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Today's analysis of Bitcoin!
Recently, the price of Bitcoin has been falling sharply
causing panic among many
There are also quite a few who bought the dip at 89 and 97
Recently, many well-known KOLs
have also suffered losses
Where is the bottom?
No one knows except for the big players
But let me tell you something scary
The cost of the big players' chips may
only be between 20,000 to 30,000 US dollars
Now there is a company that can serve as auxiliary analysis
That is MicroStrategy
If MicroStrategy issues more to buy Bitcoin
there are agreement requirements
then this round of bear market may blow up MicroStrategy
similar to the previous Luna
If not
that would be the best
The following views are based on the observations of the past few days
and do not constitute investment advice
Please adopt with caution
The first chart shows a circle
indicating that the rebound strength is too weak
In other words
the price at that time was too expensive
Demand was sluggish
And around 80,000
demand began to enter the market
Currently, it feels like there will be a rebound
but still mainly bearish
The second chart shows that
around 90,000 the original support
has turned into a resistance level
Those who are cautious can short around 90,814-91,271
Those going long should set a stop loss
$BTC
Recently, the price of Bitcoin has been falling sharply
causing panic among many
There are also quite a few who bought the dip at 89 and 97
Recently, many well-known KOLs
have also suffered losses
Where is the bottom?
No one knows except for the big players
But let me tell you something scary
The cost of the big players' chips may
only be between 20,000 to 30,000 US dollars
Now there is a company that can serve as auxiliary analysis
That is MicroStrategy
If MicroStrategy issues more to buy Bitcoin
there are agreement requirements
then this round of bear market may blow up MicroStrategy
similar to the previous Luna
If not
that would be the best
The following views are based on the observations of the past few days
and do not constitute investment advice
Please adopt with caution
The first chart shows a circle
indicating that the rebound strength is too weak
In other words
the price at that time was too expensive
Demand was sluggish
And around 80,000
demand began to enter the market
Currently, it feels like there will be a rebound
but still mainly bearish
The second chart shows that
around 90,000 the original support
has turned into a resistance level
Those who are cautious can short around 90,814-91,271
Those going long should set a stop loss
$BTC
币安Binance华语
·
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We will be giving away 5 🧧66 U startup red envelopes.
Wishing everyone a successful start to the year, may you achieve success quickly! 👇
From daily, 4 hours, 1 hour, and 15 minutes for BTC analysis
The October high point of about $126,000 has retraced over 50%, indicating a clear bear market. The overall market sentiment is leaning towards extreme fear. Below is a technical and volume-price analysis from daily, 4 hours, 1 hour, and 15 minutes.
Daily——Assessing the overall trend
Trend: As shown in Figure 1
The price is in a descending channel, struggling to rebound after multiple tests of the lower boundary. Currently oscillating near the 61.8%–78.6% Fibonacci level of the 2025 high retracement (approximately $65,000–$68,000).
Indicators:
MACD: Death cross continues downward, with the histogram expanding or maintaining negative values.
Volume-Price Relationship:
During the recent decline, volume has clearly increased, while the rebound is weak, likely a result of short covering, with reduced volume during the rebound, exhibiting classic weak characteristics of price decline with increased volume and price increase with decreased volume.
4 Hours——Medium-term trend assessment As shown in Figure 2
Key levels: Resistance above at $67,000–$68,500, support below at $65,340–$66,000. If broken, it may accelerate due to panic selling caused by long liquidations.
Volume-Price: The volume during the decline has significantly increased, while it has shrunk during the rebound, indicating that the bulls are weak and the bears still hold the initiative.
Conclusion: The 4H remains weak with bearish oscillations, if it rebounds to $67,800–$68,500, a small short position can be taken. If it cannot break out with increased volume, it is highly likely to continue to probe down to $65,340 or even lower.
1 Hour——Short-term level
Structure: Short-term box oscillation: $65,340–$68,000 range.
Volume-Price: Volume has clearly increased during the decline, but is insufficient during the rebound. A typical volume-price divergence characteristic (price slightly rises but volume decreases), indicating weak willingness for spot buying.
Conclusion: The 1H short-term shows a need for oversold rebound, but as long as it does not break above $68,000–$68,500 with increased volume, the primary bearish strategy of shorting high and longing low will remain, with most rebounds being profit taking by the bears.
15 Minutes——Ultra-short-term level
Structure: Weak pattern of decline - consolidation - further decline.
Comprehensive volume-price assessment: The most obvious current feature is that there is volume during the decline and no volume during the rise, usually indicating that the trend is still downward, with severely insufficient bullish strength. Unless there is consecutive volume above $70,000 for several days, the strategy will still focus on shorting during rebounds.
