#美国“无王”抗议 $DOGE The Federal Reserve's high interest rate environment has led to a low risk appetite for cryptocurrencies. DOGE is a highly elastic speculative asset, often experiencing larger declines than BTC/ETH when the market weakens. Without significant positive catalysts, sentiment remains cold.
Technical Analysis:
The daily moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, indicating clear weakness. The RSI is close to oversold but shows no reversal signals. Trading volume continues to shrink, and rebounds lack volume. The price is oscillating within a descending channel, with highs and lows both moving downward.
Trading Suggestions (Follow me for timely updates)
Short positions near 0.095 with a stop loss above 0.097 and a take profit at 0.091 - 0.089 Long positions near 0.089 with a stop loss at 0.087 and a take profit at 0.093 - 0.094 (The above trading suggestions are for reference only; investing carries risks, and caution is advised when entering the market)
#特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 $SOL The Federal Reserve's high interest rates have led to a global decline in risk appetite, causing the cryptocurrency market to weaken overall. BNB is highly correlated with BTC/ETH, and the weak performance of the market is creating a drag. Global cryptocurrency regulations are tightening, and Binance's compliance risks continue to suppress market confidence. The quarterly burn + BEP-95 real-time dual-track burn drove the 34th burn at the beginning of March, worth $1.28 billion, enhancing long-term scarcity. Without strong incremental funds like ETFs, the market primarily engages in stock game.
Technical Analysis:
The daily moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, with prices below the moving averages, indicating a clear weakness. The RSI is close to oversold, indicating a demand for a rebound but no reversal signals. Highs and lows are moving downwards, fluctuating within a downtrend channel.
Trading Suggestions (Follow me for timely updates)
Short with light positions around 88, stop loss above 90, take profit at 83 - 80
Long with light positions around 80, stop loss below 78.5, take profit at 85 - 86
(Above trading suggestions are for reference only; investment carries risks, and caution is advised when entering the market)
$BNB The Federal Reserve's high interest rates have led to a global decline in risk appetite, causing the crypto market to weaken overall. BNB is highly correlated with BTC/ETH, and the weak market has formed a drag. Global crypto regulations are tightening, and Binance's compliance risks continue to suppress market confidence. The quarterly burn + BEP-95 real-time burn dual-track approach drove the 34th burn in early March, worth $1.28 billion, enhancing long-term scarcity. Without strong incremental funds like ETFs, the market mainly revolves around existing stock games.
Technical Analysis:
The daily moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, with prices below all short to medium-term moving averages, indicating a clear weakness. RSI (14): 49.3, in the neutral zone, no obvious overbought or oversold conditions. Continuously declining, it is in a standard downtrend channel with high points constantly moving downwards.
Trading Suggestions (Follow me for timely updates)
Short with light positions near 625, stop loss above 630, take profit at 610-600 Long with light positions near 600, stop loss below 595, take profit at 615-620 (The above trading suggestions are for reference only; investment carries risks, and caution is advised when entering the market)#摩根士丹利比特币现货ETF #特朗普再挺比特币
#摩根士丹利比特币现货ETF #特朗普再挺比特币 $ETH The high interest rate environment of the Federal Reserve continues to suppress global risk assets, with funds flowing into safe-haven assets. The tensions in the Middle East have intensified, and market risk aversion has risen. ETH is highly correlated with US tech stocks, and the weakness in tech stocks has created a drag. ETFs continue to see outflows, with the US spot ETH ETF having seen a net outflow for six consecutive days since March 18, totaling $298 million, indicating a clear withdrawal of institutional funds.
Technical Analysis:
The daily moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, with MACD below the zero line, indicating a clear weakness. The 4-hour price is under pressure from short-term moving averages, and the rebound lacks strength; RSI is neutral to weak. Highs and lows are moving downwards, forming a standard downtrend channel.
Trading Suggestions (Follow me for timely updates)
1. High Short Strategy (Main idea, conservative)
Short near 2050 with light positions, stop loss above 2080, take profit at 1980 - 1910
Buy near 1910 when stabilizing, stop loss below 1890, take profit at 1980 - 2000
(The above trading suggestions are for reference only; investment carries risks, and one should be cautious when entering the market)
#全球市场波动 #特朗普再挺比特币 #BTC行情 #美国加密法案再次遇阻 #美伊和谈陷僵局 $BTC The Federal Reserve's high interest rates remain at 3.50%~3.75%, with the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield high, causing funds to withdraw from risk assets. The situation in the Middle East is tense, oil prices are above 105, strengthening inflation expectations, and delaying interest rate cuts (the first expected cut has been pushed to September). U.S. tech stocks are highly correlated, and weakness in tech stocks is dragging down BTC. ETF support: BlackRock and other spot ETFs provide rigid buying pressure to prevent a crash. Recent ETF net inflows have slowed or slightly flowed out, and institutional sentiment is cautious. BTC continues to flow out of exchanges, with long-term holders increasing their holdings; the fear index is in extreme fear (historically low levels often correspond to market bottoms). The short-term outlook is bearish (macro pressure), while the long-term outlook is bullish, with today's focus on existing stock games and weak fluctuations.
