Proekt_73
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The head of the Federal Reserve of the United States, Jerome Powell, outlined some key points on monetary policy
The head of the Federal Reserve of the United States, Jerome Powell, outlined some key points on monetary policy and the state of the economy. During his speech today at Harvard University in Cambridge.
The speech cannot be definitively called "dovish." But it is certainly not a "hawkish" stance either. Powell made several positive remarks about the state of the American economy, while also making it clear that the labor market is clearly not in a strong position (which is positive for the prospects of rate cuts).
The speech cannot be definitively called "dovish." But it is certainly not a "hawkish" stance either. Powell made several positive remarks about the state of the American economy, while also making it clear that the labor market is clearly not in a strong position (which is positive for the prospects of rate cuts).
List of token and coin unlocks for the current week, March 30 - April 5, 2026
List of token and coin unlocks for the current week, March 30 - April 5, 2026. Summary information from #Cryptorank and #Dropstab.
Among the most notable: KITE, BEAT, EDGE. An interesting week - all key unlocks will be on April 1 and 2.
Total from the tangible share of supply/capitalization and/or amounts:
❗️- #KITE. On April 1, the unlock will be 8.00% of the total supply at $140.80 million. This is 44.44% of capitalization/circulating supply.
Among the most notable: KITE, BEAT, EDGE. An interesting week - all key unlocks will be on April 1 and 2.
Total from the tangible share of supply/capitalization and/or amounts:
❗️- #KITE. On April 1, the unlock will be 8.00% of the total supply at $140.80 million. This is 44.44% of capitalization/circulating supply.
Tokenized gold XAUT is also showing growth today, trying to hold above $4,500.
Tokenized gold XAUT is also showing growth today, trying to hold above $4,500. It follows real gold after the range over the weekend. An interesting period continues, as gold moves in sync with bitcoin, give or take.
The key to the growth signals is that the price of #XAUT has returned to a stable uptrend on the 3-hour timeframe. So far, it has immediately hit the liquidity zone of $4,549-$4,615.
The key to the growth signals is that the price of #XAUT has returned to a stable uptrend on the 3-hour timeframe. So far, it has immediately hit the liquidity zone of $4,549-$4,615.
ETH today, unlike BTC, shows greater buying strength. At least for now
ETH today, unlike BTC, shows greater buying strength. At least for now. This can be seen as a probable spoiler that, at least in the short term, the market rebound is not over. BUT still - the key asset in the market that sets the overall rhythm is currently Bitcoin. And as long as it is in a downtrend on the 3-hour timeframe - the situation remains contradictory for us.
Comprehensive economic calendar of events from March 30 to April 5, 2026, capable of influencing the cryptocurrency market.
Comprehensive economic calendar of events from March 30 to April 5, 2026, capable of influencing the cryptocurrency market.
The main focus of the week is on the data from the USA on Wednesday and Friday, when the key labor market report will be released. Friday is the main day of the week. Today, there is a speech by the head of the U.S. Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, but based on experience, his speeches outside of Federal Reserve meeting outcomes usually do not affect the markets.
The main focus of the week is on the data from the USA on Wednesday and Friday, when the key labor market report will be released. Friday is the main day of the week. Today, there is a speech by the head of the U.S. Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, but based on experience, his speeches outside of Federal Reserve meeting outcomes usually do not affect the markets.
The nightly price impulse of $65,000 is claiming the status of a long squeeze, but confirmation is lacking
The nightly price impulse of $65,000 is claiming the status of a long squeeze, but the main condition for confirmation has not been met. The price has not transitioned into a sustained uptrend on the 3-hour timeframe, which means the trend for speculative positions according to our strategy has not changed. However, overnight, the price transitioned into a sustained uptrend on the 2.5-hour timeframe, which often 'spoils' the uptrend on the 3-hour. But this does not guarantee it. The basic targets for this uptrend are $67,948, $68,615, and $69,283. The potential breakdown level is $66,279.
TRX - "the altcoin that made it", there is a transition to a sustainable uptrend on the weekly timeframe.
The price has broken the trend resistance from the high of December 2024 in recent weeks. With the new uptrend, it is aiming for +14% (the third base target). The target is more than achievable because since autumn, there have been patterns of both "Bullish Wedge" and "Double Bottom", which lead just above $0.3690.
Good night on this, we are starting a new working week.
The price has broken the trend resistance from the high of December 2024 in recent weeks. With the new uptrend, it is aiming for +14% (the third base target). The target is more than achievable because since autumn, there have been patterns of both "Bullish Wedge" and "Double Bottom", which lead just above $0.3690.
Good night on this, we are starting a new working week.
BTC provides a clear example of how beautiful a decline can be.
BTC provides a clear example of how beautiful a decline can be. Targets according to one of our indicators and liquidity zones - according to another. On the 5-minute timeframe, additional downtrend targets were gathered by an impulse and a test of the double liquidity zone 64,879-65,104$.
