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Yesterday, this large bullish candle has not yet been engulfed. The first coin retraced to 696, the second coin retraced to 2105, which just hit the support range. The price remains stable above this level. Any long positions taken below 2100 can be observed for slight adjustments. The stop-loss can be placed at the low of 2105. As long as this large bullish candle has not been engulfed, there is still a possibility of continuing to rise. The resistance above the first coin is 718-723, 740-745, and then around the high point. The resistance above the second coin is 2200, 2233, 2290, and near 2305. As long as 696 and 2105 have not been broken down, I personally lean towards a bullish outlook for the future. #比特币预测 $ETH
It feels like a setup orchestrated by the traders. First, there was a strong rally before the Federal Reserve announcement, maintaining a high-level consolidation, but there was insufficient momentum for further increases, forming a high-level consolidation and oscillation zone. Several hourly patterns showed a bearish crossover, indicating a desire for a pullback. Then, just before the Federal Reserve announcement, smart money sold off in advance to digest the panic. Unexpectedly, after the announcement, the downtrend continued, with the market constantly hitting lower levels, once again returning to the previous market range... Now it's just a matter of which point can hold. In the past few days, there have been quarterly settlements, so be cautious with this market, manage your positions and trading discipline well, and avoid getting overly excited. #比特币 $ETH
Panic was digested ahead of the data release, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision remains unchanged, and the panic sentiment has lifted. Does this mean it's time to continue rising? 🫣#美联储利率决议 $BTC
On March 19, 2026, at 2 AM Beijing time, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision. The market expects a high probability of maintaining the interest rate at 3.50%-3.75% at 99.9%. Powell's speech and the dot plot's guidance on rate cuts are the focus.
The interest rate decision is widely expected to maintain the current rate, with data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange showing a probability of 99.9% for no change. The Federal Reserve must weigh the complex situation of rebounding inflation (core PCE rising to 3.1%) against weak employment (non-farm payrolls decreasing by 92,000).
Powell faces multiple challenges and must respond to the oil price surge triggered by the Middle East conflict (Brent crude surpassing $90), stagflation risks, and the approaching end of his term (Chairman's term expires in May), suggesting a cautious stance while emphasizing a 'data-dependent' policy path.
The dot plot may reinforce hawkish expectations, with a forecast to lower the rate cut expectations for 2026 from one rate cut (25 basis points) predicted last December, and may even rule out the possibility of zero rate cuts, reflecting concerns over persistent inflation.
Geopolitical and domestic pressures are intertwined, as the situation in the Middle East raises energy prices, exacerbating inflationary pressures; Trump continues to push for rate cuts, but judicial investigations may affect Powell's successor nomination, adding uncertainty to policy continuity. $BTC
The rise of the pancake this round is actually just as analyzed a couple of days ago, it just needs more time and patience. Eating a wave and running is efficient, takes a short time, and does not risk a pullback. Holding the pattern for a long time may lead to a retracement, but it is also possible to catch a big wave.
The current market has hit a low of 2067. If you're looking to go long, this is a relatively good price point. The current price is 2075, which gives an 8 dollar stop-loss space. Currently, the 2-3-4 hour levels show a high short crossover, and we have reached the 2-hour zero line and are in a rebound. The 1-minute structure at 2067 has already pulled back. If it can't hold, there's nothing we can do; it’s not a trend. If it can't hold, we will continue to follow the 2-3-4 hour zero line correction, while keeping an eye on whether a death cross forms on the 6-hour chart. At this point, it is actually worth trying. The upper resistance remains around 2111/2150/2200, so those looking for stability should wait a bit longer. #比特币升回7万 $ETH
🎁The Federal Reserve will hold a policy meeting from March 17 to 18. According to the CME FedWatch Tool data, the market expects a 99.4% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at this meeting, and the likelihood of a rate cut is extremely low.
Adjustment of Rate Cut Timing
Due to recent inflation data and geopolitical factors, the market's expectations for the timing of rate cuts have been postponed. Traders expect the Federal Reserve's next rate cut may occur in September, with a probability of about 43% for a second rate cut before the end of the year.
Analysis of Influencing Factors
On inflation: February's CPI data shows overall inflation is moderate, but energy prices have surged due to the escalation of the situation in the Middle East, and inflationary pressures may increase in the coming months, affecting the Federal Reserve's rate cut decisions. On employment: February's non-farm payroll data is weak, with a decrease of 92,000 jobs and the unemployment rate rising to 4.4%, indicating a weakening labor market, but the dual risks of inflation and employment make the Federal Reserve's decisions more cautious.
In summary, the Federal Reserve is highly likely to keep interest rates unchanged in the short term, and the timing of a rate cut may be delayed until September or later, depending on subsequent inflation, employment data, and geopolitical changes. #美联储利率决议即将公布 $BTC
Currently, the area around 690 has been tested twice and has held up, showing some rebound strength and support hardness, indicating that the overall market is still relatively optimistic. It can be said that the market has temporarily moved away from the small range at the bottom, with good bullish momentum. According to the moving averages, the 2-3-4-6-8 moving averages around the zero line are still valid, and the 12-hour chart has also currently broken above the zero line. We will continue to observe whether a unidirectional upward trend will emerge. The daily line has a bottom, and there is still some profit space above, with the key resistance level remaining at 740/745. Those who have taken the low points can hold on a bit longer; profits are all realized. When the position is right, consider whether to exit. #比特币走势分析 $BTC