The October high point of about $126,000 has retraced over 50%, indicating a clear bear market. The overall market sentiment is leaning towards extreme fear. Below is a technical and volume-price analysis from daily, 4 hours, 1 hour, and 15 minutes.
Daily——Assessing the overall trend
Trend: As shown in Figure 1
The price is in a descending channel, struggling to rebound after multiple tests of the lower boundary. Currently oscillating near the 61.8%–78.6% Fibonacci level of the 2025 high retracement (approximately $65,000–$68,000).
Indicators:
MACD: Death cross continues downward, with the histogram expanding or maintaining negative values.
Volume-Price Relationship:
During the recent decline, volume has clearly increased, while the rebound is weak, likely a result of short covering, with reduced volume during the rebound, exhibiting classic weak characteristics of price decline with increased volume and price increase with decreased volume.
4 Hours——Medium-term trend assessment As shown in Figure 2
Key levels: Resistance above at $67,000–$68,500, support below at $65,340–$66,000. If broken, it may accelerate due to panic selling caused by long liquidations.
Volume-Price: The volume during the decline has significantly increased, while it has shrunk during the rebound, indicating that the bulls are weak and the bears still hold the initiative.
Conclusion: The 4H remains weak with bearish oscillations, if it rebounds to $67,800–$68,500, a small short position can be taken. If it cannot break out with increased volume, it is highly likely to continue to probe down to $65,340 or even lower.
1 Hour——Short-term level
Structure: Short-term box oscillation: $65,340–$68,000 range.
Volume-Price: Volume has clearly increased during the decline, but is insufficient during the rebound. A typical volume-price divergence characteristic (price slightly rises but volume decreases), indicating weak willingness for spot buying.
Conclusion: The 1H short-term shows a need for oversold rebound, but as long as it does not break above $68,000–$68,500 with increased volume, the primary bearish strategy of shorting high and longing low will remain, with most rebounds being profit taking by the bears.
15 Minutes——Ultra-short-term level
Structure: Weak pattern of decline - consolidation - further decline.
Comprehensive volume-price assessment: The most obvious current feature is that there is volume during the decline and no volume during the rise, usually indicating that the trend is still downward, with severely insufficient bullish strength. Unless there is consecutive volume above $70,000 for several days, the strategy will still focus on shorting during rebounds.
Is BTC at 60,000 finally? Sharing views on the past, present, and future
1. Analyze the past market trends
The chart above is the daily chart showing the transition from a bull market to a bear market in the previous round. It can be seen that after reaching the highest point in November 2021, a downward channel trend emerged, followed by a downward continuation pattern. At this point, our profit-making strategy for contracts is to short on rebounds, while spot traders should look for opportunities to dollar-cost average. Those with patience should wait for signs of a right-side bottom.
2. Analyze the current market in conjunction with the previous chart
As the saying goes, history tends to repeat itself, but it does not simply repeat. The accumulation phase in this round should be shorter, and the downward continuation phase lasted only a brief period. Therefore, we need to analyze rationally, avoiding FOMO and FUD. In a bull market, many people say that ETFs are coming, institutions are coming, and the BTC cycle has been broken. What happened? Institutions sold at a loss, and retail investors were scared away, surrendering their holdings.
The chart above is the daily chart showing the transition from a bull market to a bear market in the previous round. It can be seen that after reaching the highest point in November 2021, a downward channel trend emerged, followed by a downward continuation pattern. At this point, our profit-making strategy for contracts is to short on rebounds, while spot traders should look for opportunities to dollar-cost average. Those with patience should wait for signs of a right-side bottom.
2. Analyze the current market in conjunction with the previous chart
As the saying goes, history tends to repeat itself, but it does not simply repeat. The accumulation phase in this round should be shorter, and the downward continuation phase lasted only a brief period. Therefore, we need to analyze rationally, avoiding FOMO and FUD. In a bull market, many people say that ETFs are coming, institutions are coming, and the BTC cycle has been broken. What happened? Institutions sold at a loss, and retail investors were scared away, surrendering their holdings.
On February 6th, according to Definalist, a core member of Dumpster DAO, employees of the South Korean cryptocurrency exchange Bithumb mistakenly distributed 2000 BTC instead of the intended 2000 KRW as rewards, causing hundreds of users to unexpectedly receive this airdrop.
As a result of this incident, the price of Bitcoin on the Bithumb platform temporarily dropped by 10% compared to other markets.
