Revelt - Walther Assis

Attention to the market: tomorrow the inflation data from the USA will be released and, next week, the FED's interest rate decision. Caution not to provide liquidity to the whales.

The secret is in the purchase, the sale is a consequence!

Everyone is right, will Bitcoin go up, or is everyone wrong and will Bitcoin go down? $BTC $ETH $BNB

Reflection of the day!

In the short term, the market dynamics remain conditioned by the evolution of geopolitical risk and the flow of information before the reopening of traditional markets on Monday. If tensions ease, the buying movement may gain traction, seeking resistance at US$ 2.54 trillion, a level corresponding to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, which acts as a technical supply zone.
On the other hand, losing support at US$ 2.28 trillion — aligned with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement — would represent a significant structural break in the short term, increasing the probability of continued selling flow and the expansion of negative volatility.

$BTC $ETH $BNB

A direct military attack by the United States against Iran would likely trigger a phase of strong risk aversion in global markets, leading to an aggressive sell-off of Bitcoin and other crypto assets, given its high correlation with risk assets in the short term. However, historically, geopolitical shocks tend to generate a subsequent recovery with positive asymmetry, driven by monetary expansion, an increase in global liquidity, and a search for decentralized assets as systemic hedge. Therefore, the initial drawdown could be followed by one of the largest waves of appreciation ever recorded in the Bitcoin cycle. $BTC $ETH $BNB

Bitcoin will fall if there is an attack by the USA against Iran, but it will return to have the highest peak of all time, as there will be a flight of capital to the crypto market!

Why the US × Iran conflict could boost Bitcoin
🌍 1) Fear in traditional markets
Stock markets fall → investors seek protection
BTC enters as a hedge against political chaos
🛢️ 2) Expensive oil = global inflation
If Iran shuts down Hormuz:
Oil prices explode
Inflation rises
Central banks print money or cut interest rates
👉 This favors scarce assets like Bitcoin.
🏦 3) Sanctions and capital flight
Iran, Russia, China, and others use crypto to bypass sanctions
In crises, citizens withdraw money from the banking system
➡️ This increases demand for BTC.
⚠️ But beware: Bitcoin can also FALL initially
This is the point that many people do not understand 👇
📉 Phase 1 – Initial panic (drop)
When the war begins:
Investors sell EVERYTHING (stocks, crypto, gold)
They seek liquidity in dollars
👉 Bitcoin usually falls first.
📈 Phase 2 – Recovery and strong rise
After the initial shock:
Money printing
Lower interest rates
Economic stimulus
👉 Bitcoin usually rises strongly afterward.
📊 Likely scenario if the US × Iran enter into conflict
Short term (days/weeks):
BTC could fall 10% to 30% due to panic
Medium term (months):
Strong rise if inflation and stimulus increase
Could be a catalyst for a new bull cycle
💰 Bitcoin in 2026 (realistic opinion)
With war + recent halving + ETF + institutional adoption:
👉 Optimistic scenario:
120k – 250k USD
👉 Extreme scenario (global crisis):
300k+ (if the dollar loses confidence)
👉 Pessimistic scenario (strong recession without stimulus):
50k – 80k USD

$BTC $ETH $PEPE

Guys, avoid making decisions in the heat of the moment. Seeing the loss on the screen is uncomfortable, I know, but it is important to remember that the market is cyclical and driven by liquidity and behavior. Many times, the big players benefit precisely from panic and impulsive sales. Risk management, conviction in the rationale of entry, and a medium to long-term vision make all the difference. Volatility is part of the game — and it is in this that the best opportunities arise for those who can maintain discipline.

REMEMBER, THERE IS NO LOSS IN $ETH AND $BTC , JUST A MOMENT OF DEVALUATION, IT WILL RETURN SOON!

I usually don't mix politics with investments, but it's impossible to ignore how geopolitical and fiscal decisions directly impact the cryptocurrency market. I had the expectation that a potential return of Trump could be positive for the sector — especially due to a more pro-market stance and potential reduction of regulatory pressures — however, in practice, the scenario has been proving to be much more negative than I imagined.
The central problem is not “politician X or Y,” but the set of effects that economic policies and international tensions can generate: increased uncertainty, flight to defensive assets (like the dollar and Treasuries), global liquidity contraction, and reduced risk appetite. Historically, when the market enters risk-off mode, volatile assets like cryptocurrencies suffer first, especially altcoins, which heavily depend on liquidity and speculative flow.
Moreover, the global context is already delicate: still high interest rates in the US, persistent inflation in some categories, and a Federal Reserve maintaining a cautious stance. As a result, any political noise that increases instability tends to worsen financial conditions. And crypto, like it or not, is still very sensitive to the “cost of money” and macro sentiment.
As a Brazilian, I also observe a concerning parallel: economies with fiscal instability and low institutional predictability tend to see currency devaluation, increased risk premium, and loss of purchasing power. This directly affects the perception of the investor, including local ones, who starts to seek protection — whether in dollars or in Bitcoin — but with much more fear and less capacity to allocate capital at risk.
In summary: I really expected that Trump could contribute positively to the crypto market, but what I see now is an increase in global uncertainty and a macro scenario that favors volatility, corrections, and reduced liquidity. In the end, the market does not react to political narratives, but rather to the measurable economic impacts they generate.
$ETH

