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XRP vs BNB: ETFs Could Give Ripple the Edge in a $85B Neck‑and‑Neck Race
XRP and BNB are neck-and-neck in market value — Binance’s BNB sits at about $85 billion, while Ripple’s XRP follows closely at roughly $83 billion — and both tokens rode to fresh all-time highs in 2025 before cooling off in recent months. Quick recap of the run-up - XRP peaked at $3.65 in July (last year) as renewed interest in payments-focused crypto surged. - BNB hit its record of $1,369.99 in October, buoyed by strong exchange utility and ecosystem momentum. - Since those highs, both have suffered meaningful pullbacks amid broader market volatility. What sets them apart - BNB is the native token of Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange, giving it deep utility for fees, staking and platform incentives. - XRP is the spine of Ripple’s cross-border remittance offerings, used for liquidity and settlement in payments corridors — a very different use case and adoption pathway. The ETF factor - XRP’s momentum got a boost from the launch of several spot ETFs in late 2025, a catalyst that has proven powerful for crypto prices. - BNB has seen ETF filings as well, but no approvals from the SEC so far — meaning it hasn’t yet benefited as directly from ETF-driven inflows. Price forecasts — Telegaon’s view - Telegaon analysts project XRP could reach as high as $40.29 by 2035 — roughly a 2,842% rally from current levels. - The same analysts peg BNB’s potential 2035 peak at $8,441.61 — about a 1,245% gain from today’s price. What this means for long-term growth - By Telegaon’s math, XRP would outpace BNB through 2035, largely due to ETF tailwinds and its payments-focused adoption narrative. - That said, crypto markets are highly volatile. Shifts in regulation, exchange dynamics, or broader market sentiment could easily flip the script, and BNB could mount larger gains if conditions favor exchange-anchored tokens. Bottom line Both assets have clear strengths and plausible long-term upside. XRP may have the edge under the scenario where ETFs and payment use cases dominate, while BNB’s exchange utility and ecosystem power keep it a serious competitor. Investors should weigh the differing use cases, regulatory risks and high volatility before making long-term bets. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
Bitcoin looks structurally fragile, according to a fresh analysis from XWIN Research Japan shared on CryptoQuant’s QuickTake. The research group argues that the market’s current weakness is the product of several converging forces — and that small institutional flows could still swing prices dramatically given today’s thin liquidity. Key takeaways from XWIN’s assessment - Trading volume has fallen significantly over the past few months, leaving liquidity sparse. In low-liquidity conditions, even modest flows or news can create outsized moves. - Active Addresses — the metric tracking unique wallets sending or receiving BTC — has declined alongside price, signaling weak demand and making a sustainable recovery less likely. - Some on-chain indicators have improved recently, but not enough to confidently call a trend reversal; any bounce could be temporary. Macro backdrop amplifies the risk XWIN also highlights macroeconomic pressure points. Rising oil prices tied to the US–Israel–Iran conflict have pushed inflation expectations higher, increasing the odds of further rate-hike expectations and tighter financial conditions. Those inflation worries have driven bond sell-offs and synchronized declines across equities, gold, and cryptocurrencies — a departure from a classic “risk-off” rotation into perceived safe havens like bonds. Outlook XWIN Research Japan sees more downside risk for Bitcoin in the near term unless liquidity and on-chain activity meaningfully recover. The group flags the geopolitical situation (US–Israel–Iran tensions) as a central variable, since it affects inflation, interest-rate expectations, and therefore broader market direction. At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades around $65,981, down roughly 4.01% over the past 24 hours, per CoinMarketCap. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
Google's 2029 PQ Deadline Sounds Alarm for Bitcoin as Ethereum Readies Migration
Headline: Google sets 2029 deadline for post‑quantum migration — and Bitcoin developers are being put on notice Google this week told its engineers and customers to be ready: migrate authentication to post‑quantum cryptography by 2029. That deadline — backed by Google’s own progress in hardware and error correction — has rekindled a debate in crypto circles over whether the once‑distant quantum threat to blockchains is suddenly much nearer. Why quantum matters for crypto, fast - Classical computers use bits (0 or 1) and test possibilities sequentially. Quantum computers use qubits, which can exist in superposition (both 0 and 1) and explore many possibilities at once. For most tasks the advantage is small, but for specific math problems such as factoring and discrete logarithms, a powerful quantum machine could dramatically outpace classical systems. - Public‑key cryptography used by blockchains — Bitcoin’s ECDSA signatures, and even SHA‑256 in theory — falls into that “specific problems” category. Shor’s algorithm, run on a sufficiently powerful quantum computer, can derive private keys from public keys and let an attacker spend any exposed funds. What changed since Willow When Google revealed its Willow quantum chip in December 2024, it had just 105 physical qubits and the industry largely concluded a threat was decades away. Back then, estimates suggested roughly 5,000 logical qubits would be needed to run Shor’s algorithm at scale, and each logical qubit would require thousands of physical qubits for error correction — implying millions of physical qubits overall. The numbers haven’t suddenly jumped to millions; what’s shifted is error‑correction progress and institutional posture. Google says its hardware and error‑correction roadmap, plus updated factoring resource estimates, justify a 2029 migration target. That corporate-level urgency is echoed in product moves: Android 17 is integrating post‑quantum digital‑signature protection, Chrome supports post‑quantum key exchange, and Google Cloud now offers post‑quantum options to enterprises. Ethereum vs Bitcoin: Two very different responses Ethereum has treated the risk as urgent for years. The Ethereum Foundation has been working on post‑quantum defenses since 2018, and this week launched pq.ethereum.org as a hub for the effort. Multiple foundation teams and more than ten client teams are running weekly devnets under “PQ Interop.” The roadmap details four upcoming hard forks taking the protocol from a post‑quantum key registry to full post‑quantum consensus. Bitcoin’s governance model makes the same kind of coordinated, multi‑year push harder. There is no single foundation with the mandate and budget to direct a big migration effort; changes require broad consensus across a decentralized developer community that tends to move cautiously. The last big cryptographic upgrade, Taproot, took years of discussion before activation in 2021. That contrast drew blunt public criticism this week from Nic Carter, co‑founder of Castle Island Ventures. He called Ethereum’s approach “best in class,” praising its clear 2029 PQ roadmap and active execution. Bitcoin, he said, is “worst in class”: he noted there’s currently one quantum‑related proposal