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中美贸易关系

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中国已向考虑与美国达成可能使北京处于不利地位的贸易协议的国家发出直接警告,并誓言将采取“坚决和对等”的反制措施。此前有报道称,特朗普总统可能会向那些限制与中国贸易的国家提供关税豁免。 你认为这一局势将如何发展?又会如何影响全球市场?欢迎分享你的看法!
凯旋KǎiXuan
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Bullish
$BTC $ETH $SOL Next week is bullish, definitely don't short 📈 The meeting time between China and the U.S. is officially set for May 14-15. This is not a cancellation, but rather a transformation of expectations into certainty. The market fears uncertainty the most, and now that this uncertainty has been resolved, the good news is even more solid. Originally scheduled for late March to early April, the timetable has now been postponed for more than a month. On the surface, it appears delayed, but in reality, it is an upgrade—both sides have more time to discuss trade, tariffs, investment, and other topics in depth. Historical experience shows that the more prepared one is, the more results often exceed expectations. Moreover, the Chinese side “fully understands” the U.S. side’s adjustment of schedule due to Middle Eastern affairs, and this mutual trust itself is releasing a stabilizing signal to the market. The April meeting may easily collide with the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions and other disruptions, while the mid-May window is cleaner. Coupled with the seasonal warming of risk assets, the timing is actually better. In the short term, the market may have a “delay equals disappointment” emotional reaction, but smart money will quickly realize: this is not a negative outcome, but a round of more certain positive developments is building momentum. This time is no exception. Prices will start to rise next week, don't short 🚀 #中美贸易关系
$BTC $ETH $SOL
Next week is bullish, definitely don't short 📈

The meeting time between China and the U.S. is officially set for May 14-15. This is not a cancellation, but rather a transformation of expectations into certainty. The market fears uncertainty the most, and now that this uncertainty has been resolved, the good news is even more solid.

Originally scheduled for late March to early April, the timetable has now been postponed for more than a month. On the surface, it appears delayed, but in reality, it is an upgrade—both sides have more time to discuss trade, tariffs, investment, and other topics in depth. Historical experience shows that the more prepared one is, the more results often exceed expectations. Moreover, the Chinese side “fully understands” the U.S. side’s adjustment of schedule due to Middle Eastern affairs, and this mutual trust itself is releasing a stabilizing signal to the market.

The April meeting may easily collide with the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions and other disruptions, while the mid-May window is cleaner. Coupled with the seasonal warming of risk assets, the timing is actually better. In the short term, the market may have a “delay equals disappointment” emotional reaction, but smart money will quickly realize: this is not a negative outcome, but a round of more certain positive developments is building momentum.

This time is no exception. Prices will start to rise next week, don't short 🚀
#中美贸易关系
Analysis of Altcoin Market: The main cryptocurrency has driven a general increase in altcoins, but the increase ratio is about 1:2 (when the main cryptocurrency rises by 1%, altcoins rise by an average of 2%), indicating that market liquidity has not fully recovered yet. However, some altcoins have shown phase-specific opportunities. Sector Performance: The AI sector is strong, with FET increasing by over 70% in half a month, and TAO nearing a doubling. LPT is also worth paying attention to, with short-term resistance at 5; if it breaks through, it may continue to rise. The market is still dominated by the main cryptocurrency, and we need to observe whether it stabilizes. It is advisable to pay attention to leading coins in strong sectors like AI, but avoid chasing highs and be cautious of pullback risks. If the main cryptocurrency continues to rise, some altcoins may also catch up; consider positioning at lower prices. #币安HODLer空投HYPER #中美贸易关系
Analysis of Altcoin Market:

The main cryptocurrency has driven a general increase in altcoins, but the increase ratio is about 1:2 (when the main cryptocurrency rises by 1%, altcoins rise by an average of 2%), indicating that market liquidity has not fully recovered yet. However, some altcoins have shown phase-specific opportunities.

