Zz帽子哥
当你领悟了空仓的智慧，学会了耐心等待，只在确定性极高的时机果断出手，即便错过某些看似诱人的行情也毫不后悔，那么你就已经拥有了以交易为生的能力。
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$BULLA
Just now, a needle went down, and only 1000u worth of goods came out on the chain. Binance's contract directly exploded with nearly 300,000 long positions. This currency has completely moved from the spot market to the contract market, while the contract open interest remains as high as 1 billion, with extremely high momentum.
In the short term, we look at the main force; wherever the liquidity is good, we go there. In the long term, it will definitely take off; the main force's short positions cannot be closed out on the spot.
Just now, a needle went down, and only 1000u worth of goods came out on the chain. Binance's contract directly exploded with nearly 300,000 long positions. This currency has completely moved from the spot market to the contract market, while the contract open interest remains as high as 1 billion, with extremely high momentum.
In the short term, we look at the main force; wherever the liquidity is good, we go there. In the long term, it will definitely take off; the main force's short positions cannot be closed out on the spot.
$龙虾
Bought it within the first minute of going live, and it hasn't settled even at 0.027. The situation is still uncertain, all dark horses, haha.
Logic: Just like me, if it can go live on Binance Futures, there must be market makers involved, and where there are market makers, there must be a high position of 40-50 million or more to consider unloading to zero. Currently, this high point has only reached 0.027; I don't think it's over yet, it feels more like a wash.
However, there is no unified template for all things, control risk, and patiently wait for the results.
Currently, there are two orders, BULLA and lobster, both are long.
Bought it within the first minute of going live, and it hasn't settled even at 0.027. The situation is still uncertain, all dark horses, haha.
Logic: Just like me, if it can go live on Binance Futures, there must be market makers involved, and where there are market makers, there must be a high position of 40-50 million or more to consider unloading to zero. Currently, this high point has only reached 0.027; I don't think it's over yet, it feels more like a wash.
However, there is no unified template for all things, control risk, and patiently wait for the results.
Currently, there are two orders, BULLA and lobster, both are long.
$BULLA
Current price 0.00896 to enter a long position of 1000u, if it continues to dip to 0.0078, add to the position.
Logic: The total amount of the spot currency is 1 billion, the contract position has reached 1.13 billion, and at some point the main short positions will inevitably take profits and close, at which point a huge amount of buying will definitely cause a surge.
Current price 0.00896 to enter a long position of 1000u, if it continues to dip to 0.0078, add to the position.
Logic: The total amount of the spot currency is 1 billion, the contract position has reached 1.13 billion, and at some point the main short positions will inevitably take profits and close, at which point a huge amount of buying will definitely cause a surge.
$ARC
Doubled it, withdrew all the principal, and will sell more as it continues to rise.
In the short term, there won't be updates on other targets, as I am quite busy with other matters in life. I will start live streaming in two months to show everyone the targets online.
Doubled it, withdrew all the principal, and will sell more as it continues to rise.
In the short term, there won't be updates on other targets, as I am quite busy with other matters in life. I will start live streaming in two months to show everyone the targets online.
$ARC
{future}(ARCUSDT)
0.27 The long position remains, and the capital is doubled. All posts rely on sharing to be updated; if not stated, it may indicate a shift in focus to other areas.
The logic of the ARC long position remains unchanged, with the main force gathering long positions at 0.026, holding approximately 500 million units, and the total position exceeding 1 billion units, with the long-to-short ratio close to 1, showing no signs of abandoning the market.
{future}(ARCUSDT)
0.27 The long position remains, and the capital is doubled. All posts rely on sharing to be updated; if not stated, it may indicate a shift in focus to other areas.
The logic of the ARC long position remains unchanged, with the main force gathering long positions at 0.026, holding approximately 500 million units, and the total position exceeding 1 billion units, with the long-to-short ratio close to 1, showing no signs of abandoning the market.
$ARC
0.27 The long position remains, and the capital is doubled. All posts rely on sharing to be updated; if not stated, it may indicate a shift in focus to other areas.
The logic of the ARC long position remains unchanged, with the main force gathering long positions at 0.026, holding approximately 500 million units, and the total position exceeding 1 billion units, with the long-to-short ratio close to 1, showing no signs of abandoning the market.
0.27 The long position remains, and the capital is doubled. All posts rely on sharing to be updated; if not stated, it may indicate a shift in focus to other areas.
