Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has just completed a Death Cross on the 3D time-frame, which is when the MA50 (blue trend-line) crosses below the MA200 (orange trend-line).

Every time this took place since 2014 during a Bear Cycle, BTC dropped by at least another -52%. That was the case of the 2022 and 2018 Bear Cycles, while in 2014 it declined by -57%.

At the same time, it reached the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (in 2022 and 2018) from the level the Death Cross happened 2014 bottomed a little over the 1.618 Fib).

As a result, if history repeats itself, the above levels create an 'Effective Buy Zone' of $40000 (1.618 Fib) to $36000 (-52%).

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