Sector Performance:
The AI sector is strong, with FET increasing by over 70% in half a month, and TAO nearing a doubling. LPT is also worth paying attention to, with short-term resistance at 5; if it breaks through, it may continue to rise.

The market is still dominated by the main cryptocurrency, and we need to observe whether it stabilizes.

It is advisable to pay attention to leading coins in strong sectors like AI, but avoid chasing highs and be cautious of pullback risks.

If the main cryptocurrency continues to rise, some altcoins may also catch up; consider positioning at lower prices.

#币安HODLer空投HYPER #中美贸易关系
The trends of altcoins have varied greatly in the past couple of days, with each cryptocurrency having its unique rhythm, indicating that the performance of each coin will differ in the upcoming rebound, and a general market rise is not expected in the short term. Therefore, selecting coins is particularly important now. Key points for coin selection: First, Bitcoin (BTC) is definitely the first choice. Then comes Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL), which rank second and third. Next are those altcoins that have submitted ETFs, such as ADA, DOGE, LTC, etc. Also, there are tokens from the Trump family’s crypto project. Following that are some market hot coins, but these need to keep up with the rhythm; otherwise, it's easy to get stuck. New and newly listed coins are not recommended as they usually peak right after listing. In terms of operation, it’s best to operate on altcoins on the right side, look at the on-chain data more, and opportunities will definitely arise. Lastly, regarding altcoins, just make a profit and don’t be greedy; it’s better to find an opportunity to exit. Right now, Bitcoin is providing cover for altcoins, and this situation has happened more than once; we can’t always stay in the same pit, can we? #美联储独立性 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #中美贸易关系
The trends of altcoins have varied greatly in the past couple of days, with each cryptocurrency having its unique rhythm, indicating that the performance of each coin will differ in the upcoming rebound, and a general market rise is not expected in the short term. Therefore, selecting coins is particularly important now.
Key points for coin selection:
First, Bitcoin (BTC) is definitely the first choice.
Then comes Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL), which rank second and third.
Next are those altcoins that have submitted ETFs, such as ADA, DOGE, LTC, etc.
Also, there are tokens from the Trump family’s crypto project.
Following that are some market hot coins, but these need to keep up with the rhythm; otherwise, it's easy to get stuck.
New and newly listed coins are not recommended as they usually peak right after listing.
In terms of operation, it’s best to operate on altcoins on the right side, look at the on-chain data more, and opportunities will definitely arise.
Lastly, regarding altcoins, just make a profit and don’t be greedy; it’s better to find an opportunity to exit. Right now, Bitcoin is providing cover for altcoins, and this situation has happened more than once; we can’t always stay in the same pit, can we?

