阿苏ICT笔记

1950 support has arrived as promised!
ETH violently rebounded to 2070, is this wave not over yet? Who said breaking 2000 is the end of the world? $ETH
I mentioned earlier in the evening session on March 28 that 1950 is the real Order Block blue zone.
1: Everyone look at the chart, ETH indeed dropped to around 1950 to complete the liquidity hunt and then started this wave of rise! 阿苏合约交流群$BTC
This is a typical ICT area where retail investors get squeezed after a stop loss, which is precisely the starting point for institutions to build positions.
2: The rebound in crude oil has slightly stalled, and Trump's hellfire extension has given the market a window to repair the oversold conditions. The current rise is not only a technical repair but also a short covering squeeze. #实战复盘
3: The current 2073 is at a small-scale structural transition, with the first resistance at the 2100 gap. As long as the U.S. market stabilizes with volume, it will retest the previous false breakout high. #ICT
$BNB
Don't panic sell during fear, don't get overly excited during euphoria, take profits in batches and protect your long position at over 1950.
No fabrications; every transaction has its trace. 阿苏实盘策略群

【Emergency Warning】$2,000 Break Point! Is the "Hellfire" Delay the Last Escape Wave?
The current ETH market is struggling around 1999. If you are still fantasizing about a bull market, the institutional liquidation footprints in this 4H chart will awaken you.
$ETH
1. Macroeconomic Facts: Crude oil returns to 113, the market does not believe in tears.
1. False News Trap: Although Trump has postponed the deadline for strikes to April 6, Brent crude oil just rebounded 5% and broke through 113. As long as the Strait of Hormuz is still blocked, the inflation fire will burn out the principal of the bulls.
2. Extreme Fear: The panic index is now 12. During this phase of massive retail escape, discussing technical aspects is pale. $BTC
2. Technical Analysis: True vacuum drop after a false breakout.
1. Hunting Confirmation: As I warned the day before yesterday, the 2199 breakout was to hunt for leveraged long positions. The current 1999 break point means the last psychological defense line of the bulls has collapsed.
2. Distribution Trap: There is a huge FVG above 2100 where institutions are madly distributing. Yesterday's rise was purely for them to offload at a higher position.
3. The Only Hope: Focus on the Order Block area near 1950. This is the last Strong Low on the 4H level. If an ICT classic Order Block can be formed here, then that would be a rebound.
$BNB
3. Asu's Practical Viewpoint:
Never blindly bottom-fish at this moment. Before the news is completely clear, all technical rebounds are for better offloading. Protect your bullets and wait for the 1-minute structure near the 1950 area to show BOS before considering entering.
阿苏合约交流群
Only by seeing the institutional trajectory can you no longer be fuel.
#ICT #地狱之火 #阿苏实战 #Write2Earn

【ETH3.27 Evening Analysis】
Can the last Strong Low of 2000 liquidation still hold?
The current ETH market is experiencing severe fluctuations around 1989.
1 Major Macroeconomic Reversal: Iran Rejects Agreement, Trump Warns of Hellfire
1 Illusion Shattered: Officially issued a statement rejecting the agreement handed over by the US and called it an unattainable wish and another lie. $ETH
White House Press Secretary Levitt immediately stated firmly that Trump is not bluffing and is prepared to unleash hellfire on Iran.
2 Crude Oil Rebound: Brent Crude has already broken through the 110 barrier, and the uncontrollable energy costs mean that inflation is reigniting, which is deadly pressure for risk assets. $BTC
3 New York DAS Summit: Concluding amidst the sound of gunfire, BlackRock and Fidelity have chosen to remain silent for now, with large funds observing the geopolitical situation. The current drop is a liquidation by institutions.
2 Technical Structure Breakdown: From False Breakthrough to Volume Liquidation
1 Structural Collapse: Everyone should pay attention to the 4H chart; yesterday's breakthrough at 2182 has been completely disproven due to a negative surprise. The current price has not only broken through the previously marked 2125 stop-loss level but has also pierced the 2000 integer barrier as if it were made of paper. $BNB
2 Hunting Reenacted: Looking at the volume on the 15-minute chart, the current drop is due to increased volume, indicating that institutions were not buying above 2100. This is a typical liquidity liquidation after a false breakthrough.
3 Target Level Adjustment: Focus on the Strong Low in the blue zone of the 4H chart; this is not only the ignition point of this round of increase but also the last stronghold of the bulls. If tonight's US market cannot reclaim below 2050, it will directly enter a vacuum zone. 阿苏交流群

Only by seeing the trajectory of institutions can you no longer be fuel.
#地缘冲突 #阿苏实战 #Write2Earn