This world is really a makeshift stage 😂😂$BTC #Bithumb
As a result of this incident, the price of Bitcoin on the Bithumb platform temporarily dropped by 10% compared to other markets.
This world is really a makeshift stage 😂😂$BTC #Bithumb
The bear market has arrived. How can we maximize returns?!
1. Maintain a positive mindset
Stop checking the market every day, turn off the price alerts, and just look once a week or once a month. The more often you look, the easier it is to fall into FOMO or FUD, leading to selling at the bottom or buying at the top. Remember this: retail investors make money in a bear market, while institutions make money in a bull market. The time when retail investors can actually make money is precisely in a bear market. Why? Because the accumulation process in a bear market is often fluctuating, and retail investors can buy low and sell high based on this pattern.
2. Dollar-cost averaging and holding long-term
According to historical data, those who bought in the bear markets of 2018 and 2022 made significant profits in the bull market. This applies only to spot trading; contracts are more easily affected by black swan events and may experience price spikes. In a bear market, use the money that you don't need temporarily and that has little impact on your life, and invest it regularly on a weekly or monthly basis. If conditions allow, you can transfer it to your cold wallet.
Stop checking the market every day, turn off the price alerts, and just look once a week or once a month. The more often you look, the easier it is to fall into FOMO or FUD, leading to selling at the bottom or buying at the top. Remember this: retail investors make money in a bear market, while institutions make money in a bull market. The time when retail investors can actually make money is precisely in a bear market. Why? Because the accumulation process in a bear market is often fluctuating, and retail investors can buy low and sell high based on this pattern.
2. Dollar-cost averaging and holding long-term
According to historical data, those who bought in the bear markets of 2018 and 2022 made significant profits in the bull market. This applies only to spot trading; contracts are more easily affected by black swan events and may experience price spikes. In a bear market, use the money that you don't need temporarily and that has little impact on your life, and invest it regularly on a weekly or monthly basis. If conditions allow, you can transfer it to your cold wallet.
Just finished analyzing the event of sharing 40 million USD WLFI
$USD1 a new event has come
$WLFI what a big deal
Trade 500 USD for 1 trading pair
You can get a low guarantee of 12-72 of $WLFI
You can brush BTC/USD for 1 BNB/USD for 1 trading pair
This way the wear and tear is relatively low
The trading volume is the sum of buys and sells
Different from alpha
Only buying is counted
Now 75,000 shares
Only about 23,000 shares are left
Hold on tight, everyone #下任美联储主席会是谁？ #usd1积分计划
$USD1 a new event has come
$WLFI what a big deal
Trade 500 USD for 1 trading pair
You can get a low guarantee of 12-72 of $WLFI
You can brush BTC/USD for 1 BNB/USD for 1 trading pair
This way the wear and tear is relatively low
The trading volume is the sum of buys and sells
Different from alpha
Only buying is counted
Now 75,000 shares
Only about 23,000 shares are left
Hold on tight, everyone #下任美联储主席会是谁？ #usd1积分计划
Today let's calculate
The yield from participating with USD1
In the activity that shares $WLFI
This morning WLFI officially announced x
The minted $USD1 has reached 5 billion
Below are the yields corresponding to the USD1 participating in the activity
10% 96%
20% 48%
30% 24%
40% 12%
50% 6%
60% 3%
The current interest rate on the wealth management page is 8.24%
Since the first distribution was on February 2nd
And the wealth management account cannot participate in this activity
So everyone can check after the distribution
Which is more suitable
And choose the one with the highest interest
Of course, if you can track on-chain
That is more suitable for this
Based on the inflow of USD1 into Binance exchange
Analyze whether wealth management or this activity is more suitable
#WLFI #瓜分4000万美元WLFI
{spot}(WLFIUSDT)
The yield from participating with USD1
In the activity that shares $WLFI
This morning WLFI officially announced x
The minted $USD1 has reached 5 billion
Below are the yields corresponding to the USD1 participating in the activity
10% 96%
20% 48%
30% 24%
40% 12%
50% 6%
60% 3%
The current interest rate on the wealth management page is 8.24%
Since the first distribution was on February 2nd
And the wealth management account cannot participate in this activity
So everyone can check after the distribution
Which is more suitable
And choose the one with the highest interest
Of course, if you can track on-chain
That is more suitable for this