#美联储独立性 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #中美贸易关系
The current China-U.S. trade relationship remains tense, with both sides escalating their tariff war. The United States has imposed tariffs as high as 145% on Chinese goods, while China retaliates with 125% tariffs and restricts exports of key materials such as rare earths, impacting the U.S. military and semiconductor industries. The trade war has led to a restructuring of global supply chains, increased costs for businesses, and heightened inflationary pressures. China is accelerating domestic substitutions, expanding trade cooperation with ASEAN and the EU, and reducing dependence on the U.S. While there is a possibility of future negotiations, breaking the deadlock in the short term is difficult, and the global economy faces uncertainty.
The current China-U.S. trade relationship remains tense, with both sides escalating their tariff war. The United States has imposed tariffs as high as 145% on Chinese goods, while China retaliates with 125% tariffs and restricts exports of key materials such as rare earths, impacting the U.S. military and semiconductor industries. The trade war has led to a restructuring of global supply chains, increased costs for businesses, and heightened inflationary pressures. China is accelerating domestic substitutions, expanding trade cooperation with ASEAN and the EU, and reducing dependence on the U.S. While there is a possibility of future negotiations, breaking the deadlock in the short term is difficult, and the global economy faces uncertainty.
#中美贸易关系 Now the US dollar has begun to depreciate, and these goods are entering the United States at higher prices, which in turn has driven up the prices of domestic products. As the prices of domestic goods rise, consumers' purchasing power for these products decreases, but businesses earn more. As businesses earn more, they continue to raise prices, falling deeper into this cycle, creating a vicious cycle. However, inventory is limited, and once the inventory is depleted, prices will continue to rise. Inflation is an eternal topic in the United States, and this time the inflation in the US is expected to last a long time.
#中美贸易关系 Now the US dollar has begun to depreciate, and these goods are entering the United States at higher prices, which in turn has driven up the prices of domestic products. As the prices of domestic goods rise, consumers' purchasing power for these products decreases, but businesses earn more. As businesses earn more, they continue to raise prices, falling deeper into this cycle, creating a vicious cycle. However, inventory is limited, and once the inventory is depleted, prices will continue to rise. Inflation is an eternal topic in the United States, and this time the inflation in the US is expected to last a long time.
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Bearish
The market currently has a demand for a pullback. For those with heavy positions, it is advisable to appropriately reduce positions with profits and lighten up a bit; after the pullback stabilizes, you can re-enter. If your position is not heavy, you can ignore this because even with a slight pullback, the outlook remains bullish! Bitcoin can open a short position near 87500 87000, with a take-profit level around 85000. For Bitcoin long positions: open long around 84000 84500. The above strategies are for short-term trades, so make sure to set stop-loss and take-profit levels. Due to recent large fluctuations, leverage should be kept within 10-50 times. Friendly reminder: the above operational suggestions are for reference only and should not be used as the basis for investment decisions! Everyone should trade cautiously! Lastly, I wish all my friends who come across my post to profit daily! Make money until your hands get sore!! For those who haven't followed me yet, please consider supporting me with a follow! I will continue to work hard to write good posts to share with everyone! Don't miss the Binance live stream every night at 20:00!
The market currently has a demand for a pullback. For those with heavy positions, it is advisable to appropriately reduce positions with profits and lighten up a bit; after the pullback stabilizes, you can re-enter. If your position is not heavy, you can ignore this because even with a slight pullback, the outlook remains bullish!

Bitcoin can open a short position near 87500 87000, with a take-profit level around 85000.

For Bitcoin long positions: open long around 84000 84500.

The above strategies are for short-term trades, so make sure to set stop-loss and take-profit levels. Due to recent large fluctuations, leverage should be kept within 10-50 times.

Friendly reminder: the above operational suggestions are for reference only and should not be used as the basis for investment decisions! Everyone should trade cautiously! Lastly, I wish all my friends who come across my post to profit daily! Make money until your hands get sore!! For those who haven't followed me yet, please consider supporting me with a follow! I will continue to work hard to write good posts to share with everyone! Don't miss the Binance live stream every night at 20:00!
If the American people wake up one day and find their export business being "snatched" by their allies The soybean market has been aggressively taken over by the Brazilians; The pork sector has been seized early by the Spaniards; The corn business has been pocketed by the Argentinians; The beef race has been quickly claimed by the Australians; The natural gas market has been successfully "usurped" by the Emiratis; The oil industry has been surpassed by the Russians; Even the automotive sector has been firmly "gripped" by the Europeans. With this momentum, Americans are likely to gradually discover that any profitable business is being taken away one after another by their so-called allied younger brothers. If they stubbornly refuse to lift tariffs, then they shouldn't regret it later. Come in and chat [币安王牌kol聊天室](https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/service-group-landing?channelToken=FfB92R2sNW-3SLGTQeXbKQ&type=1) #中美贸易关系 #BTC
If the American people wake up one day and find their export business being "snatched" by their allies

The soybean market has been aggressively taken over by the Brazilians;
The pork sector has been seized early by the Spaniards;
The corn business has been pocketed by the Argentinians;
The beef race has been quickly claimed by the Australians;
The natural gas market has been successfully "usurped" by the Emiratis;
The oil industry has been surpassed by the Russians;
Even the automotive sector has been firmly "gripped" by the Europeans.

With this momentum, Americans are likely to gradually discover that any profitable business is being taken away one after another by their so-called allied younger brothers. If they stubbornly refuse to lift tariffs, then they shouldn't regret it later.

