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【Contract - Today's Profit and Loss - Capital Costs and Transaction Fees】

You can check all your transaction fee expenditures, especially for those trading with large positions; your transaction fees may actually exceed your original principal by a lot. For those family members living paycheck to paycheck and trading like there's no tomorrow, listen to Zai Bao, you must absolutely open a rebate account. At least save a little for your living expenses each month. Sometimes when emotions run high, it's really uncontrollable, and if you get liquidated, you might not even be able to afford a meal. However, the transaction fees you save can be a lifesaver in critical moments; if converted to RMB, it could match a worker's monthly salary. 🤌

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一个下跪磕头500u就有16万u的跟单，真是傻子爱送钱，30%的分润币安平台都不敢这么搞，流量这块真是被牙子玩儿明白了

Beijing University earthquake stock trading study, it is said that the stocks recommended by Teacher Zhao in his early years left students with nothing but their underwear~

Peking University Humanities Class Check-in~

Iran's current stance is not about wanting to 'fight to the end', but rather seeing through America's tactics—calling for a ceasefire while exerting pressure, pretending to seek peace while increasing sanctions. In its eyes, the current ceasefire and negotiations are essentially a 'pact under the city walls', where it neither loses sovereignty nor gains real security. Rather than compromising for temporary stability, it is better to stand firm and force America to present genuinely sincere conditions. After all, for Iran, dignity and security have never been achieved through negotiations; they are maintained by one's own strength. #特朗普缓和局势

The tooth takes 30% of the profit share, can this wave leverage a few hundred oil to move nearly 150,000 u in profit?

The cost of striking Iran's infrastructure is too great for Chuanzi, and there is no benefit for a businessman. I mentioned this last night, did you see how cowardly your Chuan dad is, Pistol?

The strongest mouth fighter on the surface has Tacoed again ～

I am not blindly supporting anyone's victory or defeat, but rather discussing from objective facts and conditions why the longer the situation in the Middle East drags on, the more advantageous it is for Iran. Regarding "On Protracted War," we are indeed familiar with it.~
1. The US-Iran conflict is a result of mutual misjudgment. Iran thought that the US would keep its promise after signing the agreement, but the US flipped and bombed high-ranking officials, suffering a huge loss; the US thought that decapitating Iran's highest leader would paralyze Iran, but they were mistaken.
2. Trump’s approach towards Iran had four fatal miscalculations: Iran's retaliation was already planned and was extremely fierce, not just a quick explosion; Iran has complex terrain and underground facilities, making them particularly resilient, bombing is essentially ineffective; Iran dared to directly blockade the Strait of Hormuz, turning US maritime hegemony into a joke; after the attack, hardliners in Iran took complete control, moderates lost their voice, and there was no place for talks.
3. Iran's big move is not missiles or drones, but learning from Trump about taxation, planning to charge a 10% toll on ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz. This move specifically targets America's weak point, not only can it earn a lot of money but also make US allies pay, dismantling the logic of America's global taxation hegemony.
4. Trump now has nowhere to retreat; withdrawing troops would be equivalent to admitting that hegemony has collapsed, continuing the fight provides no good solutions, airstrikes cannot destroy Iran's facilities, and sending ground troops risks repeating the Afghan disaster, leaving him in a dilemma.
5. Iran is currently focusing on attrition warfare, not engaging in direct confrontation, relying on blockading the strait, collecting tolls, and conducting guerrilla warfare to raise the cost of American warfare, while also collaborating with surrounding armed forces against Israel. Time is on Iran's side; as long as they can hold on, the US will eventually be unable to sustain itself.
6. This war will become a negative teaching material for reckless militarism; Trump has been dragged down by Israel, exposing the naked truth of American hegemony, and is likely to be nailed to the pillar of historical shame. #特朗普48小时最后通牒

$XAU has collapsed, it has completely collapsed

$XAU Now, Trump is just at the limit of verbal warfare, actually afraid to take real action! He used a 48-hour ultimatum and threats to bomb power plants against Iran, essentially trying to rely on psychological warfare to force the opening of the Strait of Hormuz, both to stabilize oil prices and to gain votes! Iran has already gone all out; if you dare to attack my infrastructure, I will destroy the entire Middle East's energy facilities, causing oil prices to skyrocket for a long time, global inflation, and then a liquidity crisis worldwide, leading the US to suffer irreversible consequences, drowned by the spittle of international public opinion, and Trump won't get anything! Iran's move seems reminiscent of a past figure, striking the first blow to avoid being overwhelmed by a hundred punches; if this wave wins, it will definitely be a textbook-level counterattack in human history!

Netanyahu is calling on everyone to fight Iran, but to put it bluntly, he can't fight anymore and wants to drag others into the water; no one is really going to listen to him. Israel is currently struggling with several forces, unable to afford both money and manpower, and wants to frame the "conflict with Iran" as "the whole world needs to be wary of Iran," hoping other countries will bear arms for him while fearing that the U.S. won't care about him for the sake of the election. Europe is afraid of skyrocketing oil prices, the U.S. is worried that escalating conflict will affect the election, and Arab countries are even less likely to help him; they are just all talk. #特朗普考虑结束伊朗冲突

Just to clarify, the rebound strength is too strong. The continuation of the rise in the afternoon European and American markets will wipe out a lot of shorts, after all, gold has the characteristic of loving big V formations.

$XAU Many people ask me why I am not trading Bitcoin and Ethereum this year, only gold. Just watch, within a day or two it will drop and then rebound directly by 200 points. This kind of elasticity is definitely not something Bitcoin and Ethereum have. After a drop in cryptocurrency, at least a week or half a month will pass without such strong rebounds. The exchanges probably understand this now.

$XAU As shown in the picture, it is currently at the 4700 resistance level. If it breaks through, then look at the resistance level around 4750. The yellow line part represents the ideal trend. If it is blocked and falls back, and the second test does not break 4500, then it can be considered a short-term bottom signal. Therefore, bulls should wait for signs of stabilization after the second test. For intraday short-term players, short at the key resistance level above and monitor the strength and weakness during the European session to exit in time. 4500 is the support level for the gold weekly chart, combined with the fact that all negative factors have basically been exhausted. There is no worse market environment than now. I hope for a rebound to help everyone recover losses; the sharper the decline, the stronger the rebound. However, it is not about blindly promoting dead bulls or dead bears. Follow whatever signals the market gives. In extreme cases, if 4500 breaks down, then it’s better not to live.

$XAU Yesterday collapsed very happily, today rebounded, but the overall trend has not changed, waiting for the pressure position to fall back and test the bottom at 4800. If it can hold, there is a high probability of starting a rebound. If it breaks, it will continue to look down. To completely get out of the downtrend and restore the upward trend, it must break through and stabilize above 5050 to open up upward space. Waiting for the war to end will gradually warm up

If Iran continues to be pressured like this, it might end up following the old path of Saddam. The leader has been killed, and the intelligence minister has also been killed. It is hard for the Iranian people not to go crazy, right?

$XAU Should it be flat? How to flatten it? The gold is weak to death, and success or failure depends on the 19th.

$ETH Radical short position in the range of 2375-2385, stop loss 2390, target 2300-2280.
Steady long: Consider again after a pullback to 2300 or stabilizing at EMA99 (2091), avoid catching the high position.
In a volatile market, only focus on key levels, avoid making unnecessary moves in between!