$BTC Regarding the Iran-US war, I personally believe that it is not yet time to end it. The Americans have repeatedly proposed negotiations, and I feel that part of the reason for this is to explain themselves domestically, indicating that they do not want to fight. However, Iran does not appreciate this, which can somewhat shift the internal contradictions within the US. History has proven that when the Americans say they want to negotiate, it does not mean they will not fight you.
Moreover, the resilience of the Americans is stronger than we imagine. For example, during the Vietnam War, there were four-party talks that lasted for 147 rounds over four years. In the Afghan War, there were 9 rounds of talks over two years. However, during the negotiations, fighting continued unabated. For the Americans, fighting is like doing business; they generally throw out the idea of negotiations first. If you don't comply, they continue to apply pressure, then bring up negotiations again, and if you don't comply again, they fight while negotiating.
Generally, the US will only choose to compromise when they have completely subdued you or feel that it is unnecessary to continue playing around. However, in the case of Iran, it is highly unlikely they will completely compromise. Therefore, I personally believe that if the US reaches certain conditions during this period, such as strengthening control over the oil supply chain or increasing control over the Middle East, it is more likely they will cool down, resulting in a phased ceasefire where both sides take a step back and let it go. Judging by the current situation, I think the chances of a one-sided scenario are very low. For example, if Iran completely controls the Strait of Hormuz, not only would the Americans disagree, but other major powers would also not agree.
The war has not yet ended, and the situation has not yet eased. Additionally, the market is currently extremely sensitive, so I estimate there will likely be another wave of cleaning, followed by a long period of bottom consolidation. Only then might a new trend emerge #美伊和谈陷僵局 .
$BTC US stocks opened lower, but Bitcoin performed strongly. Bitcoin is no longer following the decline. At that time, there will definitely be a bunch of bullish comments in the square saying it will rise to 100,000. I estimate that Bitcoin will continue to rise slightly, creating a false breakout, and then, when the market is bullish, there will be a deep correction. Spot holdings should be held steadily, while contracts can be closed first, especially altcoins. Personally, I feel we have reached a stage peak.
$ETH eth seems to have escaped the range of 1850-1930 and is now raised to the range of 1950-2000. It is estimated that accumulation in the previous range has mostly been completed, and the selling pressure above has significantly reduced during the oscillation process. With the Fed's QT reduction, Trump has also been quiet, which has consumed a lot of negative sentiment. The price range is moving upward, entering a new range for accumulation. Currently, I personally believe the market will continue to oscillate. On-chain data shows that many large whales are buying ETH and BTC, but the price remains suppressed, so it is likely that the remaining time in March will be the market makers accumulating positions.
Once Trump's tariffs take effect on April 2, I believe the market should rebound (firstly, Trump is not doing anything crazy). Central banks around the world, including Wall Street, are not very afraid of tariffs; what they fear is Trump's unpredictable policies. Once policies flip-flop, it becomes impossible to make good strategic adjustments, leading to panic.
Meanwhile, the ETH testnet is also about to launch, and the Prague upgrade is just around the corner. This is considered a positive factor, and I think it will definitely push the price up a bit (historically, ETH upgrades have led to price increases). On April 15, there seems to be an Ethereum documentary, which is worth looking forward to.
Without negative news, it is unlikely that the price will drop back to 1800 or even 1700. Considering gradually buying in at the current low points. This is just my personal opinion.
$ETH Square, at the moment I think there are two relatively good guides @币圈科长 and @会长-专玩山寨 The section chief's predictions are very accurate. Previously, when it dropped from 190 to 160 and then rebounded to 180, during this period it basically hit the points accurately.
The president is even more impressive, I don’t know how to say it, but it’s just amazing. I’ve been a long-time fan of the president, and many of the previous predictions were particularly accurate.
Still the same saying, you need to have your own thoughts.