Come in and chat 币安王牌kol聊天室
#中美贸易关系
#BTC
Strictly adhere to these two iron rules, if you can't make money, consider it my loss! "99% of people don't understand position management at all, and deserve to be cut!" Do you often hear big players say "go all in" or "double down", only to find yourself stuck as soon as you enter the market? The ultimate secret of turning small funds into larger ones is not by gambling, but by "mechanical harvesting"! 1. Position Management: Your funds are not meant for all-in betting! 10,000 USDT directly all in? Then you are no different from a gambler! A true expert will divide the money into 5-6 "magazines", for example, using only 20,000 USDT each time to enter the market. Why? If the coin price drops by 10%, you still have ammunition to average down! If the coin price rises by 10%, you can directly harvest profits, absolutely no missed opportunities! The most ruthless part is: even if you encounter a black swan and the price drops by 50%, you still have chips to buy the dip, while others have already been liquidated and are crying! What if the 10% volatility is too large, and you can't wait for a buying or selling point? The ultimate solution: Choosing the right coins is key! Only play with valuable coins like BTC, ETH, BNB, etc. Put idle funds into Binance Wealth Management! While waiting for opportunities, your money is still earning interest, getting free annualized returns of 5%+! Adjust volatility to 5%-7%! Small funds can narrow the range, double the frequency, and profit even more! If you didn't calculate the position ratio correctly, or if you arbitrarily changed trading discipline Are you afraid to average down when it drops? You directly miss the opportunity to lower your cost! Are you greedy and don’t sell when it rises? The next second, a waterfall will teach you a lesson! Remember: In this market, surviving longer is 100 times more important than making quick profits! With the strategy of position management + compound interest, you may not get rich overnight, but you will definitely steadily outperform 90% of people!
Strictly adhere to these two iron rules, if you can't make money, consider it my loss!

"99% of people don't understand position management at all, and deserve to be cut!"

Do you often hear big players say "go all in" or "double down", only to find yourself stuck as soon as you enter the market?

The ultimate secret of turning small funds into larger ones is not by gambling, but by "mechanical harvesting"!

1. Position Management: Your funds are not meant for all-in betting!

10,000 USDT directly all in? Then you are no different from a gambler! A true expert will divide the money into 5-6 "magazines", for example, using only 20,000 USDT each time to enter the market.
Why?
If the coin price drops by 10%, you still have ammunition to average down!
If the coin price rises by 10%, you can directly harvest profits, absolutely no missed opportunities!
The most ruthless part is: even if you encounter a black swan and the price drops by 50%, you still have chips to buy the dip, while others have already been liquidated and are crying!

What if the 10% volatility is too large, and you can't wait for a buying or selling point?
The ultimate solution:
Choosing the right coins is key! Only play with valuable coins like BTC, ETH, BNB, etc.

Put idle funds into Binance Wealth Management!

While waiting for opportunities, your money is still earning interest, getting free annualized returns of 5%+!

Adjust volatility to 5%-7%! Small funds can narrow the range, double the frequency, and profit even more!

If you didn't calculate the position ratio correctly, or if you arbitrarily changed trading discipline
Are you afraid to average down when it drops? You directly miss the opportunity to lower your cost!

Are you greedy and don’t sell when it rises? The next second, a waterfall will teach you a lesson!

Remember: In this market, surviving longer is 100 times more important than making quick profits! With the strategy of position management + compound interest, you may not get rich overnight, but you will definitely steadily outperform 90% of people!
Why do most people lose money in trading?First, frequent trading. Many may not see this as a significant issue, but in my view, frequent trading means more attempts, which can lead to strategies with slightly lower win rates, resulting in more losses. The more you lose, the more anxious you become to break even, and this is one of the most important reasons that defeat many traders. Second, an unclear capital management system often leads to excessive single trade stop-losses, which makes traders reluctant to cut losses, gradually turning into holding onto losing positions, ultimately leading to liquidation. Third, lacking sufficient trading awareness. What is speculation, and what is investment? Investment is at least a high probability of earning money over one to two years, while speculation involves short-term holdings, buying high and selling low. Many people start with speculation, but when they hold their positions, it turns into investment, ultimately leading to liquidation.