for Bitcoin that has “received zero buy‑in from top devs,” and described a lack of coherent strategy, roadmap, or multi‑team engineering program. “Everyone knows I’m a bitcoiner and would like bitcoin to win,” Carter added. “Not saying this to hurt feelings. Saying this to spur action.” Skeptics urge calm — but the consensus remains that migration is inevitable Not everyone thinks a near‑term catastrophe is likely. Analysts at CoinShares estimate the amount of BTC densely concentrated in vulnerable legacy address types is small — roughly 10,200 BTC in positions that could cause “appreciable market disruption” if stolen. Another ~1.6 million BTC held in older pay‑to‑public‑key (P2PK) addresses is highly fragmented across more than 32,000 wallets (averaging about 50 BTC each), making targeted theft slow and often unprofitable. But whether the practical risk is immediate or not, the broader consensus among Google, the Ethereum Foundation, NIST and many prominent Bitcoin advocates is clear: quantum will eventually threaten the cryptography that underpins blockchains. The real question now is timeline and capacity: is three years enough to migrate a global, decentralized protocol that has no central authority, no unified engineering program, and a culture that treats sudden urgency with suspicion? Bottom line Ethereum says yes — eight years of prep has it ready to roll PQ changes through multiple hard forks. Google is already moving its products and setting a 2029 deadline. Bitcoin, for now, is largely silent and decentralized governance may make a rapid pivot difficult. If that silence continues, proponents warn, market signals such as ETH/BTC could begin to reflect the divergence in prioritization. The clock is ticking. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
Binance Australia hit with A$10M fine after misclassifying 85% of clients as wholesale
Australia’s financial watchdog has slapped Binance’s Australian derivatives arm with a A$10 million ($6.8 million) penalty after concluding serious onboarding and compliance failures exposed retail customers to risky crypto derivatives. Key facts - Regulator: Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC). - Company fined: Oztures Trading Pty Ltd, trading as Binance Australia Derivatives (part of the Binance Group). - Penalty: A$10 million (court-ordered) after admitted misconduct. - Period of failures: July 2022 – April 2023. - Misclassification: More than 85% of Australian clients were labelled wholesale or professional. - Affected retail customers: 524 were able to trade high‑risk crypto derivatives without required consumer protections. - Financial harm: A$8.66 million in trading losses and A$3.8 million in fees (total > A$12 million / ~$8.2M). - Prior compensation: ASIC oversaw ~A$13.1 million (~$9M) in compensation in 2023; the fine is in addition to that. - Court orders: Justice Moshinsky also required Binance to contribute to ASIC’s legal costs. What ASIC found ASIC’s Statement of Agreed Facts and court filings detail multiple basic compliance breakdowns: - Binance misclassified the bulk of its Australian client base as wholesale or professional, bypassing retail safeguards. - It failed to provide retail clients with a Product Disclosure Statement and did not prepare a Target Market Determination. - The exchange lacked a compliant internal dispute resolution system and did not ensure services were provided efficiently and fairly. - Binance admitted it breached conditions of its Australian Financial Services (AFS) licence and did not adequately train or check the competency of staff handling onboarding and verification. - The wholesale eligibility process was flawed: applicants could retake a multiple-choice assessment repeatedly until they passed, and in at least one case a customer was deemed a professional investor solely on an unverified self-certification as an “exempt public authority.” - Senior compliance staff failed to provide sufficient oversight of applications and supporting documentation. Regulator response and industry implications ASIC Chair Joe Longo said the breaches were far from technicalities, calling out Binance for failing to “set up basic compliance checks” and improperly approving hundreds of applications for complex wholesale products. He warned that global financial services firms entering Australia must comply with local law from day one and implement robust onboarding procedures. Market reaction The news coincided with a broader market pullback: Binance Coin (BNB) slid about 3% to $608 on Friday. Why it matters The decision highlights regulators’ increasing scrutiny of crypto firms’ onboarding and classification practices. Misclassifying retail customers as wholesale removes legal protections and disclosure requirements meant to shield inexperienced investors from high‑risk products — and, in this case, led to millions in client losses and regulatory penalties. This ruling and the attached findings will be watched closely by other crypto exchanges operating in Australia and by firms planning to expand into the jurisdiction. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
Bitcoin’s push through $70,000 fizzled — and the fallout has reopened an old macro debate: is capital rotating from gold into Bitcoin? A new note from analyst Darkfost says the market is starting to price that narrative, but the technical picture doesn’t yet back it up. What happened - Gold, after a strong run that made it one of last year’s best performers, is in clear correction. Darkfost argues this pullback was driven in part by margin calls and forced liquidations — not a voluntary rethink by long-term investors. In other words, “smart money” is being pushed out, not choosing to exit. - Bitcoin is consolidating under pressure. BTC failed to hold $70,000 and currently sits well below its 180-day moving average, which Darkfost pins at roughly $89,700. Why the gold–Bitcoin rotation matters The rotation thesis is simple and potentially powerful: if gold weakens while Bitcoin holds its long-term trend, capital could flow from gold into BTC, supporting a sustained rally. Darkfost formalizes that idea with a binary rule based on 180-day moving averages: - Bull signal: Bitcoin > 180-day MA while gold < 180-day MA. - Bear signal: Both assets < their 180-day MAs. Right now, only one half of the condition is met. Gold has indeed broken below its 180-day MA, but Bitcoin has not reclaimed its own. As a result, Darkfost reads the current setup as a negative signal — both assets are on the “wrong” side of their long-term trend lines simultaneously. A candid framework — and its limits Darkfost’s system is intentionally simple: two assets, two moving averages, one yes/no read. That clarity is its strength, but it also limits what it can prove. The framework captures trend divergence; it does not prove that money exiting gold is being redeployed into Bitcoin. Correlation is visible; causation would require more evidence. What would flip the script The rotation signal would turn positive the moment BTC reclaims the 180-day MA (~$89,700) while gold remains below its 180-day MA. Until that crossing, the “gold-to-BTC” rotation remains a thesis waiting for a trigger. The Bitcoin-to-Gold ratio: the longer view - The BTC/Gold ratio is trading around 15.07, down ~4.02% on the week (it opened 15.12, hit a weekly high of 16.55, then collapsed to as low as 15.01). - That ratio peaked near 40 in late 2024 — meaning one Bitcoin bought about 40 ounces of gold. Today it buys roughly 15 ounces, a decline of about 62% in Bitcoin’s purchasing power versus gold over ~15 months. - Technically the ratio has broken below its 50-week, 100-week, and 200-week moving averages. The 50-week MA has crossed below the 100-week (a “death cross”), and all three are sloping downward. The ratio is testing the 200-week MA near the 14–15 area — the last structural support before the 2023 lows around 9 become relevant. Bottom line The rotation narrative is back in the conversation, but the chart doesn’t yet support it. Gold’s forced-driven correction opens the possibility of capital reallocation into risk assets like Bitcoin, but BTC must first reclaim its long-term trend to complete that story. Traders should watch three things closely: Bitcoin reclaiming ~$89,700 (its 180-day MA), gold staying below its 180-day MA, and whether the BTC/Gold ratio stabilizes above its key weekly moving averages. Until then, the rotation idea is interesting — not confirmed. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
