依诺cfyn191413

Loving fans, 30 USDT gifted to you, let's be friends and share good fortune together 🍀 Deepen trading analysis, let's communicate and discuss together, wishing everyone better and better!

Financial Research Society～March 29, 2026

1. The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance exceeded expectations: rate cut expectations reduced to once, the US dollar and US Treasury yields strengthened, suppressing risk assets.
2. ETF fund differentiation: BTC spot ETF still sees net inflows, but the growth rate is slowing; ETH ETF sees slight outflows, institutions are on the sidelines.
3. Regulatory environment is warming: The SEC clarifies that BTC/ETH are not securities, which is a long-term positive, but difficult to change the correction trend in the short term.
4. On-chain: ETH burn and activity hit new highs, but the price is weak, reflecting "profit taking".

Bitcoin daily chart has pulled back, breaking below the life line and the middle Bollinger band support. After breaking down from a high position, it is weakly oscillating, converging on the 4-hour chart, with a rebound demand in the short cycles of four-hour and one-hour levels, daily chart is biased towards bearish.
Indicators: RSI 42 (weak bias); MACD dead cross below the zero line; lower Bollinger band under pressure.
Ethereum follows BTC, repeatedly contending at the 2,000 mark, showing weak oscillation.
RSI 43; MACD weak; volume continues to shrink.

Bitcoin's reference oscillation range today:
Support levels: around 66300, around 65800, around 65000
Resistance levels: around 67500, around 68200
Ethereum's reference oscillation range today:
Support levels: around 1980, around 1935, around 1900
Resistance levels: around 2040, around 2080 $BTC $ETH #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争

Financial Research Society - March 27, 2026

1. Today's gold is weakly volatile, with bears in control. After a sharp decline, recovery is sluggish, and there is no momentum for a unilateral reversal, mainly focusing on downward fluctuations within a range.
2. In the short term, we first look for a volatile pullback, and rebounds are likely to meet resistance and continue to fall; effectively breaking below 4360 will accelerate the downward trend, and stabilizing above 4400 is needed for a slight recovery. Geopolitical and dollar fluctuations affect the rhythm, overall leaning towards a bearish outlook, strictly controlling positions and not chasing trades.

Today's gold volatility range reference:
Support levels: around 4370, around 4328, around 4300
Resistance levels: around 4440, around 4480
Stop-loss level: around 4270

Short-term operations should aim for rebounds at each support level, take profits, as rebounds are weak; manage take-profit and stop-loss levels well, and control position ratios. $BTC $ETH $XAU

Financial Research Society - March 27, 2026

1. The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations have been delayed, the US dollar has strengthened, coupled with large options expirations and institutional selling pressure, risk assets have collectively weakened, leading to a short-term bearish dominance.
2. Trump has changed his mind again, extending the temporary strike delay from 5 days to 10 days, with April 6 as the next focal point.
3. Expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes have resurfaced, Bitcoin is experiencing fluctuations and weakness, and international oil prices have resumed an upward trend.
4. Wall Street is collectively bearish on 2026; will the oil crisis trigger an economic recession?

BTC: The 4-hour MACD shows a death cross, RSI is leaning bearish, breaking key moving averages, and running in a descending channel, with bears not yet fully released. The daily line has broken through the life line and the middle Bollinger band support, indicating short-term weakness.
ETH: Moving weaker, with shrinking trading volume, a lack of rebound strength, following BTC in a downward fluctuation.

Today's Bitcoin fluctuation range reference:
Support levels: around 68400, around 67700, around 66500
Resistance levels: around 70000, around 71000
Today's Ethereum fluctuation range reference:
Support levels: around 2035, around 1990, around 1939
Resistance levels: around 2110, around 2160 #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 $BTC $ETH

Research Society - March 26, 2026

1. The expectations for interest rate cuts fluctuate, and geopolitical risk aversion cools down, leading to a pullback and consolidation in gold prices; central bank purchases support prices, with no unilateral trend in the short term.
2. Today's market shows wide fluctuations, first correcting and then making decisions; maintaining above 4500 is bullish, while dropping below 4480 indicates weakness.
3. Goldman Sachs: Still maintains an optimistic overall outlook on gold, with a year-end target price of $5400 per ounce.
4. Approximately $30 billion in foreign reserves consumed over three weeks; Turkey may be forced to use gold reserves to stabilize the exchange rate.

