砚池BTC

Looking back at the ETH crash last April, it plummeted to 1385.

At that time, the whole network was in despair; who didn’t think the bull market was completely dead and the bear market had officially arrived?

According to the old experiences from previous bull markets, when it falls like this, the market should have already declared an end, right?

But what was the result?

The market slapped everyone in the face.

ETH skyrocketed from 1385 to 4956, not only did it not go to zero or crash, but instead created a historical new high.

Facts have long proven:
The so-called "end of the bull market" is mostly just a collapse of sentiment,
while the real big trend has never been interrupted from start to finish.

Isn't this lesson enough to wake you up?

The current market is already vastly different from the past.
Wall Street's massive capital has poured in, reshaping the rhythm, depth, and structure of the crypto world completely.

If you still cling to the old models and experiences to predict the market,
you will always be educated in reverse by the market, losing clearly.

Back then, the whole network was cursing ETH as garbage, with no future, completely dead,
but it staged an epic reversal;

And now, the same script is quietly replaying —
everyone complains that altcoins have no value, no liquidity, can't rise, and are all traps, avoiding them at all costs.

So you might want to seriously consider:
Will the next opportunity that makes people regret and slap their thighs
be hidden in those corners that are most scorned, untouched, and despised?

You will eventually see a cruel and real rule in the crypto world:
When the market truly takes off, and the main upward wave arrives,
most people have already gotten off early.

The market never moves according to the public's expectations,
even, it specifically moves against human nature and consensus.

This is the most fundamental and easily overlooked core logic in the crypto world.

I don’t make empty promises, I don’t blow myths, I don’t do anything superficial,
I only share the hardcore insights I’ve fought for in the market with real skin in the game.

#加密市场反弹 #币圈 #加密市场回调 #币圈暴富

$DOGE Dogecoin's next bull market continues to hold strong!!!
Many people think that MEME coins are all about quick short-term profits. The last hot coin was SHIB, and this round is PEPE. No one can say for sure if the next round will rise again, but Dogecoin is different. It is the old leader in MEME coins, and it can keep up with the rhythm in every bull market. Even in this bear market, the trading volume is still not low, indicating that big funds have not given up on it.

Now, Dogecoin is more like a blue-chip in the crypto world. It does not rely on short-term stories for support but on the consensus and users built over many years. With a large market capitalization and good liquidity, big funds can enter and exit easily, so when laying out in the MEME track, it is still the first choice.

However, the technical aspect has not yet smoothed out; it is currently unclear where the bottom lies. At least it will take another six months to refine the situation, with a high probability that the bottom will be in the second half of this year. If you're looking for an entry point, the range of 0.05 to 0.07 is relatively comfortable for building positions. Don’t rush in right now.

The real opportunity lies in the signals after the consolidation ends. Wait for the moving averages to stabilize and for the trading volume to gradually increase; that’s when it will be safe to enter. For now, be patient and don’t let short-term fluctuations shake your mindset.

#加密市场反弹 #币圈 #加密市场回调 #币圈暴富

$RIVER Is the short position about to run? Don't rush to bottom fish!

Recently, the RIVER's operators are aggressively closing their short positions, with a net purchase of 1.2M in half an hour, and the buying volume is obviously increasing. The price has pulled back from 12.7 to 13.6, and the previously floating profit has dropped from 99% to 80%. It is evident that the main force is eager to take profits.

Now, the long-short ratio has returned to a half-open state, with short positions still at 11M, double that of long positions, but the main force has already started to quietly buy more. The support at 11.41 is still there; based on the current floating profits and the market situation, they are more inclined to close positions and leave, and will not push down further.

Next, it is highly likely to oscillate and rebound, and the main force will gradually reduce short positions. In the short term, 11.4 is a strong support and generally will not be easily touched; only in extreme situations will it drop to around 10.5.

Those holding short positions can exit first; don't cling to the battle. Those wanting to bottom fish shouldn't rush either; wait until the main force's net purchases continue to increase and short positions drop below 8M before taking action. Entering now can easily lead to being shaken out.

The real opportunity is still ahead; wait for the signal to come out, and we will steadily enter the market to take profits.

#加密市场反弹 #币圈 #加密市场回调 #币圈暴富

Is $BTC 65500 the bottom? Beware of the bullish trap!

BTC has reached around 65000 as expected and has shown a slight rebound, many people are starting to ask if this is the bottom and whether they can go long.

