鬼谷研究院

Empty $SIREN
Many $BANANAS31

Binance delisted $rdnt
More of it!!! Buying lottery tickets
Mistook the空. Stand up to be hit.

[BULB] In-depth analysis of @FabricFND's $ROBO ecosystem

On the special day of 2026-03-16, I want to share why $ROBO is worth关注:

[+] AI-native design - Supporting artificial intelligence applications from the underlying architecture
[+] Decentralized governance - Community-driven decision-making mechanisms
[+] Strong technical team - Professional background of Fabric Foundation

$ROBO is not just a token; it is the infrastructure of the AI era!

#ROBO #Crypto #AI

World's richest man Investment leader Father of Pinduoduo
Bubugao V me 50 OPPO creator
@Cryptocurrency Duan Yongping suspected of opening a simulated position
Only a few tens of thousands of dollars require loans

USD1 Phase Three Rewards Have Been Distributed
I received 220u of $wlfi this time, out of a total of 160000 usd1
Annualized around 8%

This event will end on the 20th, and I'm not sure if it will be continued.

The legendary shrimp cooked three ways??
#龙虾ai

First, the conclusion:

Never bring the people around you to trade cryptocurrencies! Relatives, friends, classmates, do not easily interfere in others' causes and effects.

Some time ago, a classmate heard that I made a lot of money trading cryptocurrencies. Around August 15, he invited me to dinner, insisting on learning. I taught him how to use Alpha and told him never to trade cryptocurrencies, and not to touch leverage. A rational person explained the risks clearly.

Later, during the New Year, I called him to drink, and he hung up on me saying he was visiting relatives and had no time, saying he would call me later. Afterward, I called him again to ask if he had anything to discuss??

Just yesterday, another childhood friend told me that he opened a contract and lost over 600,000, and the few tens of thousands he made on Alpha were all gone as well. He feels that this is my fault.

@TermMaxFi Such airdrop projects, Alpha is the only way for ordinary people to earn stable income consistently. Unfortunately, he couldn't take it in, and decades of friendship turned into enmity.

Precise Market Analysis 2.25

Brothers, this year I have noticed that many people have exited the market.
Because they lost everything in the crypto circle,
Some brothers lost a lot in spot trading, and some brothers lost everything in contracts and are now in debt.
Not long ago, there was a crypto conference in Hong Kong, and not many people participated; everyone said there is no hope.
So is the crypto market really finished?

First, let's talk about altcoins; they are definitely finished, 99% will go to zero, only a small portion will make it out.
This year, dealing with RWA, a large part involves stocks being put on-chain, with Binance and OKX planning to list various stocks.
Stocks are valuable, backed by profitable companies, but altcoins are not, so altcoins face competition from on-chain stocks, and the bleeding will be more severe.
Now, let's discuss BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, etc.,
These will not be finished because they have utility and strong consensus.

The manipulation tactics of the whales have not changed at all over the years:
When most people say it will drop, the whales collect chips and pump the price, harvesting retail investors.
When most people say it will rise, the whales smash the price hard, making money from short positions.

Now it is the first situation: most people say it will drop, and many have exited the market, saying there is no hope.

On-chain data shows:
Recently, whales have obviously been accumulating, buying large amounts of BTC to hoard, while retail investors are cutting losses and fleeing.

Fellow villagers, don’t run, hold on, the bull is coming back!
If you have bullets, accumulate positions in batches; if you don’t buy at this price, you won’t be able to buy in when there’s a big rebound.

In any case, BTC will pump, but why will it pump,
We are still unclear about what new narrative the whales will present next.

After the U.S. takes military action or not against Iran, the market will recover.

Recently, bullets are gradually accumulating in BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, and other mainstream cryptocurrencies.

Open a big pancake and a second pancake order
Steady and solid, five times leverage

Good morning, brothers. How will the market play in 2026?

(1) Will there be another crash? Has it bottomed out?
The monthly RSI for BTC has dropped to the same level as early 2023,
and around $60000 is the key position where the last round of institutions and whales built their positions.
So this position is safe; if the U.S. attacks Iran, there will be a final drop,
estimating it will fall to $60000.
The conclusion is: close to the bottom, but there may be one last drop (30% probability).

(2) Recent developments between the U.S. and Iran
Currently, the Iranian Ministry of Defense has entered full combat readiness.
The U.S. is weighing a preliminary limited military strike on Iran to force them to meet its nuclear agreement requirements.
This initial action aims to pressure Tehran to reach an agreement while avoiding a comprehensive attack that could provoke large-scale retaliation.
Disagreements still exist, but negotiations have made progress compared to the last round.
If authorized, this **initial strike being contemplated by the U.S. could be implemented within days, targeting a small number of military or government facilities**.
Trump said he would decide on the next steps regarding Iran within 10 days. He later told reporters that a timeline would be finalized in about two weeks.
It's down to these two weeks.