Today's reference range for fluctuations:
Support levels: around 4452, near 4369
Resistance levels: around 4540, around 4580
Stop loss level: around 4320

Focus on two key support levels for gold: 4500 is a minor support that holds the rebound. The 4400 level serves as the dividing line between bulls and bears after multiple deep corrections; as long as 4400 holds, gold is expected to rebound and gradually rise.
$XAU #黄金创43年来最大单周跌幅

Financial Research Society - March 26, 2026

1. The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations fluctuate, geopolitical tensions ease, and institutional ETFs continue to accumulate, leading to a short-term strong volatility; regulation and deleveraging still suppress upward space, with no one-sided trend.
2. The progress of US-Iran negotiations remains a mystery, with the White House planning for Vance to attend peace talks this weekend, while Iran creates obstacles and presents five conditions for a ceasefire.
3. Trump informs his aides that he hopes to quickly end the Iran war.
4. Harvey's valuation increased from $8 billion to $11 billion in three months: 100,000 lawyers are already using AI Agents for due diligence.
5. The diplomatic resolution of the US-Iran conflict appears bleak, yet a narrow path to an agreement still exists.

Bitcoin is oscillating near the daily lifeline and the middle Bollinger band, with the MACD flattening near the middle band, facing significant upward pressure. The market is focused on whether the US and Iran will truly achieve a ceasefire; if confirmed, both gold and cryptocurrency are likely to rebound. The four-hour level is oscillating between the middle and upper Bollinger bands, with a relatively small range.

Bitcoin's reference oscillation range for today:
Support levels: around 69500, around 68000, around 67500
Resistance levels: around 71800, around 72800
Ethereum's reference oscillation range for today:
Support levels: around 2100, around 2049, around 1990
Resistance levels: around 2180, around 2230 $BTC $ETH #特朗普缓和局势

Financial Research Society – March 25, 2026

1. Institutions increasing their holdings of BTC/ETH, ETF options position limits being lifted, liquidity expansion; delayed expectations for Fed rate cuts + geopolitical disturbances, intensifying long and short betting, non-unilateral trends.
2. ETH driven by AI on-chain applications, stronger than BTC in the short term, but still overall linked to the market.
3. BlackRock CEO: If oil reaches $150 per barrel, it will trigger a global economic recession.
4. The Ethereum Foundation expects to complete quantum security upgrades before 2029.
5. Canadian listed fintech company Delphx Capital Markets Inc (stock code $DELX) announced plans to launch a Bitcoin treasury strategy and will purchase $50 million worth of Bitcoin.

Bitcoin is fluctuating around the lifeline between 69,000 and 71,000, watching whether the lifeline and the mid-Bollinger band support hold steady. The market has stabilized after the ceasefire, with narrow fluctuations. Currently, institutions and listed companies' purchases of Bitcoin have provided a funding floor, and there has not been another significant correction.

Bitcoin today's fluctuation range reference:
Support levels: around 69,000, around 68,300, around 67,500
Resistance levels: around 71,300, around 72,800
Ethereum today's fluctuation range reference:
Support levels: around 2,070, around 2,030, around 1,990
Resistance levels: around 2,200, around 2,280 $BTC $ETH #特朗普缓和局势

Financial Research Society - March 25, 26

Trump raises expectations for 'negotiations', plans a ceasefire for one month, significant fluctuations in gold, silver, and oil
Today's gold stops falling and rebounds, primarily to repair the market, with safe-haven and bottom-fishing funds supporting the market together, indicators repair and form a rebound, overall maintaining a range of fluctuations.
Gold overall shows a fluctuating repair rebound, which belongs to the technical stabilization after a sharp decline earlier, and is not a one-sided strong reversal; it is slightly strong in the short term but with limited rebound space, mainly operating within a range.