Why do most people lose money in trading?

First, frequent trading. Many may not see this as a significant issue, but in my view, frequent trading means more attempts, which can lead to strategies with slightly lower win rates, resulting in more losses. The more you lose, the more anxious you become to break even, and this is one of the most important reasons that defeat many traders.
Second, an unclear capital management system often leads to excessive single trade stop-losses, which makes traders reluctant to cut losses, gradually turning into holding onto losing positions, ultimately leading to liquidation.
Third, lacking sufficient trading awareness. What is speculation, and what is investment? Investment is at least a high probability of earning money over one to two years, while speculation involves short-term holdings, buying high and selling low. Many people start with speculation, but when they hold their positions, it turns into investment, ultimately leading to liquidation.
Why is there such a large difference in profit and loss when buying the same coin together? 1. Different entry points The difference in buying prices directly affects the profit and loss ratio, as well as psychological endurance. While others can hold on, you might already be panicking. 2. Different position sizes I buy 1%, which is just a small part of my total assets; you buy 0.1%, which might be everything after your "all-in". This difference in position size determines who can remain steady and who is more easily washed out. 3. Different selling points Projects, emotions, and the market change every day. You sell, I increase my position; I feel like pulling out, you continue to hold on. Every disagreement is an opportunity for turnover. 4. Having your own logic Those who swing back and forth between A saying to hold and B saying to sell rarely make money. Without your own trading system, listening to the wind makes it hard to go far. Summary: The market is not short of opportunities; what it lacks are people who can "think independently" and "execute strictly". Most people prefer to be blindly diligent rather than take the time to think. If you want to make money, you first need to understand what you are doing. #中美贸易关系 #加密市场反弹 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC
Why is there such a large difference in profit and loss when buying the same coin together?

1. Different entry points

The difference in buying prices directly affects the profit and loss ratio, as well as psychological endurance. While others can hold on, you might already be panicking.

2. Different position sizes

I buy 1%, which is just a small part of my total assets; you buy 0.1%, which might be everything after your "all-in". This difference in position size determines who can remain steady and who is more easily washed out.

3. Different selling points

Projects, emotions, and the market change every day. You sell, I increase my position; I feel like pulling out, you continue to hold on. Every disagreement is an opportunity for turnover.

4. Having your own logic

Those who swing back and forth between A saying to hold and B saying to sell rarely make money. Without your own trading system, listening to the wind makes it hard to go far.

Summary:

The market is not short of opportunities; what it lacks are people who can "think independently" and "execute strictly". Most people prefer to be blindly diligent rather than take the time to think. If you want to make money, you first need to understand what you are doing.

#中美贸易关系 #加密市场反弹 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC
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$BTC Brothers, at this moment, are once again making the mistake of high-level sideways trading. Should we steadfastly take a bearish stance like Liangxi, the great wronged one, and use it as fuel? Currently, the high-level sideways trading can completely be considered as a trap for shorts. If you are brave, you can think about the consequences? The bullish trend is still in an explosive phase, 9.0 may just be the beginning. For those who like Shengyang, a little attention, there are no shortcuts on the road to success; only hard work can realize dreams $BTC [点击加入圣阳专属聊天室](https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/service-group-landing?channelToken=h-0WObXBXq3GqMII1aK-Vg&type=1) #中美贸易关系 #加密市场反弹
$BTC

Brothers, at this moment, are once again making the mistake of high-level sideways trading. Should we steadfastly take a bearish stance like Liangxi, the great wronged one, and use it as fuel?

Currently, the high-level sideways trading can completely be considered as a trap for shorts. If you are brave, you can think about the consequences? The bullish trend is still in an explosive phase, 9.0 may just be the beginning.