[ETH3.26 Evening Analysis]
Today's market is extremely strange. Based on the 4H level Sweep+BOS signal, the technical aspect is about to take off, so tonight, the U.S. stock market is likely to be buried.
First, let's look at two buckets of cold water on the macro level: 阿苏合约交流群
1. Trump's ultimatum has failed. Iran just officially rejected the 15-point agreement, and the White House immediately shouted to unleash the fires of hell. Remember, during the early stages of war, liquidity is drained, and the first reaction of institutions is to cash out BTC, this kind of risk asset, to supplement margins.
2. The oil price troublemaker has returned. It just dropped below 100 yesterday, and just this afternoon, it violently rebounded back to around 106. As long as the oil price stabilizes above 100, inflation expectations cannot be contained. The Federal Reserve will not be able to lower interest rates, and BTC, which is driven by money, is most afraid of tightening liquidity. $ETH
BTC Practical Market Deep Analysis: #Write2Earn
The current rally is basically a typical volume-reduced game among existing market players.
1. Structural Trap: Although the price is hovering around 69650 and looks stable, pay attention to the huge red institutional order block above at 73000-76000. Without macro-positive support, this is a zone to lure in buyers; the rise is just to take out the stop-loss of high-position shorts and then reverse to kill.
2. Liquidity Void: The blue OB zone near 64000-68000 below is the real gravitational point. The recent rally has not increased in volume, likely a false move before the U.S. market opens to deceive retail investors into stepping in, then turning back to find SSL support.
3. Key Level: Tonight, keep a close eye on the 69100 level. If it closes and falls below, the next stop is around 66000. Never catch a flying knife halfway up the mountain.
$BTC
Practical Recommendation: #DAS2026
Don’t let the few red bars now cloud your judgment. Trump's hellfire is no joke. Above 69100, absolutely do not chase long positions; the cost-effectiveness is extremely low. Since peace talks have stalled, we must switch to a wartime hedging logic to play.
Before the U.S. market opens tonight, I will provide clear reverse ambush signals in practice based on the latest sweeping loss actions of institutional order flows, as the market changes too quickly. Specific order flow ambush points and annotated original images will be provided.
$BNB

【ETH3.25 Evening Analysis】
1. #ETH Technical Structure Breakdown: Sweep Loss and Structure Breakthrough BOS
1 SSL: The candle on March 24 in the morning that pointed towards around 2122 cleared the typical wash and rise of the Old Low before March 23. #国际油价下跌
2 BOS Confirmation: Last night's rise is a 4H level breakthrough of the lower edge of the March 23 OB, currently at the price level of 2181, indicating that the bulls have regained control of the market.
3 Fair Value Gap: There exists a bearish FVG in the range of 2240-2300 combined with the upper OB resistance zone, which is not only a strong magnetic target for bulls but also a high-risk area for institutions' extreme secondary inducement.
2. Asu's Practical Viewpoint: Yesterday's sweep loss was to make the chips cleaner $ETH
1. Don't talk about faith at this intermediate level of 2182; yesterday's hunting was to clear the high leverage, and the current BOS breakthrough is just the first step.
2. Practical Thinking: As long as this range of 1900-1950 does not break out with volume, the bullish counterattack structure remains robust. 阿苏合约交流群
3. Tonight, at the opening of the US market, I will provide the most accurate ambush points internally based on the latest emotional details released from the New York DAS Summit Day 2.
See the trajectory of the institutions, and you will no longer be fuel.
#DAS2026 #Write2Earn $BTC

Currently, the ETH market is experiencing intense fluctuations near 2160. The early morning drop near 2125 and the SSL operation must have turned many bulls into fuel. This liquidation is only to clear obstacles for the upcoming directional choice.
1. Macroeconomic changes: #特朗普缓和局势
1 Latest update: Trump officially reversed his stance on the delay of the strike plan against Iran's energy facilities by 5 days. 阿苏合约交流群
The extreme panic of the previous 48 hours has temporarily eased, but the asymmetrical calming over these 5 days essentially creates a vacuum period for large institutions to retreat or adjust positions, and the risk has not been eliminated.
2. Energy suppression: Although the strike has been postponed, crude oil violently rebounded to around 104 this morning.
As long as this fire of oil prices does not go out, high inflation expectations will firmly lock in the rebound limit for bulls. It is unrealistic to expect a sharp V-shaped surge in such an environment. #阿苏实战
3. New York DAS Summit: Officially opening today, global whales are watching BlackRock's compliance stance on the staked version of the ETH ETF.
Before the benefits are officially realized, the current sideways movement is to repeatedly harvest those who are not confident with high leverage. $ETH
2. Technical structure: Loss-clearing logic under ICT theory
1 Liquidity liquidation: This morning, ETH precisely backtested the support at 2120-2130, completing the liquidation of bottom stop-loss positions, which proves that the support range I mentioned in the square yesterday is extremely effective.
2 Structural observation: The current 2160 is at the lower edge of a bearish OB on the 4H level. If it cannot stabilize above 2180 with volume today, the current rise is merely a distribution continuation.
3 Target warning: The FVG at the upper level of 2240 is still a strong magnetic attraction zone, but be careful of institutions using this gap for the final inducement to go long. #Write2Earn