Today's gold fluctuation range reference:
Support levels: around 4440, around 4380, around 4280
Resistance levels: around 4580, around 4670

After processing the lower Bollinger band on the daily line, gold has formed an oversold rebound, and the ceasefire agreement of the war has driven the market to warm up. However, after a significant drop, indicators need repeated repairs, and the daily bull-bear boundary at 4600 is also the current key resistance level. As the bottom rises, if the market holds at around 4400 during the pullback, it will gradually warm up and form a mild rebound with a higher bottom. $BTC $XAU

Financial Research Society - Interpretation of Gold Trends on March 24, 2026

1. Macroeconomic Pressure: The Federal Reserve's hawkish tone continues, with expectations for interest rate cuts significantly cooling down (only one rate cut expected in 2026), and high interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding gold. The strengthening of U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar index suppress gold prices.

2. Geopolitical Buffer: Trump announced a 5-day delay in strikes against Iran, leading to a short-term cooling of risk aversion, with funds flowing back into risk assets, resulting in gold prices giving back some gains.

3. Long-term Support: Global central banks continue to purchase gold (60-70 tons monthly), and the trend of de-dollarization remains unchanged, providing a medium to long-term bottom support for gold prices.

4. Technical Analysis: After a significant drop yesterday, oversold signals have emerged, attracting bottom-fishing funds, but previous trapped positions limit the rebound space.

Today's reference range for gold fluctuations:
Support levels: around 4280, around 4220, around 4130
Resistance levels: around 4400, around 4450

Gold quickly dropped to around 4100 before rebounding, with a high point reaching 4500 before retreating. After a sharp decline, there is a rebound with funds flowing into the bottom, but the one-hour life line is a constraint, coupled with trapped positions above, making around 4400 a key short-term resistance level, which is also the low point of the last crash. Inuo suggests that we should focus on whether the drop can stabilize at 4200, and a breakthrough at 4400 is needed for strength. The impact of news is significant; ensure to manage risk and set stop losses.

Financial Research Society - March 24, 2026

Core Logic of News

1. Macroeconomics and Hedging: Trump suspends military strikes on Iran for 5 days, short-term hedging sentiment cools, funds flow back to risk assets, driving a rebound in cryptocurrency;

2. Institutional Benefits: NYSE cancels the position limit for BTC/ETH spot ETF options, expanding institutional trading space, coupled with continued layouts by BlackRock and others, forming medium to long-term buying support;

3. Regulatory Differentiation: Hong Kong issues the first batch of stablecoin licenses, favorable for compliant tracks; domestically reaffirms Document No. 206, blocking cross-border violations, concentrating funds into compliant channels;

4. On-chain Data: BTC net outflow from exchanges, long-term addresses increase holdings; ETH receives a large single-day increase from BitMine, with a high staking rate, and a clear expectation of supply contraction.
5. Federal Reserve Governor Milan stated that he still expects four rate cuts in 2026. If a second-round effect of (inflation) and wage increases occurs, rate hikes may be necessary, but currently, he does not believe there is a need to consider rate hikes.

Bitcoin's reference range today:
Support levels: around 69000, around 68200, around 67500
Resistance levels: around 71000, around 71500

Ethereum's reference range today:
Support levels: around 2065, around 2020, around 1945
Resistance levels: around 2180, around 2250

Bitcoin rebounded to the upper Bollinger band and then fell back on the four-hour level, with the daily line retracing to the middle Bollinger band. Yinuo believes that yesterday's rebound was based on the news-driven spike over the past five days, with the war and American rhetoric still affecting cryptocurrency, gold, and stock market trends. Yesterday, crude oil dropped sharply, leading to some fund inflow. From the indicator's trend, Bitcoin is still in a bottoming oscillation at the daily line.

Risk Warning: Repeated geopolitical tensions, regulatory policy changes, risk of leveraged fund liquidation, strict position control is required to avoid excessive chasing and selling.

$BTC $ETH #特朗普缓和局势 #美国暂缓攻击伊朗发电站

Finance Research Society – Interpretation of Gold Trends on March 23, 2026

Core News
The Federal Reserve's March meeting released a strong hawkish signal: maintaining interest rates at 3.50%-3.75%, with only one rate cut expected in 2026, delayed until the end of the year. U.S. Treasury yields are rising, and the U.S. dollar index is stabilizing around 105, directly suppressing gold prices; geopolitical issues in the Middle East have limited support for gold prices, with funds preferring the U.S. dollar for safety, leading to continued pressure on gold prices.