Ethereum SuperTrend Turns Bearish — $1,900 Break Could Trigger 45% Drop to $1,200
A technical analyst on X is warning that Ethereum’s price action is tracing a familiar — and historically painful — pattern, with a daily SuperTrend reversal now flashing bearish and suggesting a potential steep drop. Leshka.eth’s chart work shows the SuperTrend indicator, a volatility-based trend-following tool that plots dynamic support and resistance, has flipped to red on Ethereum’s daily timeframe. According to the analyst, this is the third time this specific setup has appeared in the current cycle — and both prior occurrences ended in large drawdowns. Timeline of the past episodes: - Oct–Nov 2025: ETH briefly held a support zone before breaking down, triggering a collapse measured at roughly 45.03%. That selloff took price from above $4,750 to below $2,750. - Early 2026: A similar pattern emerged after support failed in late January, with ETH falling below $1,850 in the first week of February in a decline comparable in magnitude to the earlier episode. That same transition is now unfolding again, per the analysis. The immediate make-or-break level to watch is around $1,990 — the zone where the current SuperTrend reversal is forming. Leshka.eth’s chart shows resistance attempts toward the $2,300 area being rejected, and cautions that if $1,900 gives way, the next significant target could be near $1,200. Applying the previous drawdown magnitudes (about 45%–48%) to the current structure leads to a projected major downside zone around $1,200. Traders following this analysis will be watching the $1,990–$1,900 area closely: holding it could limit downside risk, breaching it could open a longer drop. As always with technical calls, patterns are probabilistic rather than certain. This setup points to higher downside risk for ETH in the near term, but market catalysts, macro conditions, and on-chain developments can alter outcomes quickly. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
Hyperliquid Warns CLARITY Act Could Force KYC on DeFi Developers Ahead of Senate Markup
Headline: Hyperliquid sounds alarm on CLARITY Act — DeFi developers could still face KYC risk as Senate prepares markup A fresh flare-up over the CLARITY Act has exposed continuing friction between DeFi advocates and lawmakers as a potential Senate Banking Committee markup approaches. The dispute intensified after reports surfaced that negotiators might include a broad ban on platforms offering yield on stablecoins or assets that function like bank deposits — a move that has drawn criticism from industry figures and some members of Congress. Jake Chervinsky, CEO of the newly launched Hyperliquid Policy Center (HPC), pushed back on social media, arguing the public debate has focused too narrowly on stablecoin yield. His bigger worry: the bill could still be interpreted in ways that treat non‑custodial software developers as money transmitters and subject them to KYC obligations — a change he says would be “non‑negotiable for DeFi.” Chervinsky urged fixes to parts of the bill he believes would undermine protections for developers. At the center of the dispute is the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act (BRCA), listed as Section 604 in the most recent Senate Banking draft. The BRCA explicitly states that “non‑controlling developers and providers” are not financial institutions required to meet know‑your‑customer rules under the Bank Secrecy Act — language designed to shield many DeFi builders from heavy regulatory burden. But Chervinsky warns that other sections of the CLARITY Act, particularly parts of Title 3, still include wording that could leave non‑custodial developers exposed to KYC duties despite the BRCA’s carveout. “Those sections must be fixed or the bill doesn’t work for DeFi,” he wrote. “If the bill doesn’t work for DeFi, it doesn’t work at all.” Senator Cynthia Lummis, a GOP lead negotiator on the bill, responded directly, telling Chervinsky not to “believe the FUD” and asserting that negotiators have been revising Title 3 to deliver “the strongest protection for DeFi and developers ever enacted.” Chervinsky acknowledged broad agreement on the need to protect developers, noting that the public draft already includes meaningful safeguards in the BRCA and in Sections 207 and 601 — while still flagging unresolved language that needs clarification. The timeframe for a formal Senate Banking Committee markup remains uncertain. The Agriculture Committee approved its section of the measure in January, but the banking panel has not yet set a date for its markup, leaving the final shape of the bill and its DeFi protections unresolved for now. Market note: decentralized exchange Hyperliquid’s native token, HYPE, was trading around $38.50 at the time of reporting, down about 1.6% over 24 hours but up roughly 33% on the month — outpacing the largest cryptocurrencies over the same period. Why it matters: how Title 3 is worded will determine whether non‑custodial DeFi developers keep legal clarity and relative freedom from KYC obligations — or whether regulatory ambiguity forces projects toward custodial, centralized designs or shuts out builders altogether. With bipartisan negotiators signaling work remains, the coming weeks will be critical for the future of DeFi-friendly language in U.S. law. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
CLARITY Draft Due Next Week: Proposed Stablecoin 'Yield' Ban Spurs Coinbase, Circle Backlash