From the market perspective, there are currently no strong bullish signals, and the rebound at 65500 feels more like a trap to lure in buyers; the parallel bottom formed here can easily mislead people into thinking it's the bottom, but in reality, it is accumulating bullish positions, and is likely to accelerate downward, representing a typical bullish trap.

The real bullish signal requires BTC to re-establish itself above the trend line of 68000-69000 and hold steady, otherwise it is not suitable to go long at any time.

The upcoming trend is more inclined to continue falling; 60000 is not the bottom, and it is likely to break below 62500 first, then gradually explore lower levels, with the real bottom expected to appear in the second half of this year, so there’s no rush to catch the bottom in the short term.

Of course, there is also a low probability scenario: if BTC can return above and hold steady on the trend line of 68000-69000, the market will turn bullish, and adjustments to judgment should be made based on market dynamics.


$BTC #BTC行情 #多头陷阱 #交易策略

The US stock market is bearish, could the third wave of BTC's decline become a bottom-fishing opportunity?

The Nasdaq index has dropped 10% from its October peak, officially entering a bearish cycle.

The market will now focus on when Trump will publicly call a bottom; historical experience shows that his statements often become turning points for the market.

Many investors are looking forward to further declines in the US stock market, which could lead to the $BTC starting its third wave of downward trend, thus welcoming better bottom-fishing price levels. Currently, BTC has shown a significant correction; if the US stock market continues to weaken, the probability of a correlated decline will further increase.

$BTC #美股休市 #纳斯达克 #抄底策略

The Next Bull Market: BTC Steady Foundation, ETH Striving for Height?

In my personal judgment, the next bull market will see BTC return to $150,000 without much problem, but replicating the early multiples of soaring prices will be very challenging.

The core logic of this round is compliance. BTC is gradually being accepted by mainstream finance, and institutions and some governments only recognize BTC, unwilling to touch other altcoins. Therefore, this round is basically a strong performance of BTC alone, and even ETH's performance is not ideal.

Also due to compliance, BTC has completed its wild growth phase. After the market cap has grown, the explosive power of incremental funds will decline. Most of the institutions that should have come in have already entered, and it is difficult to expect a new wave of retail investors to push the price to ridiculous levels. Returning to $100,000 is a cyclical correction, but it is unrealistic to expect another super increase like in the past.

A bigger problem is that the industry environment is becoming increasingly chaotic, with rampant scams and severe meme harvesting, which weakens the entire circle's ability to attract new funds. Without new actual value output, it will not be beneficial for BTC in the long term.

Therefore, I am more focused on whether there will be a new narrative in the next round, and in this regard, I am more optimistic about ETH. In the past few years, it has optimized speed and transaction fees without significantly sacrificing decentralization, and advancements in Layer 2 ecosystems, on-chain finance, and asset tokenization are underway, with practicality beginning to emerge.

Today's ETH does not lack infrastructure; what is lacking is a trigger point. As long as a certain hotspot ignites market sentiment, it may well become the core of the next bull market. Simply put, BTC is more stable, but the variable that determines the height may lie with ETH.

$BTC $ETH
#BTC #ETH #加密货币 #牛市展望

The decline in US stocks hides significant risks in the cryptocurrency market: The chain reaction of Trump's election and the crypto market
$BTC $ETH $BNB
Currently, US stocks continue to decline, which is extremely unfavorable for Trump's midterm elections. If Trump does not take action to boost US stocks, the midterm elections are likely to fail, and this outcome will be a major negative for the cryptocurrency market.

Core Logic Breakdown
The performance of US stocks is an important public opinion indicator for Trump's campaign; a continuous decline will weaken voter confidence and impact the election results. If Trump loses the election, policy expectations and market sentiment will turn pessimistic, thereby impacting the cryptocurrency market and creating a chain of negatives. From the market perspective, the Nasdaq index has already shown a significant decline, and market risk aversion has increased, further amplifying the possibility of subsequent risks.

Want to know how to prepare in advance to deal with this potential negative? I can help you organize a cryptocurrency risk-hedging position adjustment plan to protect you before the risks arrive.
#美股 #特朗普 #币圈 #宏观风险

Oil prices rise, US-Iran conflict, will US bonds really collapse?
$BTC $ETH $SOL
At the beginning of this year, everyone thought the Federal Reserve would slowly cut interest rates, and central banks around the world were quietly buying US bonds. Suddenly, the US-Iran conflict broke out, and everything changed.

As oil prices rise, inflation follows, and the possibility of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates emerges again. The dollar strengthens, and US bonds are naturally sold.

Now many asset prices are tied to this war. To put it simply, it's inflation driven by rising raw material prices and soaring costs. To curb inflation, money must be tightened, and if that happens, US bonds will be hit.

