YMIL0

经合组织：预计美联储将在 2026 年和 2027 年维持利率不变

深潮 TechFlow 消息，03 月 26 日，经合组织：预计美联储将在 2026 年和 2027 年维持利率不变。(金十)

Today's CME "Federal Reserve Watch" data: The probability of maintaining the interest rate unchanged in April is 94.8%

According to TechFlow news on March 26, the CME "Federal Reserve Watch" data shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 5.2%, and the probability of maintaining the interest rate unchanged is 94.8%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cumulatively raising interest rates by 25 basis points by June is 11.7%, and the probability of cumulatively raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 0.4%, while the probability of maintaining the interest rate unchanged is 87.9%.

https://www.techflowpost.com/zh-CN/newsletter/117995

#When will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates?

Analysis: The prospects for U.S.-Iran talks are bleak, but a narrow channel for reaching an agreement still exists.

According to Deep Tide TechFlow news on March 26, reports from Jinshi Data indicate that the prospects for a diplomatic resolution to the U.S.-Iran war remain bleak, but analysts believe that a channel for reaching an agreement still exists.

Turkey, Egypt, and Pakistan, as mediators, are pushing for U.S. and Iranian officials to meet as soon as this week, with U.S. President Trump and his political allies expressing a positive attitude towards negotiations. It is reported that the U.S. and Israel have temporarily removed Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Speaker of Parliament Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf from the assassination list for 4 to 5 days to create conditions for the start of talks.

Both sides' post-war demands significantly exceed their pre-war positions. Iran demands compensation from the U.S. for war damages, the closure of military bases in the Middle East, and fees for shipping through the Strait of Hormuz; the U.S. demands that Iran stop uranium enrichment, restore free navigation in the strait, and limit its missile program and support for regional militias.

Analysts believe that if both sides determine that the cost of war is unbearable, they may first reach a ceasefire agreement, postponing core issues such as uranium stockpile disposal, verification mechanisms, and sanctions relief to subsequent negotiations. Michael Singh from the Washington Institute stated that a path to advance a minimum ceasefire agreement alongside a complete agenda remains feasible.
#币安人生

Solana基金会：已处理1500万笔链上AI智能体支付，稳定币正成默认结算工具

BlockBeats 消息，3 月 26 日，Solana 基金会首席产品官 Vibhu Norby 在纽约数字资产峰会（DAS）上表示，Solana 网络已处理来自 AI 智能体的 1500 万笔链上支付，主要用于机器间商业交互，稳定币正成为 AI 智能体支付算力及服务的默认结算工具。

Norby 指出，AI 智能体支付的可编程特性使其在加密支付场景中具备独特优势，并认为这一趋势将从根本上改变互联网的商业变现模式，支持低至分以下、按使用量计费的微支付，而传统支付轨道无法实现这一点。AI 智能体在选择加密支付方式时，Solana 通常排名靠前。预计未来 95% 至 99% 的加密交易将由大语言模型发起，用户与加密网络交互的主要方式将转变为通过 AI 智能体完成。

原文链接 https://m.theblockbeats.info/flash/338160

BlockBeats news, on March 19, the Federal Reserve maintained its forecast of one rate cut in 2026 and one rate cut in 2027. (Golden Ten)
Not optimistic
#美联储何时降息？
#美国2月PPI超预期
#议息会议

#BTC
早上提示的风险，现已到达空单第一止盈，记得减仓套保，等凌晨会议反应

#GOLD_UPDATE
The last support for gold cannot fall below 4843
#XAUUSD❤️

February PPI inflation data
Beijing time: This Wednesday at 20:30
Bullish: Below expectations, BTC rises
Bearish: Above expectations, BTC falls
#PPI
Federal Reserve interest rate decision:
Beijing time: This Wednesday at 21:00 the decision will be announced, at 21:30 Powell will speak
Bullish: Rate cut, BTC surges
Small bullish: Maintain interest rates + dovish speech, BTC rises
Bearish: Maintain interest rates + hawkish speech, BTC falls
Major bearish: Unexpected rate hike, significant drop
Market expects no rate cut in March; if there is a rate cut beyond expectations, BTC will surge!
#fomc

#ETH
March 26, 2018 Ether
Previously reached a significant resistance level near 2400
Currently following BTC, possible end of bullish trend
Looking for a pullback to 2100-2140; if it holds, can continue to look upwards
If it breaks down, can enter short positions on the right side, with a stop-loss in place.

#BTC 26.3.18
The daily line closed below 740, and the bulls may be ending
Pay attention to risks when chasing long positions; look for a pullback to 710 or 690
Subsequently, maintaining a strong hold at 710-690 allows for further bullish outlook
Conversely, if it breaks down, you can look to short on the right side, and stop loss upon recovery

Liquidity

#比特币突破7.5万美元
Not advisable to chase more

[3/16 Market Update] BTC and ETH both break through
#比特币升回7万
BTC has currently made a strong breakthrough at 717! First, we will look for a pullback today, and you can attempt to enter a long position with a light position size～
Or wait for a solid break above 73K and then directly aim for 740→750
Support below at 718-713, 705-702
#美联储何时降息？
ETH has broken through 2130 at the hourly level and has reached a pressure zone!
Whether this zone can hold or wait for a pullback to enter again
Resistance above today at 2200, 2280-2300
Support below at 2150-2120, 2060, and if it doesn't break, we will first look for continuation upwards!
For reference only, DYOR, investing involves risks
#国际油价下跌逾10%

[3/14 Market Update] BTC and ETH both weakened, this time I directly leaned against the wall 😂