The logic of the ARC long position remains unchanged, with the main force gathering long positions at 0.026, holding approximately 500 million units, and the total position exceeding 1 billion units, with the long-to-short ratio close to 1, showing no signs of abandoning the market.
$ARC
{future}(ARCUSDT)
Preparing to place a buy order for one lot of ARC at 0.026, using yesterday's profit for the position.
The logic for going long is that 0.026 is the main cost range for the long positions, and there are still about 12 million positions that the main force has not closed at this level, which will provide good support, and the long to short ratio has not exceeded 2.
If it drops below 0.02 for more than 24 hours, I will consider stopping losses.
{future}(ARCUSDT)
Preparing to place a buy order for one lot of ARC at 0.026, using yesterday's profit for the position.
The logic for going long is that 0.026 is the main cost range for the long positions, and there are still about 12 million positions that the main force has not closed at this level, which will provide good support, and the long to short ratio has not exceeded 2.
If it drops below 0.02 for more than 24 hours, I will consider stopping losses.
$ARC
Preparing to place a buy order for one lot of ARC at 0.026, using yesterday's profit for the position.
The logic for going long is that 0.026 is the main cost range for the long positions, and there are still about 12 million positions that the main force has not closed at this level, which will provide good support, and the long to short ratio has not exceeded 2.
If it drops below 0.02 for more than 24 hours, I will consider stopping losses.
Preparing to place a buy order for one lot of ARC at 0.026, using yesterday's profit for the position.
The logic for going long is that 0.026 is the main cost range for the long positions, and there are still about 12 million positions that the main force has not closed at this level, which will provide good support, and the long to short ratio has not exceeded 2.
If it drops below 0.02 for more than 24 hours, I will consider stopping losses.
$ARC
30% done. That's about enough, I have also closed my position, and in total, I have made almost 100% over three times.
30% done. That's about enough, I have also closed my position, and in total, I have made almost 100% over three times.
$ARC
{future}(ARCUSDT)
Shorting ARC again, at this position 0.128, if it falls back to 0.1, you can take a 30% drop.
The core logic for shorting remains that the funding rate is relatively high, 0.24%/4h, annualized 500%, the main force will likely not maintain high prices for a long time to pay the funding fees, this price is pushed out by the main contract, not controlled by spot.
The most stable profit model is to short futures, buy spot, and hedge. If you follow this idea, from last month until now, you can easily enjoy a 15% fee for free. If the price continues to rise, you can choose to sell spot and reduce the short position to ensure the safety of the futures position.
The biggest way to profit is still to directly short. Don't go heavy, with a capital of 1wu, shorting 1000u is no problem at all.
{future}(ARCUSDT)
Shorting ARC again, at this position 0.128, if it falls back to 0.1, you can take a 30% drop.
The core logic for shorting remains that the funding rate is relatively high, 0.24%/4h, annualized 500%, the main force will likely not maintain high prices for a long time to pay the funding fees, this price is pushed out by the main contract, not controlled by spot.
The most stable profit model is to short futures, buy spot, and hedge. If you follow this idea, from last month until now, you can easily enjoy a 15% fee for free. If the price continues to rise, you can choose to sell spot and reduce the short position to ensure the safety of the futures position.
The biggest way to profit is still to directly short. Don't go heavy, with a capital of 1wu, shorting 1000u is no problem at all.
$ARC
Shorting ARC again, at this position 0.128, if it falls back to 0.1, you can take a 30% drop.
The core logic for shorting remains that the funding rate is relatively high, 0.24%/4h, annualized 500%, the main force will likely not maintain high prices for a long time to pay the funding fees, this price is pushed out by the main contract, not controlled by spot.
The most stable profit model is to short futures, buy spot, and hedge. If you follow this idea, from last month until now, you can easily enjoy a 15% fee for free. If the price continues to rise, you can choose to sell spot and reduce the short position to ensure the safety of the futures position.
The biggest way to profit is still to directly short. Don't go heavy, with a capital of 1wu, shorting 1000u is no problem at all.
Shorting ARC again, at this position 0.128, if it falls back to 0.1, you can take a 30% drop.
The core logic for shorting remains that the funding rate is relatively high, 0.24%/4h, annualized 500%, the main force will likely not maintain high prices for a long time to pay the funding fees, this price is pushed out by the main contract, not controlled by spot.
The most stable profit model is to short futures, buy spot, and hedge. If you follow this idea, from last month until now, you can easily enjoy a 15% fee for free. If the price continues to rise, you can choose to sell spot and reduce the short position to ensure the safety of the futures position.