But this situation doesn’t only lead to bad outcomes. If Iran really bombs all US facilities in the Middle East, and the Strait of Hormuz is closed, the credibility of the US will drop, inflation will surge, and US bonds might not hold up.

However, if the three parties quickly reach a ceasefire, the strait reopens for shipping, the Federal Reserve continues to cut interest rates, and inflation gradually decreases, US bonds might even rise a bit, and central banks may dare to continue pumping liquidity.

Now, no one can say which path will be taken in the end. Those who truly understand are waiting for signals, not just gambling.

If you want to know how to avoid losses in both scenarios, we can discuss it in detail and prepare strategies in advance.
#加密市场反弹 #币圈 #加密市场回调 #币圈暴富

BTC First Half Trend Prediction: Hard to See 4xxxx, Bottoming Range Locked

If there are no significant negative black swan events like the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in the first half of this year, $BTC is unlikely to drop to the 4xxxx range.

The third wave of downward trend starting from the high point of 76000 is expected to have a bottoming range between 55000 and 60000. If it drops to the 4xxxx range too early, the bear market rhythm will be too fast based on the timeline, which is not in line with the cyclical pattern.

The current market has shown signs of correction, and short-term fluctuations will continue, but the core support range is clear, so there is no need to panic excessively.

If you want to know how to allocate positions in the 55000-60000 range in batches, I can help you organize a position management and stop-loss point reference to help you cope with fluctuations more steadily.

$BTC #BTC行情 #加密货币 #比特币走势

With the market in such disarray, are there actually 3-5 times the opportunities hidden?
$C
Recently, the market has been chaotic, and many people have lost money and want to recover. In fact, there are still opportunities at the bottom; the logic and structure have been worked out, and it's not just wild guesses.
$TAO
I'm not going to tell you it's guaranteed profit; there has never been a sure thing in the market. However, the cost-performance ratio for this trade is indeed high. If you manage risks well, there is a chance to achieve 3-5 times the return. For those who want to regain their rhythm and steadily recover, you can follow along now.
$SOL
The strategy hasn't officially started yet, so entering the market now gives you a first-mover advantage. If you wait until the market moves before chasing, most of the profit potential will already be consumed, and you'll basically just be handing it over to someone else.

I'm not limiting positions or the number of people, but I prefer to follow those who can strictly enforce discipline.

When the market offers opportunities and you're not present, rushing in when it gets lively will only make you a bag holder in the end.

Many people are still hesitating about whether to act; in fact, real profits are often hidden at the bottom where everyone dares not reach out.

If you want to know how to accurately time your entry, we can slowly discuss the details and fully capitalize on this first-mover advantage.

#BTC行情 #Tether审计 #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 #美国加密法案再次遇阻

砚池专属日内合约组

Good morning, the ink pool is still waiting for you to be unbound 砚池专属日内合约组
$BTC
The light outside the window shines into the room. The ink pool in front of the screen has just finished the last wave of market sorting today, but did not rush to close the computer—knowing that there are friends who are staring at the trapped positions, flipping through the candlestick charts and unable to sleep, feeling anxious inside.
$ETH
Actually, there is no need to panic, and you don't have to bear it alone. Whether you are trapped by chasing orders at high positions or uncertain about stop-loss and take-profit rhythms, as long as you need, the ink pool here does not play tricks, does not set thresholds, and will help you dismantle your positions for free!
$SOL
No matter how chaotic the market is, someone lending a helping hand can always stabilize things. If you are trapped by orders, don't struggle alone, come and tell the ink pool—tonight, let's think of a way together to take back the initiative.

@砚池BTC 砚池专属日内合约组

#加密市场反弹 #币圈 #加密市场回调 #币圈暴富

From now on, for the next few days, short with the last 4-hour K high point as the stop loss, and hold on without being stopped out. Although the success rate may not be high, it is the lowest risk strategy available right now.

