张无忌wepoets

Ice and Fire Island Binance Chat Room, welcome all cryptocurrency friends to communicate together.
Weekly live sessions discussing options strategies and data analysis.
Let's be friends with time, enjoy the rental income~hhh
冰火岛聊天室 ← Chat Room Entrance

Why hasn't Binance listed the crude oil contracts yet?
Many exchanges have already done so, and Binance is falling behind this time.
The speed and projects of Tradfi's coin listings are lagging behind competitors.
Come on!

Binance's options have always been lukewarm, and recently there has been little motivation to post in the square.
An old friend told me that she joined Binance.
I'm really happy for her!
I also have more expectations for Binance options; with more talent joining, there should be more motivation to explore new fields.
Options are included in a unified account, and opening cross-margin can strengthen Binance's overall risk control and enhance its pricing power in the market.
The trading volume of Binance's altcoins and memes is enormous, making it a unique soil for developing related options.
Options are the crown jewel of financial derivatives.
In the future of the crypto world, contracts cannot always maintain their glory; the era of options is the future!

On weekends, sell options that expire on Sunday and short volatility.
This strategy has consistently had a good win rate.
Weekend markets are quiet; in a bear market, you can eat volatility and gradually recover.

In addition to trading spot prices and volatility, is there a third trading target for options?

Currently, the Razor Strategy proposes a third suggested target, which is the cumulative curve of the difference between price deviation (buyer profit) and premium income (seller profit).

The Razor Strategy, or Razor Indicator, has obvious mean-reversion characteristics, is more stable than volatility, and has stronger reversion characteristics and predictability. #剃刀策略

A new week, both U.S. and A-shares are reacting to the Iranian risk. At this point, we can rationally analyze the ETH options data and adjust short-term trading strategies.
The risk of uncertainty remains, IV has surged, and panic continues.
From the perspective of IV, the near-term IV has inverted, and the term structure shows a reverse pattern with high near and low far.
From skew analysis, the IV on the put side has surged, indicating that traders have voted with their money, and the bear market panic persists.
From gamma ex analysis, the 2K level remains a key point for the gamma flip contest, and the tug-of-war is expected to continue.
Overall, the risks outweigh the opportunities; at this time, ensuring ample cash flow and implementing a dip-buying strategy is relatively safe. Options can serve this strategy by providing some insurance and collars.
For pure options strategy, the put ratio is still recommended.
The world is not peaceful, and investments should be made cautiously. Wishing everyone steady positions~

The panic of encryption intensifies
Liquidity shrinks
How to break the deadlock?
Options are a good entry point
Looking forward to Binance options supporting unified accounts soon, improving capital efficiency
Currently, the options still have shortcomings

Happy New Year to the futures friends of Binance～💋

Binance can now accept deposits and withdrawals via bank transfers! It's really great 👍
To add funds, select the last option for USD bank transfer deposits, supporting multiple currencies, with USD and EUR being the most commonly used.
Deposits and withdrawals to Hong Kong bank accounts are smooth and compliant.

Wishing everyone to have money soon

This week's market situation can be described as hellishly difficult, especially for sellers.
Various black swans are flying around, and prices have collapsed.
What many island friends are most concerned about right now should be whether the drop has reached its level? Is there stabilization or a rebound?
Let's analyze the recent high-probability trends from the options data.
From the IV perspective, it remains high, and the panic of a downturn is still considerable.
From the OI perspective, both long and short bets are present, and there should be a divergence in views between deep drops and rebounds.
From the gamma ex perspective, the positive gamma area is basically very sluggish, and the huge negative gamma area is between 2.2K and 2.5K. If the price moves into this area, it is highly likely to trigger a violent rebound.
However, from the recent VRP perspective, buyers are relatively dominant, and it is very challenging for sellers. It is recommended that even if betting on a rebound, one should not easily adopt a seller strategy; a buyer strategy would be safer.
The near-term IV is relatively high, and buying some medium to long-term combination strategies offers good cost performance.
From a historical price standpoint, we are currently close to the bottom position, and spot trading is suitable for low absorption. After stabilization, options trading can also short IV, which will likely be a relatively comfortable period.
Facing the sharp drop calmly and ensuring proper insurance. Wishing everyone to preserve capital and make a profit~

Buy the dip of one ETH

Go long on gold, go short on silver, the strategy's value is still rising.
The market is like the end of the world.

Sold some put options for 70,000, hoping not to catch a flying knife.
The probability of the pancake retracing below 80,000 is very high, so everyone should pay attention and ensure proper insurance.

Binance has Tesla contracts, not bad, not bad.
Arbitrage is possible between US stocks and Binance!

Take a look at the ETH data this weekend.
Recently, things have not been very stable, and political uncertainty has increased. We hope the stock market remains stable and is not affected.
ETH's data showed some fluctuations on Sunday, and there is likely to be significant volatility next week.
From a fundamental perspective, next week is a super earnings week, and the US stock market is likely to have considerable volatility.
Gold and silver also continue to reach new highs.
It is very difficult for the crypto space to maintain stability. A severe storm seems to be brewing.
From the IV perspective, implied volatility is rising, especially the near-term IV has shown significant growth.
The open interest has also seen a magical increase in deep out-of-the-money call options; it is unclear whether the whales are betting on volatility or on price.
From the gamma exposure perspective, the entire domain is in a negative gamma area, where any slight movement can trigger sharp rises or falls.
The overall scenario is already in favor of buyers, and sellers should be cautious. Either reduce positions or hedge, and avoid leaving significant exposure. Be especially careful of losses related to gamma.
One can set up some medium to long-term ratio spreads. For aggressive buyers who are bold, placing some double buys to bet on upward volatility is also worth considering.
Wishing everyone to be friends with time and open positions steadily.

A timely snow promises a good harvest! Making money with snow 🤑

Many are connected to credit reporting, after borrowing from one, the limit of the other may be reduced or no more loans will be granted. 😄 Unless you quickly go through all of them in a short time, which would require multiple people to do it simultaneously.