Financial Research Society～March 29, 2026

1. The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance exceeded expectations: rate cut expectations reduced to once, the US dollar and US Treasury yields strengthened, suppressing risk assets.

2. ETF fund differentiation: BTC spot ETF still sees net inflows, but the growth rate is slowing; ETH ETF sees slight outflows, institutions are on the sidelines.

3. Regulatory environment is warming: The SEC clarifies that BTC/ETH are not securities, which is a long-term positive, but difficult to change the correction trend in the short term.

4. On-chain: ETH burn and activity hit new highs, but the price is weak, reflecting "profit taking".

Bitcoin daily chart has pulled back, breaking below the life line and the middle Bollinger band support. After breaking down from a high position, it is weakly oscillating, converging on the 4-hour chart, with a rebound demand in the short cycles of four-hour and one-hour levels, daily chart is biased towards bearish.

Indicators: RSI 42 (weak bias); MACD dead cross below the zero line; lower Bollinger band under pressure.

Ethereum follows BTC, repeatedly contending at the 2,000 mark, showing weak oscillation.

RSI 43; MACD weak; volume continues to shrink.

Bitcoin's reference oscillation range today:

Support levels: around 66300, around 65800, around 65000

Resistance levels: around 67500, around 68200

Ethereum's reference oscillation range today:

Support levels: around 1980, around 1935, around 1900

Resistance levels: around 2040, around 2080 $BTC $ETH #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争