#加密市场反弹 #币圈 #加密市场回调 #币圈暴富

3. After a sharp rise, there will inevitably be a correction.
Any rapid rise in the market is unstable. Just like a car speeding, there will always be a moment to brake. A market that rises too quickly will eventually correct. Therefore, when faced with a sharp rise, do not blindly chase higher prices; be prepared to patiently wait for a correction.
4. When others are greedy, I must remain calm; when others are fearful, I must reflect.
The emotional fluctuations of the market are very large. When everyone is madly chasing prices, I will be more cautious; and when the market is in panic and selling off, I will consider whether there is an opportunity for a counter-operation. In investing, often going against the trend can bring unexpected gains.
5. The sideways phase is the most torturous, but big opportunities often break out during sideways trading.
The sideways consolidation period is the hardest for many investors to endure, but it is often a phase where the market accumulates strength and brews significant movements. Investors who can endure the sideways period often reap substantial rewards when a breakout occurs.
6. Distinguish between range fluctuations and trend changes to avoid chasing highs and selling lows.
Do not mistake range fluctuations for trend changes; short-term small fluctuations should not be the basis for your operations. Understanding the true trend of the market is key to avoiding unnecessary losses.
7. Never go all-in.
Going all-in is ignorance of risk and disrespect for one's own investment discipline. Proper position control allows you to remain flexible during market turbulence and respond calmly to various emergencies.
8. Controlling your mindset is always more important than technical analysis.
As an "investor", the most important thing is not precise technical analysis, but how to remain calm and clear-headed amidst fluctuations. Maintaining a good mindset, sticking to your strategy, and adjusting in a timely manner when facing failures is the key to success.
The ever-changing dynamics of the crypto world often dazzle people, but as long as you remain clear-headed and adhere to discipline, you will find that many times the outcome is determined by the details of mindset and execution. The market is always changing, but the fundamentals of human nature remain unchanged. Those who can continue in this circle are often those who have a stable mindset and pay attention to risk control.

#BTC行情 #Tether审计 #美国加密法案再次遇阻 #国际油价下跌

Small number 1000U, hit 1.2w

#BTC行情 #Tether审计 #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 #美伊和谈陷僵局

Long-term view $BTC currently in C wave downward continuation
At this current position
Fluctuating for about a month continues downward
To the range of 60000-70000
Next will be a sustained fluctuation bottoming process
The low may break through 60000
If it happens, there will be more room for operation
What I'm considering more is the scenario that hasn't happened
In the short term, going long below 65000
Going short above 75000
If it's in a position that goes neither up nor down, don't act rashly
After every major drop, there will be a period of sideways fluctuation
In the last half month, a drop of nearly 40% is enough
It's time to enter the sideways repair period
After the repair period, decide on the subsequent rise and fall
After dropping so much, it's inappropriate to be overly bearish
Similarly, being bullish is also inappropriate if the adjustment time is insufficient
Just wait
Finally, the best money-making opportunity in the first half of this year has passed
The market has played out the same script as in 2022.

#BTC行情 #Tether审计 #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 #美国加密法案再次遇阻

Risks and Rewards in the Cryptocurrency Market: A 10-Year Experience Summary
Money in the cryptocurrency market comes quickly, but it also leaves just as fast! After ten years of ups and downs, I went from losing everything but 20,000 to having assets over a million, completely relying on these life-saving rules. Today, I can help my followers turn 30U into 5 million U, not relying on luck but entirely on these strategies.
Contracts can make people rich overnight, but they can also wipe you out in an instant. My approach may be aggressive, but by adhering to these 5 life-saving rules, I can survive steadily.
1. Cut losses immediately if wrong, never hold on
When I first entered the market, I had a lucky mentality of “waiting for a rebound” and blew up my account twice, losing everything. The market never favors the lucky; when it reaches the stop-loss point, you must decisively cut losses and accept the loss. It’s far better than holding on stubbornly and getting deeper into a loss.
2. If you lose five trades in a row, take a break immediately
Stubbornly fighting in a chaotic market is like giving away money. Set a circuit breaker for yourself: if you lose five trades in a row, turn off the computer immediately and take a calm break. Wait until the market is clear the next day before re-engaging, rather than continuing to fight hard in an unclear market.
3. Withdraw after making enough 3000U
The numbers in your account are virtual and can evaporate at any time if not withdrawn. My rule is: for every 3000U earned, withdraw at least half. Only the money actually in hand counts as real profit.
4. Only follow trends, avoid choppy markets
In a strong trend, 100x leverage is like a rocket booster; but in a choppy market, it’s a meat grinder. Therefore, when the market lacks a clear direction, I prefer to stay out and wait rather than blindly open positions. Wait for the trend to clarify and then strike with certainty.
5. Never exceed 10% of your capital in position
Do not always think about going all in for a chance to get rich overnight. To achieve long-term profitability, you must first survive. I only use 30U for each operation, keeping the position within 10% of my capital. This way, I can afford to lose and still make steady profits. With lighter positions, it’s easier to maintain a stable mindset, allowing for calm and precise operations.
These 5 rules may seem simple, but they are life-and-death principles I developed through multiple account blow-ups and accumulated experience. Surviving in the cryptocurrency market is not about luck but about strategy and mindset. High leverage can bring huge profits but can also quickly wipe you out overnight. Only by surviving can you truly earn lasting returns.