The biggest way to profit is still to directly short. Don't go heavy, with a capital of 1wu, shorting 1000u is no problem at all.
$RIVER
Basically, like most strong control coins, it is slowly heading towards zero. It is impossible not to go to zero. Unlike $M and $pippin, river, as a stablecoin Ponzi project, releases new river tokens every day, and the amount released later will increasingly grow. In the early stages of control, it was still possible to profit a bit, but as control becomes more difficult, the main force can only choose to sell off.
One can only say that Nash equilibrium is still too authoritative. A month ago, everyone was aggressively shorting river at $10, and the main force pumped it to $80. Now, 60% of people are going long, making the possibility of a V-shaped reversal even lower.
Basically, like most strong control coins, it is slowly heading towards zero. It is impossible not to go to zero. Unlike $M and $pippin, river, as a stablecoin Ponzi project, releases new river tokens every day, and the amount released later will increasingly grow. In the early stages of control, it was still possible to profit a bit, but as control becomes more difficult, the main force can only choose to sell off.
One can only say that Nash equilibrium is still too authoritative. A month ago, everyone was aggressively shorting river at $10, and the main force pumped it to $80. Now, 60% of people are going long, making the possibility of a V-shaped reversal even lower.
$ARC
This kid can actually come back to V, and shorting still follows the funding rate logic for opening orders. It is recommended to consider shorting when the ARC funding rate spikes to +0.2%/4h, currently at +0.05%/4h. The long positions of the market maker have not yet crowded to an unbearable situation.
I have relied on this logic to short at the highest point twice.
This kid can actually come back to V, and shorting still follows the funding rate logic for opening orders. It is recommended to consider shorting when the ARC funding rate spikes to +0.2%/4h, currently at +0.05%/4h. The long positions of the market maker have not yet crowded to an unbearable situation.
I have relied on this logic to short at the highest point twice.
These alpha+ contract coins with a market value below 10 million are really impressive. PTB doubled the day before yesterday, TAKE doubled yesterday, today COL and AKE have already increased by 50%, NAORIS increased by 20%. Which one is next? I blindly guess a hand of EVAA, AGT, contract positions, trading volume, and K-line, all meet the criteria.
$pippin
This long-short ratio, don't chase the long and don't short either. Shorting can be forcefully closed at a maximum of over $3, there will definitely be a big spike, the main force is sitting at this position and accumulating power. Those who want to short can keep an eye on it; if there's an upward spike combined with a rapid decline in OI, you can short one hand. Why not chase the long? If you get trapped at this position, it could last a lifetime. SOL has dropped to over 70, and Pippin will definitely drop below 0.1 when it finally releases its goods, it just might take a bit longer. If you get trapped, you will likely have to stop loss.
This long-short ratio, don't chase the long and don't short either. Shorting can be forcefully closed at a maximum of over $3, there will definitely be a big spike, the main force is sitting at this position and accumulating power. Those who want to short can keep an eye on it; if there's an upward spike combined with a rapid decline in OI, you can short one hand. Why not chase the long? If you get trapped at this position, it could last a lifetime. SOL has dropped to over 70, and Pippin will definitely drop below 0.1 when it finally releases its goods, it just might take a bit longer. If you get trapped, you will likely have to stop loss.
Is megaETH going to zero before its TGE?
K线人生飞哥
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For tokens in the Ethereum L2 space like OP, ARB, ZK, STRK, it is advisable to stop-loss and sell during the rebound.
Ethereum has completed the Fusaka upgrade, and the gas fees for transfers are now about $0.01. Previously, everyone thought ETH's gas fees were too high, and the speed was too slow, so a bunch of L2 solutions were created, such as OP, ARB, ZK, STRK, METIS, etc. Now that ETH has completed the Fusaka upgrade, gas fees have decreased, but there are not many users anymore, and the on-chain activity is significantly lower than before. It's like having a highway that's been improved but with a much lower toll, yet there are no cars running on it anymore.
Additionally, recently $ENS directly abandoned its own L2 and deployed ENS v2 back to the Ethereum mainnet for a simple reason—the mainnet has become cheap enough that L2 is unnecessary. After the Fusaka upgrade, gas fees plummeted by 99%, making the operational costs comparable to or even lower than many L2 solutions. In the future, the gas limit will be increased to three times its current level, and the mainnet will only become faster and cheaper.