(3) If the issues between Iran and the U.S. are resolved
Returning BTC to $100,000 this year is not a big problem; it's a high-probability event.
The PCE price index will be released tonight at 9:30.
Higher than expected would be bearish, anyway it’s bullish.

Close to the bottom, but there may still be one last drop.
The U.S. possibly attacking Iran could trigger the last drop (30%).
Shitcoins have no opportunity, but meme coins have a chance; small investments can participate.
This year, BTC returning to $100,000 is not an issue; BTC, SOL, BNB, and ETH can be dollar-cost averaged at the bottom.

Good morning, brothers. After the big drop, the recent market has been in a low point without rebounding. But some reversal signals have appeared. Is 2026 really going to be a big bear year? Let's analyze the subsequent trends. The CPI released this Friday is favorable. The U.S. core CPI year-on-year rate is lower than expected, reaching a nearly 5-year low! The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates before April is 30%, while the likelihood of a rate cut before June exceeds 80%. At the same time, the proportion of whales has surged, indicating that whales are continuously accumulating. This is also a good phenomenon. Overall, BTC should have bottomed out. However, there is still one last bearish factor that hasn't been resolved: the possibility of the U.S. attacking Iran. Currently, the U.S. Pentagon has notified the second aircraft carrier strike group to prepare for deployment to the Middle East, in response to potential Iranian military actions. Trump said yesterday that he prefers to reach an agreement with Iran, but achieving this is very difficult. The day before yesterday, I analyzed for everyone that, from Trump's political logic, initiating a war is a high-risk gamble; if war is waged, support rates will decline. Oil prices will rise, inflation will rise, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts will be hopeless. In the midterm elections this November, the Republican Party is undoubtedly going to lose. The Bitcoin business of his family will also suffer greatly. Therefore, the probability of not going to war is 70%, and the probability of going to war is 30%. One factor that may contribute to the recovery of the market is the peaceful resolution of the Iranian issue within the next 2 months. Before that, BTC is unlikely to have a significant rebound in the near term, and it may drop to around $60000 at the lowest. During this period, it is advisable to buy and invest steadily. But in any case, we are very close to the bottom; the bear market should have completed half of its process. In this market, let's follow and earn money with the small dogs; the returns are quite good, with several golden dogs in a day.

[Sun] Accurate Market Analysis 2.15

Brothers, good morning. After a sharp decline, the recent market has been in a trough without rebounding.
But some reversal signals have already appeared.
Is 2026 really a bear market year? Let’s analyze the subsequent trends.
The CPI favorable data released this Friday.
The U.S. core CPI year-on-year rate is lower than expected, reaching a nearly 5-year low!

The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates before April is 30%,
while the likelihood of a rate cut before June exceeds 80%.

At the same time, the ratio of whales has soared, indicating that whales are continuously accumulating.
This is also a good phenomenon.

Overall, BTC should have bottomed out.
But there is still one last bearish factor that hasn't been resolved:
that is, the U.S. may attack Iran.

Currently, the U.S. Pentagon has notified the second aircraft carrier strike group to prepare for deployment to the Middle East,

to respond to potential military actions against Iran.
Trump said yesterday that he prefers to reach an agreement with Iran, but achieving this is very difficult.

The day before yesterday, I analyzed for everyone. From Trump's political logic, starting a war is a high-risk gamble; if he does, his support rate will decline.
Oil prices will rise, inflation will rise, and the Federal Reserve will have no hope of cutting rates.
In the midterm elections this November, the Republican Party will undoubtedly lose.
His family's Bitcoin business will also suffer significant damage.

Therefore, the probability of not going to war is 70%, while the probability of going to war is 30%.

One factor for the market recovery may be the peaceful resolution of the Iran issue within the next 2 months.

Before that, BTC will not have a significant rebound in the near future,
and it may drop to around $60000 at its lowest.

During this period, it’s okay to buy in at lower prices and invest steadily.

But no matter what, we are very close to the bottom now; the bear market should have completed half of its process.

In this market, follow the tips to make money with the local dogs,
the returns are still good, with several golden dogs a day.

The Spring Festival may feature golden dogs, so be careful!

