羡羡的加密日记

Please listen to my sincere words patiently, coin traders!

Whether you hold BTC tightly, love ETH, or are optimistic about BNB, please pause your busy trading and take a few minutes to feel my advice from the bottom of your heart.

When the halo of the coin circle allows you to achieve financial freedom, remember the following nine "don'ts", they may help you avoid many unnecessary twists and turns.

First, don't let people around you peek into the secrets of your coin trading. In this world, those who understand will naturally understand, no need to say more.

Second, don't easily expose your income. Income charts and asset charts are all triggers for jealousy and trouble, so it's better to keep a low profile.

Third, don't show off your rich life in the circle of friends. Except for close relatives, few people really hope that you live better than him. Excessive show-off will only attract unnecessary jealousy.

Fourth, when you have a huge fortune, you should also keep a proper distance from old friends. Many predecessors in the coin circle have chosen to live a low-key life after gaining financial freedom, and even gradually drifted away from their past friends.

Fifth, gambling and drugs, don't touch these two things! Gambling will ruin your psychology, and drugs will ruin your physiology. Once you are infected, the consequences will be disastrous.

Sixth, don't easily call people stupid B, harmony is the most important, and getting angry will only affect your fortune. When you meet those who consume you, just stay away from them, no need to say more.

Seventh, don't take the initiative to do good, and don't pity others easily. Everyone has his own destiny, and being yourself is the greatest contribution to the world.

Eighth, don't invest in areas you don't understand. Remember, people can never make money beyond their own cognition, and blind investment will only make you lose all your money.

Ninth, resolutely don't touch physical entrepreneurship unless you are passionate about it and don't make money as the only purpose. In the current economic environment, physical entrepreneurship is extremely risky, and if you are not careful, you may be unable to recover.

These are advices, but I sincerely hope you can listen to them. Although the currency circle is good, you must also act with caution. I hope you will be more stable and go further and further on the road of currency speculation.

Which are the best altcoins?
Deflation coins:
BNB, FLOKI, SHIB
Fully circulated coins:
PEPE, BOME, PEOPLE, NOT, WIF

$D
Now the increase ranks first, this coin always loves to deceive people into getting on board. I looked at the K-line; every time there is a surge, it is a trap, and then it crashes back down. I am preparing to place a short order near 0.008U and wait for it to be executed.

$SIREN I mentioned last Saturday that shorting around 1.7 was possible. Although there was a surge today, it didn't break 2 yuan. The daily chart has formed a triple top, and it's highly likely that it will drop before Friday.

$BTC
After the turbulence is over, it dropped down again, breaking below 65000 and then quickly recovering, indicating that the buying pressure is very stable, which can be considered a stop-loss signal. There is a high chance of a short-term rebound.

65000 is the key support level for this drop. If it doesn't truly break through, there is a high probability that there will be a rebound first. I plan to wait around 65500–66000 for a second retest to enter long positions.

FORTH: Today it suddenly surged, short-term increasing over 58%, and the trading volume directly multiplied by more than 9 times. The price rebounded from the support level of 0.35, and there is a clear breakout signal in the trend. This coin has low liquidity, and a small amount of capital can lead to significant fluctuations, most likely the main force is accumulating or sweeping liquidity. Operation suggestion: Wait for a pullback to around 0.45 before entering, with a stop loss set 2%-3% below the entry price.

$ONT The reasons for the sudden surge are as follows:

On the 24th and 25th, ONT directly rose by 50% to 80%, with trading volume increasing more than three times.
The main points are:

Korean funds are driving the market, with over 40% of the trading volume coming from Korean exchanges, and retail investors are buying in droves.
The concept of digital identity has become popular, as the European Union plans to launch digital identity wallets for 450 million people by the end of 2026, which is a positive for ONT's DID business.
There was a long period of consolidation, and this time the volume broke through, forcing shorts to cover and boosting bullish sentiment.

However, it is important to note that the market sentiment is currently too euphoric, and many people are taking profits and exiting, leading to a significant risk of a pullback ahead.

$SIREN This coin has moved too aggressively, first harvesting both long and short positions, and then rising directly from 0.713 to 1.62 in a day, an increase of nearly 56%.

The total contract trading volume is around seven to eight billion, while the spot market is one or two billion, indicating very high activity. The power of longs and shorts is roughly equal, slightly leaning towards the bulls. The funding rate is negative, meaning longs have to pay fees, and there is a risk of short-term pullback.
This coin is too volatile; do not blindly chase high prices, just patiently wait for opportunities to short at high levels.

$BTC The monthly line has already fallen for six consecutive months, the last time it fell like this was in 2018. Historically, there has never been a market that only falls without rising; there is a high probability of a rebound from April to June, and it is advisable to buy in batches around 66000, as the opportunity now is greater than the risk.
$ENA , $DOGE , XPL, BNB are all currently at the bottom, suitable for entry.

