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情报哥的交易日志

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CoinFound — Guardian of Digital Assets, professionally reclaiming your 'sleeping' wealth​In the world of cryptocurrency, a single misoperation or accident should not become your permanent regret. ​Are you facing the following asset crisis? ​🛑 Transaction Blocked: Wrong chain transferred, wrong exchange deposited, old exchanges (Huobi/OK/Gate) not timely withdrawing coins. ​🔐 Key Lost: Forgetting hardware/software wallet passwords, mnemonic phrases in the wrong order or partially lost, device damage leading to data unreadability. ​❄️ Asset Frozen: Bank card/exchange account frozen by the judiciary due to disputes, risk control, or involvement in legal cases; on-chain assets are compliantly locked.

CoinFound — Guardian of Digital Assets, professionally reclaiming your 'sleeping' wealth

​In the world of cryptocurrency, a single misoperation or accident should not become your permanent regret.
​Are you facing the following asset crisis?
​🛑 Transaction Blocked: Wrong chain transferred, wrong exchange deposited, old exchanges (Huobi/OK/Gate) not timely withdrawing coins.
​🔐 Key Lost: Forgetting hardware/software wallet passwords, mnemonic phrases in the wrong order or partially lost, device damage leading to data unreadability.
​❄️ Asset Frozen: Bank card/exchange account frozen by the judiciary due to disputes, risk control, or involvement in legal cases; on-chain assets are compliantly locked.
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【In-depth Analysis】If a black swan arrives, where is BTC's 'century iron bottom'? Lock in the extreme range of $29,800 - $37,600If the future market encounters liquidity exhaustion or a macro black swan (such as a U.S. stock market recession), where will Bitcoin drop to? Based on the MVRV model, on-chain holding costs, and CME historical gaps, whether in 2025 or 2026, once a major bear market begins, $29,800 - $37,600 will be the ultimate defense in a mathematical sense. This is not panic; it is preparation for a 'once in a decade' golden pit. 👇 🔍 Why is it $29,800 - $37,600? Three major pieces of evidence In this range, the technical aspects and on-chain data have formed a perfect resonance: 1. 👻 Ghost Gap (The CME Gap): $29,760

【In-depth Analysis】If a black swan arrives, where is BTC's 'century iron bottom'? Lock in the extreme range of $29,800 - $37,600

If the future market encounters liquidity exhaustion or a macro black swan (such as a U.S. stock market recession), where will Bitcoin drop to? Based on the MVRV model, on-chain holding costs, and CME historical gaps, whether in 2025 or 2026, once a major bear market begins, $29,800 - $37,600 will be the ultimate defense in a mathematical sense.

This is not panic; it is preparation for a 'once in a decade' golden pit. 👇

🔍 Why is it $29,800 - $37,600? Three major pieces of evidence

In this range, the technical aspects and on-chain data have formed a perfect resonance:

1. 👻 Ghost Gap (The CME Gap): $29,760
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Bullish
Facts speak louder than words! $UAI {future}(UAIUSDT) Long-term view above 1U, mainly spot! Message me if you want to join the group.
Facts speak louder than words! $UAI
Long-term view above 1U, mainly spot! Message me if you want to join the group.
When can we buy at the historical bottom?The emergence of this chart can be said to have added the heaviest, yet most precise 'macro time lock' to our entire bear market deduction! If the indicators from previous times (LTH unrealized loss ratio, 1.37 ratio) were like using a magnifying glass to find the 'short-term downward space limit', then this chart of 'STH real cost (red line) dead cross market real average price (blue line)' stands from a god's perspective, directly illustrating the macro lifeline of the entire bear market. Let's combine this latest and highly decisive data to conduct a final 'macro and micro stitching' of the previous deductions:

When can we buy at the historical bottom?

The emergence of this chart can be said to have added the heaviest, yet most precise 'macro time lock' to our entire bear market deduction!
If the indicators from previous times (LTH unrealized loss ratio, 1.37 ratio) were like using a magnifying glass to find the 'short-term downward space limit', then this chart of 'STH real cost (red line) dead cross market real average price (blue line)' stands from a god's perspective, directly illustrating the macro lifeline of the entire bear market.
Let's combine this latest and highly decisive data to conduct a final 'macro and micro stitching' of the previous deductions:
$FHE Leopard number 0.027777 bottom probing and rising by 25% strongly recommended to buy in batches at least 5 times starting! Low leverage, looking at 1U for the long term. Wait for 2 months and look back, you will thank me {alpha}(560xd55c9fb62e176a8eb6968f32958fefdd0962727e)
$FHE Leopard number 0.027777 bottom probing and rising by 25% strongly recommended to buy in batches at least 5 times starting! Low leverage, looking at 1U for the long term. Wait for 2 months and look back, you will thank me
$KAT Finding the bottom and stabilizing, bulls counterattack! Buy in batches: 0.01780 open 40%, 0.01720 add 30%, 0.01660 add 30% Stop loss: 0.01600 Take profit: 0.01900 / 0.0202 High profit-loss ratio, steadily grasp the rebound! {future}(KATUSDT)
$KAT Finding the bottom and stabilizing, bulls counterattack!
Buy in batches:
0.01780 open 40%, 0.01720 add 30%, 0.01660 add 30%
Stop loss: 0.01600
Take profit: 0.01900 / 0.0202
High profit-loss ratio, steadily grasp the rebound!
$NXPC 🚨NXPC 1-hour level strong breakthrough! SUPERTREND at 0.2706 provides strong support, MACD golden cross divergence, trading volume synchronized expansion, bullish momentum fully loaded! ✅Gradual buying: Open 40% of the position at 0.2790, add 30% at 0.2770, add 30% at 0.2750 🛡️Stop loss: 0.2720 🎯Take profit: 50% off at 0.2900, fully exit at 0.3011 Profit and loss ratio over 3:1, high win rate model! Strictly control position, rational trading. {future}(NXPCUSDT)
$NXPC

