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大饼的交易日常

2017接触历经94、18年遇熊市、Fcoin交易所跑路、LUNA100美金跌到归零,OKX经历磨难U价跌到4.2美金,312血洗,519暴跌,经历反复打磨,总结:做趋势交易要耐心等待、做短线靠个人盘感,现在这个圈子能稳定下来的都有自己的一些经验,欢迎大家关注我一起做交易一起交流。
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2025-12-9 view on the big cycle of BTC
2025-12-9 view on the big cycle of BTC
#BTC走勢分析 #美股下跌 #ETH走势分析 Trump: Negotiations are about to start, (talking tough) Bitcoin 76000, after a surge, has begun to parachute troops on the ground, (war escalation) Bitcoin 65500. In fact, apart from the news, it can be seen from the weekly chart that it is difficult to stabilize above 75000 and below 80000; it's just that when news comes out, the market fluctuates a lot, and it won't be stagnant, usually it’s just grinding, especially the highs and lows on weekends can fluctuate by 1000 dollars. Currently, the rebound at 67000 is blocked, and it has not effectively broken through; with 2 days left until the end of March, the situation looks very bleak. It just has to stand above 67000 to close in the green, while the weekly close is 67900 in the green; I don't know if there will be a small rebound. Although it is a weak decline, after all, it has dropped 10000 points from 76000. For contract traders, if they want to short, they need to find a position above 68000 and below 69000, and to long below 66000 and above 64000; such trading should also focus on short-term, and not be too ambitious. The Nasdaq 22000 has broken the weekly level, which is not a good signal for bulls, so be cautious. I haven't replenished my position after selling at 74000 in the spot market, only half a position in spot, and will act accordingly. Let's see if the weekly platform at 64000-65000 can hold in the short term, or how long it can hold. You can look at Ethereum's movement alongside Bitcoin; the basic trend is not much different.
#BTC走勢分析 #美股下跌 #ETH走势分析

Trump: Negotiations are about to start, (talking tough) Bitcoin 76000, after a surge, has begun to parachute troops on the ground, (war escalation) Bitcoin 65500.

In fact, apart from the news, it can be seen from the weekly chart that it is difficult to stabilize above 75000 and below 80000; it's just that when news comes out, the market fluctuates a lot, and it won't be stagnant, usually it’s just grinding, especially the highs and lows on weekends can fluctuate by 1000 dollars. Currently, the rebound at 67000 is blocked, and it has not effectively broken through; with 2 days left until the end of March, the situation looks very bleak. It just has to stand above 67000 to close in the green, while the weekly close is 67900 in the green; I don't know if there will be a small rebound.

Although it is a weak decline, after all, it has dropped 10000 points from 76000. For contract traders, if they want to short, they need to find a position above 68000 and below 69000, and to long below 66000 and above 64000; such trading should also focus on short-term, and not be too ambitious.

The Nasdaq 22000 has broken the weekly level, which is not a good signal for bulls, so be cautious. I haven't replenished my position after selling at 74000 in the spot market, only half a position in spot, and will act accordingly. Let's see if the weekly platform at 64000-65000 can hold in the short term, or how long it can hold.

You can look at Ethereum's movement alongside Bitcoin; the basic trend is not much different.
#美伊和谈陷僵局 #BTC走势分析 #美股下跌 The US stock market NASDAQ fell 521 points on the evening of March 26, mainly because Trump said again that he would strike at Iranian energy facilities for another 10 days and consider sending an additional 10,000 ground troops to the Middle East. Bitcoin also fell to a low around 68,000, with a high of 70,000 acting as resistance. Short-term traders are looking at this range for high and low points. Currently, the trend is still mainly bearish. If it can stabilize above 70,000, one might consider buying on a pullback, or find buying positions in the range of 66,000-65,000. The daily level of 71,500-72,000 must not be effectively broken for further upward movement to be possible. After selling a portion of Bitcoin at 74,000, there is still half a position left, with an average price of 66,300. After selling a portion of BNB at 680, there is also 50% left with an average price of 620. Binance users are stuck heavily, and currently, there are no plans to add to positions. Waiting for a price surge before researching further is advisable. When the cryptocurrency market is declining, everyone needs to be more patient and not rush for success by increasing leverage to trade. Timing is crucial, especially under the currently complex and volatile international situation where the US stock market, gold, and BTC are closely interconnected. The trading volume on exchanges has also decreased significantly because there is currently no incremental capital inflow, leading to more competition among retail investors. Don't let your principal be wiped out when the market starts moving. I hope everyone can stay steady and endure the winter to welcome the spring.
#美伊和谈陷僵局 #BTC走势分析 #美股下跌

The US stock market NASDAQ fell 521 points on the evening of March 26, mainly because Trump said again that he would strike at Iranian energy facilities for another 10 days and consider sending an additional 10,000 ground troops to the Middle East.

