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BTC Market Research Report | March 29, 2026

Market Review

This week, BTC continued to be weak, with a single-day drop of 4.32% on Wednesday evening, falling from 69485 all the way down to 65714, marking one of the largest single-day declines since this round of drop began. The following two days saw low volatility in the range of 65560 to 67300, with today’s early report at 66688, showing a slight rebound but limited strength. From a daily structure perspective, the decline from the March 17 high of 76012 is about 12.3%, and the overall downward trend remains unchanged, with high and low points continuing to move lower.

Technical Key Levels

Current price is 66688, with a dense resistance zone above at 67500 to 68000, which is the resistance area for this week’s rebound; strong resistance remains at 70000 to 70500. The first support below is 65500 to 65800 (the low point area of March 27); the core key support is at the integer level of 65000. If this level is effectively broken, the downside space extends to 63000 to 63800.

The 4H structure shows that since the low point of 65714, there has been a descending consolidation pattern, with high points continuously lowering (67300→67020→66917), which is a typical characteristic of a weak rebound.

Funding Data

Fear and Greed Index is 9 (Extreme Fear), continuously in an extremely low region; funding rate for BTC is 0.0021% (nearly neutral), ETH is -0.0004%, with both long and short sides not overly leveraged, and the market is dominated by a wait-and-see sentiment.

Operational Thoughts

The core observation point in the current market: whether the range of 65000 to 65800 can be maintained. If this range continues to show weak volatility, the main strategy is to stay on the sidelines, neither blindly shorting nor bottom-fishing; aggressive strategies can focus on shorting opportunities after price rebounds to the range of 67500 to 68000, with a stop loss at 68500, targeting 65800, and if it breaks below 65500, holding to 63500.

If the integer level of 65000 breaks with volume, then follow the trend to short, without trying to catch the bottom.

Medium-term Outlook

From a larger time frame perspective, this round of decline has retraced about 36% from the high point, and in terms of time dimension, it has not yet undergone a sufficient bottom consolidation period. Historical major bottoms often require a longer bottoming period to digest positions, and currently, the probability of a direct reversal is low. The medium-term maintains a bearish pattern, waiting for clearer bottom signals to appear before adjusting strategies.

Disclaimer

The above is a personal research record and does not constitute investment advice. Please take risks on your own when making decisions.

#BTC #Bitcoin #MarketAnalysis #March29

G~

Ten Years in the Cryptocurrency World: Surviving is More Important than Making Quick Money! After all, one day in the crypto world is like ten years in the human world!

Having been in the cryptocurrency space for ten years, I have seen people become rich overnight and also witnessed others get liquidated. Newcomers, especially those trading contracts, must remember these lessons learned through losses.

1. Trading Mindset and Timing
The market is restless during the day, so don't trade recklessly; late at night is more rational and suitable for assessing trends. Don't be greedy with profits, secure your gains in a timely manner; don't trade based on feelings, establish a trading system using candlesticks and volume, and execute it strictly.

2. Risk Control and Techniques
Always set stop-loss and take-profit orders when exiting, as black swan events can occur in the crypto world at any time; unrealized gains are not real profits, only withdrawals are. Use small timeframes for fluctuations and large timeframes to determine direction; during sideways markets, observe more and act less, only take the middle profits.

3. Long-term Survival Principles
Only trade strong coins, do not go against the trend; do not chase after surges, instead, lay low during sideways movements. Reduced volume during sideways trading often signals a change; follow hot trends with light positions and never go all in. Trade less during bear markets and stick to weekly reviews.

4. Core Position Management
Control single trade losses to 2%-4% of your principal; position sizes are more conservative than in the stock market. In bull markets, maintain a position of 50%-70%, and in bear markets, keep it below 30%, building positions in batches and determining position sizes based on stop-loss levels.
Avoid emotional trading; if you incur three consecutive losses, immediately stop and review.