As the mainnet expands itself, the original narrative of 'cost reduction and expansion' in Layer 2 has become obsolete. The founder of $ETH , Vitalik Buterin, has also mentioned that tokens in the L2 space should find their own way out.
Currently, there are very few L2s with real users; most have low daily active users and remain in the multi-signature control phase, meaning asset security still fundamentally relies on the project team. There is also a lot of fluff in TVL, with many being propped up by incentives.
Therefore, let the tokens that should go to zero go to zero, as it also helps to squeeze out the market bubble.
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
{spot}(ENSUSDT)
Ethereum has completed the Fusaka upgrade, and the gas fees for transfers are now about $0.01. Previously, everyone thought ETH's gas fees were too high, and the speed was too slow, so a bunch of L2 solutions were created, such as OP, ARB, ZK, STRK, METIS, etc. Now that ETH has completed the Fusaka upgrade, gas fees have decreased, but there are not many users anymore, and the on-chain activity is significantly lower than before. It's like having a highway that's been improved but with a much lower toll, yet there are no cars running on it anymore.
Additionally, recently $ENS directly abandoned its own L2 and deployed ENS v2 back to the Ethereum mainnet for a simple reason—the mainnet has become cheap enough that L2 is unnecessary. After the Fusaka upgrade, gas fees plummeted by 99%, making the operational costs comparable to or even lower than many L2 solutions. In the future, the gas limit will be increased to three times its current level, and the mainnet will only become faster and cheaper.
As the mainnet expands itself, the original narrative of 'cost reduction and expansion' in Layer 2 has become obsolete. The founder of $ETH , Vitalik Buterin, has also mentioned that tokens in the L2 space should find their own way out.
Currently, there are very few L2s with real users; most have low daily active users and remain in the multi-signature control phase, meaning asset security still fundamentally relies on the project team. There is also a lot of fluff in TVL, with many being propped up by incentives.
Therefore, let the tokens that should go to zero go to zero, as it also helps to squeeze out the market bubble.
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
{spot}(ENSUSDT)
$ZRO
LAYERZERO said yesterday that it plans to create a new chain, which is a positive release, and there was a surge of 30% with a large bullish candle. The shorting logic indicates a circulating market value of 1 billion, which is already quite large, and there is a 3% unlocking every month. Additionally, there was another large bullish candle, and shorting this was akin to planting seeds. If there is a follow-up rally, it is advisable to hold on, waiting for the unlocking pressure, with an average price of 2.51.
LAYERZERO said yesterday that it plans to create a new chain, which is a positive release, and there was a surge of 30% with a large bullish candle. The shorting logic indicates a circulating market value of 1 billion, which is already quite large, and there is a 3% unlocking every month. Additionally, there was another large bullish candle, and shorting this was akin to planting seeds. If there is a follow-up rally, it is advisable to hold on, waiting for the unlocking pressure, with an average price of 2.51.
$BERA
What the hell, 24h liquidation 6 million, the large holders' long-short ratio is 0.48, which indicates that the shorts are all large holders. Which large short holder is this dog dealer targeting again? Will it explode to 3? Even if you give me a hundred guts, I wouldn't dare to short such data from a counterfeit.
What the hell, 24h liquidation 6 million, the large holders' long-short ratio is 0.48, which indicates that the shorts are all large holders. Which large short holder is this dog dealer targeting again? Will it explode to 3? Even if you give me a hundred guts, I wouldn't dare to short such data from a counterfeit.
$ETH Yi Lihua has almost liquidated all of his ETH. The man who bet twenty billion ETH at 3000 ultimately lost nine billion and exited. This should be one of the signals of a short-term bottom.
Yesterday, with 83 dollars left until Yi Lihua's liquidation, he decisively reversed, as the essence is still that the short positions are too crowded; everyone wants a piece of the soup. Yi Lihua's position totals one billion dollars, and those eyeing him to short definitely exceed one billion. This wave of decline is fast and fierce, with many long positions in contracts getting liquidated, and even spot holders have lost faith; instead, those shorting are enjoying substantial profits, and the contract open interest has decreased. This atmosphere may brew a significant rebound.
The funding rates for the three mainstream coins, BTC, ETH, and SOL, are all negative, indicating how crowded the short positions are right now, right?
To put it simply, BTC is temporarily expected to rebound at 20,000 points, projected to reach around 80,000. ETH and SOL are no longer of concern; in a bear market, only BTC is bought.