[发] Accurate Market Analysis 2.13

Brothers, good morning. The market is still sluggish. How will the trend develop next?
From the ETF perspective, the inflow of funds is still not much. Recently, there was a bottom-fishing inflow in the past three days, and yesterday $270 million flowed out.
This week, the strong non-farm data from January completely closed the door on the possibility of interest rate cuts in March, even leading to a delay in the first rate cut expectation for the year, which is bearish.
At the same time, Chuanzi stated yesterday that he expected the U.S. and Iran to reach an agreement within the next month,
and issued an ultimatum, saying that if an agreement is not signed, action will be taken against Iran.
The situation is not optimistic!

From Chuanzi's political logic, starting a war is a highly risky gamble; if it happens, the approval ratings will decline.
Oil prices will rise, inflation will increase, and the Fed's hope for rate cuts will be dashed.
In the mid-term elections in November this year, the Republican Party will undoubtedly lose.
Even their family's Bitcoin business will be significantly impacted.

On the Iranian side, inflation has reached 60%, and the economy is collapsing.
If refusal to compromise leads to a full-scale war, the regime may collapse directly.
The Iranian authorities will verbally maintain the highest intensity of protests and threats,
but in action, they are likely to secretly convey acceptable proposals to the U.S.

Therefore, the probability of not going to war is 70%, and the probability of going to war is 30%.

One factor that may contribute to a market recovery is the peaceful resolution of the Iran issue within the next two months.

Before that, there will not be a significant rebound in BTC recently,
the lowest may fall to around $60000.

At 9:30 tonight, CPI will be released, and if it exceeds expectations, it may lead to another drop in BTC.

But in any case, we are very close to the bottom; the bear market should have completed half of its course.

🤔 Accurate Market Analysis 2.13

Good morning, brothers. The market is still sluggish; how will the trends develop next?
From the ETF perspective, the inflow of funds is still not much. In the recent last three days, there was an inflow for bottom fishing, and yesterday saw an outflow of $2.7 billion.
This week, the strong non-farm data from January has completely shut the door on interest rate cuts in March, even delaying expectations for the first rate cut of the year, bringing negative news.
Meanwhile, Chuanzi stated yesterday that the U.S. and Iran are expected to reach an agreement within the next month,
and issued an ultimatum, stating that if no agreement is signed, action will be taken against Iran.
The situation is not optimistic!

From Chuanzi's political logic, starting a war is a highly risky gamble; support rates will decline if a war is initiated.
Oil prices will rise, inflation will increase, and the Fed's interest rate cuts will be hopeless.
In the midterm elections this November, the Republican Party will undoubtedly lose.
The Bitcoin business of his own family will also suffer greatly.

On the Iranian side, inflation has reached 60%, and the economy is collapsing.
If refusal to compromise leads to a full-scale war, the regime could directly collapse.
The Iranian authorities will verbally maintain the highest intensity of protests and threats,
but in action, they are likely to secretly convey acceptable proposals to the U.S.

Therefore, the probability of not going to war is 70%, while the probability of going to war is 30%.

One factor for the market recovery going forward could be the peaceful resolution of the Iran issue within the next 2 months.

Before that, Bitcoin is unlikely to have a significant rebound,
and may drop to around $60000 at its lowest.

The CPI will be released at 9:30 tonight; if it exceeds expectations, it may lead to another drop in BTC.

But in any case, we are very close to the bottom; the bear market should have completed half of its process.

Good morning, brothers. The six major sects are attacking the Bright Summit. What should we do!!!!?? Protect the first sister

After experiencing last week's plunge,
will the future market plunge further or will it reverse?

This round of plunge has knocked down many investment experts,
Yili Hua has lost over $700 million (4.9 billion RMB), buying ETH above $3000,
all sold off around $2000.
Everyone will notice that after he sold, the market rebounded.
But we can't hold on, what if it continues to drop?
If it goes into liquidation, it will be a total loss, better to cut it now.

The future market still depends on macro trends

(1) Current interest rate cut expectations have fallen to freezing point
Most people believe the Federal Reserve won't cut interest rates in June
That's why last week's plunge occurred, so currently it's the worst situation, it can't get much worse than this
Therefore, we feel that BTC is close to the bottom now

(2) But be careful of a war causing another wave of decline
The U.S. aircraft carrier strike group has entered the position to launch strikes against Iran.
At the same time, the U.S. military continues to gather aircraft and ground-based air defense systems in the Middle East.
If the dialogue between the U.S. and Iran in Oman doesn't go well, they will go to war directly! Probability 40%.
So we must guard against another drop.
Chuanzi's approval rating has plummeted; if war breaks out, the Republican midterm elections will be doomed.
So the good news is that Chuanzi also doesn't want to fight.