$ETH Everyone be cautious, the guy who asked Shu Qin to analyze the corpse. The opinions in this article and video are extremely subjective. Whatever coin he buys, he will hype it up, regardless of whether it's good or bad. No matter if the news is negative or positive, he will always present it as good. Sometimes a blind cat catches a dead mouse, and he will even say that we predicted it in the last round. Did you all get the orders, dear ones.... His articles and videos are very purposeful. Everyone should be discerning, especially newcomers to the crypto world. However, some on-chain data in his articles still holds some reference value. As for what he says, just treat it as nonsense. This guy only knows how to mindlessly hype up. From over 3000 all the way to the current 1800 or 1900, it’s been all positive news.
No matter who it is, don’t blindly follow what anyone says in the square; you need to analyze it yourself.
Too lazy to complain. Clearly bad news can still be countered. From over 3000 to now 1900. Regardless of good or bad, just keep milking it 😅 Those trapped retail investors love this kind of thing. It can give them spiritual solace. For those who really want to make money, just ignore the obvious intentions. With 10 billion in short positions, it's not so easy to blow up their positions except for those Wall Street dogs and some institutions. They conspire together.
分析师舒琴
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It's getting serious! Ethereum's short positions have surged fivefold, retail investors are aggressively shorting Ethereum with 100 billion! Liquidations will push ETH to 2800! A major rebound in the crypto market is coming; is it a bait for more buyers or the start of a bull market? What does the dollar's cliff-like drop mean? Analysis of Bitcoin and Ethereum operational points.
What's going on? 10 billion in short positions! Folks, these people are trying to short Ethereum to death! But do you know? Once ETH rebounds, these could all be fuel! Bitcoin and Ethereum have both broken through! Is it a bait for more buyers? Or is it the start of a new trend in the crypto market? The dollar has plummeted, what impact will this have on the cryptocurrency market? Let's follow Shuqin and find out! First, as we discussed at the beginning, the market's shorts have gone insane. Currently, the CME's short positions on Ethereum have reached 11,000 contracts, with each contract representing 50 Ethereum. So they have shorted a total of 550,000 ETH, worth 1 billion dollars, equivalent to nearly 10 billion RMB or 33 billion TWD, which is just outrageous.
In the morning, ETH was still quite strong, but by the afternoon it had weakened. Currently, bearish sentiment is high, but one should not blindly chase shorts. However, I personally believe that by the end of this month, there might still be a sell-off, with a current target of 1900. Short-term, it might continue to rise or even break through the 2050 resistance level for a false breakout, followed by a consolidation and pullback. At the same time, one can accumulate long positions within this range and then pull back to the bottom. By April, things might really start to pick up because the Ethereum documentary will be aired on platforms like Apple TV, and there will likely be hundreds of thousands of views. This kind of influence should not be underestimated. Coupled with the Ethereum Prague upgrade, it shouldn't be too difficult to hype the price up.
Liquidation Heat Map Pulling above 2100 has basically no cost-effectiveness for the 🐶 whales, so it seems they will take advantage of the April benefits to wipe out the bulls in March. Otherwise, the vehicle is too heavy and difficult to pull.
$ETH Don't chase long or short contracts anymore. I feel that Ethereum suddenly skyrocketed from 1900 to 2050 today. It must be that there are too many people shorting at the bottom, pulling the market up to explode the shorts, making it easier to wash out the market. For now, I still think this way, unless there are clear signals of a market reversal. We still have to see what that old man Powell says at two in the morning. It’s still too early to talk about a bull market. Currently, the situation in the crypto world is that capital is flowing out seriously, and there is no narrative. The entire market is in a rather dismal state. Today is probably a rebound, and then it will continue to drop to the bottom. When it washes out to the point that everyone doubts life, that might be the real reversal moment. At that time, it will shoot up quickly. It doesn't even give you a chance to get in, which is also the effect the manipulators want.
At present, I think it might continue to go up, enticing more buyers within this range. The accumulation of long positions is almost done, and then they will dump the market. Moreover, the manipulators really like to release various positive news during rebounds, and then while everyone thinks everything is great, they will dump on you until you’re left with nothing.