万联welinkBTC

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Focusing on Web3, blockchain games, AI, and AirDrop investment opportunities 🫙 Monitoring 100 crypto experts across the network🔥 Let's ride through bull and bear markets together

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The latest Billion live slice grand prize is here

If you didn't watch the live broadcast in real-time

You can refer to the post below to watch it again

Current bear market position management and several directions to look forward to

Only represents personal opinion

Hahaha😂

Let's verify whether the trend judgment is correct after a few months

Watch the live broadcast and play predictions at #BillionLive
Portal
https://billion.live/invite?code=FHVI22

#welinkBTC $BTC

In the AI era, as the development threshold for application products continues to lower and the competitive advantages between products further weaken, thinking about "what not to do" has become much more important compared to "what can be done."

The launch of Surf Studio is precisely a product born from this way of thinking.

Using @SurfAI, I crafted a dashboard for the $BTC on-chain indicators to catch the bottom and escape the top,

The visualization effect is fantastic and can be used as a daily morning report!

It’s better to share joy than to enjoy alone, so let’s share this for everyone to use together:

<a>Portal</a>
https://welinkbtc-onchainmain.surf.computer
(<a>You can join the exclusive channel in the upper right corner</a>)

#welinkBTC $BTC

The inevitable result of the cryptocurrency market transitioning from the 'wild west' era to a 'mature financial market'

Leading platforms like Binance and OKEx are actively embracing U.S. stocks, commodities, and gold, indicating that they have realized that relying solely on the mutual destruction game of existing altcoins cannot sustain long-term growth. The end of funds and users is traditional finance, and the evolution direction of exchanges now resembles a 'comprehensive brokerage in the Web3 era'.

To retain high-net-worth users, platforms must provide robust assets that are broader in scope and capable of accommodating large funds, similar to traditional stock markets.

Previous bull markets were characterized by a capital overflow effect, exemplified by the classic 'BTC -> ETH -> mainstream coins -> various air altcoins' waterfall effect. However, now, with Wall Street capital entering through ETFs, funds have become extremely smart and utilitarian.

90% of altcoins will go to zero: Binance's frenzied delisting of altcoins is aimed at squeezing out bubbles and cleaning up liquidity. Projects with no ability to generate revenue and only PowerPoint presentations will not only miss the altcoin season but will also be directly abandoned by the market due to liquidity exhaustion.

Future market trends will be extremely polarized, with funds only concentrating on sectors with real business revenue and user stickiness (such as decentralized perpetual contracts, Perps, and prediction markets), or on targets with strong macro narrative consensus (such as projects deeply combining AI and Web3 like $TAO );

In this market filled with PvP attributes and stock games, maintaining a clear awareness is indeed easy to get criticized. Because the vast majority of retail investors are still trapped in the mindset of searching for a sword in a boat, dreaming of 'a hundred coins flying together'.

#welinkBTC $BTC

$BNB

$BTC Latest BTC: STH-Realized-Price to <10y-Realized-Price Ratio Indicator Analysis

#welinkBTC $BTC
More on-chain indicator analysis details
View https://welinkbtc-onchainmain.surf.computer

Indicator details:
The current indicator in the chart has dropped to 2.83

In 2014, this indicator dropped to 1.36 and after 63 days reached the bear bottom ($0.15k)
In 2018, this indicator dropped to 1.36 and after 56 days reached the bear bottom ($3.1k)
In 2022, this indicator dropped to 1.36 and after 7 days reached the second bear bottom ($17.6k)

The gray line at the top of the chart represents the price of $BTC ; the yellow line represents the average cost price for short-term BTC holders; the magenta line represents the average cost price for long-term BTC holders (excluding coins held for >10 years)

The indicator at the bottom of the chart shows the ratio of "BTC short-term holder average cost price" to "BTC long-term holder average cost price (excluding >10y coin version)" (i.e.: yellow line / magenta line)

BTC short-term holder average cost price definition: The average cost of investors holding Bitcoin <155 days.

