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Binance and Bybit have topped the list, with 30D/7D earnings both in the top three.

This wave of trades made by the transparent tip was discussed in the live broadcast,

and daily live streams tracked the market,

updating everyone on the holding strategy for two weeks.

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The previous rebound stopped abruptly at 72000, with no strength at all,

instead, it broke down with volume when the broken structure demand line was reached,

it looks very similar to the previous range,

let's observe next week's movement to see if it will also be as weak as the previous range,

if it continues to remain that weak, a significant drop may be imminent.

Another factor is the NASDAQ's weekly level oversold condition,

such levels of overselling usually lead to a rebound for some correction,

I don't know if the rebound will be higher or if it will just poke up a bit,

but it won't reverse the original direction of the NASDAQ,

this also relates to the height of the rebound for BTC,

we need to observe the correlation. $BTC

The mid-term view remains unchanged:

There will be another major crash here, but the time has not yet come. After the big drop, I will buy the dip in spot and only go long.

Short-term view: The range has not yet broken, and there will be a rebound. I don't know how high it will go, but I expect the range of 79000-84000, which has an excellent risk-reward ratio.

Since the decline on March 17, the volume has still been low, even less than the last drop at 74000. If the range is to be broken, prepare for a big drop; there should be more supply on the right side than in the middle segment.

Also, the trading volume in this range is more active than the two distribution ranges above, and now every rise in the range is accompanied by demand, while each drop has less volume than demand.

Yesterday, I opened a short-term long position during the pullback and am patiently waiting for the performance around 72000 and 74000.

It has been two weeks,

and the speed of this drop is faster than the MEME in the crypto world!

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Empty out, come up more.

Waiting for the next wave of transactions.

The Nasdaq futures trading volume is at its largest range in the last three years.

A direction will come soon, be patient.

The next round of a bull market is already in gestation,

Since August's live broadcast at the square, ETH surged to the 4900 position to escape the peak,

And confirmed that it is the initial stage of distribution,

By February's peak of panic selling, it took about half a year,

During this half year, apart from the bears being comfortable, the bulls have found it very difficult,

Now, the vast majority of altcoins are down by 80% to 90%,

BTC's decline has reached as much as 52%,

Has it bottomed out? If it is the absolute bottom, then I really don’t know,

There is still one last chance to short until the next wave of panic selling comes,

Just don’t short anymore, the progress of the bull market's gestation has already reached 1/3.

The remaining time is just to patiently wait; when the time comes, digital gold will really turn into gold.

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Once again at the weekly level SC, in conjunction with historical transaction volumes,

I will choose to buy on the left side, and will not short anymore, only long,

I expect the price to be around 53000,

let's see if it can reach this price and when it will get here.

CRCL can be followed, the mid-term still looks to return to 60,

50 is the cost price for most institutions, mentioned many times in the previous live broadcast.

It has already reached once and then showed a V rebound, now continuing to wait for the downward movement to accumulate shares.

Around mid-March, there should be opportunities to short,

now just be patient and wait.

A few days ago, I visited the museum of the Cambrian explosion and have been curious about the evolution of the universe and life. I also talked a lot with GPT.

In fact, the laws of the universe and the rules of successful trading are no different:

The universe never 'forces' things.
Stars are not born from burning desperately; they form naturally when density is sufficient and gravity collapses;
The Cambrian explosion did not happen suddenly; it was when oxygen, genes, and environment were all in place that complex life emerged on its own.

If the conditions are not met, any efforts are just noise.
When the conditions are met, there is no need to force it.

The market is the same.

During the period when the market was not good, the more I tried to prove myself and acted frequently, the closer the results got to randomness.
It’s like trying to find a star during the high-temperature chaotic phase of the universe—essentially just energy dissipation.

The universe does not reward effort.
The universe only amplifies structure.

The market does not reward diligence.
The market only amplifies advantages.

When the structure is clear, volume resonates, and the phases are defined, trends unfold like gravity;
When the structure is chaotic, no amount of analysis can combat the noise.

The real 'inevitability' is not a single profitable trade,

but rather—
When you have a positive expectation system,
can control drawdowns,
can execute long-term,
time will do the rest for you.

Success is not predestined,
But when the structure is right, long-term results will converge, approaching success infinitely.
Before any critical conditions are met, the strongest action is restraint.

The universe has been waiting for the right parameters for billions of years,
Resting is not giving up, but following the universe's critical value principle,

The trades where we achieved significant results were all participated in during the C phase,
So preserving energy during the chaotic phase and participating when the structure forms is the way to comply with the laws.