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The downtrend is coming one after another, and the market is once again shrouded in panic. Bitcoin and Ethereum are in an accelerating downward trend, and by April or May, we may reach our expected position, so we need to be prepared in advance.

Bitcoin has come down from 76000, and it has already completed a rebound within the downtrend channel. Currently, support is at 66000, and this level is unlikely to hold. A break below this level would signal the beginning of Bitcoin's decline, testing the 60000 mark. The strategy here is to short on rebounds; a break below 66000 is a key signal that the downtrend is indeed upon us.

Ethereum below 2000 will be seen very soon, with support around 1900, similar to Bitcoin. However, Ethereum's resilience is not as strong as Bitcoin's. With Bitcoin showing an accelerated downward trend, Ethereum will only fall faster and further, approaching the previous low around 1700.

This is a judgment on the recent trends of the entire market. Due to the impact of ongoing war news, there will be some unpredictable fluctuations in between, but it will not affect the overall trend of the market in the near term.

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The market has been bearish for a while, and the market trend largely aligns with our expectations. Bitcoin has fallen from a peak of 76000, and we expect it to be bearish below 70000, with fluctuations of around 8000 points within our expectations. Currently, there are signs of stabilization in the trend, and if it can hold the 71000 position, it may try to reach around 74000 in the near future.

Seeing Ethereum below 2000, currently at a low near 2100. Due to the stabilization of Bitcoin, Ethereum's retreat has also come to a pause. Currently, its trend is weaker than Bitcoin, with recent resistance around 2180. Without macroeconomic news affecting the market, it will likely experience slight fluctuations around this position.

Opportunities for altcoins in a bear market are limited, and the risk of losses caused by random movements is quite high. It is advisable to retain more capital and wait for a deeper bear market to buy higher quality assets.

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In the face of news, the market is quite fragile; even a slight breeze can cause panic. Tonight will be another sleepless night, as the Federal Reserve will announce the recent interest rate at two o'clock tomorrow morning. The market's attitude towards interest rate cuts is neutral, and I don't expect a rate cut. Regardless of whether there is a rate cut or not, the probability of a decline is also quite high.

The peak for Bitcoin was 76000, and yesterday we talked about the recent support at 72800. Both positions have been reached without a hitch. The downward trend is still ongoing. Bitcoin has dropped below 7, and Ethereum has dropped below 2, which is the trend we can currently observe.

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The overall market has started to decline after a rebound. Bitcoin experienced a week of gains, with a rebound of ten thousand points, and the position of 76000 has also arrived as expected, indicating that this market phase is coming to an end. Currently, support is around 72800, and it is expected to fluctuate at this position for a while, waiting for the next market phase.

Ethereum has entered a severely overbought range, and the market needs to calm down. Prices will fluctuate around 2300 with a 20-point variation, with support near the 2200 mark. The probability of a pullback remains high in the coming week.

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Judgment of the market situation has shown some deviations. Currently, Bitcoin and Ethereum have both broken through a relatively strong resistance level. The market attitude in the near term remains bearish.

The current position of Bitcoin is quite dangerous; it has touched the vicinity of 74000 for the third time today without being able to stabilize. The probability of a pullback is gradually increasing, and the upward momentum is still present, possibly reaching around 76000.

Ethereum's recent surge in the market has also been quite strong, but once Bitcoin pulls back, it will only be a larger market cap altcoin, only following Bitcoin's lead.

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Recently, everyone should pay attention to the risk of pullbacks in the market. Bitcoin has been pushed back twice after breaking through to around 74000. With the changes in trend, the bottom is gradually lowering. The previously mentioned level of 76000 is now difficult to reach.

Currently, Bitcoin's performance is stronger than that of Ethereum, but it is also in a pullback channel. Around 73500 is a significant resistance level, and the support near 71000 is also precarious. The trend for next week is expected to be not very good, so caution is needed.