Meaning: Reflects the cost basis of recent buyers, who are sensitive to price fluctuations and prone to selling during declines.

Commonly used as a short-term market sentiment indicator—prices above this average in a bull market, breaking below may exacerbate selling in a bear market

BTC long-term holder average cost price definition: The average cost of investors holding Bitcoin >155 days, excluding coins held for >10 years (these may be lost or never moved, like Satoshi's coins).

Meaning: Focuses on "active" long-term holders, providing a more realistic cost basis. Often used as a market support level reference—may become a price bottom in a bear market

The ratio of the two (short-term average price / long-term average price) meaning: Reflects market cycle phases and participant behavior:

Ratio >1: Short-term buyer costs are high (new funds entering at high prices), sentiment is optimistic but may be overheated
Ratio <1: Bear market or bottom signal, short-term buyer costs are low (entering at low prices), weak hands are clearing out, the market may recover

Overall trend: Ratio rising = bull market continuation; falling = bear market or distribution phase.

Excluding >10-year coins makes the ratio capture cyclical turning points more accurately,
Historically, <1 has often been a long-term buying opportunity

March web3 industry financing overview

Funding direction fields

• Payments and stablecoins
→ KAST ($80 million), ARQ ($70 million), TransFi

• Infrastructure and backend services
→ Cryptio ($45 million), Akave (data/storage)

• Institutional trading
→ Crossover ($31 million), QFEX (perpetual contracts)

• Privacy and identity
→ Zcash Core (Zodl), VeryAI

• Yield products
→ Unitas (idle stablecoin yield)

As can be seen, funds are flowing towards the actual application layer:
→ Payments
→ Infrastructure
→ Institutional channels

More infrastructure,
less hype fields.

#welinkBTC $HUMA
$UP

I still really like my live broadcast board

Already reached chapter 42

Followers have exceeded 100

Another new track, a new beginning, a starting point

#welinkBTC $BNB

The next round of cycles suggests holding positions

Core 50% allocated to BTC, ETH, stable against risks.

30% positioned in SOL, BNB, hype, ena, $WLFI and other leading ecology tokens.

10% small positions to speculate on quality new coins.

10% positions for small contract trades,

Funds invested in the crypto circle should occupy ≤50% of personal total assets.

Regularly invest in batches, periodically rebalance, stay away from air coins and memecoins,

Keep a close eye on compliant RWA tracks and AI tracks,

Hold spot for the long term, strictly control drawdowns.

#welinkBTC $BTC $HYPE

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The latest alpha airdrop is here
R2 will launch alpha next Monday,
I guess there will be airdrop news next week as well

Binance Alpha will launch R2 Protocol (R2) on March 30. Eligible users can claim the airdrop on the Alpha page using Binance Alpha points after trading begins.

Official website of r2
https://r2.money/home?code=PZGIQ

#welinkBTC $BNB

The prediction market Polymarket has partnered with the live streaming platform Parti to launch a live prediction market platform, bringing real-time prediction markets into the live streaming experience.

Through this integration, content creators can search and display markets provided by Polymarket on the Parti com platform, allowing fans to engage in real-time trading on live topics such as Bitcoin prices, sports events, or politics without leaving the platform.

Portal
https://parti.com/?refer=WELINKBTC

#welinkBTC $BTC

$TAO Institutions and researchers have started to release positive news

Is it time to go short?

Bittensor subnet staking scale has exceeded 600 million USD, possibly driven by AI narrative momentum

Bittensor (TAO) is experiencing strong momentum driven by both AI narratives and ecological expansion. The current price of TAO has surpassed the 7-day and 30-day moving averages, showing dual bullish signals technically, with a weekly increase of 19.8%. The staking scale of the subnet has exceeded 620 million USD, and the number of active subnets has expanded to 128. On the news front, NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang mentioned Bittensor in a well-known podcast, while Grayscale reiterated this week that private placements for the Bittensor Trust are now open to qualified investors, further strengthening institutional endorsement.