For those who like Shengyang, a little attention, there are no shortcuts on the road to success; only hard work can realize dreams $BTC

点击加入圣阳专属聊天室

#中美贸易关系
#加密市场反弹
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BTCUSDT
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$BTC Brothers, we were fully focused on the cool emptiness last night, and the result was another explosion, turning into fuel to become the brightest flame of the Holy Sun Army. At this moment, although the prices are in a high sideways trend, the bullish energy is abundant. Should we bravely look for short opportunities to turn into fuel? Looking to buy on dips and adding to positions during retracements is the right way, right? Brothers, let's put yyds in the comments. For those who like the Holy Sun, please give a follow. There are no shortcuts on the road to success; only hard work can realize dreams. $BTC [点击加入圣阳专属聊天群](https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/service-group-landing?channelToken=h-0WObXBXq3GqMII1aK-Vg&type=1) #中美贸易关系 #加密市场反弹
$BTC

Brothers, we were fully focused on the cool emptiness last night, and the result was another explosion, turning into fuel to become the brightest flame of the Holy Sun Army.

At this moment, although the prices are in a high sideways trend, the bullish energy is abundant. Should we bravely look for short opportunities to turn into fuel? Looking to buy on dips and adding to positions during retracements is the right way, right? Brothers, let's put yyds in the comments.

For those who like the Holy Sun, please give a follow. There are no shortcuts on the road to success; only hard work can realize dreams. $BTC

点击加入圣阳专属聊天群

#中美贸易关系
#加密市场反弹
The current price of Bitcoin is 88,100 USDT, and the market is at a critical position. Short-term trends need to closely monitor changes in technical and fundamental aspects. From a technical perspective, 88,100 is close to the strong resistance level of 90,000. If it can break through with volume, it may further challenge the historical high of 93,500. Conversely, if it cannot hold, it may fall back to test the support at 85,000, or even the psychological level of 80,000. In terms of indicators, it is necessary to observe whether the RSI is overbought, as well as the strength of support at the 50-day moving average (around 82,000). On the fundamental side, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy has a significant impact on Bitcoin. If expectations for interest rate cuts increase, it may drive funds into the cryptocurrency market. Additionally, the flow of funds into Bitcoin spot ETFs, changes in miner positions, and global regulatory dynamics can all have a direct impact on prices. In terms of operations, short-term traders can pay attention to the situation of breaking through 90,000. If successful, they can follow in lightly, with a stop loss set below 85,000. Medium to long-term investors may consider gradually positioning in the 82,000-85,000 range during pullbacks, waiting for the next round of increases. #Strategy增持比特币 #中美贸易关系
The current price of Bitcoin is 88,100 USDT, and the market is at a critical position. Short-term trends need to closely monitor changes in technical and fundamental aspects.

From a technical perspective, 88,100 is close to the strong resistance level of 90,000. If it can break through with volume, it may further challenge the historical high of 93,500. Conversely, if it cannot hold, it may fall back to test the support at 85,000, or even the psychological level of 80,000. In terms of indicators, it is necessary to observe whether the RSI is overbought, as well as the strength of support at the 50-day moving average (around 82,000).

On the fundamental side, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy has a significant impact on Bitcoin. If expectations for interest rate cuts increase, it may drive funds into the cryptocurrency market. Additionally, the flow of funds into Bitcoin spot ETFs, changes in miner positions, and global regulatory dynamics can all have a direct impact on prices.

In terms of operations, short-term traders can pay attention to the situation of breaking through 90,000. If successful, they can follow in lightly, with a stop loss set below 85,000. Medium to long-term investors may consider gradually positioning in the 82,000-85,000 range during pullbacks, waiting for the next round of increases.
#Strategy增持比特币 #中美贸易关系
Investing is an extremely cautious endeavor. 90% of the coins in the market are ones you shouldn't touch at all; touching them means losing money. You must carefully select from the remaining 10% of coins, picking those that are undervalued, have growth potential, pose no significant risks, have flawless balance sheets, maintain stable cash flow, can be held for the long term, and are in a position of market advantage... Therefore, true investors are those who view this world with extreme calmness, rationality, and clarity.
Investing is an extremely cautious endeavor. 90% of the coins in the market are ones you shouldn't touch at all; touching them means losing money.

