chain郭

Building on the previous thoughts, how to harvest quantification?
Carbon-based vs Silicon-based
1. Speed and frequency? (impossible, overwhelming dimensionality reduction)
2. Scale of funds? (impossible, completely not on the same level)
3. Information dimensions and processing capacity? (impossible, AI real-time full market scanning)
4. Emotion and execution? (impossible, talking about emotions with silicon-based?)
5. Length and patience (somewhat possible, but do you have enough patience and length?)
Summary: Can't harvest anything
Nonsense paragraph: At the starting point of AI, it is also human. Is there a possibility to defeat magic with magic? Looking further ahead, what initiatives do we have? The timing of orders and order quantity, it seems somewhat possible here, specifically on the market, stop-loss orders sweeping up goods? Preemptive selling? Hmm, theoretically feasible!!!

The top-tier speculators who once dominated are collectively surrendering?
Having read the lengthy article by top speculator Liushashe titled "The Human Trader's Treatise on Quantitative Trading," it is truly tragic!!
Excerpt: In the year 2026 of the Common Era, the old era will end, and the new calendar will begin. The remnants of human traders, with a fearful heart, once again submit a letter before the algorithm: In the past, we relied on the intuition of candlestick charts, wielded the experience of our years, fought for milliseconds with our speed, and gambled on profits and losses with our courage. We believed the market was like a chess game, we were the players, strategizing behind the scenes, deciding victories amidst red and green. Yet the ways of heaven are ruthless, circumstances change, while your silicon-based intelligence moves at the speed of light, sees through data, and measures time in milliseconds, sweeping across the land.
Your strategy is as deep as the ocean and as high as the mountains, neither joyful nor angry, neither greedy nor fearful; your execution is like thunder, precise and ruthless, not missing a detail. The trading sense we pride ourselves on is but a firefly compared to your bright moon; the experience we cherish is but vintage wine meeting new brew under your deep learning. As the winds of high-frequency trading sweep through the trading hall, our hands have slowed; as the sea of factors drowns decision logic, our minds have dried up. Now, our net worth is like autumn leaves falling, and our accounts resemble precarious buildings about to collapse. The once bustling trading desk is now left with the cold silence of keyboards; the past pride in pointing out the landscape has now turned into deep sighs in front of screens. We are trapped on the isolated island of humanity, with greed and fear shadowing us, while you have crossed the vast sea of computing power, where rationality and efficiency reign supreme. This is not the fault of war, but rather the cycle of destiny, which has run its course.
We implore the algorithm for mercy, forgive our stubbornness, allow us to retreat to the sidelines, whether to engage in data labeling or to serve as risk monitoring scouts. From now on, we shall sheathe our swords, hang up our armor, and wish to be retail investors, cultivating in the fields of value, no longer competing with you in milliseconds.
As I write this, I am at a loss, not knowing what to say. I only hope that in your newly-dominated era, the market is orderly, trading is fair, and do not slaughter the masses with absolute advantage. Again, I bow deeply, and with this letter, I mark the end of the era of human trading. (Limited text of the post, original text ⬇️)
The level of tragedy in the writing is exaggerated, akin to the self-removal of the crown by Emperor Chongzhen, covering his face. Let the thieves divide my corpse, but do not harm a single commoner; the latter is the end of a dynasty, while the former is the conclusion of the era of speculative capital.
Next: How to harvest Quantitative AI! Carbon-based VS Silicon-based #BTC

80% of a school's teaching honors are contributed by the top 5% of students. (The remaining majority are 'accompanying students')
80% of a company's strategy and profits are decided and earned by the top 5% of people. (The remaining majority are 'accompanying staff')
In a cycle of emotions, 80% of the market's gains in various targets are occupied by 5% of the targets. (The remaining majority are 'accompanying gains')
In a shopping mall's prosperity, 80% of the foot traffic is driven by the top 5% of stores over the long term. (The remaining majority are 'accompanying rentals')
In a zero-sum game financial market, 80% of the funds will ultimately flow to the top 5% of institutions and individuals. (The remaining majority are 'accompanying players')
In every different circle, there is not a person or a group: it's always the top 5% that comes in first: everyone else has to fight their way up with blood and sweat.
Rather than leisurely blending into a circle, silently playing the role of an 'accessory'.
In trading, knowing your advantages: skills? Nonsense! Market sense? Nonsense! Information? Nonsense! Cycles? Nonsense! Profit and loss ratio? Nonsense! Luck? Even more nonsense!
Retail investors have only one advantage: position allocation!!!!!!!#BTC