Today's fluctuation range reference:

Support levels: around 4330, around 4280, around 4200
Resistance levels: around 4400, around 4450
Stop-loss level: strictly implement a 10% risk control stop-loss

Trend Judgment
Short-term: Weak fluctuations + oversold recovery, rebounds are not reversals, focusing on range fluctuations
Medium-term: Fed's hawkish dominance, bearish pattern remains unchanged. The gold indicator has broken below the bull-bear boundary and the low point of the significant drop on February 2, which was 4400$. Having fallen below 4400 dollars opens up downside space, and the daily trend is still in a downward trajectory, maintaining a bearish trend.
Operational Recommendations: Participate with light positions, test shorts under pressure during rebounds, and take short-term longs when support stabilizes, with strict stop-loss at $XAU #黄金创43年来最大单周跌幅

Financial Research Society ~ March 23, 2026
BTC/ETH News + Key Points + Trend Analysis

1. Macroeconomic Pressure: The Federal Reserve's March decision maintains the interest rate at 3.50%-3.75%, with only one rate cut expected in 2026, high-interest environments squeeze the valuations of risk assets.
2. Geopolitical Disturbance: The escalation of the situation in the Middle East triggers a flight to safety back to the dollar, with cryptocurrencies switching from 'safe haven' to 'high Beta risk assets', leading to liquidity crunches.
3. Capital Structure: Institutional ETFs continue to see net inflows (long-term support), but short-term retail long positions are concentrated and facing liquidation, exacerbating volatility.
4. Fear Index at 10 (extreme fear), total liquidations on the network exceed $550 million, with long positions accounting for over 80%.

Bitcoin's reference range for today
Support levels: around 67500, around 66800, around 66000
Resistance levels: around 69000, around 70000

Ethereum's reference range for today
Support: around 2030, around 1980, around 1,915
Resistance levels: around 2100, around 2130

Bitcoin's daily level retracement, once again breaking below the life line support and the daily Bollinger middle track, downward bearish trend. After the announcement of no rate cuts, all investment targets except oil have experienced significant declines. Bitcoin's four-hour level has once again hit the bottom, retreating along the lower Bollinger track. The crypto market remains in a fluctuating adjustment phase, with a slow decline at the bottom. #美联储3月议息会议 $BTC $ETH

Financial Research Society - March 21, 2026 Gold Interpretation
The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance has landed, gold prices are short-term bearish, and there are opportunities for low buying in waves.

News: The Federal Reserve kept the interest rate unchanged at 3.5%-3.75% in March, with the dot plot indicating only one rate cut in 2026 and an upward revision of inflation expectations. The US dollar and US Treasury yields have strengthened, while gold ETFs continue to reduce holdings, leading to negative sentiment.

Trend Analysis: Short-term fluctuations are leaning bearish, with a technical recovery after overselling; medium-term expectations for clearer rate cut signals before turning bullish.

Price Reference for Fluctuation Range

Support Levels: Around 4450, around 4410
Resistance Levels: Around 4550, around 4580

Trading Suggestions

Short-term: Lightly short on rebounds at 4580-4650, with a stop-loss at 4680 and a target of 4480-4450.

Swing: Stabilize in the 4450-4400 range and gradually buy low, with a stop-loss at 4370 and a target of 4600-4650$BTC $ETH #美联储3月议息会议

Finance Research Society - March 21, 2026

The Federal Reserve maintains a hawkish stance, with BTC/ETH experiencing short-term pullbacks and low-level fluctuations, practical strategies for high selling and low buying.