Two ambassadors are planning

Brothers, those who are interested and capable can apply

Aster and Reya are both in the perp DEX track

There are trades, there is a community, and those willing to openly share their experiences

can apply

Application links
Aster ambassador application
forms.gle/6FqLenTokEhqYPdu7

Reya ambassador application
forms.gle/TaFyKhieMECGLHmK6

You can also directly click the official website link to apply

#welinkBTC $BNB

$ASTER

Investment does not require a high IQ; what is needed is an anti-human nature focus.

Focus on following formulas and only buy cheap goods that no one cares about; your wealth throughout your life will definitely rise steadily.

Do not try to earn money driven by emotions; do not let yourself become the saddest story protagonist in a bull and bear cycle.

In your hands now, are you anxiously holding high-position chips, or are you in cash waiting to pick up bargains?

$BTC #welinkBTC

Today I discovered a new indicator for bottom-fishing BTC,

When it turns from red to green, it is highly likely to be the bottom.

Be patient and wait.

$BTC
More on-chain indicator analysis details
View <a href="https://welinkbtc-onchainmain.surf.computer">https://welinkbtc-onchainmain.surf.computer</a>

#welinkBTC

$BTC $BNB people must feel something surging.

Like climbing high, like listening to symphonies, like standing in the center of the stage, like creating

—— only a complete environmental rupture can shake off those humble, petty, and weak things attached to the skin,

repeatedly uprooting the old me, and then cultivating myself in new waters.

I believe that a long-term investment common sense that everyone should develop is:

When a high-quality asset that you haven't bought before multiplies by X in a short time, you must "exercise caution."

Don't make a hasty decision to follow FOMO, fearing that you'll miss the "wave of the era."

There are so many quality assets in the world; it doesn't matter if you miss this one.

Just wait for the right opportunity, only buy cheap goods, and don't buy when it's expensive.

A relatively convenient way to identify "extremely cheap" is when you see news headlines like "XXX high-quality asset has retraced more than XX%, causing investors who have held for over X years to retract all profits" / "The PE value of companies in the XXX sector has dropped below the historical 5th percentile."

Focus on only buying these cheap goods according to the formula, and at least in this lifetime, you will definitely appreciate steadily and won't become the protagonist of a sad story.

#welinkBTC $BTC

On-Chain Weekly Update - Smart Capital Observation

Smart Capital Net Inflow Rankings (Excluding Stablecoins)
• WTAO +$93.35 million — Price increased by 20.4%. No outflow of smart capital.
• WLD +$45.59 million — Price decreased by 12.6%. 22 smart capital addresses hold $56.70 million.
• HOME +$42.27 million — Price decreased by 6.8%.
• ENA +$11.70 thousand — 17 smart capital addresses, position growth of 4.7% in 24 hours.

Emerging Trends
• SOL: Smart capital position increased by 26.2% in a single day, the strongest 24-hour signal this week.
• AI Tokens: AIFI increased by 40.7%, BNB chain net inflow of $4.80 million. SKYAI increased by 46%.
• LSD Track: Base chain wstETH net inflow of $8.70 million, cbETH net inflow of $2.70 million.
• Active BNB Chain: MON increased by 429.8%, PTC increased by 111.4%, BR increased by 118.5%, the most significant price fluctuations this week.

Smart Capital Largest Holdings
• UNI: 29 addresses hold $143.20 million
• ONDO: 19 addresses hold $94.80 million
• MON: 25 addresses hold $91.10 million
• HYPE: 19 addresses hold $67.20 million
• WLD: 22 addresses hold $56.70 million
• AAVE: 13 addresses hold $37.70 million

BNB Chain is the most active, SOL is the most urgently watched, while WTAO and WLD are the targets where smart capital quietly accumulates confidence out of the public eye.

#welinkBTC $UNI $TAO $ENA