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Next week is bullish, definitely don't short 📈
The meeting time between China and the U.S. is officially set for May 14-15. This is not a cancellation, but rather a transformation of expectations into certainty. The market fears uncertainty the most, and now that this uncertainty has been resolved, the good news is even more solid.
Originally scheduled for late March to early April, the timetable has now been postponed for more than a month. On the surface, it appears delayed, but in reality, it is an upgrade—both sides have more time to discuss trade, tariffs, investment, and other topics in depth. Historical experience shows that the more prepared one is, the more results often exceed expectations. Moreover, the Chinese side “fully understands” the U.S. side’s adjustment of schedule due to Middle Eastern affairs, and this mutual trust itself is releasing a stabilizing signal to the market.
The April meeting may easily collide with the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions and other disruptions, while the mid-May window is cleaner. Coupled with the seasonal warming of risk assets, the timing is actually better. In the short term, the market may have a “delay equals disappointment” emotional reaction, but smart money will quickly realize: this is not a negative outcome, but a round of more certain positive developments is building momentum.
This time is no exception. Prices will start to rise next week, don't short 🚀