美股下跌

#BTC走勢分析 #美股下跌 #ETH走势分析

Trump: Negotiations are about to start, (talking tough) Bitcoin 76000, after a surge, has begun to parachute troops on the ground, (war escalation) Bitcoin 65500.

In fact, apart from the news, it can be seen from the weekly chart that it is difficult to stabilize above 75000 and below 80000; it's just that when news comes out, the market fluctuates a lot, and it won't be stagnant, usually it’s just grinding, especially the highs and lows on weekends can fluctuate by 1000 dollars. Currently, the rebound at 67000 is blocked, and it has not effectively broken through; with 2 days left until the end of March, the situation looks very bleak. It just has to stand above 67000 to close in the green, while the weekly close is 67900 in the green; I don't know if there will be a small rebound.

Although it is a weak decline, after all, it has dropped 10000 points from 76000. For contract traders, if they want to short, they need to find a position above 68000 and below 69000, and to long below 66000 and above 64000; such trading should also focus on short-term, and not be too ambitious.

The Nasdaq 22000 has broken the weekly level, which is not a good signal for bulls, so be cautious. I haven't replenished my position after selling at 74000 in the spot market, only half a position in spot, and will act accordingly. Let's see if the weekly platform at 64000-65000 can hold in the short term, or how long it can hold.

You can look at Ethereum's movement alongside Bitcoin; the basic trend is not much different.

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The US stock market NASDAQ fell 521 points on the evening of March 26, mainly because Trump said again that he would strike at Iranian energy facilities for another 10 days and consider sending an additional 10,000 ground troops to the Middle East.

Bitcoin also fell to a low around 68,000, with a high of 70,000 acting as resistance. Short-term traders are looking at this range for high and low points. Currently, the trend is still mainly bearish. If it can stabilize above 70,000, one might consider buying on a pullback, or find buying positions in the range of 66,000-65,000. The daily level of 71,500-72,000 must not be effectively broken for further upward movement to be possible.

After selling a portion of Bitcoin at 74,000, there is still half a position left, with an average price of 66,300. After selling a portion of BNB at 680, there is also 50% left with an average price of 620. Binance users are stuck heavily, and currently, there are no plans to add to positions. Waiting for a price surge before researching further is advisable.

When the cryptocurrency market is declining, everyone needs to be more patient and not rush for success by increasing leverage to trade. Timing is crucial, especially under the currently complex and volatile international situation where the US stock market, gold, and BTC are closely interconnected. The trading volume on exchanges has also decreased significantly because there is currently no incremental capital inflow, leading to more competition among retail investors. Don't let your principal be wiped out when the market starts moving. I hope everyone can stay steady and endure the winter to welcome the spring.

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The market has rebounded from a low of 62500 to a high of 76000 after the US-Iran war, and has now fallen back to around 68500. There is strong resistance at the 75000-76000 level, with strong support between 63000-65000. From a weekly perspective, there is still the possibility of a further decline, specifically a drop to 65000-66000 before continuing to rebound and oscillate. This scenario is more likely, and contract traders should watch the defense position around 65000.

However, the NASDAQ index has broken below the 22000 level on the weekly chart. If it cannot recover that level when trading opens tonight, everyone should be cautious of risks.

On February 4th at midnight Beijing time, overnight US stocks were affected by a sell-off in software stocks and escalating tensions between the US and Iran, leading to weakness in large tech stocks, with all three major indices declining. The more speculative cryptocurrency market also plummeted again. Bitcoin briefly dropped 7% during the session, falling below $73,000.
Bitcoin and Ethereum fell nearly 4%, while Solana dropped over 5%. According to coinglass data, in the past 24 hours, more than $700 million in cryptocurrency contracts were liquidated, affecting as many as 169,800 people.
#美股下跌 $BTC

The Nasdaq 100 index plummeted 2.4% in a single day, marking the largest drop in nearly five months. This is not just a simple fluctuation in numbers, but a strong shock to the "high valuation logic" of tech stocks.

From the perspective of market sentiment, the previous ongoing frenzy in tech stocks had already concealed hidden worries. The demand for profit-taking concentrated around the high watermark, combined with uncertainties in external markets (such as interest rate expectations and geopolitical risks), directly triggered this wave of decline.

For ordinary investors, this also serves as a wake-up call: even the Nasdaq 100, which represents the "growth main line," cannot escape the punches of market cycles. There is no "eternal growth myth" in investing; the more frenzied the times, the more one needs to maintain a degree of clarity—after all, as wildly as it rises, it can fall just as brutally.
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📉The Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 25 basis points, in line with market expectations; Powell's hawkish remarks lead to a market decline

In its latest interest rate decision, the Federal Reserve has cut rates by 25 basis points as expected, lowering the federal funds rate target range to 4.25%-4.5%, which aligns with basic market expectations. This is the third consecutive meeting where the Federal Reserve has announced a rate cut, bringing the total rate cut for the year to 100 basis points.

The Federal Reserve mentioned in its statement that recent economic data shows steady growth in economic activity, a easing labor market, rising unemployment rates but still at low levels, and inflation is close to the target but has slightly increased.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) aims for inflation to reach 2%, and to support these goals, the Committee will continue to reduce its balance sheet plan, which has received the support of most members, but Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack (a voting member of the FOMC in 2024) opposed, arguing that interest rates should be maintained at 4.5%-4.75%.

The Federal Reserve's dot plot indicates that it expects to cut rates twice in 2025, down from four cuts projected in September, while inflation is expected to reach the 2% target level by 2027, delayed from the previously expected 2026.

This suggests that the Federal Reserve will reassess the magnitude and timing of future rate cuts and will carefully evaluate based on the latest data and changing outlooks and risks.

Meanwhile, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated in a press conference that the Federal Reserve is not permitted to hold Bitcoin and does not anticipate changes to relevant legal provisions. Following these remarks, the U.S. stock market immediately responded with a decline. By the close of the market, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had dropped by 2.58%, the Nasdaq had fallen by 3.56%, and the S&P 500 index decreased by 2.95%.

Additionally, the entire cryptocurrency market was also significantly affected, as data from Coinmarketcap showed that BTC had fallen by 5.71% and Ethereum by 7.27% over the past 24 hours.

This indicates that the market is sensitive to Powell's remarks, and investors are highly attentive to changes in the Federal Reserve's policies and regulatory stance.

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