The cryptocurrency market is never short of opportunities; what it lacks are people with capital when the opportunities arise. Good risk control and proper position management are essential for going further.

Trump should go make movies
The best screenwriter
The best talk show host
It seems this weekend will not be peaceful again

According to CNN, the Pentagon has developed multiple plans to study the possibility of deploying ground troops inside Iran and seizing multiple targets.

Yesterday it was said that this is not a position to chase shorts, wait for a rebound. $BTC

The market is also very cooperative—there is no rebound, just a continued downward grind. Today's low touched 68153, and the current price is hovering around 69000, unable to go higher, nor has there been a significant breakdown.

This kind of movement has a name, called "grinding people down".

It's not a big drop, it doesn't give the thrill of shorting; no rebound, it doesn't provide the opportunity to bottom fish. It's just wearing down both sides' emotions, and then finding a time when no one is paying attention to choose a direction.

During this time, the most common mistake is "not being able to resist". Either bottom fishing near support or chasing shorts without a clear signal.

The common point of these two operations is: neither is waiting for structure, both are driven by emotion.

The real structure hasn't been given yet.

Looking upwards, 70000 to 70500 is currently the most valuable area for entering short positions. If the rebound can't get above here, then we can only continue to wait, we cannot chase; looking downwards, around 68000 is short-term support, once it effectively breaks, 67300 is the next target, and then comes the 66000 we've always mentioned.

But at the current position—between 68000 and 69000—neither side has an absolute advantage, which is precisely the least suitable time to place heavy bets.

Wait until the direction is clear, don't gamble on "possibilities".

The market gives money under conditions: patience is one of the most important ones.

#BTC #比特币 #Market Analysis📈

Today, Bitcoin has once again crashed and wiped out a large number of long positions. Even if it drops to 61000, it can only wipe out over 1.3 billion long positions; but if it rises to 76000, it can wipe out 2.2 billion short positions. The recent market has been fluctuating back and forth, repeatedly killing long and short positions. Now that the long positions have been almost wiped out, how will the manipulators operate next? ​​​​
#特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争

The strongest storage sector in the US stock market has been shattered, whether it's MU or SNDK, both have fallen badly.

1. $BTC has fallen along with the US stock market, yesterday it seemed able to hold at 71000, but before long it broke below 70000, currently near 68500, take it easy, the weekend is coming soon;

2. $ETH has moved along with Bitcoin, basically no independent market;

3. $SOL has turned around and returned to 85, can only say that the big brother and second brother are not strong;

4. Fannie Mae has accepted cryptocurrency mortgage loans for the first time, homebuyers can use Bitcoin and other crypto assets as down payment;

5. OKX has postponed its US IPO, emphasizing long-term shareholder returns and global liquidity layout;

Ah oh, this is to realize the wish of star that has been pending for who knows how long?

6. Ethereum Hegota's upgrade is not a priority to include Frame Transactions due to complexity disputes;

7. Brazil has passed a new law allowing the confiscation and disposal of crypto assets for public safety;

8. Trump: We are having very substantial negotiations with Iran, I will announce a new negotiation "deadline";

Trump: Iran is begging to reach an agreement;

Iran: A large number of Iranian youths are calling for combat, the US invasion is suicide;

Iran: There are currently no arrangements for negotiations, any dialogue plans at this stage seem unrealistic;

taco has reached its ultimate form;

9. US Treasury Secretary Yellen: The dollar is appreciating, capital is flowing in;

Everyone is worried you raised interest rates, can it not flow in;

10. CryptoQuant: The long-term holder profit metric for BTC has fallen below 1.0, the market may show signs of surrender;

-------------
Seeing those in the crypto circle who are speculating in the US stock market start to panic, can only say that the Taiwan stock market is still too authoritative, because it's rare for crypto veterans to find a place to intervene
#美伊和谈陷僵局

Close position! Off work!

Perfect, it's another day of eating meat!