🚨NXPC 1-hour level strong breakthrough! SUPERTREND at 0.2706 provides strong support, MACD golden cross divergence, trading volume synchronized expansion, bullish momentum fully loaded!

✅Gradual buying:
Open 40% of the position at 0.2790, add 30% at 0.2770, add 30% at 0.2750
🛡️Stop loss: 0.2720
🎯Take profit: 50% off at 0.2900, fully exit at 0.3011

Profit and loss ratio over 3:1, high win rate model! Strictly control position, rational trading.
$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) 65555-65888 Open Long Stop Loss 65000 Take Profit 6822 Square brothers, sharing a hardcore tool... Google search AICE100 the first entry is, recommending brothers to give it a try.
$BTC
65555-65888 Open Long Stop Loss 65000 Take Profit 6822

Square brothers, sharing a hardcore tool...

Google search AICE100 the first entry is, recommending brothers to give it a try.
Reasons why the true 'cycle time bottom' may still point to mid to late 2026.Since we deduce that the true 'time bottom' may point to mid to late 2026, the 'price bottom' coinciding with this time window will likely fall within the core defense line we previously delineated based on on-chain data: between $30,000 and $40,000, with the extreme spike still being that CME ghost gap at $29,760. It is impossible to predict the absolute lowest point, but we can likely categorize the bottom in mid to late 2026 based on different levels of market panic into three scenarios: 1. 🛡️ Conventional cycle bottom (likely scenario): $37,600 - $40,300

Reasons why the true 'cycle time bottom' may still point to mid to late 2026.

Since we deduce that the true 'time bottom' may point to mid to late 2026, the 'price bottom' coinciding with this time window will likely fall within the core defense line we previously delineated based on on-chain data: between $30,000 and $40,000, with the extreme spike still being that CME ghost gap at $29,760.
It is impossible to predict the absolute lowest point, but we can likely categorize the bottom in mid to late 2026 based on different levels of market panic into three scenarios:
1. 🛡️ Conventional cycle bottom (likely scenario): $37,600 - $40,300
$BTC Wu said that, according to SoSoValue data, yesterday (Eastern Time February 12) the total net outflow of Bitcoin spot ETFs was 410 million USD, with none of the twelve ETFs experiencing net inflows. The total net outflow of Ethereum spot ETFs was 113 million USD, with none of the nine ETFs experiencing net inflows. {future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC Wu said that, according to SoSoValue data, yesterday (Eastern Time February 12) the total net outflow of Bitcoin spot ETFs was 410 million USD, with none of the twelve ETFs experiencing net inflows. The total net outflow of Ethereum spot ETFs was 113 million USD, with none of the nine ETFs experiencing net inflows.
$STBL Batch Long {future}(STBLUSDT) 🇨🇳 🟢 STBLUSDT Binance Open Interest Increased by 16.8% in the Past 3600 Seconds, Price Increased by 13.9%, Open Interest: $2.6M, Open Interest/Market Cap Ratio: 12.2%, 24-Hour Price Change: +12.1% 💰 Market Cap $STBL MarketCap: $21M
$STBL Batch Long
🇨🇳 🟢 STBLUSDT Binance Open Interest Increased by 16.8% in the Past 3600 Seconds, Price Increased by 13.9%, Open Interest: $2.6M, Open Interest/Market Cap Ratio: 12.2%, 24-Hour Price Change: +12.1%

💰 Market Cap
$STBL MarketCap: $21M
$XPL Batch Long {future}(XPLUSDT) 🇨🇳 🟢 XPLUSDT Binance Open Interest Increased by 5.0%, Price Increased by 6.2% in the Last 3600 Seconds, Open Interest: $39.80 Million, Open Interest/Market Cap Ratio: 20.4%, 24-Hour Price Change: +17.0%
$XPL Batch Long
🇨🇳 🟢 XPLUSDT Binance Open Interest Increased by 5.0%, Price Increased by 6.2% in the Last 3600 Seconds, Open Interest: $39.80 Million, Open Interest/Market Cap Ratio: 20.4%, 24-Hour Price Change: +17.0%
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