Congressional sources told Eleanor Terrett of Crypto In America that the Senate Banking Committee could release its long‑awaited draft of the CLARITY Act as soon as next week — a development that comes amid rising industry pushback over recent changes to the bill’s core provisions. The latest draft reportedly would broadly ban platforms from offering yield “directly or indirectly” on stablecoins or on assets that act like bank deposits. Lawmakers would still allow activity‑based incentives — such as loyalty points or promotional rewards — but would charge regulators with defining which incentives are permissible and with writing anti‑evasion rules within a year. That shift has drawn sharp criticism from crypto firms and advocates, who argue the language tilts in favor of incumbent banks and risks gutting popular rewards programs that help onboard and retain customers. The market reacted quickly: shares of Circle (CRCL), issuer of the USDC stablecoin, plunged roughly 20% toward $100 during Tuesday trading after reports about the potential restrictions. Tensions escalated midweek when Coinbase told Senate offices it could not support the newly inserted language. Sources told Terrett that Coinbase’s Global Head of Investment Research, David Duong, said industry players are collaborating on a counterproposal aimed at showing why targeted edits are needed to protect customers and preserve sustainable rewards programs. With a release potentially imminent, several questions remain unanswered: will the Banking Committee announce a formal markup date for the CLARITY Act portion; how much of the draft could still change before a committee vote; and how will Coinbase and other stakeholders formalize and present their counterproposal to lawmakers? For now, lawmakers appear to be threading a narrow needle — tightening rules around crypto “yield” while trying to preserve some customer incentives — even as industry groups warn that overly broad restrictions could stifle innovation and limit consumer choice. Image: OpenArt. Chart: TradingView.com. Source: Eleanor Terrett / Crypto In America. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
Record $15.15B BTC & ETH Options Expiry on Deribit Could Roil Markets
Headline: Record $15.15B Bitcoin & Ethereum Options Expiry on Deribit Could Roil Markets — Here’s What to Watch A record $15.15 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum options is due to expire on Deribit this Friday at 08:00 UTC — the largest quarterly expiry so far this year. That sum represents nearly 40% of total open interest across both assets, meaning position rolls and unwinds could amplify short-term volatility and reshape market positioning going into the spring. Why the size matters - Bitcoin dominates the exposure with $13.03 billion tied to 189,792 contracts; Ethereum accounts for $2.12 billion across 1,029,679 contracts. - With so much open interest expiring at once, hedging flows from market makers and large traders are likely to increase, creating outsized price movement around settlement. Bullish skew, but a tricky “max pain” gap - Both BTC and ETH show a put-to-call ratio of 0.57, indicating more call (bullish) interest than puts. - Still, there’s a material divergence between current spot prices and options “max pain” levels — the strike where option sellers suffer the least. Bitcoin’s max pain is near $74,000 vs. spot around $68,685; Ethereum’s is roughly $2,250 vs. spot near $2,057. - As market makers hedge toward settlement, those flows can push prices toward the max pain region, increasing short-term directional pressure and volatility. Smart money is looking past Friday - Flow data from Greeks.live shows larger traders rolling near-term positions into out-of-the-money calls for June and September, signaling continued bullish conviction beyond this expiry rather than an attempt to defend current levels. - Shorter-term activity, especially in ETH, has been more mixed: although calls outnumber puts overall, recent increases in put volumes point to demand for downside protection ahead of expiry. Volatility outlook: expect an “IV crush” - Front-end implied volatility has been elevated into the expiry, reflecting uncertainty and protection demand. Once contracts settle, Greeks.live expects implied volatility to drop sharply — the typical “IV crush.” - That dynamic benefits option sellers (who pocket high premiums going into expiry) and punishes short-term option buyers facing time decay and a rapid fall in implied vol after settlement. - Derivatives flow data showed roughly $850 million in bullish derivatives volume on March 25, much of it attributed to position rollovers ahead of the expiry. What happens after settlement - Once the $15.15 billion clears, the max pain effect should abate and the market will have a chance to reset. Historically, the days after large quarterly expiries often bring heavier trading and clearer directional trends. - Whether that leads to follow-through to the upside or a pullback will depend on how prices behave in the final hours before expiry and how quickly hedging flows unwind once contracts settle. Bottom line: expect elevated volatility into Friday’s settlement, watch hedging flows and block-roll activity for directional cues, and be prepared for a swift drop in implied volatility that reshapes options P&L and short-term price action. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, has doubled down on prediction markets — pouring fresh capital into Polymarket as it positions the platform for mainstream growth. What happened - ICE said it has invested an additional $600 million in Polymarket, closing out a previously announced funding agreement between the two companies. - This follows a $1 billion injection from ICE in October. ICE also plans to buy up to $40 million in existing Polymarket shares, a package the company says brings its total commitment to roughly $2 billion. - ICE added that the financing will not materially affect its financial results. Why it matters Polymarket runs a real-money marketplace where users trade on the outcomes of real-world events — from elections and inflation prints to sporting results. Traders buy contracts that pay out if an event happens (for example, if inflation crosses a set threshold), and prices move in real time to reflect the market’s collective expectations. That model has attracted investor interest because it turns predictions into tradable risk exposures. Big-name validation ICE’s backing gives Polymarket not just capital but a heavyweight sponsor from traditional markets. The move echoes a broader investor rush into event-based trading: rival Kalshi recently raised north of $1 billion at a $22 billion valuation and is reportedly generating around $1.5 billion in annual revenue. Those developments suggest strong demand for regulated, event-driven trading products. Regulatory scrutiny and Polymarket’s response Prediction markets face scrutiny from lawmakers worried about manipulation and insider activity — concerns that could shape future regulatory treatment. Polymarket has taken steps to mitigate those risks: earlier this year it acquired a licensed exchange and clearinghouse, broadened political and financial relationships, and announced a partnership with Palantir and TWG AI to build surveillance tools aimed at spotting suspicious trading in its sports markets. What this could mean for markets ICE’s investment signals that established market operators see potential in prediction markets. If regulators greenlight broader activity and surveillance measures prove effective, prediction markets could become a mainstream way for traders to express views on future events — sitting alongside stocks and futures as part of the broader trading ecosystem. Bottom line: ICE’s near–$2 billion commitment elevates Polymarket from a crypto-adjacent experiment toward a platform with serious institutional backing, while raising fresh questions about how prediction markets will be regulated and scaled. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
Crypto Goes to the White House: Ehrsam and Andreessen Join PCAST