Yesterday, with 83 dollars left until Yi Lihua's liquidation, he decisively reversed, as the essence is still that the short positions are too crowded; everyone wants a piece of the soup. Yi Lihua's position totals one billion dollars, and those eyeing him to short definitely exceed one billion. This wave of decline is fast and fierce, with many long positions in contracts getting liquidated, and even spot holders have lost faith; instead, those shorting are enjoying substantial profits, and the contract open interest has decreased. This atmosphere may brew a significant rebound.
The funding rates for the three mainstream coins, BTC, ETH, and SOL, are all negative, indicating how crowded the short positions are right now, right?
To put it simply, BTC is temporarily expected to rebound at 20,000 points, projected to reach around 80,000. ETH and SOL are no longer of concern; in a bear market, only BTC is bought.
$ARC
Accidentally shorting at the highest point, the core judgment basis is just one, a funding fee of 0.3%/4h, for a short position of 100 million built at 0.025 by the market maker, it's too high.
This is not a price controlled by the spot market, but a price accumulated by the contracts.
The market maker's long position of 25 million was pulled up all the way, now you tell him that every 4 hours you have to pay a funding fee of 300,000 USD, would you sell? Would you exit your long position?
Accidentally shorting at the highest point, the core judgment basis is just one, a funding fee of 0.3%/4h, for a short position of 100 million built at 0.025 by the market maker, it's too high.
This is not a price controlled by the spot market, but a price accumulated by the contracts.
The market maker's long position of 25 million was pulled up all the way, now you tell him that every 4 hours you have to pay a funding fee of 300,000 USD, would you sell? Would you exit your long position?
$ARC
After washing for two months, today officially reaches one hundred million, but next, it is not suitable to chase more.
Funding rate +0.178%/4h, this means it won't stay at a high position for too long, but will choose to use spike manipulation to gain liquidity.
Next, the way for retail investors to profit remains to short on high with a light position, you have to believe that this funding rate, after the big players have pushed it up, will definitely be brought down. This kind of contract price manipulation and the pippin spot price control play are completely different.
After washing for two months, today officially reaches one hundred million, but next, it is not suitable to chase more.
Funding rate +0.178%/4h, this means it won't stay at a high position for too long, but will choose to use spike manipulation to gain liquidity.
Next, the way for retail investors to profit remains to short on high with a light position, you have to believe that this funding rate, after the big players have pushed it up, will definitely be brought down. This kind of contract price manipulation and the pippin spot price control play are completely different.
$ARC
{future}(ARCUSDT)
If ARC controls a market value of 100 million in the future, doesn't it seem very frustrating to wash the ups and downs like this?
Pippin oscillated between 0.01-0.03 for a year, frustrating countless retail investors, extinguishing all retail investors' faith. Some platform even chose to delist, and the official Twitter stopped updating, which made it easier for retail investors to hand over their chips, complete the control, and create the myth of the current largest market value meme of SOL.
Go ahead and wash it, Doge! Fuck the squid!
#山寨币热点
{future}(ARCUSDT)
If ARC controls a market value of 100 million in the future, doesn't it seem very frustrating to wash the ups and downs like this?
Pippin oscillated between 0.01-0.03 for a year, frustrating countless retail investors, extinguishing all retail investors' faith. Some platform even chose to delist, and the official Twitter stopped updating, which made it easier for retail investors to hand over their chips, complete the control, and create the myth of the current largest market value meme of SOL.
Go ahead and wash it, Doge! Fuck the squid!
#山寨币热点
$ETH Dog Zhuang suddenly pulled back when he was 84 knives away from clearing with Yi Lihua, just lightly tapped Yi Lihua's forehead to warn him to take care of himself.
Hopefully this time when it rebounds, Yi Lihua won't lower his intelligence looking at ETH1w anymore, leaving one or two hundred million dollars to sit on the market in the next bull run and make a comeback.
Hopefully this time when it rebounds, Yi Lihua won't lower his intelligence looking at ETH1w anymore, leaving one or two hundred million dollars to sit on the market in the next bull run and make a comeback.
$ETH
From yesterday to today, it dropped by 20% in 24 hours. The liquidation was only 1.8 billion USD. If it drops another 20%, the liquidation could reach 5 billion USD. How can we start building the bottom without clearing it out?
From yesterday to today, it dropped by 20% in 24 hours. The liquidation was only 1.8 billion USD. If it drops another 20%, the liquidation could reach 5 billion USD. How can we start building the bottom without clearing it out?
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