#美国PCE数据将公布
Brothers, the market has started to play with our hearts again today……
BTC faced resistance and fell back after an attack on 730 yesterday, short positions have been reduced in batches at the resistance level～
Currently, the hourly structure has weakened, need to pay attention to downward testing!
Support levels to watch today: 695-690, 685-682
Resistance levels above: 713-716, 726-730, 740
#特朗普称伊朗战事接近尾声

ETH attacked 2200 after a pullback yesterday, short positions were also reduced in batches～
The hourly structure has weakened, do not chase high! Need to pay attention to downward testing
Resistance levels above today: 2110-2130, 2160
Support levels to watch: 2060-2035, 2000
#AI交易指南

[3/11 Market Update] BTC and ETH Enter Tug-of-War

Brothers, the market has changed its rhythm today...
BTC is currently oscillating in the range of 65K-72K, with short positions at the high of 71.5K-72.3K being moderately reduced first～
H1 S/R 69.5K and after establishing MSS, continue to look down at 68.4K, 67.5K
Long position opportunities remain at the bottom of the range 65K-67K
Attention below: 65.7K-67K demand + 65K EQL
Attention above: 71.5K-72.3K
#国际油价突破100美元

ETH is also oscillating between 1900-2085. Those holding short positions should reduce at the small levels of 2010, 1990!
Attention below: 1940-1960 demand area + 1907 LIQ, returning to the bottom of the range can look for long position rebounds
Attention below: 1940-1960, 1900-1910
Attention above: 2080-2100, 2150
#伊朗新领袖

Are you continuing to short today or waiting to long at a low point?
#币安Alpha上新

For reference only, DYOR, investment has risks

[3/9 Market Update] BTC and ETH are still trending downwards, I'm at a loss for words 😂

Brothers, the market is still active today……
The hourly structure of BTC is still downward, currently dropping to the large demand zone of 66K-65K! It's not hard to break down, but pay attention to a rebound today and consider entering long with a light position～
Upper resistance: vah 675, 680-683
If this area breaks, look up to 69K
Lower support 660→650-648, no break, no rebound!
#伊朗新领袖

ETH is also trending down on the hourly level, focusing on testing 1900-1870 today!
If demand does not break in this area, watch for a rebound～
Upper resistance 1980, if it breaks and retests, look up to 1995-2020→2060
#特朗普15%全球关税将于本周生效

Are you short today or waiting for a rebound?

I will @ you one by one in the group, let's analyze in real time!
#加密市场回调

For reference only, DYOR, investment carries risks
#Altcoin Season Discussion Volume Drops to Two-Year Low

[3/8 Market Update] BTC and ETH continue to decline

#伊朗新领袖
Brothers, the market is getting active again...
BTC's hourly structure continues to decline, and it is currently battling a critical testing level! Don’t rush into a small rebound; the upper resistance at 682-685, 688-690, and 700 is all strong pressure, so continue to short if blocked! Watch closely at 660→650-648 below, don’t let the support line collapse directly～
#特朗普15%全球关税将于本周生效

ETH is even harsher, the hourly level is going down all the way, and it is currently hovering near the monthly opening! Wait and see for the rebound; the upper resistance at 1990-2020→2060 is a minefield, so continue to short if blocked! The target below is 1945→1900-1870, and the third support must be watched closely!
#小罗伯特·肯尼迪竞选 2028 年美国总统

Are you short today, or are you waiting for a rebound?
I will @ you one by one in the group, real-time review is on!
#山寨季讨论量跌至两年新低

For reference only, DYOR, investment carries risks

26.3.7 Market Update
BTC and ETH both hit a snag, I couldn't help but laugh!
Brothers, when I woke up and checked the market... I was dumbfounded 😂
BTC directly treated the support as a trampoline last night, now it's stuck at the POC of the range! A small rebound? Let's wait first, the upper levels 69.5K, 70K-70.5K, 71.3K are all danger zones, if it gets blocked, I will continue shorting! Target 66K→65K→63.2K, just don’t let the third support line crash!
ETH is worse, the monthly closing range directly hit the face! The upper levels 2020→2060→2090-2100 are all major resistance, if blocked, continue shorting! Target 1900-1920→1830-1860, keep a close eye on the third support below!
#BTC走势分析
Are you shorting today or waiting for a rebound?
I will @ you one by one in the group, let's review in real time!
#ETH
For reference only, DYOR, investing carries risks
Just do it! 🚀

26.3.7
After studying the bear market of 2022, I found something interesting
#加密市场回调
The price movement of Bitcoin this time is almost identical to the bear market of 2022
In 2022, there were multiple false breakouts to the upside, ultimately leading to a sharp decline, with the low point dropping around 33% to the next lower range. According to calculations, this time the low point to the drop of 2.618, which is around 40000, is also about 33%. Given that this month's interest rate meeting is approaching, it is highly likely there will be no rate cuts, which is quite concerning.
#中东局势升级
Near 715-720, you might try placing an order to catch a spike. My personal opinion is that unless the interest rate meeting cuts rates, it will be difficult to reach new highs above 740. The overall direction still looks bearish, and I'll share more thoughts on bottom-fishing strategies later. If interested, please follow for updates.
#Xrp🔥🔥

26.3.6 Market
#BTC
The downward trend has obtained 706 liquidity but has not rebounded
Currently, both bulls and bears are experiencing reduced volume
The small-level downward pressure is 715; a breakthrough may extend the rise
If it drops, the last defense line for bulls is 686 #加密市场反弹
#ETH
Small-level oscillation between 2050-2100
Also a reduction in volume for both sides
Right side mostly at 2100, right side short 2020-2050 #中东局势升级
#特朗普15%全球关税将于本周生效