#BTC行情 #美伊和谈陷僵局 #特朗普缓和局势 #金价连续第十天下跌

5000U Dry to 200,000 U, it's not a myth, nor luck, but the day I finally stopped 'playing with fire'.
To be honest, those who survive in the contracts never use fancy tricks. It’s all about some down-to-earth yet ruthless iron rules.
When I started with that 3000U, I never intended to decide life or death in one go. The strategy can be aggressive, but the mind must not be reckless. I split the money into 10 parts, taking only 30U for each trade, with 100 times leverage.
If the direction is right, it doubles with one point; if the direction is wrong? Just exit and leave, never force it. I never reason with the market; the market is always right, and the one who is wrong can only be me.
When it comes to stop-loss, I am more ruthless than anyone. No fantasies of a rebound, no waiting for 'maybe'.
When the market turns against you, every second you delay, your losses double.
So my stop-loss rule is just one sentence: if you give me an opportunity, I will leave; if you don’t give me respect, I will roll away.
And one more rule that has saved my life countless times: if you lose five consecutive trades, directly trigger a circuit breaker. Shut down the computer, close the software, and leave the market.
When emotions take over, you’re not trading; you’re giving away money.
Looking again the next day, the structure is often very clear. Profits must be realized; that’s the bottom line.
Earning 3000U is not worth mentioning; that’s just an illusion on the screen.
Taking half into the wallet, you will understand what 'real money' means.
Contracts don’t rely on screenshots to prove strength; it’s about whether you can still sit at the poker table.
I only do one thing: follow the trend.
The trend is where money is made; the fluctuation is a meat grinder. If you don’t understand, just wait; wait for the structure to be clear before entering. Missing out is okay; staying alive means there’s a next time.
I tightly control my position: never exceeding 10%, 30U for trial and error; if I make a mistake, I accept it, but I can afford the losses.
Those who can truly make money long-term
are never those who go all in,
but those who have discipline and can survive.
Contracts are a long-term battle, not a get-rich-quick show.
When you engrave the rules in your mind and turn off your emotions, you will suddenly realize one thing:
making money is just a byproduct; being able to stay alive is the real skill.

#BTC行情 #Tether审计 #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 #美国加密法案再次遇阻

Three essentials for being a contractor:
Staying up late, regretting, and placing another order.
During the day, we agree to control our positions,
But at night, we go all in.
We say we won't do it anymore,
Yet our hands are more honest than anyone else's.

#BTC行情 #Tether审计 #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 #美国加密法案再次遇阻

Last week's family gathering, my cousin made the whole place go silent with one sentence.
He has been in the cryptocurrency space for five years, starting with $1800, and now his account has eight digits. Even more incredible is that he doesn’t touch contracts, doesn't gamble on news, and doesn’t play with low-quality coins; he steadily rolled up using a simple method.
Now he has three properties: one for himself, one for his parents, and one for rental income. The monthly cash flow is stable, and there’s no need to stare at the K-line anxiously. $BTC
I pestered him with questions for half a day, and finally, he revealed these six unwavering principles:
First, a rapid increase followed by a slow decrease is an opportunity. After a rapid rise, if it hesitates to pull back, it means the main players are accumulating; after a rapid drop, a weak rebound means it's time to run, as that indicates capital withdrawal.
Second, a high trading volume doesn’t necessarily mean a peak. A high volume at a high position could be just the beginning; it's dangerous when no one is talking at the mountain top—volume contraction at the peak is the signal to wrap up. $ETH
Third, the bottom needs multiple confirmations. A rebound after a crash is likely a “don’t leave, fellow townsman.” The real bottom is established when capital consistently invests real money.
Fourth, volume is the heartbeat of the market. The K-line is just the surface; trading volume is the most honest reflection of sentiment.
Fifth, the highest state is “nothing.” Not envious of others becoming rich, not afraid of volatility, and not attached to one's own judgments. Only those who can endure the loneliness of being in cash have the qualification to catch the main upward wave. $BNB
Sixth, slow is fast. In five years, she relied on these few principles to grow from $1800 to eight digits.
The market is like this: either watch others eat meat or sit at the table yourself.

#BTC行情 #美国暂缓攻击伊朗发电站 #特朗普缓和局势 #特朗普称对伊战争已胜利