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– Iran has declared the Strait of Hormuz CLOSED. All shipping "to and from ports of allies and supporters of the Israeli-American enemies" is now PROHIBITED.
– TWO Chinese container ships tried to exit the Gulf via Hormuz on Friday. TURNED BACK. Ship-tracking data confirms.
– 8,000,000 barrels per day are now OFFLINE. That is not a reduction. That is a shutdown.
– Oil is SURGING. Brent nearing $111/barrel. WTI has topped $96. March is on track for the LARGEST monthly price gain ever recorded.
– Separately: 40% of Russia's oil export capacity is about to HALT. Ukrainian drone strikes hitting Baltic port terminals. Russia is warning buyers of "force majeure" on deliveries.
– Asia's energy crisis is about to ACCELERATE. Japan gets 73% of oil through Hormuz. South Korea: 70%. China: 40-45%. India: 42%.
– China just got TURNED BACK from Hormuz. The world's largest energy importer can't get its ships through.
– The Iran conflict looks set to extend into April. Attacks ongoing. Hormuz traffic largely stalled.
– Tanker deliveries are RUNNING OUT. Not slowing — running out. Saxo Bank's Ole Hansen: further pressure coming as remaining deliveries expire.
– Two chokepoints. Hormuz and Baltic. Both offline. No backup supply at this scale exists anywhere on Earth.
This isn't a spike. This is the beginning of a structural energy crisis.
The level analysis from two days ago was mostly accurate. The only thing I underestimated was the intensity of the long squeeze. Based on the whale orders, there was also a notable cluster of whale bids around 68.8K.
‼️Market pressure on Trump to de-escalate the Iran War is at extreme levels:
The Trump Pain Point Index, or "TACO Index," just hit ~2 standard deviations above the mean for the first time ever.
This index combines inverse S&P 500 returns, 10-year Treasury yields, 30-year mortgage rates, gasoline futures, 1-year CPI swaps, and presidential approval ratings into a single measure of economic and political pain.
Every major spike in the index over the last 15 months has been followed by a policy reversal or pause from the White House.
The 90-day pause on tariffs came after the April 2025 spike, the government shutdown ended after the September spike, the Greenland threat was dropped after the December spike, and most recently, Trump backed down from threats on Iranian energy infrastructure.
🇮🇷 Major Gulf powers are joining the war against Iran
US airbases in the region are now being activated. • Iranian assets and institutions across the Gulf are being frozen and shut down. • Key decision makers are close to formally entering the conflict. • Iran attacked Gulf states to scare them into pushing for peace.
It did the opposite.
Here's what this means for your portfolio
OIL: More countries in the war = bigger threat to oil supply - We were already missing 12M barrels/day - Next stop: $130-150 $Brent
GOLD: Selling off short term due to a strong dollar - May continue unless real peace talks emerge
CRYPTO ( $BTC) - More pain likely if this escalates further
One Gulf foreign minister told the US they're ready for a war lasting up to 9 months.
🚨SOMETHING TERRIBLE IS HAPPENING RIGHT NOW!! If you are holding any asset - Stocks - Crypto - Bonds - Or even the US dollar YOU MUST READ THIS POST BEFORE IT’S TOO LATE Over the past week we’ve seen de-escalation in the Middle East And a softening of Trump’s rhetoric BUT EVERYTHING JUST CHANGED Literally 10 hours ago the BEST American stealth aircraft F-35 was shot down Everyone is saying it’s a victory and Iran’s achievement BUT NO Very large and dangerous player has entered the game CHINA just provided Iran with all the advanced systems to take down America’s pride the F-35 - YLC-8B radar – range 700 km designed specifically to track stealth aircraft (F-35, B-2) - JY-27A radar – low-frequency surveillance in the UHF band - BeiDou-3 – satellite navigation that cannot be jammed by the US - Over 500 Chinese satellites – real-time tracking of US Navy movements - Liaowang-1 reconnaissance ship – sensor range 6000 km stationed near the Strait of Hormuz And this is far from the full list of military systems that were provided Iran simply pulled the trigger on the weapon given to them by CHINA China is watching every second of this war to collect data on the performance of American stealth technologies Iran essentially did not shoot down a single F-35 CHINA DID IT THROUGH IRAN This move carries massive GEOPOLITICAL significance The US will not leave this unanswered so the conflict in the Middle East will clearly drag on Which will again lead to a serious rise in OIL and a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz CHINA has nothing to worry about. They have long been secretly buying oil from Iran in yuan But for everyone else this is a major strike This puts all other countries in front of a choice EITHER YOU BUY OIL IN YUAN OR YOU SIT WITHOUT OIL All of this will lead to tightening liquidity Tightening liquidity will trigger a cascade of selling and liquidations Because in moments like this investors don’t look for what they can earn They look for what they can SELL to SURVIVE This sounds SCARY, but I will keep you updated on everything here When I rotate money, I will post my moves here so my FOLLOWERS can SAVE their money Follow me and turn NOTIFICATIONS ON as I will share my strategy soon Many will regret not following me earlier... #BinanceKOLIntroductionProgram #MarchFedMeeting #SECClarifiesCryptoClassification