BTC First Half Trend Prediction: Hard to See 4xxxx, Bottoming Range Locked
If there are no significant negative black swan events like the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in the first half of this year, $BTC is unlikely to drop to the 4xxxx range.
The third wave of downward trend starting from the high point of 76000 is expected to have a bottoming range between 55000 and 60000. If it drops to the 4xxxx range too early, the bear market rhythm will be too fast based on the timeline, which is not in line with the cyclical pattern.
The current market has shown signs of correction, and short-term fluctuations will continue, but the core support range is clear, so there is no need to panic excessively.
If you want to know how to allocate positions in the 55000-60000 range in batches, I can help you organize a position management and stop-loss point reference to help you cope with fluctuations more steadily.