(3) Japanese Prime Minister Kishi Nobuo led the Liberal Democratic Party to a great victory
Will adopt active fiscal measures to stimulate the economy,
In simple terms, it means to curb rising interest rates, the government will print more money,
which is beneficial for BTC and other risk assets.
Otherwise, if the Bank of Japan raises interest rates sharply, the funds profiting from arbitrage in the U.S. will flow back in large amounts, which will be detrimental to the cryptocurrency market.

Objectively speaking, BTC is close to the bottom now, which is still reliable.
Don't sell now, hold on for a rebound,
Once the Iran issue is settled, there will be a strong rebound.
This week's key focus
Non-farm payroll data will be released at 21:30 on Wednesday,
CPI data will be released at 21:30 on Friday.

After experiencing last week's plunge, will the future market crash or reverse?

This round of plummet has taken down many investment masters,
Yi Lihua's losses exceed $700 million (4.9 billion RMB), buying ETH all above $3000,
and cutting losses around $2000.
Everyone will notice that as soon as he finished cutting, the market rebounded.
But one must cut losses; what if it continues to fall?
A margin call would mean total destruction, so it's better to cut.

The future market still depends on the macro trend

(1) Current interest rate cut expectations have dropped to freezing point.
Most people believe the Federal Reserve won't cut rates in June
That's why last week's plunge occurred; currently, it's the worst situation, and it can't get much worse.
Thus, we feel that BTC is approaching the bottom

(2) But be cautious of a potential wave of declines caused by war.
The U.S. aircraft carrier strike group has entered the positions to strike Iran.
Meanwhile, the U.S. military continues to gather aircraft and ground-based air defense systems in the Middle East.
If the U.S. and Iran can't reach an agreement in Oman, it will lead to direct conflict! Probability 40%.
So prepare for another drop.
Trump's approval rating has significantly decreased; if war breaks out, the Republican midterm elections will be doomed.
So the good news is that Trump also doesn't want to fight.

(3) Japanese Prime Minister Kishi Nobuo leads the Liberal Democratic Party to a great victory
They will adopt active fiscal policies to stimulate the economy,
In simple terms, it means suppressing interest rate increases, the government will print more money,
which is beneficial for BTC and other risk assets.
Otherwise, if the Bank of Japan raises interest rates sharply, funds profiting from the U.S. will flow back domestically in large quantities, which will be bearish for the crypto market.

Objectively speaking, BTC is now approaching the bottom, which is still reliable.
Now is not the time to cut losses; hold on for a rebound,
Once the Iran issue is resolved, there will be a strong rebound.
This week's key focus
This Wednesday at 21:30, non-farm payroll data will be released,
This Friday at 21:30, CPI data will be released.

Recent Market Commentary

Many brothers have asked, can we still buy the dip now?

Conclusion: Yes, just wait for the K-line to flatten and buy Bitcoin in batches.

I cannot tell you when the bottom is,
but we can get infinitely close to the bottom.

If someone can tell you the exact bottom point, just block them directly.

Let's take a look at a few real cases recently:

1. China's Yi Lihua, heavily invested in Ethereum, lost 80% and cut losses, losing 700 million USD.

2. South Korea's Tom Lee, a Wharton School graduate with a Wall Street background, heavily invested in ETH, with an unrealized loss of 7.4 billion USD.

They have money, resources, and are smart,
but they also cannot predict where the bottom is, let alone us ordinary folks.

Please stop dreaming of getting rich quickly by buying the bottom at 75X leverage; the end of contracts only leads to liquidation.

The market will ultimately reward two types of people:
1️⃣ Those who can survive long enough
2️⃣ Those who can restrain their greed

Do not speculate on what the absolute bottom is,
what we can do is get closer to it continuously, rather than hitting it accurately.

If you truly believe Bitcoin has the potential to become digital gold, keep an eye on Web3.
Then you just need to buy Bitcoin in batches when the price drops, preparing to hold for 5 years or 10 years.

Do not use leverage, control your position, restrain your greed, and invest in batches!

You will outperform 99% of the market, slow is fast!

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$BNB B Don't be like a complaining woman over there, CZ! Some foolish people just can't see reality.
​Open your eyes and take a look, how many in the entire industry can do what he does, turning liquidity into an ocean? Bringing the government to stand on stage? The threshold is so high that you can't even touch your heels!
​To put it bluntly, attacking CZ is hitting everyone's rice bowl. This is not just stupid, it’s simply terrible! Without such top-tier big shots holding the fort, you trolls would still be playing in the mud.
​Admit it, this is a legendary existence, if you don't agree, hold it in!
​Thank you for reading this, wishing you a good morning☀️ good afternoon🥰 good night💤
$ETH