The White House has put crypto squarely on the policy map. President Donald Trump announced the first 13 members of his revamped Presidential Council of Advisors on Science and Technology (PCAST) — a slate that mixes AI heavyweights, Big Tech titans and prominent crypto figures. The council can expand to as many as 24 members, the administration said; analyst TylerD first flagged the announcement on Twitter. Who’s on the list - Big-name tech leaders: Jensen Huang (Nvidia), Mark Zuckerberg (Meta), Sergey Brin (Google), Larry Ellison (Oracle) and Lisa Su (AMD). - Crypto heavy-hitters: Fred Ehrsam (Coinbase co‑founder) and Marc Andreessen (co‑founder of a16z). - The council will be co‑chaired by David Sacks alongside a former U.S. Chief Technology Officer, according to the announcement. Why the crypto inclusions matter Ehrsam and Andreessen are not peripheral figures. Fred Ehrsam left a Goldman Sachs FX desk in 2012 to co‑found Coinbase with Brian Armstrong, served as the company’s first president (2012–2017), remained on the board and went on to become an influential early‑stage investor. Marc Andreessen, author of the 2014 essay “Why Bitcoin Matters,” has long championed crypto, Ethereum and Web3; through a16z he has helped steer large venture bets into blockchain and AI and has publicly criticized previous regulatory and banking approaches to the industry. Policy implications Putting Ehrsam and Andreessen inside PCAST — alongside AI and semiconductor leaders — is a notable shift from prior cycles when crypto mostly faced enforcement and external guidance. Embedding crypto voices in a formal advisory body could: - Push for clearer, more predictable rule‑making around exchanges, stablecoins and other market infrastructure. - Favor the development of compliant, U.S.-domiciled crypto infrastructure. - Recast regulatory risk: not an immediate bullish catalyst for prices, but a structural move that could turn compliance into a competitive moat for established players over time. Bottom line This PCAST lineup signals that digital assets are being treated as part of the broader technology and competitiveness conversation, not sidelined. That shift matters for how regulators, markets and investors think about the future of crypto in the United States. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
Paid in USDC to Post Fake Google Reviews — Inside a Telegram Crypto-Laundering Scheme
I was paid in crypto to write fake Google reviews — and the people who hired me tried to scam me I never set foot in Pompeii or walked through the lobby of the riverside DoubleTree, yet I gave them five-star Google Maps reviews. Over a few days I also posted glowing reviews for an Ibis budget in east London, a central Travelodge, Hyatt Place and dozens of hostels and B&Bs across Europe. For a brief period my “job” was to churn out fake hotel reviews in exchange for payments in USDC, a dollar-pegged stablecoin. What looked like easy money — $5 per review — quickly revealed itself as part of a much larger and more sinister cyber-fraud machine that uses crypto, messaging apps and fake corporate identities. The scheme’s stated purpose may have been fake review generation, but the true target was recruits like me: low-risk, low-suspicion workers who can be used for money laundering and then pushed into bigger scams. How the operation worked - Recruitment: The campaign reached me via Telegram. A recruiter calling herself “Sharon Roberts” messaged first; after nine days of prodding and coaching I was handed off to a “receptionist” named Victoria Castillo. Both accounts almost certainly used false identities. - Onboarding: Victoria walked me through opening a crypto wallet on a US exchange and accepting USDC payments. When I asked about legal reporting, she shrugged it off: “You can ignore this one.” - Tasks and payments: Telegram channels — one impersonating Quad Marketing Agency and others using branding similar to HotelsCombined (part of Booking.com) — posted work from 8am to 7pm UK time. They asked for up to 14 reviews a day at $5 each, interspersed with “business tasks” where workers sent crypto and received slightly more back. I earned $30 for a few hours of work spread over weeks. - Scale and impersonation: The channel posing as Quad had about 16,800 subscribers; a near-identical channel had 14,700. One channel had posted nearly 6,000 requests for fake reviews since mid-March. Quad, Accor, Travelodge, Hilton, Hyatt and Booking.com all told reporters they had no involvement and condemned the misuse of their names and logos. Where crypto fits in - Payments: Recruiters paid in USDC. Chainalysis — the blockchain forensics firm — found the wallets linked to these payments followed a consistent pattern: wallets were topped up, then dispersed tens of thousands of small payments to recruits before moving larger sums on. Typical payout totals per wallet ranged from $300,000 to $600,000 in USDC before transfers onward. - Money-laundering risk: While blockchains are public, criminals commonly “tumble” funds (split and recombine them) to obscure origins. Experts told the reporter the operation likely used recruits to launder proceeds and then attempted to extract money from recruits themselves via “business tasks” and upgrade fees — a variant of employment scams and the “pig butchering” model, where victims are primed with small payouts before being asked for larger sums. Red flags and escalation - Fake identity signals: Victoria’s profile images correlated with photos found on unrelated adult websites, and the recruiter’s English had odd phrasing. The operation’s “business tasks” included paying $50 to get $60 back, with an incremental pyramid-style table promising ever-larger returns (peaking at $16,000 for an initial $10,000 outlay). - Geopolitics and coercion: Investigators have found similar scams running from countries with weak enforcement, and in some cases victims working in these scams are themselves trafficked or coerced in prison-like scam centers. - Automation and human-bot mix: Fraud specialists say companies are deploying automated detection that forces scammers to use “human bots” (real people performing repetitive tasks) or increasingly sophisticated AI agents. There’s also concern about agentic AI that can act autonomously in the real world. Industry, enforcement and platform responses - Platforms: Google said it’s stepped up measures and has removed more than 240 million fake reviews since 2024, restricting 900,000 accounts for policy violations. Booking.com said only verified guests can post reviews, and that it uses automated and human teams to detect fraud. Travelodge and Accor said they don’t create or commission fake reviews and would seek to prevent them. - Regulation: New UK rules (effective from last April) require platforms that host reviews to have clear policies to prevent and remove fake or incentivised reviews, flag suspicious activity and try to ensure reviews are genuine. The Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) found in 2023 that fake review text for products cost UK consumers between £50m and £312m annually, and that 11–15% of reviews in its sample were fake. The CMA has since opened investigations into five companies over misleading online reviews. - Law enforcement and forensics: Chainalysis and other blockchain investigators are increasingly able to trace payment patterns and link wallets, which helps law enforcement identify the industrial scale of these schemes. Expert perspective - Serpil Hall, an anti-fraud consultant, warned that scams have increased greatly over the last six to seven years, aided now by generative and agentic AI that make impersonation easier. She said fraudsters are becoming “very crafty.” - Jacqueline Burns Koven of Chainalysis described the pattern as similar to employment scams: small tasks and initial payouts build trust, then victims are asked to pay to “upgrade” or free up funds, at which point the scammers vanish. Takeaways for the crypto