Ethereum is sluggish around the support level of 2100, and the performance is not ideal. The strong resistance above is near 2230. Recently, the probability of Ethereum falling below 2000 is still relatively high.

Currently, there are still very few opportunities in altcoins. In this situation, it is best to adopt a watchful stance and avoid excessive action. There is no need to take risks, as there is still at least one opportunity for doubling this year. Hold onto more bullets and wait for more certain opportunities.

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After a busy day has ended and just as I lay down, a message pop-up brought good news: the war is over. When the economy is in recession, fighting may be the most direct and effective way to reshuffle the deck. In the struggle for capital, only the common people suffer, and the same goes for the leeks.

Currently, the trends are all influenced by news, and this good news is not enough to change the current market downturn. Liquidity will not warm up because of this factor. Continue to pay attention to Bitcoin around 71000 and Ethereum around 2100.

If these two positions cannot stabilize, any rising trend will only be a rebound, and it will never reverse. The four-year cycle of bull and bear laws may have already changed. There is not much Bitcoin left to mine, and the violent market caused by halving production has also gone away. This month, if you can avoid losing money, you will have outperformed 80% of the entire market.

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The market has started to fall back after reaching a peak, indicating that this market phase is nearing its end. Those who did not preemptively position themselves and chose to chase the rise may need some time to recover. It has only been a few months since the peak, but recently, the state of ETFs has seen a net inflow, and unless there are black swan events, there won't be significant drops. However, the wealth effect for retail investors is insufficient, leading to a lack of confidence and belief in the market. Such a market will continue to exhibit a wide range of fluctuations.

Ethereum has started to fall back after reaching around 2100. The continuous breakthrough of Bitcoin has also propelled Ethereum forward, and it is currently in a trend of oscillating corrections. There is support around 2050 in the smaller time frames, while resistance for the rebound remains near 2100, with support below around 1980.

The momentum of Bitcoin is relatively strong. On one hand, there has been a de-escalation of the war, with signs of negotiation and ceasefire emerging. All indicators are trending upwards. Currently, there is support at the 70000 mark, with a stronger support level around 67800. Previously mentioned, if Bitcoin breaks through 71000, we could see levels near 76000. If this rebound can hold, we could still observe this position.

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The trend direction of the entire market mentioned earlier this morning has almost been in line with our expectations. Bitcoin has once again approached the key resistance level around 71000. Whether it can hold this level is crucial for reaching our next target of 76000, and it is also key to breaking out of this wide-ranging volatile market.

The trend of Ethereum is slightly weaker than Bitcoin, which is also within our expectations. The resistance is around 2100. Since Bitcoin has reached the resistance point, if it can stabilize, Ethereum still has the potential to rally and touch the 2100 level.

In the overall market, which is showing a trend of fluctuating decline, there are not many opportunities for altcoins. Before this wide-ranging volatile market breaks out, it is still necessary to maintain a state of observation with little action, patiently waiting for opportunities.

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The arrival of the Lantern Festival also means that the flavor of the New Year is approaching its end. Today, I have returned to my job, and the frequency of updates will be more frequent. However, in the current market, there aren't many opportunities to seize. Bitcoin and Ethereum are still in a wide range of fluctuations, which makes it difficult to break out.

The entire market is experiencing significant turmoil due to the influence of war. They continue to fight, and retail investors are buying in. Currently, Bitcoin's shape is quite good, breaking through the wide range of fluctuations at 71,000. This month, it may rebound to around 76,000, which is what we can see at the moment.

Last time Ethereum broke through the resistance at 2,150, it was pushed back down. Currently, the bottom is still lowering, and the position at 2,150 has also been pushed down to around 2,100. Without enough rebound strength, it is likely that it will only touch around 2,100 before falling back.

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The atmosphere of the New Year is indeed very good, combined with the sluggish market conditions, there isn't much room for operation. Every day feels like being in a drunken stupor. The rebound last night was also the first decent rebound after a long period of market silence.

