4 PM, AiCoin Alpha Live Stream: Big Pullback in Cryptocurrency? I Reverse and Buy Oil with One Click! Come experience the cross-border joy of Aster! (Send Red Packets)
This afternoon at 16:00 (UTC+8), AiCoin Alpha will take everyone on a unique cross-border investment journey in the 【 AiCoin - Group Chat - Live Stream】— when the cryptocurrency market is no longer friendly, how do we reverse and buy oil with one click! As one of the important barometers of the global economy, the oil market always holds unique investment charm. Especially when there are fluctuations in the international macroeconomy, oil prices often become one of the safe havens for capital. In today's live stream, the host will break down the investment logic of the oil market, as well as how to easily position oil assets through Aster's on-chain trading function. Welcome to make an appointment to watch~
Today is extremely fearful (Fear & Greed index drops to 8-25)
RSI is oversold, leverage positions are high but trading volume is low over the weekend, making it susceptible to geopolitical issues (tensions in the Middle East) and tightening macro liquidity. ETF capital outflows and pressure on the banking system are compounding, overall remaining in a state of low volatility and extreme panic, with limited trading opportunities but some structural opportunities present.
1. Accumulation opportunity for the "panic bottom" of major coins BTC/ETH
BTC holds the support zone at 66k-65k. Some analysts believe it has entered the end of a cycle adjustment, suitable for DCA (dollar-cost averaging) or light positions to try going long (target 67k-70k rebound). If it breaks below 65k, it may test 60k again, but historical data shows that after extreme panic periods, there is often a rebound.
1. The probability of a Fed rate hike in April drops to 4.1%
On March 29, CME's "FedWatch" data showed that the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike by the Fed in April dropped to 4.1%, while the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 95.9%. - Original text
2. Trump issued a 48-hour ultimatum to Iran
Agent Garrett Jin of “1011 Insider Whale” stated on the X platform that Trump has issued a 48-hour ultimatum to Iran, demanding the full restoration of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, escalating the situation. He pointed out three impacts: diplomatic buffers have been broken, the low-key negotiation path between Iran and Japan may end; the nature of the conflict is escalating, and if the strikes expand to civilian infrastructure, the probability of a long-term war will increase; oil market volatility OVX has risen to 93, far exceeding the stock market volatility index VIX of 24, indicating that oil market risks are significantly higher than those in the stock market. Overall, oil prices and market volatility may rise, and the expected duration of the conflict has extended. - Original text
ETH Price Volatility: Technical Warnings and Future Outlook Amid Market Storm
Event Review 📜
Recently, the ETH market has experienced severe fluctuations. Starting from 06:35 in the morning, the ETH price plummeted from about $1,993 to $1,947 in just 11 minutes, a drop of 2.34%. Following that, during the period from 06:35 to 06:49, the ETH price further dipped from $1,948 to $1,937, indicating increased selling pressure in the market. Although by 07:14 the market slightly stabilized, with the price rising to about $1,984, the overall trend remains full of uncertainty. This volatility is not only influenced by the technical factors of the crypto market itself but is also closely related to global geopolitical risks and tightening macroeconomic conditions.
[AiCoin丨3.29 Snapshot: Fines for illegal trading, Grayscale transition, donation ban]
1. Israel dispatched 50 fighter jets to strike Iranian nuclear facilities
The Israel Defense Forces stated on the 28th that the army dispatched more than 50 fighter jets on the 27th to strike nuclear facilities and weapon bases in three regions of Iran, with the operation lasting several hours. Targets included the Arak heavy water plant, a special facility for uranium enrichment materials in Yazd, and a weapons production base. - Original