But the key point right now in this decline is that the price of #BTC has again transitioned into a stable downtrend on the hourly timeframe.
But the key point right now in this decline is that the price of #BTC has again transitioned into a stable downtrend on the hourly timeframe.
The new report from P73 CryptoMarket Monitor provides mass signals of potential loyalty on the 12-hour timeframe
The new report from P73 CryptoMarket Monitor provides mass signals of potential loyalty on the 12-hour timeframe. Specifically, it concerns such markers on the chart of 44 assets from the top 200. Among them from the top 10 are #BTC, #ADA, #SOL.
There are also other recognizable ones. The entire list is available to subscribers of the Monitor.
Alongside such signals:
There are also other recognizable ones. The entire list is available to subscribers of the Monitor.
Alongside such signals:
BTC dominance has been in a range for over 4 months, but it still looks poised for a strong downward movement.
BTC dominance has been in a range for over 4 months, but it still looks poised for a strong downward movement.
Indeed, the market has been acclimating to a new reality for more than a month, in which the decline of #BTC dominance does not equal the growth of altcoins. This was last discussed in the review on February 13. After which, there has not been a SINGLE update on dominance because there has simply been nothing interesting.
Indeed, the market has been acclimating to a new reality for more than a month, in which the decline of #BTC dominance does not equal the growth of altcoins. This was last discussed in the review on February 13. After which, there has not been a SINGLE update on dominance because there has simply been nothing interesting.
The BTC rate has temporarily recovered above $67,000, postponing the realization of our expectation to move towards $64,648.
The BTC rate has temporarily recovered above $67,000, postponing the realization of our expectation to move towards $64,648. In the daily review, we wrote about this target based on the density of downtrend targets on the 15-minute time frame. BUT the downtrend on this time frame was ultimately broken after a few hours.
Moreover, at the moment, the price has transitioned into a stable uptrend even on the hourly and 1.5-hour time frames.
Moreover, at the moment, the price has transitioned into a stable uptrend even on the hourly and 1.5-hour time frames.
On Bitfinex, the metric for accumulating BTCUSDLONGS longs has again transitioned into a stable uptrend on the daily timeframe.
On Bitfinex, the metric for accumulating BTCUSDLONGS longs has again transitioned into a stable uptrend on the daily timeframe. And this is a negative signal for the bulls.
"Smart money" is accumulating longs. They are accumulating them on the market decline. The downtrend, unloading of longs, was noted on March 18, but as we can see - it was broken within just 10 days.
"Smart money" is accumulating longs. They are accumulating them on the market decline. The downtrend, unloading of longs, was noted on March 18, but as we can see - it was broken within just 10 days.
BTC is looking at another impulse movement down to $64,648
BTC is looking at another impulse movement down to $64,648. The price has just transitioned into a steady downtrend on the 15-minute time frame and although the primary and additional targets are not very tightly set - their collection by impulse is quite possible. At the very least, for starters, targets up to $65,672 could be gathered. Until the nearest liquidity zone on lower time frames.
BIT On Target: There is currently no cheap liquidity in the BTC market and no strong capital flows.
BIT On Target: There is currently no cheap liquidity in the BTC market and no strong capital flows.
Analysts from the former #Matrixport note in a new report that #BTC is currently reacting to macro and geopolitical factors noticeably weaker than usual. Neither expectations for rates nor headlines are providing a strong impulse. The reason is low trading volumes and muted capital flows. In other words, there is no conviction and no energy to push the market anywhere (although today's price movement may show that it can indeed be pulled down).
Analysts from the former #Matrixport note in a new report that #BTC is currently reacting to macro and geopolitical factors noticeably weaker than usual. Neither expectations for rates nor headlines are providing a strong impulse. The reason is low trading volumes and muted capital flows. In other words, there is no conviction and no energy to push the market anywhere (although today's price movement may show that it can indeed be pulled down).
Respected technical analysis expert Peter Brandt made a forecast with a likely movement of the BTC price to $49,285.
Respected technical analysis expert Peter Brandt made a forecast with a likely movement of the BTC price to $49,285.
And it makes sense to listen to his thoughts, because on January 26, with a price of $86,825, he predicted a move to $66,800. And now we are here, while the set low was actually at $60,000. And at the end of October last year, with a price of $110,000, he forecasted the price to reach the level of $81,700. And this forecast also played out.
And it makes sense to listen to his thoughts, because on January 26, with a price of $86,825, he predicted a move to $66,800. And now we are here, while the set low was actually at $60,000. And at the end of October last year, with a price of $110,000, he forecasted the price to reach the level of $81,700. And this forecast also played out.
The price of BTC has reached the full target of the "Bearish Wedge" at $65,825. This was mentioned yesterday at a rate of $69,512. Yesterday's short is in paper profit of +127%.