You must carefully select from the remaining 10% of coins, picking those that are undervalued, have growth potential, pose no significant risks, have flawless balance sheets, maintain stable cash flow, can be held for the long term, and are in a position of market advantage...

Therefore, true investors are those who view this world with extreme calmness, rationality, and clarity.
April 21st Market Analysis - Bitcoin can't break 88150, the final affection is to let go!Today's market can be described as a big V Dragon. From last night's 83900, it surged 3000 points to above 87400. Yesterday, after taking partial profits on our SOL141.6 short positions, this morning the Bitcoin short position at 86900 had a stop loss of 400-500 points. In such a market, a small misstep can lead to losses, so let's take a look at today's market. In last Friday's market analysis, we mentioned that a trend change was imminent and provided short positions for SOL141.6 and Bitcoin at 869. The good news is that SOL made a profit, but the bad news is that Bitcoin did not. First, in terms of moving averages, today saw a large bullish candle, directly driving the EMA15 and MA50 to golden crosses. But can we be bullish here? Clearly not, unless there is a consecutive bullish appearance, and currently, the coin price is very close to the significant resistance level around 88150. It is clearly inappropriate to chase long positions here.

April 21st Market Analysis - Bitcoin can't break 88150, the final affection is to let go!

Today's market can be described as a big V Dragon. From last night's 83900, it surged 3000 points to above 87400. Yesterday, after taking partial profits on our SOL141.6 short positions, this morning the Bitcoin short position at 86900 had a stop loss of 400-500 points. In such a market, a small misstep can lead to losses, so let's take a look at today's market.

In last Friday's market analysis, we mentioned that a trend change was imminent and provided short positions for SOL141.6 and Bitcoin at 869. The good news is that SOL made a profit, but the bad news is that Bitcoin did not. First, in terms of moving averages, today saw a large bullish candle, directly driving the EMA15 and MA50 to golden crosses. But can we be bullish here? Clearly not, unless there is a consecutive bullish appearance, and currently, the coin price is very close to the significant resistance level around 88150. It is clearly inappropriate to chase long positions here.
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On April 21, #中美贸易关系 4, QCP released its daily market observation stating that Bitcoin staged a "resurrection" during Easter, soaring above $87,000 in the Asian morning session, quickly reversing the sell-off triggered by former U.S. President Trump's unexpected announcement of "Liberation Day" on April 2. This wave of rising prices recovered most of the previous losses. Although the cryptocurrency market is no stranger to low liquidity rebounds during long weekends, this increase stands in stark contrast to the calm "Christmas rally" of last December. This time, Bitcoin stood out. Bitcoin is not alone. Gold also surged to historical highs due to escalating tensions in the trade war and a weakening dollar. Last week's stock market fell, continuing the downward trend of April, which brought Bitcoin's narrative as a safe-haven asset or inflation hedge back into focus. If this trend continues, it could provide new momentum for institutional investors to allocate Bitcoin. In fact, preliminary signs of renewed institutional confidence have already been observed. Last week, the inflow of spot Bitcoin ETF funds turned positive, with a net inflow of $13.4 million, in stark contrast to the $708 million net outflow of the previous week. In the options market, position allocation has become more balanced. The risk reversal indicators of different maturities have flattened, diverging from the sustained short-term bearish skew of the previous weeks. So, is today's synchronized rise of Bitcoin and gold merely noise driven by the holidays, or is it a significant shift in Bitcoin's status as a safe-haven asset? The latter would mark a substantive change in traditional finance's perception of Bitcoin. As Europe is still on holiday, the market confirmation may take a few trading days. The correlation between Bitcoin, gold, and the stock market is worth close attention. Currently, the focus is on the key resistance level of $88,800. Caution is advised in drawing clear conclusions until this level is clearly breached.
On April 21, #中美贸易关系 4, QCP released its daily market observation stating that Bitcoin staged a "resurrection" during Easter, soaring above $87,000 in the Asian morning session, quickly reversing the sell-off triggered by former U.S. President Trump's unexpected announcement of "Liberation Day" on April 2. This wave of rising prices recovered most of the previous losses. Although the cryptocurrency market is no stranger to low liquidity rebounds during long weekends, this increase stands in stark contrast to the calm "Christmas rally" of last December. This time, Bitcoin stood out.