Bitcoin also fell to a low around 68,000, with a high of 70,000 acting as resistance. Short-term traders are looking at this range for high and low points. Currently, the trend is still mainly bearish. If it can stabilize above 70,000, one might consider buying on a pullback, or find buying positions in the range of 66,000-65,000. The daily level of 71,500-72,000 must not be effectively broken for further upward movement to be possible.

After selling a portion of Bitcoin at 74,000, there is still half a position left, with an average price of 66,300. After selling a portion of BNB at 680, there is also 50% left with an average price of 620. Binance users are stuck heavily, and currently, there are no plans to add to positions. Waiting for a price surge before researching further is advisable.

When the cryptocurrency market is declining, everyone needs to be more patient and not rush for success by increasing leverage to trade. Timing is crucial, especially under the currently complex and volatile international situation where the US stock market, gold, and BTC are closely interconnected. The trading volume on exchanges has also decreased significantly because there is currently no incremental capital inflow, leading to more competition among retail investors. Don't let your principal be wiped out when the market starts moving. I hope everyone can stay steady and endure the winter to welcome the spring.
Brother Gan has started streaming, hurry up
Brother Gan has started streaming, hurry up
阿甘谈币
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[Replay] 🎙️ BTC once again tests 69000, should we go short or long tonight?
03 h 47 m 53 s · 1k listens
The broadcast has started, hurry up and click in
The broadcast has started, hurry up and click in
阿甘谈币
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[Replay] 🎙️ Will the big pancake continue to fluctuate tonight? High short or low long?
04 h 29 m 54 s · 1.1k listens
🎙️ Will the big pie continue to fluctuate tonight? High short or low long?
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#黄金创43年来最大单周跌幅 #BTC走势分析 #美股下跌 The market has rebounded from a low of 62500 to a high of 76000 after the US-Iran war, and has now fallen back to around 68500. There is strong resistance at the 75000-76000 level, with strong support between 63000-65000. From a weekly perspective, there is still the possibility of a further decline, specifically a drop to 65000-66000 before continuing to rebound and oscillate. This scenario is more likely, and contract traders should watch the defense position around 65000. However, the NASDAQ index has broken below the 22000 level on the weekly chart. If it cannot recover that level when trading opens tonight, everyone should be cautious of risks.
#黄金创43年来最大单周跌幅 #BTC走势分析 #美股下跌

The market has rebounded from a low of 62500 to a high of 76000 after the US-Iran war, and has now fallen back to around 68500. There is strong resistance at the 75000-76000 level, with strong support between 63000-65000. From a weekly perspective, there is still the possibility of a further decline, specifically a drop to 65000-66000 before continuing to rebound and oscillate. This scenario is more likely, and contract traders should watch the defense position around 65000.

However, the NASDAQ index has broken below the 22000 level on the weekly chart. If it cannot recover that level when trading opens tonight, everyone should be cautious of risks.
The broadcast has started, come on
The broadcast has started, come on
阿甘谈币
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[Replay] 🎙️ BTC retraces to the key support at 69000, can it still be bottomed out?
03 h 51 m 12 s · 1k listens
#美联储3月议息会议 #BTC走势分析 #ETH #BNB From the speech by Powell last night, the outlook is bearish, with the Nasdaq down 327 points. Dot plot interpretation: The Federal Reserve expects to cut rates once in 2026 and once in 2027. Powell did not rule out the possibility of a rate hike, but currently, the likelihood of a rate hike is low. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated on Wednesday that a rate hike is not the expected direction of monetary policy. Powell mentioned that officials have discussed the possibility that "the next step may be a rate hike," but "the vast majority of participants do not believe this will become their baseline expectation." He also added, "We will not rule out any possibilities."
#美联储3月议息会议 #BTC走势分析 #ETH #BNB

From the speech by Powell last night, the outlook is bearish, with the Nasdaq down 327 points.

Dot plot interpretation: The Federal Reserve expects to cut rates once in 2026 and once in 2027.

Powell did not rule out the possibility of a rate hike, but currently, the likelihood of a rate hike is low.

