does not dare to loosen up on rate cuts. Rate cuts have become a luxury, and there is even a possibility of rate hikes.
How to operate
1. Move less and observe more, only do short-term contracts, gradually invest in Bitcoin below 60,000
2. Refer to Bitcoin's 200-week moving average, at the position of 58,837
3. Pay attention to the war situation, currently Hormuz is still blocked, oil prices are not falling and cryptocurrencies are not rising
4. Pay attention to HYPE, the S&P 500 perpetual contract authorization has landed, the product is solid, and the good news keeps coming, very strong
Yesterday it was also emphasized that the average correction after the FOMC is 5-8% within 48 hours, are there any brothers shorting? Currently following this script, be patient and wait for opportunities!