2. Binance Australia was fined $6.9 million for illegal trading.
Binance Australia was fined $6.9 million due to losses of $6 million incurred by 524 retail investors trading high-risk derivatives without protective measures. - Original
1. The US and Israel airstrike Iranian steel plants and power plants
On March 27, the United States and Israel launched airstrikes on the Khuzestan steel plant in Iran and the Mubarak steel plant in Isfahan, which also included an attack on the associated power plant. -Original
2. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates this year is zero, and the market expects one rate hike
Conflicts in the Middle East may drive up inflation, and financial markets have abandoned bets on the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates this year. According to data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, the derivatives market estimates the probability of a rate cut this year to be zero, while on Thursday that probability was 1.3%. The market expects at least one rate hike with a likelihood of 54%. The shock in energy prices is altering the outlook for global central banks, which face the dilemma of rising inflation and slowing growth. A month ago, investors were betting on two to three rate cuts this year, but at last week's Federal Reserve meeting, the majority of officials anticipated only one cut of 25 basis points this year. -Original
4 PM, AiCoin NPC Live: After ten years of trading coins, is there no opportunity in the cryptocurrency world? Will you switch to the U.S. stock market? (Membership included)
This afternoon at 16:00 (UTC+8), AiCoin NPC will discuss with everyone in 【 AiCoin - Group Chat - Live】 'Is there no opportunity in the cryptocurrency world now?'. Moreover, investors are turning to the U.S. stock market in search of stable returns. Is this the right choice? While moving to the U.S. stock market certainly reduces volatility risk, investors also need to have different knowledge reserves and mindset adjustments.
So in the current market, what kind of strategy is a better choice? Is the cryptocurrency world currently in a winter or spring? Is there still an opportunity to deeply explore the investment value on-chain? Our live broadcast will start from the characteristics of these two markets, analyzing the pros and cons of the cryptocurrency world and the U.S. stock market. At the same time, we will explain the OKX wallet in detail, allowing you to master the basic knowledge of on-chain asset management from a practical level, upgrading comprehensively from investment perspective to tool application. Welcome to make an appointment to watch~
How to automatically capture major orders with CoinClaw? Live practical session today at 17:00!
In the face of a rapidly changing market, how can we accurately pinpoint the movements of major players amidst a sea of information? Today (March 27) at 17:00, AiCoin will launch a live broadcast on CoinClaw, guiding you step by step to break through technical barriers, using AI to create your own 'digital avatar' and achieve 24-hour automatic monitoring of the main players' tracks.
[Click to enter the meeting]:
https://meeting.tencent.com/dm/I8bHbZs5kKPE
Core highlights of the live broadcast: Quantitative practice from zero to one
This live broadcast addresses the pain points of traders, showcasing the powerful practical capabilities of CoinClaw through four core segments:
11 AM, AiCoin NPC Live: After ten years of trading coins, are there no opportunities left in the crypto circle? Will you switch to US stocks? (Membership giveaway)
This morning at 11:00 (UTC+8), AiCoin NPC will analyze recent market trends in 【 AiCoin - Group Chat - Live】 along with everyone, discussing investments and strategies on-chain. We must admit that the sentiment and activity in the crypto market have decreased compared to peak periods, but have the opportunities really disappeared? There are still many signs in the market indicating that on-chain investments and strategies are gradually shifting from early speculation-driven to value-driven. At the same time, on-chain tools like OKX Wallet are providing investors with more capabilities to explore investment opportunities. Join the live broadcast, and let's discuss whether new possibilities are gradually emerging. Welcome to make an appointment to watch~
Ten years of cryptocurrency trading, is there no opportunity left in the crypto world? Will you transition to the US stock market?
Recently had a deep conversation with an old friend who has been trading cryptocurrencies for ten years. Watching the pile of altcoins in his hands, reflecting on the ups and downs of the past decade, as an observer, I feel quite emotional. Today, I want to discuss the issue of reasonable asset allocation with everyone, and also teach you step by step how to transition to the US stock market with a low threshold.
Let’s share the benefits first. Binding an exclusive invitation code is a win, and you can also enjoy permanent commissions:
1. Trump says Iran is in dialogue, the strait may reopen
On March 26, U.S. President Trump stated that Iran is in dialogue with the United States because it has been defeated. If Iran reaches the right agreement, the strait will reopen. - Original text
2. Trump: Oil prices and stock markets have fallen severely
3. The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending March 21 is 210,000, in line with expectations
On March 26, the number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending March 21 is 210,000, in line with expectations of 210,000, with a previous value of 205,000. AI interpretation: The number of initial jobless claims remains at expected levels, indicating the stability of the labor market. This data shows that despite economic challenges, the unemployment rate remains low, reflecting strong demand for employees from businesses. Confidence in future economic trends will thus be enhanced, further supporting consumption and investment activities. - Original text
What does Iran's toll collection in the Strait of Hormuz mean for oil prices and cryptocurrency?
