The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in April is only 6.2%! 93.8% suppresses the market awaiting unchanged interest rates.

Brothers, good evening! The recently announced number of initial jobless claims in the United States is recorded at 210,000, which is in line with expectations. Although the previous value has been slightly revised up from 205,000, overall, the job market remains resilient, without any unexpected downturns.

After the data was released, CME's "FedWatch" showed that the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike in April is only 6.2%, while the probability of maintaining the interest rate is as high as 93.8%. What does this data mean? It indicates that the market has very low expectations for the Federal Reserve to continue raising interest rates in the short term, and the tightening pressure has temporarily subsided.

From a trading perspective, stable employment data and a cooling off of interest rate hike expectations are undoubtedly short-term positives for risk assets. The upward momentum of the US dollar index is limited, and markets such as gold and cryptocurrencies are expected to welcome a window for capital inflow. #美联储降息

In terms of operations, I personally believe that in the short term, one can appropriately pay attention to low buying opportunities after a pullback stabilizes. Do not blindly chase highs, manage your positions well, and maintain good defenses. With no unexpected data, market sentiment is slightly warm, but it is still important to stay clear-headed; risk control is always the top priority. Brothers, keep up the pace and steadily seize this market opportunity! #美联储何时降息？

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