Based on the inflow of USD1 into Binance exchange
Analyze whether wealth management or this activity is more suitable
#WLFI #瓜分4000万美元WLFI
{spot}(WLFIUSDT)
Today let's calculate
The yield from participating with USD1
In the activity that shares $WLFI
This morning WLFI officially announced x
The minted $USD1 has reached 5 billion
Below are the yields corresponding to the USD1 participating in the activity
10% 96%
20% 48%
30% 24%
40% 12%
50% 6%
60% 3%
The current interest rate on the wealth management page is 8.24%
Since the first distribution was on February 2nd
And the wealth management account cannot participate in this activity
So everyone can check after the distribution
Which is more suitable
And choose the one with the highest interest
Of course, if you can track on-chain
That is more suitable for this
Based on the inflow of USD1 into Binance exchange
Analyze whether wealth management or this activity is more suitable
#WLFI #瓜分4000万美元WLFI
The yield from participating with USD1
In the activity that shares $WLFI
This morning WLFI officially announced x
The minted $USD1 has reached 5 billion
Below are the yields corresponding to the USD1 participating in the activity
10% 96%
20% 48%
30% 24%
40% 12%
50% 6%
60% 3%
The current interest rate on the wealth management page is 8.24%
Since the first distribution was on February 2nd
And the wealth management account cannot participate in this activity
So everyone can check after the distribution
Which is more suitable
And choose the one with the highest interest
Of course, if you can track on-chain
That is more suitable for this
Based on the inflow of USD1 into Binance exchange
Analyze whether wealth management or this activity is more suitable
#WLFI #瓜分4000万美元WLFI
Recently
collaborating with $WLFI
meme launch platform
axiom exchange
released the dog-fighting trading competition
using $USD1
ranked by positive returns
weekly awarding the top 50 traders
200,000 dollars in rewards
#USD1交易赛
collaborating with $WLFI
meme launch platform
axiom exchange
released the dog-fighting trading competition
using $USD1
ranked by positive returns
weekly awarding the top 50 traders
200,000 dollars in rewards
#USD1交易赛
Is the mouth writing dead?
I don't think so
It should be AI-generated fluff
Dead
Those who can truly write good articles will become more sought after
In the current bear market
The most important thing is to
Find good articles to learn from
And follow quality bloggers to improve oneself
Recently, the person in charge of x
Posted similar projects like $KAITO
On x, such mouth writing projects
Will no longer be allowed
This means that x, filled with garbage AI tweets,
Will become cleaner
At the same time, both x and Binance Square
Officially announced the article incentive program
x announced a reward of 1 million dollars
And Binance is not to be outdone
Launched the
100 BNB Hero Invitation Plan
10 days, rewarding 10 BNB each day
#100BNBFREE #100BNB英雄帖 #KAITO
$BNB
I don't think so
It should be AI-generated fluff
Dead
Those who can truly write good articles will become more sought after
In the current bear market
The most important thing is to
Find good articles to learn from
And follow quality bloggers to improve oneself
Recently, the person in charge of x
Posted similar projects like $KAITO
On x, such mouth writing projects
Will no longer be allowed
This means that x, filled with garbage AI tweets,
Will become cleaner
At the same time, both x and Binance Square
Officially announced the article incentive program
x announced a reward of 1 million dollars
And Binance is not to be outdone
Launched the
100 BNB Hero Invitation Plan
10 days, rewarding 10 BNB each day
#100BNBFREE #100BNB英雄帖 #KAITO
$BNB
Hurry up!
Used $ETH on-chain for
gas fee
Do it
Free
12M financing project @ETHGAS
Snapshot on the 19th
Link your own wallet
Identify the total gas consumed for points
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
#EthGasFees
Used $ETH on-chain for
gas fee
Do it
Free
12M financing project @ETHGAS
Snapshot on the 19th
Link your own wallet
Identify the total gas consumed for points
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
#EthGasFees
Hurry up!
Used $ETH on-chain for
gas fee
Do it
Free
12M financing project @ETHGAS
Snapshot on the 19th
Link your own wallet
Identify the total gas consumed for points
#EthGasFees
Used $ETH on-chain for
gas fee
Do it
Free
12M financing project @ETHGAS
Snapshot on the 19th
Link your own wallet
Identify the total gas consumed for points
#EthGasFees
Not participated yet? Don't participate now
Rewards were redeemed in advance
Too bad
One chance remains
One chance gives 250 of $HOME
Already recovered costs
Looking forward to the next one
Rewards were redeemed in advance
Too bad
One chance remains
One chance gives 250 of $HOME
Already recovered costs
Looking forward to the next one
This spot raffle transaction $HOME
activity
How much did everyone win?