and travel sectors - Crypto is a useful tool for fraud: stablecoins like USDC facilitate micropayments to thousands of workers and can be combined with tumbling services to hide flows. - Platforms must keep improving: the balance of automated filters and human review is key; Google and Booking say they’ve caught large volumes but the problem persists. - Consumers and would-be workers should be cautious: offers that promise easy money via messaging apps, ask for upfront “business task” payments, or operate under borrowed corporate branding are major red flags. In the end, I stopped when the operation began pushing me to pay to progress. When I revealed I was a journalist, contact ceased. I made $30 from several hours of work; the bigger story is the vast network that recruited me, the payment rails it used, and the mounting regulatory and forensic response trying to stop it. For the crypto industry, and platforms that rely on public trust, the incident is another reminder that technology can be repurposed by bad actors — and that the integrity of online reviews and the transparency of crypto flows both matter more than ever. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
ASIC fines Binance Australia A$10M after misclassifying 85% of derivatives users
Binance’s Australian derivatives arm has been ordered to pay a A$10 million civil penalty after Australia’s Federal Court found widespread failures in how it classified clients for crypto derivatives trading. The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) said Oztures Trading Pty Ltd, which operated Binance Australia Derivatives, misclassified more than 85% of its Australian users over a nine-month period (July 2022–April 2023). ASIC found 524 retail investors were wrongly treated as wholesale (professional) clients and therefore given access to high‑risk crypto derivatives without the consumer protections retail investors should have had. Those clients later recorded A$8.66 million in trading losses and paid A$3.89 million in fees. Key facts - Regulator: ASIC; Court: Australia’s Federal Court (Justice Moshinsky issued orders). - Company: Oztures Trading Pty Ltd (operated Binance Australia Derivatives). - Period: July 2022–April 2023. - Misclassification: >85% of Australian client base; 524 retail investors treated as wholesale. - Financial impact on clients: A$8.66M losses; A$3.89M in fees. - Penalties: A$10M civil penalty plus a contribution to ASIC’s legal costs; this is in addition to about A$13.1M Binance Australia already paid in compensation in 2023 under ASIC oversight. Regulatory findings ASIC said Binance admitted “serious failures” in client onboarding and staff training. The regulator highlighted weak controls that allowed users to retake a multiple‑choice quiz repeatedly until they reached a passing score and qualify as “sophisticated” investors. Senior compliance staff also failed to properly verify applications and supporting documents—ASIC cited an instance in which Binance accepted a client as a professional investor after the person described themselves as an “exempt public authority” without adequate verification. Reaction ASIC Chair Joe Longo said, “Binance failed to set up basic compliance checks and incorrectly approved hundreds of applications for complex, wholesale investor products.” Binance responded that the issue was self‑identified, reported to ASIC, and fully remediated in 2023. Regional pressure The ruling comes as Binance faces additional scrutiny across the Asia‑Pacific region. In the Philippines, local reports said the main Binance app was removed from the Philippine Google Play Store and the exchange’s website was blocked for many users, following regulatory action against unlicensed offshore platforms. Searches for Binance on the Play Store reportedly redirected users to local or region‑specific alternatives instead of the global app. What this means The Federal Court decision underscores growing regulatory pressure on major crypto platforms to maintain robust onboarding, verification and compliance systems—particularly where access to complex derivatives and investor protections are concerned. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
NYSE owner ICE Pumps $600M Into Polymarket, Nears $2B Bet on Prediction Markets
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the owner of the New York Stock Exchange, has sharply increased its wager on prediction markets — injecting another $600 million into Polymarket and completing a previously announced funding deal between the two companies. The fresh capital builds on a roughly $1 billion commitment ICE made in October. ICE also said it may buy up to $40 million more in shares from existing holders, a move the firm says brings its total commitment to Polymarket “close to $2 billion.” ICE added that the investment is not expected to materially affect its financial results. What Polymarket does Polymarket operates a market where users buy and sell contracts that pay out based on real-world outcomes — everything from elections and macroeconomic data to sporting events. Prices move in real time and reflect collective expectations; for example, traders can buy contracts that pay out if inflation surpasses a specified level. Why this matters for crypto and markets ICE’s backing is notable not just for its size but for the signal it sends: a major, traditional market operator is investing heavily in event-driven, speculative marketplaces. That vote of confidence arrives amid a surge of interest in the sector — rival Kalshi recently raised more than $1 billion at a reported $22 billion valuation and is estimated to be generating about $1.5 billion in annual revenue — underscoring strong demand for event-based trading products. Regulatory backdrop and Polymarket’s defense Prediction markets have attracted scrutiny from lawmakers and regulators who worry about manipulation and insider trading risks. Polymarket has proactively sought to reduce those concerns: earlier this year the platform acquired a licensed exchange and clearinghouse, broadened its political and financial relationships, and partnered with Palantir and TWG AI to build surveillance tools aimed at detecting suspicious activity — initially focused on its sports markets. What could come next ICE’s deepening stake suggests traditional exchanges see prediction markets as a growth frontier. If policymakers and regulators become comfortable with the model, prediction markets could evolve from niche crypto-adjacent experiments into mainstream trading instruments alongside stocks and futures — offering another way for traders to express views on upcoming events and outcomes. For the crypto community, the development is a reminder that interest in markets built around information discovery and event-driven bets is extending far beyond DeFi, drawing the attention and capital of established players in global finance. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
Bitcoin Tests Key $69K–$70K Support as Bear-Flag Warns of Breakdown Below $66K