Binance has recently delisted a batch of cryptocurrencies: A2Z, FORTH, IDEX, LRC, NTRN, RDNT, SXP, HOOK.

The current market is increasingly resembling the time when the ICO bubble burst in 2018, except this time it is the Meme coins that are starting to retreat.
Looking back at the wave of ICO projects in 2017, very few have survived to the present, and those with actual value are even rarer. Over 99% of the projects left from the bull markets of 2017 and 2020 have ultimately gone to zero.
History is repeating itself, and the market is likely heading into a bear market that could last for two years, with the vast majority of projects ultimately being eliminated, leaving Bitcoin to laugh last.

Overseas-themed meme Shiba Inu, I only focus on the SOL chain, primarily waiting for the second wave of the market. Today's core target is Trump pixel avatar $PIXEL
, this type of international narrative variety, the SOL chain version is the leader. Usually, the market value ratio between BSC and SOL is about 1:10, and both sides' trends are basically synchronized.

Overseas projects tend to go live at dawn, making it difficult to catch the first wave, waiting for the second opportunity of SOL. Overseas projects generally have ecological advancement, while BSC is mostly just riding the hype for mutual liquidation. After two rounds of the market, there will be a reshuffle, and after the washing is completed, the rebound probability of the SOL chain is higher.

$M can't hold on for too long. The main force is currently focused on the market data, watching the number of short positions above. If there are a lot of short positions clustered together, it may first push the market up to force a short squeeze. The current market is weak, and it is highly likely still waiting for the right opportunity. The key is to watch the funding rate: once it turns negative, it may rise; if it continues to be positive, it will slowly decline and crash. I will announce when the crash begins.

$TAO What new developments have there been recently? Previously, many people chose the wrong entry point to go short and were directly liquidated. Now the funding rate is not that low anymore, and going short near 343 is still a good value. From the trend, the chances of a decline are obviously greater; as long as the main force does not intentionally push up the price, this wave of correction is basically inevitable.

#Titan The market has been stable for a week but still couldn't hold on, directly breaking down. The main players simply can't afford to waste time in this kind of market. The second phase of the BSC chain is incredibly difficult right now. This year, one can only make some quick profits on BSC by entering and exiting quickly; anyone who tries to hold on for longer usually ends up being trapped.
$SIGN As soon as the good news was released, the market was smashed down, which is really unappealing. The most important thing in a bear market is to protect the principal first, and then focus on survival.

$BTC rushed to the neckline position and was pressed down, with significant selling pressure above. As long as it does not break the low point of the right shoulder, there is a possibility of another rebound. Wait for a pullback to the 69500-70000 range to enter long positions.

$ETH now also has the meaning of a rebound, having formed a head and shoulders bottom pattern, and a bullish rectangle has been established on a smaller timeframe, with the right shoulder already formed. As long as it does not break below 2100, this pattern remains valid, and a rebound is likely to touch the previous high.

If the short-term is a bit weak, it may pull back near 2130 before rising again; if it is strong, it will go up directly. I plan to gradually go long between 2130 and 2100, first looking for a rebound.

$BTC Latest Thinking: The price fell after hitting a resistance level, dropping to a low of 69000, then pulled back, forming a head and shoulders bottom pattern. The minor pullback also confirmed the low point of the right shoulder, and short positions are not being considered for now.

The focus is on the neckline resistance at 71500-72000 above. Once broken, the pattern will be confirmed, and the rebound is likely to approach the previous high. Both the 1-hour and 4-hour levels have shown a head and shoulders bottom, indicating a high probability of a short-term rebound. The plan is to gradually accumulate long positions in the range of 70000-69000, first looking for a wave of rebound.

$SIGN The price hasn't changed all night, just keep holding on.

$A2Z Suddenly surged before delisting, but there have actually been signs for a long time. Its contract positions are close to ten million, and in the past few days, there have been violent fluctuations back and forth, clearly indicating that the main force is quietly laying out long positions at low levels.

Before delisting, a direct violent rise to squeeze shorts, doubling the price can blow up all short positions, and a series of liquidations will further push up the coin price. By the time of the delisting, the main force stabilizes the price at a high level, allowing the previously low long positions to exit smoothly, without worrying about no one taking over. This is basically the real reason for its sudden doubling.

$SIGN The trend is quite stable. It had been fluctuating for a long time before, and most of the low-position chips have been collected. The positions are highly concentrated, and the main force's control is very obvious. It has been rising for quite a while without much decline, and the selling pressure is not large. The possibility of a short-term crash is very small.

The daily line is forming an ascending wedge, and it is currently retracing in the short term, soon reaching the support level below. It is recommended to go long around 0.052, to add positions around 0.05, and to strictly stop loss if it falls below 0.048-0.049. The upper target looks at above 0.07, worth betting on a rebound.