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated on Wednesday that a rate hike is not the expected direction of monetary policy. Powell mentioned that officials have discussed the possibility that "the next step may be a rate hike," but "the vast majority of participants do not believe this will become their baseline expectation." He also added, "We will not rule out any possibilities."
#美联储3月议息会议 #BTC #bnb The interest rate will be announced at 2 AM tonight, likely remaining unchanged. Everyone should pay attention and see what Mr. Powell has to say. Bitcoin has rebounded again. Did everyone manage to profit? I haven't been streaming recently because I've been busy with relatives and friends' weddings. I haven't traded contracts due to lack of time for short-term operations, and I've only been trading spot, having sold half of my BTC and BNB spot.
#美联储3月议息会议

#BTC #bnb

The interest rate will be announced at 2 AM tonight, likely remaining unchanged. Everyone should pay attention and see what Mr. Powell has to say.

Bitcoin has rebounded again. Did everyone manage to profit? I haven't been streaming recently because I've been busy with relatives and friends' weddings. I haven't traded contracts due to lack of time for short-term operations, and I've only been trading spot, having sold half of my BTC and BNB spot.
Brother Gan has started broadcasting, come in quickly
Brother Gan has started broadcasting, come in quickly
阿甘谈币
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[Replay] 🎙️ The entire market is up, is this a bull run or just a trap?
03 h 10 m 24 s · 1k listens
Speed Point
Speed Point
阿甘谈币
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[Replay] 🎙️ CPI data has been released, in line with expectations, but the market still can't reach 70,000?
03 h 48 m 26 s · 989 listens
Brother Gan has started broadcasting,
Brother Gan has started broadcasting,
阿甘谈币
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[Replay] 🎙️ BTC retraces to the 70000 mark, can it stabilize?
04 h 23 m 58 s · 1.2k listens
#伊朗新领袖 #国际油价突破100美元 #BTC走势分析 After the big pancake hit a low point of 60,000 USD, it started to fluctuate significantly, reaching a peak of 74,000 USD. The current price is 67,000 USD. From a technical perspective, there is strong resistance at 75,000, and strong support between 60,000 and 62,000. In previous articles, it was mentioned that the 60,000 low would be a bottom for a long time. The daily chart marked with two boxes below should be similar, so it is noted here for everyone to reference. Current market conditions are likely to follow this trend. Spot buyers can see between 75,000 and 80,000. My average buying price for the big pancake is 66,700, Ethereum at 1,900. From previous articles tracking my progress, you can see that Ethereum at 2,130 was entirely sold off, and 70% of the big pancake was sold at 72,000. I bought back a portion at 66,000, bringing my average price to 66,300. I bought BNB spot at 620. I will set Ethereum spot aside for now and discuss buying later, while Binance life is trapped, let's not worry about it and focus on the long term. Currently, the US-Israel-Iran conflict continues, and contracts must be handled based on the day's situation for better response. We will return soon, and everyone will fight together.
#伊朗新领袖 #国际油价突破100美元 #BTC走势分析

After the big pancake hit a low point of 60,000 USD, it started to fluctuate significantly, reaching a peak of 74,000 USD. The current price is 67,000 USD. From a technical perspective, there is strong resistance at 75,000, and strong support between 60,000 and 62,000. In previous articles, it was mentioned that the 60,000 low would be a bottom for a long time. The daily chart marked with two boxes below should be similar, so it is noted here for everyone to reference. Current market conditions are likely to follow this trend. Spot buyers can see between 75,000 and 80,000. My average buying price for the big pancake is 66,700, Ethereum at 1,900. From previous articles tracking my progress, you can see that Ethereum at 2,130 was entirely sold off, and 70% of the big pancake was sold at 72,000. I bought back a portion at 66,000, bringing my average price to 66,300. I bought BNB spot at 620. I will set Ethereum spot aside for now and discuss buying later, while Binance life is trapped, let's not worry about it and focus on the long term.

Currently, the US-Israel-Iran conflict continues, and contracts must be handled based on the day's situation for better response. We will return soon, and everyone will fight together.
#btc #ETH #bnb Your 2026 'Year of the Horse' gift box has been delivered! It contains: one Healthy Horse, one Wealthy Horse, and one Lucky Horse. Wishing you a Happy New Year's Eve, ride on the noble horse, and gallop towards a wonderful future! Below is the red envelope: for those who receive, like, or share, may you become wealthy in 2026.
#btc #ETH #bnb

Your 2026 'Year of the Horse' gift box has been delivered! It contains: one Healthy Horse, one Wealthy Horse, and one Lucky Horse. Wishing you a Happy New Year's Eve, ride on the noble horse, and gallop towards a wonderful future!

