2026.3.28 Macro Market Analysis

As we judged a few days ago, the ceasefire is still unlikely.

Since the outbreak of the war, the US stock market has evaporated $4.8 trillion, and the probability of a short-term easing is extremely low.

Oil prices have skyrocketed, and 91 has encouraged everyone to get involved; congratulations to those who followed!

Crisis = Opportunity, keep an eye on these 3 core points👇

1. US-Iran War

Fight → Trade oil

Cease → Trade Bitcoin

The market is not scary; what is scary is if you trade in the wrong direction.

2. Midterm Elections

The midterm elections in November 2026, with the current stock market crash and rising oil prices, many people think that the President will be impeached, leading to negative repercussions; this is a huge mistake! Impeachment ≠ negative impact; it could even be positive, but don't forget that the current trend = bear market.

During the impeachment in 2021, BTC rose from 30,000 to 69,000. To win votes, the President will likely release more favorable news about cryptocurrency. Just yesterday, the President said in Miami: America is going to become a Bitcoin superpower!

(3) US-China Meeting

On May 14, the date has been set. There may be a wave in early May; if delayed, the market will directly give you a wave of decline, then wait for a rebound after the interest rate cut in June. Right now, it is a bear market; a reversal does not exist. All rises are just rebounds, and the real surge will occur next year.