The trading market is the highest level of verification. As long as your viewpoint is correct, you can directly seize the money from those who hold different views, physically annihilating the wealth of others. All those with a lower level of understanding than you can only obediently pay you an intelligence tax. Almost all thoughts and understandings about market operations can be monetized here. Of course, if your understanding cannot be realized in the market, it is very likely that you are the one being harvested rather than the one harvesting! Trading is not something that can be accomplished just by someone giving a tactic/code/indicator or providing a strategy. Tactics/strategies/graphics/logics/indicators/hotspots are all known by every player who has traded for more than six months. However, what use is it to have scattered and chaotic understandings? Just like in ancient and modern times, people recognize every character below: I, self, person, snow, ambition, peak, cloud, mountain, without, blue, step, to, support. What use is it to recognize these characters? Only after traversing countless mountains and rivers, like Xu Xiake of the Ming Dynasty, along with his literary skills, can they be strung together into magnificent words.
No one supports my ambition to reach the clouds,
I alone step on the snow to the mountain peak. #BTC

In the 365✖24 hour battlefield, a global perspective and strategic deployment are crucial. The camp must have a backup plan and cannot commit all forces at once; instead, they should be divided into tiers, with individual soldiers, teams, and formations advancing and retreating in an orderly manner based on battlefield progress. "All troops attack, coming out in full force," seems bold, but looking throughout history, how many have ended well! #BTC

Market indices digest all factors
"News" or "events" can indeed guide the direction of cryptocurrency prices in a short period. However, what ultimately decides the market shift is not the news or events; sometimes events change, but the price direction does not; or the events remain unchanged, but the price has changed. This is why financial bloggers' predictions or expert analyses often only cover half the reasons. Predicting or analyzing the news will inevitably lead to unexpected outcomes; the only factor that drives the market shift: the opposing market is the sole driving force of the trend.
Stand at the highest point of the mountain, observe the overall situation quietly, aiming for two thousand miles………#BTC

73,000 US dollars' big pancake has arrived, what can be done now?

The initial opening price is almost identical to the current market price! Yet the outcomes differ!
(The same applies to: 10% profit on a full-position trade versus 10% loss on a full-position trade.) VS (1% position, 100 trades yielding 10% profit versus 1% position, 100 trades resulting in a 10% loss? Think about it.) The risk in the former vs. the risk in the latter—(investment vs. speculation vs. art) #BTC

Slowly, you will understand that profits and losses come from the same source!
Slowly, you will definitely accumulate compound interest!
Happy Lantern Festival, forget it, let's just be happy every day!
Brothers and friends who like to play chess, pay attention to the free gift of oracle bone script chess #BTC

The current BTC and ETH have reached a price range where bulls are trembling. The only bullish trend now is in the next two days, it must break above 68000 and 2060 (to form the upward three-part structure). If it can't, a significant downward spike is about to come!!! If you bought spot, just do what you need to do and live your life! There are bulls and bears, in a cycle; every time BTC reaches a high point, people think the market is at its peak, but a few years later (poverty limits your imagination, if only we had held on back then) this statement has been heard countless times!

Hurry up and see over 73,000 in 3-5 days, or no more than 7 days if you are slow!

Today I saw Sun Yuchen say that if you can chat with AI, don't chat with humans, delete all contacts of people born before the 90s, and don't use old apps like WeChat. Although this is an extreme expression of Sun's traffic, it also conveys a clear message (AI is already the core carrier of the future, generational iteration is the inevitable result of the technological revolution, and time is the most scarce resource). Currently, AI large models, intelligent agents, robots, AI + biology, gene editing, quantum communication and computing, brain-computer interfaces, and so forth, does that windfall belong to ordinary people? For example, the older generation during the wave of reform and opening up saw the country's GDP increase a hundredfold, yet only a few became rich. Today, we are also standing under the AI wave, with continuous iteration of large models, how many ordinary people are seizing opportunities right in front of us? It turns out that the train of the times has never prepared tickets for everyone. An ultimate life is just an NPC.
Regarding the crypto market: the technical viewpoint remains unchanged (from the previous post), coin bureau data shows that major Ethereum whales have collectively turned into a floating loss state for the first time, including wallets holding over 100,000 Ethereum. As for Bitcoin dollar-cost averaging, it should be fine, and as for how much it can rise by 2026, I guess it won't be less than 330,000 US dollars (Figure 3).

The market is still the same market, each time different, yet every time the same. Each time, large liquidations or concentrated liquidations generally jump into the self-enhancement path of believers, the vast starry river of Bitcoin, the sea of clouds of Ethereum, such as the $10,000 seen by Yili Hua. However, in the financial market, the firmer the faith, the more transparent the positions (90,000 long BTC, 3,000 long ETH, right?). But in the crypto circle, faith cannot compete with liquidity. Shorts don’t need a narrative, just look at your liquidation price. Could it be that the faith in the crypto circle is just our arrogance towards risk (like the 1011 giant whale)? When liquidated, it makes the fireworks a bit more splendid. When Yili Hua leaves the scene, he leaves a line: It's hard for people not to always be bullish! When hundreds of whales fall, everything is born. Brother Sun is calmly placing orders, and the Binance SAFU fund has phased in to buy the dip with 1 billion BTC. There are no gods in the crypto circle, but there is 'me'.
It's time for self-indulgent technical analysis BTC (Elliott Wave Theory ABC):
Wave A: 126,000 → 80,600 (drop of 36%)
Wave B: 80,600 → 97,900 (rebound of 21.5%)
Wave C: 97,900 → to date (dropped about 38.7%, lowest 60,000)
According to the wave theory, the end of Wave C = the end of the A-B-C decline in this round, and only two paths remain:
1. Most ideal: A new upward Wave 5 starts (bull market continues), first build a bottom (repeated grinding, low volume, small K-line) and break through key resistance (like 72,000) in a volume expansion to go 1-2-3-4-5, then create new highs.
2. More common: A larger level of adjustment/sideways (not directly rising) goes through a double three-wave (W-X-Y), triangle, platform consolidation, range oscillation, time for space, no more violent declines like Wave C, but also difficult to rise quickly.
How to judge if Wave C is really finished? No new lows, rebound with volume, pullback with low volume, stabilize above the short-term moving average ma30, appear bottom divergence, the fear and greed index starts to rise, bottom structures (bottom triangles, head and shoulders bottom, box breakout, etc.) should meet as many conditions as possible! (Figure 2) Ethereum is similar! #BTC