Bitcoin is not alone. Gold also surged to historical highs due to escalating tensions in the trade war and a weakening dollar. Last week's stock market fell, continuing the downward trend of April, which brought Bitcoin's narrative as a safe-haven asset or inflation hedge back into focus. If this trend continues, it could provide new momentum for institutional investors to allocate Bitcoin.

In fact, preliminary signs of renewed institutional confidence have already been observed. Last week, the inflow of spot Bitcoin ETF funds turned positive, with a net inflow of $13.4 million, in stark contrast to the $708 million net outflow of the previous week. In the options market, position allocation has become more balanced. The risk reversal indicators of different maturities have flattened, diverging from the sustained short-term bearish skew of the previous weeks.

So, is today's synchronized rise of Bitcoin and gold merely noise driven by the holidays, or is it a significant shift in Bitcoin's status as a safe-haven asset? The latter would mark a substantive change in traditional finance's perception of Bitcoin. As Europe is still on holiday, the market confirmation may take a few trading days. The correlation between Bitcoin, gold, and the stock market is worth close attention. Currently, the focus is on the key resistance level of $88,800. Caution is advised in drawing clear conclusions until this level is clearly breached.
$MAGIC has been on a strong upward trend for several consecutive days and has now become one of the strongest cryptocurrencies in this phase. Because of this, if a top signal appears, the cost-effectiveness of going short is higher. Currently, there are signs of a peak in the short term, combined with a high-level fluctuation pattern, it may be worth considering using a new high as a stop-loss point and attempting to set up short positions. The current price is around 0.25 USD, which is an ideal risk control range. Entering the market to bet on a pullback is a ‘high reward-to-risk ratio’ operation, and aggressive participants can directly engage.
$MAGIC has been on a strong upward trend for several consecutive days and has now become one of the strongest cryptocurrencies in this phase.

Because of this, if a top signal appears, the cost-effectiveness of going short is higher.

Currently, there are signs of a peak in the short term, combined with a high-level fluctuation pattern, it may be worth considering using a new high as a stop-loss point and attempting to set up short positions.

The current price is around 0.25 USD, which is an ideal risk control range. Entering the market to bet on a pullback is a ‘high reward-to-risk ratio’ operation, and aggressive participants can directly engage.
#加密市场反弹 10U opens the door to the cryptocurrency world, the gears of fate have begun to turn #中美贸易关系 $SOL In 2025, after experiencing high volatility in the first half of the year, the crypto market has recently shown signs of structural rebound. On a macro level, expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and a decline in global inflation are driving funds back into risk assets, coupled with a gradual weakening of the impact from Sino-U.S. trade frictions, which is gradually repairing market risk appetite. On the technical side, although Bitcoin has experienced a pullback after the halving cycle, on-chain activity and institutional holdings remain stable, with asset management giants like BlackRock continuously positioning through stablecoins and ETFs, driving the valuation recovery of core assets.
#加密市场反弹 10U opens the door to the cryptocurrency world, the gears of fate have begun to turn #中美贸易关系 $SOL
In 2025, after experiencing high volatility in the first half of the year, the crypto market has recently shown signs of structural rebound. On a macro level, expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and a decline in global inflation are driving funds back into risk assets, coupled with a gradual weakening of the impact from Sino-U.S. trade frictions, which is gradually repairing market risk appetite. On the technical side, although Bitcoin has experienced a pullback after the halving cycle, on-chain activity and institutional holdings remain stable, with asset management giants like BlackRock continuously positioning through stablecoins and ETFs, driving the valuation recovery of core assets.
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