Trump's 48-hour ultimatum is more of a political show put on

Trump's 48-hour ultimatum is more of a political show put on for voters, rather than a genuine intention to confront Iran. He knows very well that oil prices exceeding $100 would be political suicide for the president.
However, Iran no longer believes in America's promises, has a very low willingness to negotiate, and is more likely to retaliate first before discussing anything else.
Many people think that Iran will rely on raising oil prices to crush the US stock market, but this is not realistic. The United States is already an energy powerhouse; while high oil prices are detrimental to consumption, they are beneficial for the domestic energy sector, which is not enough to directly collapse the US stock market.
The key issue is not whether to strike, but how hard to strike.
Trump wants a tough persona, not a full-scale war; Iran also will not go all-in and will not easily block shipping lanes or attack energy facilities to ruin its own future.
It is more likely to be small-scale friction, proxy conflicts, and localized escalations, with both sides keeping the situation tense but not collapsing, competing on who can better control the rhythm.
As for whether he dares to blow up a power plant risking a collapse of the US stock market? The answer is very realistic: gestures will be made, but he will never truly crash the market #特朗普缓和局势  .

.css-1iqe90x{box-sizing:border-box;margin:0;min-width:0;color:#EAECEF;}Trump's 48-hour ultimatum is more of a political show put on for voters, rather than a genuine intention to confront Iran. He knows very well that oil prices exceeding $100 would be political suicide for the president.

Trump's 48-hour ultimatum is more of a political show put on for voters, rather than a genuine intention to confront Iran. He knows very well that oil prices exceeding $100 would be political suicide for the president.