Technical analysis:
The daily moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, MACD is below the 0 axis, indicating weakness. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands are narrowing, indicating a volatile pattern; RSI is at 48 (neutral), with no obvious bullish or bearish signals. High retracement and lower lows indicate a bearish structure.
Operational suggestions (follow me for timely updates):
1. High short strategy (main idea, stable)
Short lightly around 67800, stop loss above 68200, take profit at 66000 - 65800
Lightly go long near 65800 upon first touch, stop loss below 65000, take profit at 66800 - 67200
(The above operational suggestions are for reference only; there are risks in investment, and caution is needed when entering the market)
$DOGE Weak market fluctuations, weak rebounds, following the general market decline, serious liquidation of long positions in contract funds, divergence in long and short ratios, highly correlated with BTC (correlation coefficient 0.94). The general market is weak, no positive news from Musk, DOGE ETF fund inflows are bleak, expectations for X payment (April) remain, support at the 0.09 level.
Technical Analysis: Daily moving averages are bearish, long-term downtrend channel, 4-hour chart has broken short-term support, with bears dominating.
Today's trading suggestions (follow me for timely updates)
Short lightly near 0.095, stop loss at 0.098, take profit at 0.091 (reduce position) exit between 0.089 - 0.087.
Long lightly near 0.088, stop loss: 0.086 take profit at 0.093-0.094. (The above trading suggestions are for reference only, investment carries risks, and one should be cautious when entering the market.) #特朗普称对伊战争已胜利 #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 #美国加密法案再次遇阻 #美伊和谈陷僵局 #美国暂缓攻击伊朗发电站
$SOL Weak position breaking, following the market decline, overall market, cryptocurrency market declines, BTC loses the 70,000 mark, macro pressure (strong dollar, expectations of interest rate cuts cooling) SOL itself is stable in ecology, on-chain activity, but lacks new positive drivers, institutional funds on the sidelines, selling pressure greater than buying pressure
Technical outlook:
Breaking position, insufficient confidence in bulls, bearish arrangement, increased volume, obvious selling pressure, weak rebound, relatively strong compared to BTC/ETH, but difficult to strengthen independently, Fear and Greed Index: Extreme Fear.
Today's trading suggestions (follow me for timely updates)
Light short position near 90, stop loss: 93.5, take profit 85 (reduce position) 80.
Light long position near 80, stop loss: 77.8 take profit 86-88.
(Above trading suggestions are for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market.) #特朗普称对伊战争已胜利 #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 #美国加密法案再次遇阻
$BNB Weak bearish fluctuations, following the overall market decline, the overall crypto market weakens, BTC falls below the 70,000 mark, macro pressures (strengthening dollar, easing interest rate expectations) BNB itself is stable within the Binance ecosystem, but lacks obvious positive drivers, quarterly burn has been implemented, positive factors have been exhausted. Funding preferences are for BTC/ETH, altcoins and platform tokens are relatively weak.
Technical analysis:
Bearish fluctuations, mainly high rejections on rebounds; low longs are limited to oversold conditions, light positions should exit quickly, short-term is at the bottom of the 620–640 range, on the 4-hour level: moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, MACD shows a dead cross, volume has shrunk, rebounds are weak, bullish sentiment is low, relatively resistant to declines compared to BTC/ETH, but difficult to strengthen independently.
Today's operation suggestions (follow me for timely updates)
Light short near 640, stop loss at 646, take profit at 623 (reduce position) 600.
Light long near 610, stop loss: below 600, take profit at 625-630.
#特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 $ETH Weak downward trend, following BTC weakness, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations cool down, the US dollar strengthens, geopolitical and commodity fluctuations, funds flowing out of risk assets, ETH ETF inflows slow down, funds remain cautious, whales offloading, exchange balances slightly increase, on-chain activity is average, Gas fees are low.
Technical Analysis:
Bearish consolidation, mainly shorting on rebounds; limited long positions only for oversold conditions, breaking below the 2100 key level, 4-hour bearish arrangement, MACD death cross, significant volume decline, clear liquidation of contracts, long positions being trampled.
Operational Suggestions: (Follow me for timely updates)
Short with light positions near 2130, stop loss at 2210, take profit at 2050 (reduce position) 2000.