I won 2 x 100
1 x 250
The rest are all 5s
Still have 3 chances left to draw
Those who haven't participated have only two days left
Basically everyone can draw twice per day
Just need to reach 1000$USDT in transaction volume
With a 0.1% spot fee
That's just $1
You basically break even after winning 41
Win one 100
The rest are all profit
Market conditions are average
This small incentive, everyone should join in
Binance is still very generous
This time it's 10 million
Equivalent to $250,000
{spot}(HOMEUSDT)
#Home
activity
How much did everyone win?
I won 2 x 100
1 x 250
The rest are all 5s
Still have 3 chances left to draw
Those who haven't participated have only two days left
Basically everyone can draw twice per day
Just need to reach 1000$USDT in transaction volume
With a 0.1% spot fee
That's just $1
You basically break even after winning 41
Win one 100
The rest are all profit
Market conditions are average
This small incentive, everyone should join in
Binance is still very generous
This time it's 10 million
Equivalent to $250,000
{spot}(HOMEUSDT)
#Home
This spot raffle transaction $HOME
activity
How much did everyone win?
I won 2 x 100
1 x 250
The rest are all 5s
Still have 3 chances left to draw
Those who haven't participated have only two days left
Basically everyone can draw twice per day
Just need to reach 1000$USDT in transaction volume
With a 0.1% spot fee
That's just $1
You basically break even after winning 41
Win one 100
The rest are all profit
Market conditions are average
This small incentive, everyone should join in
Binance is still very generous
This time it's 10 million
Equivalent to $250,000
#Home
activity
How much did everyone win?
I won 2 x 100
1 x 250
The rest are all 5s
Still have 3 chances left to draw
Those who haven't participated have only two days left
Basically everyone can draw twice per day
Just need to reach 1000$USDT in transaction volume
With a 0.1% spot fee
That's just $1
You basically break even after winning 41
Win one 100
The rest are all profit
Market conditions are average
This small incentive, everyone should join in
Binance is still very generous
This time it's 10 million
Equivalent to $250,000
#Home
The current opinions seem to be favorable $BTC ah 😂
Opinion 1: Strike against Venezuela, replace with a pro-American president, control oil, reduce domestic inflation in the U.S., beneficial for interest rate cuts, favorable for Bitcoin
Opinion 2: Strike against Venezuela, beneficial for Trump to win the midterm elections, continue to inject liquidity and cut interest rates, favorable for Bitcoin
Opinion 3: Please everyone brainstorm and share your thoughts
In the end, just a reminder, currently bullish, but don't fomo #委内瑞拉
Opinion 1: Strike against Venezuela, replace with a pro-American president, control oil, reduce domestic inflation in the U.S., beneficial for interest rate cuts, favorable for Bitcoin
Opinion 2: Strike against Venezuela, beneficial for Trump to win the midterm elections, continue to inject liquidity and cut interest rates, favorable for Bitcoin
Opinion 3: Please everyone brainstorm and share your thoughts
In the end, just a reminder, currently bullish, but don't fomo #委内瑞拉
Attention all holders of $WLFI
The WLFI official has initiated a vote
Intended to unlock WLFI
Accelerate the popularity of $USD1
What the official means is to sell WLFI?
Combined with the recent 20% interest on USD1
And collaborating with bonk
This meme launch platform
There may be some action on-chain
Recently the on-chain activity has been too dry
In urgent need of a hotspot to attract funds and traffic
Recently, the WLFI official also mentioned
That an APP will be launched in the first quarter
What does everyone think, is it hype to offload or is it a serious effort
To increase the value of the token?
#WLFI #USD1
The WLFI official has initiated a vote
Intended to unlock WLFI
Accelerate the popularity of $USD1
What the official means is to sell WLFI?
Combined with the recent 20% interest on USD1
And collaborating with bonk
This meme launch platform
There may be some action on-chain
Recently the on-chain activity has been too dry
In urgent need of a hotspot to attract funds and traffic
Recently, the WLFI official also mentioned
That an APP will be launched in the first quarter
What does everyone think, is it hype to offload or is it a serious effort
To increase the value of the token?
#WLFI #USD1
All pre-registered individuals will receive 5 tokens $TRUMP
Participants with multiple accounts will be penalized
25u is equivalent to consuming alpha once
Participants with multiple accounts will be penalized
25u is equivalent to consuming alpha once
Value of 1 million u: $TRUMP
Official Trump meme
Personally retweeted by
Register now
To share in the value of 1 million Trump
{spot}(TRUMPUSDT)
Official Trump meme
Personally retweeted by
Register now
To share in the value of 1 million Trump
{spot}(TRUMPUSDT)
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