📌 Decision on interest rates
The Fed decided to keep the interest rate in the United States unchanged, remaining in the range of 3.50% to 3.75% per year.
This decision marks a pause in the cycle of cuts that had been happening throughout 2025 and was approved by the majority of the committee members.
📊 Main message from the committee
In the statement released after the meeting, the FOMC made it clear that the Fed's stance remains cautious, especially because:
Inflation is still above the 2% target, which reduces the space for immediate cuts.
The Fed wants to evaluate more economic data before taking new steps.
There was internal disagreement, as two members voted in favor of continuing to reduce interest rates.
🗣️ Tone of Jerome Powell's speech
Although the full text of the press conference is still being released, the general market reading was that Powell maintained a firm and conservative tone:
He emphasized that there is no rush for new cuts and that the Fed is not bound to a fixed schedule.
The decision will continue to be guided by data, mainly inflation and employment.
Powell also reiterated the independence of the Fed, amid recent political pressures, making it clear that monetary policy should not follow external interests.
The Fed acknowledges that the economy still shows some strength (moderate growth and a more stable labor market), but inflation remains persistent.
🧭 General context
Today's meeting took place at a very sensitive moment, marked by:
political pressures on the Fed and Powell
and also by divisions within the committee itself, regarding whether to continue cutting rates or to stop and observe the next numbers.
✅ Quick summary
📌 Rates held at 3.50%–3.75%
⏸️ Pause in the cycle of cuts
📊 Fed wants more data before making another move
🗣️ Powell reinforces independence and data-driven stance. $BTC $XRP $IOTA

Possibly Black Rock will sell to lower the price to buy cheaper, as they will need to buy a lot due to the ETF.

Hello future millionaires!

Today's tip: Be careful with the attempt to leverage! This week there are many news items that could shake the market!

$BTC $PEPE $XRP

I think that this scenario of rising gold and silver is a reflection of a high possibility of war!

Hello future millionaires! I will provide an explanation about the behavior of the crypto market with the Fed's decisions!

😉 First: the market does NOT react to the fact, it reacts to the expectation
The financial market (including crypto) anticipates.
👉 If the market already expects the Fed to keep interest rates, this:
Is already "priced in"
Does not cause an automatic drop

📌 What brings down the market is negative surprise, not expected decision.
📉 When can keeping interest rates bring down crypto?
❌ Bad scenarios for crypto:
1️⃣ The market expected a cut, but the Fed:
Keeps
And still speaks tough (“hawkish”)
2️⃣ The Fed signals:
“High rates for a longer time”
Strong concern about inflation
No rush to cut

💥 Result:
Dollar rises
Long-term rates rise
Risky assets (stocks and crypto) fall

📈 When does keeping interest rates NOT bring down (or even help)?
✅ Neutral or positive scenarios:
1️⃣ The market already expected maintenance
2️⃣ The Fed keeps, but the speech is:
Gentler (“dovish”)
Acknowledges slowdown
Opens space for future cuts

💥 Possible result:
Market rises on “relief”
Crypto can even rise
📌 This happens A LOT:
“Kept, but spoke well” = market rises
🔑 What matters more than the rate itself?
1️⃣ The speech (forward guidance)
What the Fed signals for the coming months
2️⃣ The dot plot
Where the members themselves see interest rates in the future
3️⃣ Global liquidity
Crypto rises with liquidity
Falls when money gets expensive
🔗 Golden rule for crypto
📌 Crypto does not fall because the Fed kept
📌 Crypto falls if the Fed frustrates expectations
🧠 Summary to remember
✔️ Expected maintenance → small or neutral impact
❌ Unexpected maintenance + tough speech → crypto falls
✅ Maintenance + signal of future cuts → crypto can rise

$ALPINE $BTC $IOTA

The cryptocurrency market is fascinating. It has already transformed the lives of many people and continues to make history. Still, it is common to see people frustrated with the temporary devaluation of their assets. What many do not realize is that the market, in various cycles, simply enters a phase of lateralization — and this is part of the game.
If we go back in time, practically every major token or crypto asset has gone through long periods of stagnation, distrust, and even discredit. Those who bought at that time heard criticisms, doubts, and predictions of failure. Today, those who had conviction and did not liquidate their position are reaping the rewards — whether driving a Ferrari or living with financial freedom and a view of the sea.
Crypto has always been about patience, long-term vision, and emotional management. It is no wonder that experienced investors repeat: invest only what you can afford to lose. When the invested capital does not weigh on day-to-day life, strategy and patience go hand in hand. And it is precisely in this balance that success tends to be born.$BTC $IOTA $ALPINE #BTC150K

Come try your luck future millionaires!

Eu quero 1 BTC! $BTC $IOTA $ALPINE

War!

The market is not for future millionaire fish!

The cryptocurrency market recorded a decline of 2.65% in the last 24 hours, mainly pressured by external factors and a strong liquidation movement. Still, the broader scenario remains positive, with an advance of 1.1% in the last week and an appreciation of 8.95% in the month-to-date.
Geopolitical Scenario – The increase in tensions between the United States and the European Union, with new threats of trade tariffs, has raised risk aversion. This movement resulted in the withdrawal of approximately $100 billion in value from the crypto market in a short period of time.
Leverage Reduction – A volume exceeding $783 million in long positions was liquidated after intense selling by large players and some exchanges, causing a domino effect of declines.
Technical Analysis – Bitcoin lost support in the $95,000 region, which strengthened selling pressure and amplified negative sentiment, especially among altcoins.$BTC $XRP $ALPINE

For you, will the market return stronger or bleed even more?

I am not against the creation of meme coins, the freedom to practice it, but I am against the lack of information for those who are starting in the crypto market; brokers should educate.

I do not oppose the creation of meme coins, the freedom that is practiced, but I am against the lack of information for those starting in the crypto market; brokers should provide guidance!

Get the $Fogo on your money! Be careful!