Bitcoin is losing steam this week, with heightened volatility pushing the largest crypto toward key support levels and prompting fresh warnings from traders that downside risks are re-emerging. Price action and technical setup - At press time BTC trades around $68,000 after a volatile stretch that has traders eyeing crucial support bands. - Crypto analyst "Ted" on X says Bitcoin is printing a new bear-flag pattern — a chart formation that often precedes further declines if the lower trendline is broken. He warns a daily close below $66,000 could send BTC to "new lows." Key support zones under pressure - Ted has repeatedly flagged the $69,000–$70,000 area as critical. According to his analysis, a failure to hold that zone would accelerate the downtrend; slipping below $66,000 on a daily close would confirm the bear-flag breakdown. - He also points to institutional selling and fading momentum as drivers of the recent pullback, arguing these factors have compounded the technical weakness. Longer-term forecasts remain bullish - Despite the near-term caution, model-driven forecasts still project large gains over the coming years. CoinCodex’s latest projections (updated Mar. 27, 2026, 07:14 GMT+5) put Bitcoin at: - $82,531 by end-2026 (+20.3% from current levels) - $166,372 by 2030 (+142.5%) - $968,339 by 2040 (+1,311.5%) - $1.54M by 2050 (+2,148.9%) What to watch - Traders will be watching the $69k–$70k zone for signs of support or capitulation, and a daily close below $66k would likely trigger sharper selling according to technical observers. - Also monitor institutional flows and momentum indicators for confirmation that the current pullback is a short-lived correction or the start of a deeper downtrend. Bottom line: near-term charts look fragile, but long-term models still show substantial upside. Short-term traders should keep an eye on the $69k–$66k range; longer-term investors will be watching whether this dip becomes a buying opportunity. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
Toncoin at $1 Crossroads: TON/BTC 200 SMA Close Could Trigger Bull Flip or Breakdown
Toncoin sits at a pivotal technical crossroads as it repeatedly tests the $1 band that has contained its trading for weeks. Traders are watching closely: a clear reaction here could either lock in that range and spark a bullish flip, or open the gates to an accelerated sell-off below $1. What the charts are saying - Analyst Umair Crypto highlights the TON/BTC and TON/USDT daily charts as the decisive battleground. On TON/BTC, the RSI has broken above its trendline and climbed past 50 — an early sign that bullish momentum is building. That pair, however, has been stuck in a long consolidation for 166 days, so any breakout or rejection would be meaningful. - The technical linchpin is the 200-day simple moving average (200 SMA) on the BTC pair. A convincing close above that SMA would likely trigger a “range flip” on TON/USDT (i.e., push the whole range higher and reinforce $1 as solid support). If TON/BTC is rejected at the 200 SMA, the opposite outcome looks more likely: a range breakdown that risks a lower low under $1 and a shift to bearish market structure. - On TON/USDT, price is trying to reclaim the 50 SMA — another early sign of strength, but one that still needs confirmation from the BTC pair’s behavior. Why $1 matters - The $1 mark is not just psychological — it’s the structural anchor for the TON/USDT range. If $1 holds, the current trading band can persist (or flip higher). If it fails, selling pressure could accelerate quickly and push Toncoin into materially weaker territory. Fundamentals vs. price action - Despite growing institutional and ecosystem activity, price has remained relatively muted. Recent fundamental wins include AlphaTON Capital Corp’s $100 million treasury strategy and TON Wallet’s official expansion into the U.S. (and projects like Lucky Train launching TON-based Web3 efforts). Those developments boost the narrative, but right now the chart is running the show. Bottom line Watch TON/BTC’s reaction at the 200 SMA — it’s the key to whether $1 stays intact or collapses. A decisive close above the 200 SMA favors a bullish range flip on TON/USDT; rejection risks a breakdown and a move into bearish structure with a possible drop below $1. Traders will be looking for clear confirmation before taking sides. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
Toncoin at $1 Crossroads: TON/BTC 200-SMA Close to Decide Range Flip or Breakdown
Toncoin is at a technical crossroads as it hovers around the $1 mark — a level that has anchored its trading action for weeks. Traders and analysts say how the token behaves here could decide whether the range holds and flips bullish, or breaks down into faster losses. What the charts are saying Analyst Umair Crypto has been tracking both TON/BTC and TON/USDT daily charts and highlights a split-picture setup: - TON/BTC: The pair has been stuck in a 166-day consolidation. The RSI has recently broken above its trendline and pushed past 50, an early sign that bullish momentum is building. Still, the 200-day simple moving average (200 SMA) on this BTC pair is the make-or-break level — a decisive close above it would be a strong bullish cue. - TON/USDT: On the dollar pair, price is attempting to reclaim the 50 SMA, showing tentative strength but lacking confirmation. The $1 area is the structural support that defines the current range. Two clear scenarios Umair outlines two plausible outcomes depending on how TON/BTC reacts to the 200 SMA: 1) Bullish range flip — If TON/BTC closes convincingly above the 200 SMA, that would likely catalyze a range flip on TON/USDT to the upside, cementing $1 as reliable support and increasing the odds of a sustained rally. 2) Breakdown and lower low — If TON/BTC is rejected at the 200 SMA, the existing range could collapse and Toncoin may form a lower low beneath $1. That would shift market structure to bearish and could accelerate selling. Why $1 matters The $1 level is more than a round number: it serves as the structural anchor for TON/USDT. A failure here could trigger meaningful downside; holding above it keeps the status quo and preserves the potential for bullish resolution. Fundamentals vs. price action Fundamental developments remain supportive — AlphaTON Capital unveiled a $100 million treasury strategy and TON Wallet has expanded into the U.S., suggesting growing institutional and product-level adoption. Yet these positives haven’t translated into clear bullish price action, underlining that technical structure is still in the driver’s seat. What traders should watch - TON/BTC daily close relative to the 200 SMA (deciding factor) - RSI momentum on the BTC pair (recent breakout above trendline) - TON/USDT’s ability to reclaim and hold the 50 SMA and the $1 support In short: fundamentals are improving, but the market is waiting on a technical signal. A decisive move on the BTC pair’s 200 SMA will likely determine whether Toncoin flips bullish or heads toward a steeper decline. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
Tony Severino: Bitcoin's '16-Year Expansion' Is Over — Warns of 72% Drop to ~$34K