Below is the red envelope: for those who receive, like, or share, may you become wealthy in 2026.
#BTC走势分析 #ETH Recently, there has been no broadcast for a while, let's talk about the current market trends. Bitcoin rebounded from a high of 72000 after reaching a peak of 60000, currently testing a low around 65780. The current trend is also a normal consolidation, and I still believe that after stabilizing, it will continue to rebound. A low point above 63000-64000 is considered normal volatility. Contracts can be placed low and multiple hands can be set well. For short-term heavy positions, it's better to do live broadcasts. The current volatility is larger than before when it was above 90000, with daily fluctuations of 2000-3000 points. Therefore, if you want to trade short-term, you need to reduce your position. Here, I will only wait to go long at a good opportunity to catch a weekly level rebound. The high point is also looking at 75000-80000. Plus, now that it's the end of the year, there's less time to watch the market, so let's put the ultra-short-term on hold for now. I will monitor the market every day, and if there are any changes, I will let you know. Ethereum's trend is a bit weaker than Bitcoin, but that doesn't mean it will crash unless it independently declines. Otherwise, it still needs to be planned based on Bitcoin. Bitcoin spot has an order at 63800, and Ethereum has an order at 1850. Whether or not these can be filled depends on chance; I still have some from before.
#BTC走势分析 #ETH

Recently, there has been no broadcast for a while, let's talk about the current market trends.

Bitcoin rebounded from a high of 72000 after reaching a peak of 60000, currently testing a low around 65780. The current trend is also a normal consolidation, and I still believe that after stabilizing, it will continue to rebound. A low point above 63000-64000 is considered normal volatility. Contracts can be placed low and multiple hands can be set well. For short-term heavy positions, it's better to do live broadcasts. The current volatility is larger than before when it was above 90000, with daily fluctuations of 2000-3000 points. Therefore, if you want to trade short-term, you need to reduce your position. Here, I will only wait to go long at a good opportunity to catch a weekly level rebound. The high point is also looking at 75000-80000. Plus, now that it's the end of the year, there's less time to watch the market, so let's put the ultra-short-term on hold for now. I will monitor the market every day, and if there are any changes, I will let you know.

Ethereum's trend is a bit weaker than Bitcoin, but that doesn't mean it will crash unless it independently declines. Otherwise, it still needs to be planned based on Bitcoin.

Bitcoin spot has an order at 63800, and Ethereum has an order at 1850. Whether or not these can be filled depends on chance; I still have some from before.
If anyone has no ideas for trading, just come in and listen to Brother Gan, I will find time to broadcast.
If anyone has no ideas for trading, just come in and listen to Brother Gan, I will find time to broadcast.
阿甘谈币
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[Replay] 🎙️ Will BTC continue to sprint towards the 70,000 mark tonight?
03 h 22 m 24 s · 838 listens
Everyone, it's the end of the year, we usually have fewer live streams, you can enter the live room @Square-Creator-46018c817 in the evening, I will go on air when I have time, and occasionally share some market updates in the group.
Everyone, it's the end of the year, we usually have fewer live streams, you can enter the live room @阿甘谈币 in the evening, I will go on air when I have time, and occasionally share some market updates in the group.
阿甘谈币
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The market has dropped again, the short position at 71388🈳 today for #BTC has already reached the first stop loss point of 68588, those who followed have successfully made a profit of 2800 points, congratulations to the community partners.
#BTC #ETH The spot price of Bitcoin has sold 50%, Ethereum has sold 70%, continue to buy on the way down, Bitcoin's trend is not bad, just bought in too early, the average price is too high, the buying position for Ethereum is good, but the rebound is too weak.
#BTC #ETH

The spot price of Bitcoin has sold 50%, Ethereum has sold 70%, continue to buy on the way down, Bitcoin's trend is not bad, just bought in too early, the average price is too high, the buying position for Ethereum is good, but the rebound is too weak.
大饼的交易日常
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#BTC走势分析 #ETH #SOL #币安人生

Brothers, let’s get to the conclusion first. Currently, the low point of Bitcoin in the morning at 60000 will become a bottom for a while. The daily level is accelerating down with a weekly volume drop of 25%. From the high point of 126000, it has fallen more than 50%. Now it is in a rebound repair stage after being oversold. Once the repair is completed, the consolidation can be around 75000-80000.

For Bitcoin spot, I bought three lots at 75000, 70300, and 63500, with an average price of 69600. I still underestimated the market's power and entered the first position too quickly. I was anxious because I could accept a drop to 65000-63000, but it was about to break 60000. I miscalculated; my position was still too aggressive and too expensive. I want to borrow some USDT from Yang Ge for more positions, haha.

I am very satisfied with Ethereum spot, with the first position at 2200, and additional positions at 1866 and 1788, all completed, with an average holding price of 1952.

Binance life has also joined in, with an average price of 0.1028.

Actually, I also want to buy BNB at 600 and SOL at 70, but the fund allocation is not coming together. Bitcoin is too expensive and takes up too much; I still need to work hard to make money.
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