The rebound strength of Bitcoin is slightly weak, with resistance around 71000 as previously mentioned. The rebound did not surpass the 70000 mark before starting to decline, and it is currently hovering near the support around 67800, with a trend towards the resistance at 71000.

The highs and lows of Ethereum are still within the range we mentioned before, with resistance around 2150 still unbroken. Short-term support is near the 2000 mark, and currently, it is in a trend of oscillation and correction.

The riots in Mexico have raised some concerns about the World Cup this year, and this city happens to be one of the host cities. The collapse of one party's power could disrupt the balance among various forces, and this balance is difficult to restore in the short term. This is also one of the reasons for the recent decline in fan tokens.

I still hold Santos, Lazio, Porto, as well as ATM and CHZ, and I won't easily adjust my positions until a new market emerges. Good things are coming, so everyone should keep their bullets ready.

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Since it can't drop any further, let's continue to add to our positions. The ATM remains strong in this market. First, the main players have not left the scene, and second, the fan tokens are right at the forefront. Continuing to be optimistic

#ATM.智能策略库🥇🥇

Stand firm on this post on the last day of 2025. On New Year's Eve, I wish all fans good luck in the Year of the Horse, may you achieve success quickly, and may you become wealthy soon. All the good and the bad have passed, adjust your mindset, and start a brand new chapter.

The support level mentioned by Big Pancake yesterday is near 68000. The Spring Festival does not affect our judgment of the market. The lowest point is exactly 68000, and without any difference, after today's rebound, it has started to fall again. The probability of the 68000 support holding is very low now, with strong support below around 65800.

The Ethereum trend is also within our expectations. The support near 1900 fell to a minimum of 1928, and after rebounding, it is also falling back. There is strong support near the low point of 1890 from the previous days.

ATM entered at 1.1, and yesterday also allowed everyone to exit at a relatively high point. From the trend, it seems that the main force has not exited, which means there is still a chance for a rise. You can continue to buy below 1.3 and wait for the next round of increase.

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The market has improved under the favorable influence of CPI, and with Musk contributing again to the crypto market, old MEME coins like DOGE and PEPE have seen some rebounds. This market can be considered as celebrating the New Year.

A few days ago, I mentioned that the range for Bitcoin's wide fluctuations would be between 65000 and 71000. Looking back now, the lowest point in these days was 65118, and the highest point was 70983, which completely aligns with our expectations. This trend has completed, and we are currently in a correction trend, consistent with our expectations from yesterday, with recent support around 68000.

The expected fluctuation range for Ethereum is around 1850 to 2150. The position at 2150 has consistently suppressed Ethereum's rebound, which is currently also in a downtrend, with support around 1900.

A few days ago, I advised everyone to buy ATM near 1.1, and the last post clearly mentioned holding until above 1.5. Now that the target has been reached, there’s no need to linger, and I have taken profits. Wishing everyone a Happy New Year.

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CPI data released, will this be a catalyst for a rapid decline in the market, or a remedy to save the current situation? Such market conditions are likely to only affect the market for a very short time, and we also need to see how the current market interprets this data.

The U.S. January seasonally adjusted CPI year-on-year rate was previously 2.7%, with market expectations of 2.5%, and the released value was 2.4%, which is positive.

The U.S. January seasonally adjusted CPI month-on-month rate was previously 0.3%, with market expectations of 0.3%, and the released value was 0.2%, which is positive.

Bitcoin and Ethereum have currently stopped declining. As long as Bitcoin does not drop below 65000 and Ethereum does not drop below 1850, we will not see a significant decline. It will continue to fluctuate widely. The probability of continuing to decline after a recent rebound is still quite large. For those who entered around 1.1, today's performance is still acceptable. I will continue to hold until above 1.5.

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As the bottom gradually lowers, the rebound amplitude is compressed, and the one-day rebound market seems to be coming to an end. The entire market has also reached the lower part of the previously mentioned fluctuation range. If it stabilizes here, it can be the starting point of a rebound market. Once it breaks down, it will mark the beginning of a new decline.