Initially, touch 2000 with light positions to go long, stop loss at 1960, take profit at 2080 -2100
(The above operational suggestions are for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is advised when entering the market.)
#特朗普缓和局势 #币安人生 #国际油价下跌 #CZ称比特币是硬资产 #美国暂缓攻击伊朗发电站 $BTC BTC market weakens and falls below the psychological barrier of 70000. Expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts are cooling, while expectations for rate hikes are rising. The dollar strengthens, oil prices remain high, suppressing risk assets. Bhutan continues to sell off, large transfers by whales are increasing, and chip turnover is intense. ETFs still see net inflows, but it's not enough to reverse the short-term bearish trend.
Technical Analysis:
Continuous bearish candlesticks on the 4-hour chart, MACD death cross, bearish volume increasing, breaking through multiple key moving averages (7/30/120-day moving averages)
Today's operation suggestions (follow me for timely updates)
Short near 70500 with light position, stop loss at 71500, take profit at 68000 (reduce position) 67000-66500
Long near 66800 with light position, stop loss below 66000, take profit at 68500-69500 (The above operation suggestions are for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market.)
$SOL 4 Mainnet upgrade (Alpenglow), significant performance improvement, stable on-chain activity, increased institutional holdings, BTC stabilization driving public chain rebound, ecological application data is weak, bullish confidence is insufficient, the overall market is weak, heavy selling pressure above.
Technical Analysis:
4-hour price is above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, slightly bullish. Daily RSI 53 (neutral), MACD weak bullish, oscillating slightly bullish, bullish only after a breakout.
Operating Suggestions (follow me for timely updates)
Lightly long near 90, stop loss below 87 (strict) 93
Breakout
Volume breakout 93 (4h closing price stabilizes) pullback to near 91, lightly long, stop loss below 89, take profit at 98 - 100
First touch at 93, lightly short, stop loss above 96, take profit at 90 - 88 (The above operating suggestions are for reference only, investment carries risks, proceed with caution.)#特朗普缓和局势 #币安人生 #CZ称比特币是硬资产 #黄金创43年来最大单周跌幅 #特朗普48小时最后通牒
$ETH First of all, congratulations to my friends who followed me yesterday, you have made good profits, follow me for unexpected gains. The situation between the U.S. and Iran has eased, risk assets have rebounded, and institutions have increased their holdings (with a daily increase of more than 65,000 units) of ETH ETF net inflow, Layer2 ecosystem is active, TVL has rebounded, the Federal Reserve's high interest rates are suppressing risk assets, and there is significant selling pressure above due to previous losses.
Technical Analysis:
The 4-hour Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and the price is fluctuating strongly near the middle band. The daily line is stable above the short-term moving average, and the RSI is at 55 indicating bullish dominance, but momentum is average. Overall, the large range is fluctuating between 2000 - 2400, with a short-term bias towards bullish.
Today's Operating Strategy (follow me for timely updates)
Long position near 2115 with light volume, stop loss below 2080, take profit at 2180-2200.
First touch near 2200, open a light short position, stop loss above 2230, take profit at 2120-2100.
Follow up on breakouts
If it breaks 2200 with volume and retraces to 2180, follow up with long positions, aiming for 2250.
If it breaks below 2100 and rebounds to 2130, try a light short position, aiming for around 2050 - 2030.
$BTC First of all, congratulations to my friend who followed me yesterday, there are good returns, follow me and you will have unexpected gains. The geopolitical tension between the US and Iran has eased, risk appetite has rebounded, and US regulation clarifies that BTC is a commodity. Continuous net inflow into ETFs, institutions (like Bernstein) believe it has 'bottomed out' and are optimistic about year-end targets. The Federal Reserve maintains high interest rates, and the attractiveness of the US dollar and US debt is strong, while regulation on stablecoins is negative, leading to a weak sentiment.
Technical analysis:
Daily chart shows a long lower shadow, MACD green bars narrowing, RSI rebounding indicates weakening bearishness, there is a demand for a rebound and repair. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with prices oscillating around the middle band, direction unclear, and short-term rebound highs gradually decreasing indicating insufficient bullish momentum.
Today's operational strategy (follow me for timely updates)
Lightly go long near 69800, stop loss below 69000, take profit at 71500–71800
Short near 72000 if encountering resistance, stop loss above 73000, take profit at 70500–70000
Breakout operations
Break above 72,000 with volume, pull back near 71500 to take profit on short positions and follow up with long positions, take profit at 73500–74000
If it breaks below 69000, rebound near 69800, stop loss on long positions and try short, take profit at 68500
$TAO TAO volume breakout, strong bulls, new highs, trading volume and capital heat extremely high, core drivers, AI narrative + institutional attention + dTAO ecological explosion, overbought correction, short-term large increase, profit-taking pressure strong, linked risks BTC/ETH plunge easily drags down high-position coins. Leverage volatility, contract OI high, easy to spike, large slippage.
