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Dubai real estate: party is over. The sector that was a crowded trade a year ago is now steadily moving into distressed territory.
Six dollar sukuk issuances from Binghatti and Omniyat are trading with a spread above 1,000 bps to the risk-free rate. This is a deep stress marker. The market is pricing not just geopolitics, but systemic credit quality risk.
I've never been a big fan of patterns with diagonal boundaries, but this can be identified as an ascending wedge. An ascending wedge indicates a loss of momentum. The target price usually becomes the beginning of the wedge. $261 in this case. #XMR
$BTC The longest series of losing months for Bitcoin If March closes with a loss, it will be only the second time that Bitcoin has recorded 6 consecutive monthly losses: from October 2025 to March 2026 If April sees an early swipe in the $55-60K range, it could create a compelling setup for a mean reversion, in my opinion... (a lot depends on the overall macroeconomic picture) #BTC
Trump hit the brakes, but the car is still flying into the ditch. The refusal to strike Iran's energy infrastructure is not de-escalation but emergency risk management to prevent a Market meltdown right before the opening of the US session.
The main thing in this turnaround: 🔻Energy Risk Premium. The threat of the destruction of the Iranian grid is a transition to a Total war scenario. The market has started to price in a systemic shock that no economy can digest. The drop in Brent is a partial exit of the Geopolitical risk premium, but longs still look justified as long as the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked or under threat.
In the last two weeks, so many accounts have said ‘now is the best time to buy’ with this screenshot. Any of them who actually bought would have ended up at a loss. I'm not raising this issue because they were wrong... as I said, I am wrong ALL THE TIME. I raise this issue because they speak with confidence. This brings a lot of engagement and subscribers, but no real trader speaks with confidence because we are literally playing a game of probabilities.
Large sales walls continue to accumulate in the range of $72K–$74K, creating significant supply above as BTC trades around $71.7K.
At the same time, whales have placed buy levels below the price, with support forming around $70.5K–$71K and a deeper cluster of buys around $69K–$70K.
BTC is currently trading between the whale supply above and strong buy support below.