On March 26, 2026, East 8 Time, it was revealed that the relevant committees of the Iranian Islamic Parliament are advancing the legislation for tolls in the Strait of Hormuz, and plan to submit the draft to the Parliament Research Center next week for refinement. The core of this action is to attempt to transform Iran's actual control over this crucial waterway into a legally clothed charging mechanism.
The Strait of Hormuz itself is a key node in global energy transportation. Any fluctuations regarding passage rights and charging rights could potentially spread along the chain of 'shipping costs - oil and gas prices - inflation expectations - asset repricing.' This article approaches the structural conflict between sovereignty and freedom of navigation, tracing this energy artery to track potential spillover effects on oil prices and the cryptocurrency market.
Polymarket bids farewell to zero fees: Who is paying for liquidity?
On March 30, 2026, the prediction market platform Polymarket announced the end of its long-standing "zero fee" model, introducing Taker fees for almost all trading categories for the first time. Prior to this, the zero fee rate was not only its core reputation asset but also a key subsidy method to attract a large number of price-sensitive speculators and prediction enthusiasts. Under the new regulations, the platform has established a differentiated fee framework covering various markets including crypto, sports, finance, and politics, with the highest fee rate for crypto contracts set at 1.8%, while the geopolitical sector received a special treatment of completely waived Taker fees. This stark contrast between "high" and "zero fee" within the same platform has directly brought the fee rate from a backend parameter to the forefront of the narrative. The real mainline surrounding this adjustment is not just about "whether to charge or not", but how the platform's sustainable growth will redistribute the game between user costs and liquidity quality.
【AiCoin丨3.26 Snapshot: Long Positions, Clear Regulations, Options Expiry】
1. Brother Ma Ji's Bitcoin and Ethereum long positions reached 15.983 million USD
On-chain data shows that about three hours ago on March 25, Brother Ma Ji Huang Licheng opened a 40x leveraged Bitcoin long position, holding 22 BTC. In addition, he also holds a 25x leveraged Ethereum long position, with a position of approximately 6675 ETH, and a total position value of approximately 15.983 million USD. -Original
2. Trump supports including cryptocurrencies in 401(k) plans
The proposal supported by Trump has passed White House review, allowing cryptocurrencies and private equity to enter the $12 trillion 401(k) retirement plan, with the U.S. Department of Labor expected to release related rules soon. -Original
Trump goes back on his word! BTC profits soar, only 60h left
WTI crude oil is currently quoted between 88.48-89.35 USD / barrel, with a drop of about 3.5%-4.2% today
Yesterday, tech stocks collectively dragged down the market, with the Nasdaq suffering the most, Google falling over 3%, and Microsoft also dropping over 2%
Fortunately, the energy sector is strengthening against the trend due to the rebound in oil prices, and Bitcoin is firmly holding up the market!
AiCoin Senior Sister reminds: The energy sector is rising against the trend thanks to the rebound in oil prices!
What kind of ordinary market is this? It's clearly the main force openly giving everyone red envelopes!
The key is coming! In the next 2 and a half days, how can we operate to maximize our earnings? Our Pro members can directly view major orders and capture abnormal signals. During these 60 hours of critical market conditions, this is your artifact for avoiding risks!
The "epic" journey of a former police officer to reset his life: over 20 million U and 330,000
This is the cryptocurrency world: a former police officer who guarded and stole, taking more than 20 million U (over 140 million RMB) from a suspect. He thought he had mastered the "wealth code," but after being beaten down by contracts, he was left with only 330,000.
What was seized was evil, what moved him was greed. With 20 million U, even if he just saved it to earn interest, he could live comfortably for several generations. Instead, he insisted on opening contracts to challenge the market makers. His principal was wiped out, and the law closed in. The lesson he learned in exchange for his freedom can be summed up in four words: virtue does not match position.
Everyone always fantasizes about miraculous hundredfold returns, but forget that a 98% drawdown only requires a few greedy openings.