Technical aspect:
Short-term 1 hour 4 hour RSI 72 overbought, MACD bullish, strong but with correction demand, daily line volume breakout all moving averages, trend very strong, bulls dominate, overbought can easily fluctuate, do not chase high.
Three, today's operation (operation recommendations follow me for timely updates)
Stabilize around 315 to go long, stop loss below 308, take profit at 330 - 335
Encounter resistance near 340, lightly short, stop loss above 345, take profit at 325 - 320
$SAHARA SAHARA's fluctuation weakens and volume decreases, unlocking negative news, 3.26 unlocks, tomorrow it may drop significantly, linkage with BTC/ETH is weak, the AI sector is retreating, liquidity market cap is small, easily manipulated, and slippage is large. Pay attention to tomorrow's unlocking of about 72.4 million pieces, with selling pressure expectations.
Technical analysis:
Short-term 1-hour RSI 42 is bearish, MACD is bearish, weak fluctuation, daily moving averages are bearish, volume is shrinking, rebound lacks strength, short-term is bearish, under pressure from unlocking expectations.
Today's operations (for operation suggestions, follow me for timely updates.)
Short at around 0.0272 where resistance is met, stop loss above 0.0275, take profit at 0.0257-0.0259
Stabilize near 0.0257 and take a light long position, stop loss below 0.0250, take profit at 0.0265-0.0268 (The above operation suggestions are for reference only, investment carries risks, proceed with caution.)
$DOGE narrow range fluctuations, slight rebound, stabilization at low levels, linked to BTC, primarily fluctuating, Meme coin hotspots fading, capital on the sidelines. Technical aspects:
Today's operations (for specific operational advice, follow me, and I will timely update operational dynamics during the market)
0.093 near stabilization to go long, stop loss below 0.091, take profit 0.0955 -0.096 0.10 near resistance to lightly short, stop loss above 0.103, take profit 0.095 -0.093 (The above operational advice is for reference only, investment carries risks, and entering the market requires caution.)
RSI 55 neutral, MACD bullish, strong fluctuations, daily bearish trend, moving average pressure, not reversed, short-term fluctuations and rebounds, medium-term weaker.
Today's operation: (For specific operation suggestions, follow me, and I will provide operational advice during the market)
Buy near 629, stop loss below 620, take profit near 640-645
Near 650, if there is resistance, lightly short, stop loss above 660, take profit near 635-630. (The above operational suggestions are for reference only, investment has risks, and entering the market requires caution.)#特朗普缓和局势 #CZ称比特币是硬资产 #特朗普48小时最后通牒 #黄金创43年来最大单周跌幅 #特朗普考虑结束伊朗冲突
$ETH ETH narrow fluctuations, slight rebound, long and short struggle, the dollar is relatively strong, and the expectation of interest rate cuts weakly suppresses ETH, with capital observing and trading volume shrinking as the main trend.
Technical aspect: RSI 55 neutral, MACD bullish volume contraction, fluctuations slightly strong, the daily line is still in a bearish trend, moving average suppression, not reversed, short-term fluctuations rebound, medium-term slightly weak.
Today's operation strategy: (For specific operation suggestions, please follow me, there will be timely reminders during the session)
2110-2130 go long, stop loss below 2080, take profit around 2180-2200
Lightly short near 2200, stop loss above 2250, take profit around 2130-2110. (The above operation suggestions are for reference only, investment carries risks, and one should be cautious when entering the market.)#特朗普缓和局势 #CZ称比特币是硬资产
$BTC BTC fell to 69000 in the early morning and quickly rebounded, returning above 70000. Personally, I lean towards a range-bound market during the day. The expectation for Fed interest rate cuts is weak, and the dollar is relatively strong, which suppresses the decline in BTC exchange reserves, with institutions accumulating. RSI is neutral to strong, MACD bullish momentum is rebounding, the short-term is slightly weak, and on the daily level, it is still in a bearish trend with moving average pressure, without reversing the range-bound fluctuations of the short-term rebound. The medium-term remains weak. (Specific operational suggestions, follow me for timely reminders during the day).
2. Key Technical Judgments
Support level for long positions reference: Consider going long near 69500, with a stop loss around 68500 and take profit at 71000-71500.
Resistance level for short positions reference: Short near 71800 upon first touch, with a stop loss around 72800 and take profit near 70000.
The above views are for reference only; investment involves risks, and market entry should be cautious. $BTC #特朗普缓和局势 #美国暂缓攻击伊朗发电站