Bitcoin is between 65000 and 71000, and the rebound has already reached the edge of this fluctuation range. From the RSI, the current buying strength is weak, which also causes the MACD golden cross to fail to rise. The market in the past two days has also experienced a lot of decline. The probability of the support at 65000 holding is low, and once it increases in volume, it will test lower points than the previous round. If it breaks below 60000, the first entry point we expect will not be far.

Ethereum is between 1850 and 2150, and similarly, it has also come to the lower part of this range after the rebound. The bottom is gradually lowering. Although there is a rebound trend now, during Bitcoin's decline, Ethereum is just a slightly larger market cap altcoin, and risks must also be noted.

In such a sluggish market, the performance of fan tokens is still a consolation. The ATM surged to 1.5 and has now dropped back to around 1.1. After hitting a historical low, the rebound has not yet ended. I bought some around 1.1 in preparation for another wave of rebound.

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The market rebounded but did not break through the bottleneck, which is consistent with our expected trend. It has started to pull back again. From the overall market perspective, there are signs of a bottoming out, and there is a high probability of a rebound in the next few days.

I mentioned that the resistance for Bitcoin is around 71000, with the highest point also here. The support is around 67000, which is also at this level. The support held up the upward rebound, and resistance is still around 71000, making the rebound probability high.

For Ethereum, the resistance is mentioned around 2150, and the rebound has again reached this position, with support around 1950. Like Bitcoin, it is able to hold up. It has now started to move in a fluctuating upward trend, with resistance still around 2150.

Overall, apart from fan tokens which have had a better rebound, the rest are silent. Yesterday's ATM performance was particularly outstanding, with a price of 0.74, which has reached a historical low, and I have bought some as well. The previously recommended Santos, Lazio, and Porto have also rebounded strongly, so just hold on.

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The market on Monday is mostly a pullback, and today is no exception. After a brief rebound, the index has started to fluctuate downward again. As the year-end approaches, it is unlikely there will be a reversal in the market for the rest of the year. The carefully selected targets that have been worked on for months will soon be revealed, with the last one being OG around 4 dollars, which peaked at 25. This time, expectations shouldn't be too low and are worth looking forward to.

After the rebound, Bitcoin has started to decline again, with short-term support around 67000. Currently, it's also a wide-ranging fluctuating market, with a range from around 65000 to around 71000. Until this trend breaks, it’s best to watch more and act less.

Ethereum's temperament is also well understood. In interactions with fans, the anticipated rebound to 2150 was insightfully predicted, with short-term support around 1950. Similar to Bitcoin, it is also in a wide-ranging fluctuation trend, with a range from around 1850 to around 2100. Overall, it still leans toward a fluctuating downward trend.

In such a market, it is hard not to lose money. Whether experienced traders or seasoned investors, it's difficult to escape the sanctions of a volatile market. Many wealthy individuals around me are currently choosing to sit on the sidelines without entering the market, which might still be the best strategy right now.

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This wave of decline occurred in a situation where the market was unprepared, not as violently as a black swan, but the intensity is comparable to it. A dull knife cutting flesh hurts more; the market trend has also come faster than expected, which is a reflection of the current liquidity shortage in the market.

The rebound from the large coin to 76000 is the best short-term opportunity to escape the top and enter a short position. After testing 70000, the price is approaching the major threshold of 60000. Our expected first entry position around 55000 is also gradually getting closer. Now, aside from waiting with no positions, there is no better way.

The decline of Ethereum is even more like a shanzhai, breaking the 2000 mark, and has already dropped to around 1700, getting closer to our 1500. Once we reach the expected level, we will start a regular investment.

The rebound from the black swan will be stronger than the current market. The current rebound is, like before, just a rebound; it will not be a reversal. The entire fan token is also adjusting accordingly, based on the favorable news from the World Cup and the overall market capitalization being relatively small. Continuing to hold has a good chance of profit, as long as we control our positions and plan our funds well.

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