3 PM, Sister AiCoin Live: Trump Backtracks! BTC Profits Soar, Only 60h Left (Membership Gift)
This afternoon at 3:00 PM (UTC+8), Sister AiCoin will analyze the BTC "Doubling Gold Rush" storm in 【 AiCoin - Group Chat - Live】! Recently, the market has been reignited by Trump's latest statements. This person, known as the "barometer" of the market, has rarely changed his previous tough stance on cryptocurrencies, injecting a "shot in the arm" into the market. As the news of Trump’s reversal rapidly fermented, the price fluctuations of BTC have shown astonishing potential. What kind of opportunities are hidden behind this? How will the next 60 hours influence the market landscape? How should ordinary investors strike precisely to seize the opportunity for doubling returns? In this live broadcast, we will explore the path to profit from BTC dividends together! Welcome to make an appointment to watch~
A hotel in Beijing was mysteriously booked out in late April. Is Trump really coming?! Is it a small investor's opportunity now?
These days, there has been rampant talk within the circle, with various screenshots of reservations at high-end hotels in Beijing flying everywhere. Everyone is betting: Is Trump’s visit to China this time the 'moon landing' signal for the crypto market? As retail investors, this could be the historical window you shouldn't miss this year. Let's not get carried away by adrenaline; let's rewind the clock a few years and see the true script that history provides.
2017: A tepid response. In November, Trump visited China, mainly discussing tariffs and geopolitics, while BTC was still bouncing around at $7,000. At that time, the crypto world wasn't as 'delicate' as it is now, and the sensitivity to such diplomatic dramas was far less than it is now.
2018-2019: A short-term 'pressure valve'. During the peak of the trade war, whenever Trump tweeted, risk assets would go on a roller coaster. Although it was a bear market, as long as the situation remained tense, BTC trading volume would soar, becoming a short-term gambling paradise to respond to macro sentiment, with plenty of opportunities, but it didn’t change the overall trend. 2020-2021: Emotion vs. liquidity. Trump's statements can indeed stir emotions, but upon review, what really makes crypto prices soar is global liquidity and regulatory policies. The 'visit' of big figures is just an accelerant; whether it can run far depends on whether there’s enough money in the macro 'tank'. If he really comes next month, the script might be: in the short term, BTC and ETH trading volume will explode, market sentiment will be at its peak, and price fluctuations of 5%-10% will be normal. If there are no earth-shattering financial policies, things will return to the original trend after the commotion. In the long run, we still need to pay attention to the Federal Reserve's stance.
It must be reminded that: currently, all these messages are just rumors! And everyone knows Trump's style; his policy logic often changes, and his movements and statements are extremely difficult to grasp. One second he might be releasing good news, and the next second, a tweet can reverse the market.
In summary, Trump’s visit to China is a powerful 'emotional catalyst' that can bring you short-term volatility and adrenaline. Retail investors wanting to take advantage of this wave can join the excitement, but never treat rumors as a cure-all. The underlying policy logic and macro environment are the true guiding sticks for trading!
How did mysterious accounts on Polymarket accurately "jump the gun" before Trump’s post?
A cloud of "insider trading" regarding war and peace is intensifying on the world’s largest prediction market, Polymarket.
Just this Monday (March 23), former US President Trump made a high-profile post on Truth Social, stating that both the US and Iran have had "very good and productive dialogue" regarding ending the Middle East war, and announced a five-day suspension of strikes on Iranian power facilities. This explosive news quickly ignited global financial markets, with oil prices plummeting and stock index futures soaring. However, faster than the market reaction were a group of mysterious accounts lurking on Polymarket — they had already made significant bets on "the US and Iran will reach a ceasefire next week" hours or even earlier before Trump went public.
【AiCoin丨3.25 Snapshot: State-owned Enterprises Prohibited from Accepting, Whales Transferring In, ETF Relaxation】
1. The Central Committee of the Communist Party of China prohibits leaders of state-owned enterprises from accepting virtual currency
The General Office of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the General Office of the State Council issued (Regulations on the Integrity of Leaders of State-Owned Enterprises), clearly prohibiting leaders of state-owned enterprises from using their authority to seek personal gain, including the acceptance of virtual currency and other assets, unfair transactions of houses and vehicles, and hidden equity and monetary transactions. Violators will be dealt with according to the law. - Original text
2. BlackRock transferred 7552 ETH to Coinbase Prime, worth 16.31 million USD
According to monitoring data from Arkham, about an hour ago, BlackRock transferred approximately 7552 ETH to Coinbase Prime address through its Ethereum trading fund ETHA, worth about 16.31 million USD. - Original text