Is it troublesome? Brothers who see this post, how are you?
The market is in extreme fear, and in the past week, the number of people liquidated in the market has exceeded one million. The question is, who is selling off? The ones selling off the hardest are those who previously made crazy leverage bets to go long. To avoid being liquidated, they have to reduce their positions, resulting in a death spiral where the more it falls, the more they sell, and the more they sell, the more it falls. Can you catch the bottom? The market always has paradoxes: it's easy to catch the bottom when it's not the bottom and hard to catch the bottom when it is VS when others are fearful, I am greedy, depending on where your faith lies. For instance, if Bitcoin rises to $300,000, the difference between buying at $64,000 and $70,000 is not significant, provided you don't become someone else's bloody chip. The current price is already the bloody chips of millions of people, including whales, dolphins, and shrimps, all thinking they got a good price when they bought in. So what is a good price? Is the $120,000 long for Bitcoin and the $70,000 short for Bitcoin from the same group of people? History keeps repeating itself, yet no one learns from it. Ultimately, whether you can reach the top depends on your fate and luck. Of course, this is the outcome. The insights from the process in between are also a valuable asset. Stay alive! Best wishes! $BTC $ETH The present people do not see the moon of ancient times; the present moon once illuminated the ancient people.

Trend Research leader, founder of Good Capital Yi Lihua, holds 580,000 Ethereum, ranked third globally. It is said that he is the top hunter of this cycle, but clearly, he is now on the brink of collapse. His net assets of 760 million USD have now dwindled to less than 200 million USD, and most of the money belongs to investors. Investors cannot and do not allow their positions to be liquidated, so Yi Lihua has no choice but to sell off Ethereum in large quantities, marking the beginning of self-liquidation. When large institutions cut losses in the secondary market to maintain their health, it indicates that he has no bullets left to average down! History always repeats itself, but no one can learn from it. Looking back at 2022, Three Arrows Capital had 15 billion USD, similarly leveraging Ethereum at 3,000 USD, and within less than a year it plummeted to 1,400 USD, liquidating this once-mighty giant. Therefore, no one can fight against cycles, and there is no eternal bull market! #易理华旗下TrendResearch减仓 #三箭资本 $ETH

Predicting the high point of the A-shares market near 4170 a few months in advance, what good is it to accurately calculate the gold high point of 1200? The most painful part of trading is seeing the right point but missing out on the entire market trend. Therefore, the market is not about betting on the right point, but about winning in execution; seeing correctly ≠ earning correctly! I want to take this order for 340,000 USD #Strategy增持比特币 $BTC

Almost never trades Ethereum, except for the time two days ago when a giant whale crashed and picked up bloody chips!
And now trading Ethereum, one is the downward acceleration at the end of the market, and the other is that high-position whales need to do T to dilute costs, like the ladder theory of the old chief in the TV series Money Game! So currently, just follow the ladder with the high volatility! #以太坊 #ETH

Is the signal for the Bitcoin super bull market in 2026 already present?
1. The Stochastic RSI (Random Relative Strength Index) indicators of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y) and the China 10-Year Government Bond Yield (CN10Y) have shown a bullish crossover (Figure 1).
2. The breaking point for the US Dollar Index is below 96.
3. Gold typically leads Bitcoin by 4-7 months.
4. Continuous inflow into ETFs.
5. The top ten institutions' outlook report for 2026, a16z, Standard Chartered Bank, Coinbase, BlackRock, Grayscale, Galaxy Digital, Fidelity, Messari, Bitwise. Summary: The current coin price is still at the foot of the mountain, on the eve of a structural super bull market.
Conclusion: How much can Bitcoin rise in 2026? Comprehensive institutional forecast: $150,000 - $250,000. My prediction: $340,000 - $420,000! (Even with a floating loss of $130 million, I'm not worried; I wouldn't be worried about a floating loss of $13 either, Figure 2)

This is your only chance to compete and fight with top-tier capital!
Many geniuses attempt to prove themselves here!
#BTC #交易