$ETH Ether has gained great value! Still, as Bing Tang said, large positions should be exited in batches! Aggressively take below 2k!
#美伊和谈陷僵局

The value of this short position is still rising!! Brothers, those with large positions should exit in batches. Once we reach the target range, we are victorious!✌️
#美伊和谈陷僵局

$SOL has also reached the target, everyone, let's go in batches!

The short positions have been realized.
Currently, $BTC has fallen below 70,000, with a low of 69,903; $ETH has also declined, with a low of 2,113. The direction is completely consistent, and the rhythm is clear.
Shorting is not about betting on direction, it's about waiting for structure. There is pressure above, the bulls are weak, and there is no strong support below, so short positions naturally profit.
Pay attention to the range of 69,500 to 69,000 below; if a stabilization signal appears here, partial profit-taking can be considered; if it continues to decline with volume, then hold positions near 68,800.
Continue to hold short positions and patiently wait for the structure.

Brothers $BTC The short position of the pancake can be exited in batches!
Angrily ate two thousand dollars!

Trump's 48-hour ultimatum is more of a political show put on for voters, rather than a genuine intention to confront Iran. He knows very well that oil prices exceeding $100 would be political suicide for the president.

However, Iran no longer believes in America's promises, has a very low willingness to negotiate, and is more likely to retaliate first before discussing anything else.

Many people think that Iran will rely on raising oil prices to crush the US stock market, but this is not realistic. The United States is already an energy powerhouse; while high oil prices are detrimental to consumption, they are beneficial for the domestic energy sector, which is not enough to directly collapse the US stock market.

The key issue is not whether to strike, but how hard to strike.

Trump wants a tough persona, not a full-scale war; Iran also will not go all-in and will not easily block shipping lanes or attack energy facilities to ruin its own future.

It is more likely to be small-scale friction, proxy conflicts, and localized escalations, with both sides keeping the situation tense but not collapsing, competing on who can better control the rhythm.

As for whether he dares to blow up a power plant risking a collapse of the US stock market? The answer is very realistic: gestures will be made, but he will never truly crash the market #特朗普缓和局势 .

$SOL
In the 4-hour trend, the Bollinger Bands for SOL continue to diverge downward, with prices consistently under pressure below the middle band, facing strong resistance on multiple rebounds and showing difficulty for bulls to gain momentum; the moving average system is in a clear bearish arrangement, with short-term moving averages continuously suppressing prices, leaving very limited room for upward rebounds; the KDJ indicator has been running downward since a dead cross at a high position, with bearish momentum still strong, and the overall bearish pattern remains unchanged.

Although there is a slight expectation for a short-term rebound, the overall trend is weak, and the rebound strength is limited, making it more suitable for a primarily short position without blindly attempting to catch the bottom for long positions.

Operational Suggestions

Short in batches in the 92-95 range, targeting around 88-84, and if broken, can continue to look down to 80, strictly manage risk and go with the trend.
#特朗普缓和局势

$ENA ENA
For two consecutive days of significant increases: yesterday +7.40%, today +10.11%, cumulatively rising from 0.0916 to 0.1099. The volume and price are in harmony, and the daily structure is healthy.

ENA is the token of the USDe synthetic stablecoin protocol, supported by real business, not purely driven by sentiment. The funding rate is +0.0050%, neutral. The recent revival of the DeFi narrative is a catalyst, and the expectation for the fee switch mechanism is also fermenting.

Long strategy: Enter on a pullback to 0.095 to 0.100, stop loss at 0.090, target between 0.125 and 0.130

$SIREN Suddenly raising is for a reason, taking advantage of your inattention at midnight to directly crash the market and explode the bulls. This move can be said to be toying with retail investors, pushing the market up during the day to give you hope for an increase, and secretly crashing it at night, making you feel worse than eating a fly! In the end, it's all about the operator not treating people right! #SİREN