1. Core Macro: The Federal Reserve keeps the interest rate unchanged at 3.5%-3.75%, the dot plot indicates only one rate cut by 2026, and inflation expectations are adjusted upwards, signaling "higher rates for longer." The US dollar strengthens, US Treasury yields rise, and funds are flowing back from risk assets (including cryptocurrencies) to US dollars, leading to clear short-term bearishness.
2. Short-term fluctuations seeking a bottom and weak recovery, macro pressure remains; we need to wait for clearer rate cut expectations or a return of funds to turn strong again.
3. The market expects the Federal Reserve is very likely to raise rates in December.
4. Trump: Currently does not want a ceasefire, the Strait of Hormuz will automatically open.

Bitcoin's reference fluctuation range today:
Support levels: around 69900, around 68800, around 67400
Resistance levels: around 71800, around 73000
Ethereum's reference fluctuation range today:
Support levels: around 2130, around 2070, around 2035
Resistance levels: around 2190, around 2250

Strictly control positions, do not chase highs or sell lows; monitor the US dollar index and US Treasury yields, and stop losses promptly on sudden movements. $BTC $ETH #美联储3月议息会议

Research Society ～ March 20, 2026

1. Federal Reserve's hawkish stance | BTC/ETH community overview: short-term recovery, mid-term bearish
2. Core conclusion: Federal Reserve's March FOMC exceeds expectations on hawkishness, tightening liquidity expectations suppress risk assets; BTC/ETH short-term oversold recovery, mid-term weak oscillation, do not chase rebounds, lightly test on pullbacks, strictly control stop losses.

I. News Reference

Interest rates remain at 3.50%~3.75%, dot plot indicates only one rate cut in 2026, the first rate cut postponed until after September.

Powell: Inflation is sticky, high interest rates will last longer; USD and US Treasury yields are rising, bearish for crypto.
On-chain: liquidation volume increasing, capital outflow, ETH shows greater elasticity and deeper declines.

Bitcoin's reference range for today:
Support levels: around 70000, around 69200, around 68700
Resistance levels: around 71600, around 72500

Ethereum's reference range for today:
Support levels: around 2100, around 2065, around 1990
Resistance: around 2200, around 2250

Bitcoin fell to the daily Bollinger middle track, news is bearish directly declining from a high of 75900, daily returns to the bottom range to continue grinding and adjusting. $BTC $ETH #美联储3月议息会议

Financial Research Society - March 20, 2026

Federal Reserve's hawkish stance｜Gold under short-term pressure, oversold recovery, community overview version

Core conclusion: Short-term fluctuations are weak, oversold recovery; medium-term high interest rate suppression persists, geopolitical factors and central bank gold purchases provide a floor, first control the pullback then look for a rebound.

1. News tone setting (3.19 FOMC)
Interest rate unchanged at 3.50%~3.75%, in line with expectations
Dot plot: Only one rate cut in 2026, 7 committee members tend not to lower rates, first rate cut postponed until after September

Powell: Inflation is sticky, no rate cut until targets are met; high rates will be maintained for a longer period

Linked: US dollar and US Treasury yields rise, real rates suppress gold prices

Gold XAU today's fluctuation range reference:
Support levels: around 4635, around 4580, around 4533
Resistance levels: around 4730, around 4790
Stop loss level: around 4490

3. Trend judgment

Short term (1-3 days): Recovery fluctuations after a sharp decline, oversold rebound, but it is very difficult to break strong resistance in the short term

Medium term (1-2 weeks): Hawkish expectations + inflation data dominate, risks of fluctuations downward still exist, geopolitical factors and gold purchases provide temporary support

4. Operational suggestions

Conservative: Short positions under pressure on rebounds (4750-4790 in batches), stop loss at 4820, target around 4635, around 4580

Aggressive: Short-term long positions near support 4635-4580, stop loss at 4550, target 4680-4700

Risk control: Light positions, with stop losses, pay attention to US PCE, geopolitical surprises

5. One-sentence summary

Federal Reserve's hawkish tone sets, gold under short-term pressure recovery; Inno believes that gold's currency B attributes and the global de-dollarization trend indicate that the long-term trend of gold is still not over. The lack of rate cuts causes market pullbacks, deep adjustments wash Pan, giving the market some patience. Continuously pay attention to whether the previous low of 4400 from the last sharp drop can effectively hold, which is also a critical dividing line between bulls and bears in market psychology and indicators. #美联储3月议息会议 $XAU

Financial Research Society ~ March 17, 2026

1. The crypto market is recovering, with Upbit's trading volume surging by 80% in a single day, and XRP remains the favorite among Korean investors.
2. Yesterday, there was a net inflow of $199.4 million into the US Bitcoin spot ETF, marking six consecutive trading days of net inflow.
3. The WLFI team deposited a total of $22.1 million in WLFI tokens to CEX over the past 19 hours.
4. Bridgewater's Ray Dalio: Control over Hormuz will determine whether America's global hegemony persists or collapses.