【Morning Analysis: Accurate Prediction of SSL Loss】
The morning analysis post was still on the homepage at that time when ETH dropped below the psychological level of 2050 to 2026. Many people were panicking and bearish, but I clearly pointed out that this is a standard SSL clearing institution, which creates traps below 2050 to harvest your stop-loss orders to accumulate positions! 阿苏合约交流群
Just now, New York Fed Chair Williams released dovish signals, and the interest rate cut expectations instantly exploded.
The price directly surged violently by 6%, breaking through the high point shown in the chart.
#CZ称比特币是硬资产
A bullish candle not only filled the upper FVG but also caused retail investors with short positions around 2150 to collectively get liquidated, becoming fuel for the bulls to push through. 阿苏实盘策略群
The market has now shifted from bearish to bullish.
Support zone: 2120-2150
Target: If it stabilizes above 2200, the next high liquidity will be around 2300.
Asu's view: 阿苏合约跟单群
#特朗普48小时最后通牒
I only trade logic, not emotions.
The ambush battle at 2050 in the morning has perfectly concluded, and the fans who followed the trade have already pocketed profits.
This is the charm of ICT/SMC; once you see the trajectory of institutions, you are no longer fuel.

In the early market, ETH broke below the psychological level of 2050 and accurately retested 2026. Many people ask me if it's really over?
In SMC logic, this is just the initial harvesting of SSL.
Institutions used the panic selling below 2050 to buy some assets, but this kind of volume reduction rebound is very likely just to fill the upper FVG. 阿苏合约交流群
As seen in the red dashed line in my chart, the bearish structure at the 4-hour level is still suppressing.
Before the price engulfs the strong OB area of 2150-2180 with volume, any rebound is just a trap for the bulls. #特朗普考虑结束伊朗冲突
【Trading Strategy: Firmly defend the extreme area of 1985】
The OB block of 1985-2005 is where the institutions truly have a dense order area, and it's also the extreme risk-reward position I have always emphasized. #美联储3月议息会议
Danger zone: Do not chase orders near 2100, as it is all retail positions there.
阿苏合约策略群
I only trade logic, not emotions; instead of getting entangled here, it's better to ambush at 1985.
Do you think the 2000 level can hold this time? Tell me your thoughts in the comments, and I will randomly reply with a logical breakdown.

【Asu Evening Analysis】
Macroeconomic Information:
1. Countdown to Federal Reserve Decision: The interest rate decision will be announced at 02:00 Beijing time on March 19.
Currently in a news vacuum, market funds are withdrawing from high positions into a risk-averse wait-and-see mode.
2. Emotional Divergence: The fear index of 15 forms a sharp divergence with BTC's high point of 76,000.
This kind of volume-reduced upward movement followed by a pullback is usually accompanied by significant liquidation, aiming to clear the high-leverage long positions near 2,300.
3. Scarcity Game: After the 20 millionth BTC is mined, there is a gap appearing above 75,000, and the follow-up decline of ETH is part of a healthy liquidity retracement.
Technical Breakdown:
Structural Change: The 30-minute chart has confirmed a trend change. After the price touches 2,386, a double top forms, suppressing RSI's top divergence. It is currently looking for support on the way down. $ETH

As an experienced trader, let me share some old rules from the industry to remind the brothers still on the journey:
1. The cryptocurrency market is a battleground between the East and West, and real significant movements occur between 21:30 Beijing time and 7:30 the next morning. Prices tend to drop during the day and generally recover at night; when prices rise during the day, they often drop back at night.
2. Look for bottom buying during the day, and don’t chase highs impulsively. A significant drop during the day is often an opportunity, with foreign traders picking up the pieces at night; when there’s a big surge during the day, hold back a bit, as it’s likely to be sold off at night.
3. A spike is a signal; the deeper the spike, the more crucial the buying and selling point. Don’t ignore the “language” on the candlestick chart.
4. Good news is often used to offload positions. Before a major conference or significant news, there may be a rise, but once the news breaks, it’s usually followed by a sell-off. This script has been seen too many times.
5. Coins that are hotly discussed in communities should often be traded in the opposite direction. The more mystical the talk, the harsher the trap; conversely, coins that everyone overlooks can often soar unexpectedly.
6. When you are heavily invested, bankruptcy is not far away. Don’t ask why; you are already on the exchange’s radar.
7. Just when you close a losing position, it plummets; just when you are about to break even, it rebounds and stops suddenly. It’s not that you can’t do it; it’s that you got off too early or are too heavily invested.
8. When you take profits, it spikes; when you are excited, a drop is already brewing. Your emotions are the indicators that the market makers refer to.
9. When you are broke and see everything rising, it’s the FOMO trap. It’s not that you missed the opportunity; the market is baiting you.

In summary: 80% of market movements are manipulated; the core of trading is not intelligence, but rather "patience + discipline + waiting for signals".

Don’t be cannon fodder; be a hunter.

#币安Alpha上新 #GENIUS稳定币法案 #币安Alpha空投SOON吧