Bitcoin’s next move has become one of the market’s hottest debates. Some traders point to repeated rebounds around $70,000 and argue the current price action is forming a base for a fresh run to new all-time highs. Others say this is merely a pause in a longer downtrend, expecting more consolidation and lower levels before any sustainable rally. Into that split steps veteran crypto analyst Tony Severino, who has taken a distinctly cautious stance. Posting as @tonythebullBTC on X, Severino declared that “the 16-year Bitcoin expansion is over,” a blunt assessment that builds on prior forecasts from the analyst. He previously predicted the current bull cycle would end in 2025 and warned the corrective wave could stretch into mid-2027. Severino’s message targets what he sees as widespread investor complacency. Responding to a sarcastic post by another analyst, he argued that many market participants have grown too comfortable “buying the dip” and assuming prices will keep rising indefinitely. In his view, that mindset must be forcefully shaken before a healthier market cycle can begin. “This destruction and reset is necessary for growth again. But not until complacency is crushed,” Severino wrote. He added: “Complacency says: ‘Same asset, same behavior.’ Reality: Same asset, different environment = different outcome distribution.” Severino has repeatedly flagged the idea of a long-term cyclical peak, first raising the 16-year peak thesis in February. In a more detailed scenario he has outlined a potential maximum drawdown of roughly 72% from an October 2025 peak of $126,000—an outcome that would put Bitcoin near $34,000 before a more sustainable bottom could form. Whether investors heed this warning or double down on bullish conviction remains a central question for the market. Severino’s track record and specific timing calls make his bearish case one of the more closely watched contrarian perspectives as traders weigh risk, complacency and the path to the next major Bitcoin cycle. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
Housing Bill Becomes CBDC Battleground as Senate Bans Digital Dollar Through 2031
Congress has quietly folded a hot-button CBDC fight into a must-pass housing bill — and the crypto world is buzzing. Why it matters - A viral X post by Heritage Foundation economist Peter St. Onge (195,700 views, 3,600 likes as of March 26) blew up after he warned the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act “sneaks a CBDC into their must‑pass housing bill,” claiming such a move “would replace the US dollar with a government‑controlled crypto‑token that 80% of voters reject.” His post refocused attention on a largely overlooked slice of the Senate package: Title X, a provision that prevents the Federal Reserve and its regional banks from issuing a digital dollar—or any asset “substantially resembling” one—through 2031. What’s in the bill - The 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act passed the Senate on March 12 by an 89–10 vote. While the legislation is primarily sweeping housing reform (FHA limits, investor restrictions on single‑family homes, etc.), conservatives in the House reportedly pushed to graft an anti‑CBDC clause into the text as part of a broader bipartisan compromise. The White House has indicated it would sign the bill in its current form, according to reporting. Political fault lines - The CBDC language cuts across usual party lines. Some House Republicans want a permanent ban, saying a time‑limited restriction merely defers the issue. Progressives argue the provision doesn’t belong in a housing package and could complicate an otherwise focused affordability bill. Commentators on X have framed the compromise differently: one prominent post argued Republicans are “redesigning” CBDCs to route control through banks and Wall Street, preserving surveillance and control while shifting profits to private institutions. How this ties into other crypto legislation - The debate is unfolding in parallel with the stalled CLARITY Act, the broader digital‑asset market‑structure bill. That legislation has been held up by disputes over stablecoin yield and DeFi rules; Coinbase famously withdrew support from an earlier CLARITY draft when language threatened to ban passive yield on stablecoins. Senator Cynthia Lummis has since said key sticking points are “largely reached,” and lawmakers are eyeing April 2026 as a critical legislative window. Industry and institutional responses - Opponents of a CBDC see the housing‑bill carve‑out as a political line drawn ahead of midterm fights. Observers note the Senate ban is time‑limited—expiring around the end of 2030/through 2031—leaving the door open to future administrations. The Federal Reserve has repeatedly said it would not launch a digital dollar without explicit congressional authorization, framing its CBDC work as exploratory. What’s next - The provision’s fate is unclear. House leaders have signaled they won’t accept the Senate bill as written and will push to renegotiate key terms, including how long and how broadly any CBDC ban should apply. The rare Senate cross‑aisle consensus may fracture once the House‑Senate conference process begins. Bottom line - A housing bill has become the latest battleground for the CBDC debate, with policymakers, industry players and political strategists all jockeying for position. Whether the anti‑CBDC language survives final negotiations—or whether it reshapes how a future U.S. digital currency could be structured—remains an open question. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news
White House Clears Key Step Toward Crypto in 401(k)s
The White House has cleared a key step in a Labor Department proposal that could make it easier for 401(k) fiduciaries to consider alternative assets — including crypto — for retirement plans. What happened - The Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs (OIRA) completed its interagency review of the Labor Department’s proposal on March 24, listing the action as “consistent with change” and labeling it “economically significant.” - That sign-off removes one interagency hurdle. The Labor Department is expected to publish the proposal soon and open a 60-day public comment period before deciding on any revisions and a final rule. Why it matters for crypto - The proposal would change how fiduciaries evaluate alternative investments in defined‑contribution plans, potentially broadening the path for crypto-linked options to be considered alongside private equity, real estate and other alternatives. - The move follows two earlier shifts in federal policy: President Donald Trump’s Aug. 7, 2025, executive order directing agencies to expand access to alternative investments (specifically naming digital assets, private equity and real estate), and the Labor Department’s May 28, 2025 withdrawal of a 2022 compliance release that had urged plan fiduciaries to be “extremely cautious” about crypto in 401(k)s. Together these actions signal a softer federal stance on retirement-plan exposure to digital assets. Next steps and timeline - After the Labor Department publishes the proposal, stakeholders will have 60 days to submit comments. The department will then consider feedback and could issue a revised rule and, eventually, a final regulation. - If advanced, the proposal could give fiduciaries clearer latitude to analyze and add crypto exposure where appropriate. State-level developments - States are also moving: on Feb. 25, 2026, Indiana lawmakers passed a bill requiring certain state retirement and savings plans to offer a self-directed brokerage option that includes at least one crypto investment option by July 1, 2027. Scale of the opportunity - The retirement market is enormous: the Investment Company Institute reported U.S. retirement assets reached a record $48.1 trillion as of Sept. 30, 2025. Even small allocations to digital assets could represent significant inflows if policies keep shifting in crypto’s favor. Bottom line This regulatory advance doesn’t finalize any rule, but it removes a major procedural barrier and brings a potentially crypto-friendly change to 401(k) policy closer to reality. Watch the Labor Department’s publication and the 60-day comment period for the next concrete signals of how broadly crypto could be integrated into employer-retirement plans. Read more AI-generated news on: undefined/news