Bitcoin's daily chart has formed a golden triangle pattern, the market is rebounding, and Bitcoin touched a high near 75,900 before currently pulling back. Pay attention to the key support at 72,000; as long as it stands firm, it indicates stabilization at the daily level. The four-hour chart is far from the Bollinger middle track support, and there is a need for a pullback in the small cycle washout.

Bitcoin's reference for today's fluctuation range:
Support levels: near 72,200, near 71,600, near 70,600
Resistance levels: near 74,000, near 75,000
Ethereum's reference for today's fluctuation range:
Support levels: near 2,190, near 2,130, near 2,080
Resistance levels: near 2,320, near 2,380

Be sure to pay close attention to the decision meeting on March 19; it is highly likely that there will be no interest rate cut, but the content of the speech will directly impact the subsequent trends in the crypto and gold markets. $BTC $ETH #美联储3月议息会议

March 19 (Wednesday) at 2:00 AM, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision; at 2:30 AM, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will hold a press conference.

This meeting is very likely to keep interest rates unchanged, and due to the situation in the Middle East, market expectations for interest rate cuts have significantly cooled, and we need to be alert to the impact of "hawkish" signals on the market. #美联储3月议息会议

Financial Research Society – Gold Interpretation 26 Year 3.16

Today, the gold market is staging a life-and-death battle at the $5000 threshold, with high volatility and intensified fluctuations, centered around the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on 3.19. The market's risk aversion has caused gold to retreat, while crude oil continues to fluctuate at high levels.

Suppressing factors: The expectation for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in March has completely cooled (the probability of maintaining the interest rate unchanged in March is approximately 100%, and the expectation for a rate cut in June has been halved), the strengthening of the US dollar index has increased the opportunity cost of holding gold, combined with profit-taking at high levels.

Supporting factors: Central banks worldwide continue to purchase gold (the People's Bank of China has increased its holdings for 16 consecutive months), and geopolitical conflicts have not eased, providing a "support base" for gold prices.

Today's gold fluctuation reference range:
Support levels: around 4975, around 4950, around 4914
Resistance levels: around 5060, around 5090

It is crucial to pay attention to whether today's closing can hold near 5000. Although the price of gold has retreated, the bull market for gold is still not over. Looking back, gold adjusted around $4000 for more than a month. Currently, gold's daily price has touched the lower Bollinger band, where support remains strong. #比特币升回7万 $XAU

Finance Research Society - March 14, 2026

1. Yesterday, the net inflow of the US spot Ethereum ETF was $26.7 million, with net inflows for four consecutive trading days.
2. Yesterday, the net inflow of the US spot Bitcoin ETF was $180.4 million, with net inflows for five consecutive trading days.
3. Trump's advisor: Suggests the US 'declare victory and disengage from the Iran conflict.'
4. Iranian missiles hit five refueling planes of the US in Saudi Arabia.
5. A certain whale has accumulated over 80,000 ETH in the past five days, valued at approximately $166.76 million.

Bitcoin fell back after sprinting to a high point of 73800. After a daily pullback, it did not break below the middle Bollinger band and the life line. The daily chart is still in a bottom-building phase; however, the four-hour chart has formed a double top pattern, and the pullback speed is quite fast. Crypto is still in a rebound within a bear market, and each rebound has not stabilized.

Bitcoin's reference range for today:
Support levels: around 69500, around 68400, around 67200
Resistance levels: around 71600, around 72500
Ethereum's reference range for today:
Support levels: around 2025, around 1968, around 1931
Resistance levels: around 2130, around 2170 #美国PCE数据将公布 $BTC $ETH