The impulse laid out in the figure has exhausted itself, so, taking into account the test of the liquidity zone $65,305-$66,201$ and the proximity of the horizontal level $65,641, a rebound may start here. Moreover, the rebound signal for the coming hours is indicated in our auto-forecast from the P73 CryptoMarket Monitor. But until there is a stable uptrend at least on the 5-minute timeframe (there has been a non-stop downtrend since morning at a rate of $68,500) - it is definitely too early to talk about the start of such a scenario.
The key, cornerstone question is - how will the daily candle close? Will there be a break of the stable uptrend on the daily timeframe? If yes - the probability of updating the low on February 6 at $60,000$ will be considered very high. And it will be necessary to deal with calculating the very unpleasant matter for the bulls - the targets of the "Bearish Flag."
The impulse laid out in the figure has exhausted itself, so, taking into account the test of the liquidity zone $65,305-$66,201$ and the proximity of the horizontal level $65,641, a rebound may start here. Moreover, the rebound signal for the coming hours is indicated in our auto-forecast from the P73 CryptoMarket Monitor. But until there is a stable uptrend at least on the 5-minute timeframe (there has been a non-stop downtrend since morning at a rate of $68,500) - it is definitely too early to talk about the start of such a scenario.
The key, cornerstone question is - how will the daily candle close? Will there be a break of the stable uptrend on the daily timeframe? If yes - the probability of updating the low on February 6 at $60,000$ will be considered very high. And it will be necessary to deal with calculating the very unpleasant matter for the bulls - the targets of the "Bearish Flag."
ETH and SOL have lost their uptrends on the 12-hour timeframe
ETH and SOL have lost their uptrends on the 12-hour timeframe. According to the new downtrends, the primary and additional targets, potential breakdown levels, and liquidity zones are shown in the screenshots.
This can be considered a spoiler that the altcoin market will not see growth in the coming days. By the way, BTC lost its uptrend on the 12-hour timeframe much earlier - on March 22. For #ETH, the uptrend lasted from March 4, and within this timeframe, the third primary target of $2,364 was reached. For #SOL, the uptrend also lasted from March 4 and only achieved the second primary target of $97. For both assets, the price initially approached the potential breakdown level of the uptrend, which allowed for a decent averaging of medium-term longs for those trading with the indicator on this timeframe.
This can be considered a spoiler that the altcoin market will not see growth in the coming days. By the way, BTC lost its uptrend on the 12-hour timeframe much earlier - on March 22. For #ETH, the uptrend lasted from March 4, and within this timeframe, the third primary target of $2,364 was reached. For #SOL, the uptrend also lasted from March 4 and only achieved the second primary target of $97. For both assets, the price initially approached the potential breakdown level of the uptrend, which allowed for a decent averaging of medium-term longs for those trading with the indicator on this timeframe.
The BTC price is falling below $67,000, having "organized" two impulses today
The BTC price is falling below $67,000, having "organized" two impulses today. On the 5-minute timeframe, a density of targets had been forming since the night, which was promptly reported in the chat. As a result, the majority of targets were collected by the first impulse, and now, with the second impulse, the price has gathered a liquidity zone of $66,527-$66,684. The next one is already $65,427-$65,641.
Against the backdrop of BTC's decline, gold is also decreasing.
Against the backdrop of BTC's decline, gold is also decreasing. An interesting correlation that we have observed for the past few weeks, especially amidst the war in the Middle East.
The scenario of the expected rebound, which was discussed, in particular, on Monday and Wednesday - is under threat.
On Wednesday, it was noted that for the development of the rebound, tokenized gold #XAUT needs to hold above $4,614 with a hourly candle. There was no hold, the peak of the rebound was $4,584, and the price has been declining again since March 25. It has fallen into stable downtrends on the hourly, 2-hour, and, most importantly, - 3-hour time frames. In the rebound, the uptrend for the price only remained on the 4-hour time frame.
The scenario of the expected rebound, which was discussed, in particular, on Monday and Wednesday - is under threat.
On Wednesday, it was noted that for the development of the rebound, tokenized gold #XAUT needs to hold above $4,614 with a hourly candle. There was no hold, the peak of the rebound was $4,584, and the price has been declining again since March 25. It has fallen into stable downtrends on the hourly, 2-hour, and, most importantly, - 3-hour time frames. In the rebound, the uptrend for the price only remained on the 4-hour time frame.
For BTC, the price has entered a stable downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe
For BTC, the price has entered a stable downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe. Key targets: $68,244, $67,146, $66,048. The third target is near the overall target of the "Bearish Wedge" at $65,825. The level of potential breakdown: $70,988.
As a result, on the 4-hour timeframe, the previous stable trend, uptrend, turned out to be false - not even the basic targets were met. This does not happen often. And in this particular situation, it indicates the strength of selling pressure. And that the likely bounce will only be a trap for bulls.
As a result, on the 4-hour timeframe, the previous stable trend, uptrend, turned out to be false - not even the basic targets were met. This does not happen often. And in this particular situation, it indicates the strength of selling pressure. And that the likely bounce will only be a trap for bulls.
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