The Market Updates

BREAKING:

Ukraine bombed Russia's 2nd largest oil refinery which produces jet fuel for Russian military.

Ukraine has now disrupted 40% of Russia's total oil export capacity this month.

If you connect the dots, everyone is now suddenly attacking energy infrastructure to crash the global economy.

What if this is the plan for global reset ?

100% sell.
0% buy.

Insiders continue to dump stocks at a record pace.

🚨A whale has opened $17.5 million Oil short position and is already down $1.5 million.

Liquidation Price: $139.25

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Yesterday, U.S officials said this E3 Sentry AWACS plane had been "damaged" by an Iranian missile strike on Prince Sultan airbase in Saudi Arabia.

Looks more than a little damaged to me.

Why this matters: Prior to the attack the U.S had only 16 of these planes and they're essential for battlefield management of complex air operations, such as the one taking place in Iran.

The mission-capable rate for the fleet is roughly 55.6%, meaning only about 8 or 9 aircraft are typically available for missions at any given time.

The E-3 is being phased out in favour of the Boeing E-7A Wedgetail. The Air Force initially planned to acquire 26 E-7As, though recent reports indicate potential program delays, which is never a surprise when Boeing's involved.

Source: WSJ, The War Zone

🚨 BREAKING 🚨

A whale has opened a $41,872,000 $BTC short position with 40x cross leverage.

Liquidation Price: $76,155

🚨READ THIS TILL THE END

USD/JPY has just crossed a Danger Level.

Today, USDJPY pumped above 160 for the first time since July 2024.

This does look like a nothing burger until you remember what happened last time.

In July 2024, USDJPY crossed 160.

Bank of Japan intervened by selling dollars and buying Yen.

This made Yen stronger and caused Yen Carry Trade unwind.

For those who don't know, Japan has been a cheap source of funding for global investors due to low yield.

This started to change in 2024 when BOJ did first rate hike.

When a rate hike happens, Yen usually gets stronger which causes investors to pay more on their debt.

And that's exactly what happened in July 2024 when yen strengthened after BOJ intervention.

In 3-4 weeks, USDJPY dropped almost 13%, which forced investors to sell their assets.

During this timeframe, Bitcoin crashed almost 30% while S&P 500 dumped 10%.

Now if BOJ intervenes again, a similar story could repeat.

Pray for Crypto.

Bitcoin is about to close its sixth consecutive red monthly candle.

The last time Bitcoin did this was 2018. It then went on to print five straight green months.

Are we seeing bullish April ?

Massive short positions are being built.

You know what happens next.

0% Buy.
100% Sell.

Insiders continue to dump stocks at a record pace.

Put yourself in his shoes. How can you trust the other party in the current negotiations?

🇺🇸 $5.2 trillion has been wiped out from the U.S. stock market since the US-Iran war began 27 days ago.

Mr. President, this is too much winning.

🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 Trump has said four to six weeks since February 28.

Rubio just told the G7 it will take longer.

That's not a scheduling update. That's the first senior official publicly breaking from the President's own timeline, at a G7 meeting, in front of every major ally, on the record.

The four to six week promise just expired in public.

SOURCE: BarakRavid

BREAKING YEMEN 🚨: The Houthis 'to make an important announcement in the coming hours.'

The Houthis entering this war, which could involve the shutting of the Bab al-Mandab Strait, crushing the global economy

Source: Rerum Novarum

🚨BREAKING: Bitcoin dominance just dropped to a 6-month low of 58.29%.

The lowest level since Sept 2025.

If it breaks below 58%, we can see some relief rally in altcoins but Bitcoin needs to hold above $66,000 support.

If BTC loses $66,000, it will create more pain for Alts and BTC.D can bounce from support.

Semiconductor manufacturing depends heavily on helium, which has limited storage and is difficult to stockpile.

So if Hormuz disruption chokes off Qatari supply, the clock starts immediately. Best case, ~3–6 months with rationing and recycling.

This is where it gets fun in a deeply inconvenient way: you don’t need to bomb fabs to disrupt chips. You squeeze an invisible input, and production quietly slows, then stalls.

That ripple is brutal for the global economy. Chips sit inside everything, autos, electronics, data centers, industrial equipment.

When fabs slow, factories idle, supply chains seize, and prices climb. The last shortage wiped hundreds of billions off global output. This hits the same nerve, just more directly.

Same pattern as oil, just less obvious. Iran can’t match Western military power, so it targets the system behind it. Energy first, industrial gases next.

Tiny molecule, massive leverage.

Source: Fortune, The Hill

USDJPY above 160.
VIX at 30.
Oil above $98.
MOVE Index above 115.

We’re going to see market crashes you didn’t think were mathematically possible.

🇮🇹🇪🇸🇩🇿 While the Middle East burns, Spain and Italy are rushing to lock Algerian gas as the war disrupts global supply.

Italy is increasing deliveries, with Algeria already covering about 30–35% of its gas and ~20 billion cubic meters flowing yearly.

At the same time, Spain is pushing its pipeline close to full capacity to bring in more Algerian gas.

Algeria is also offering Spain more attractive terms to secure the partnership as competition for supply intensifies.

Europe is already starting to feel the pressure of rising energy prices.

Source: Bloomberg, Energy Connects

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Nouriel Roubini, the economist who predicted the 2008 financial crisis and earned the nickname "Dr. Doom," says there's over a 50% chance the U.S. escalates in Iran.

His reasoning: backing down now causes more damage than pushing forward.

His warning: pushing forward could cause a 1970s-style oil shock.

Dr. Doom thinks the less bad option still ends in a global recession.

Source: DeItaone

🇺🇸 White House aides say Trump is “bored” with Iran.

A senior official:

“[Trump] is getting a little bored with Iran. Not that he regrets it or something, he’s just bored and wants to move on.”

Iran is so last month. Trump is ready for something new… Cuba, perhaps?

Source: MS Now, Clash Report

🩸DUMP:

$460,000,000,000 has been wiped out from the US stock market at open.