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k先趋势刘

老刘在币圈交易十几年,主玩现货合约,目前胜率在百分之八十,每天广场会更新主流币趋势,分析行情,SafeW:Ad132 公众:趋势刘翔 扣971992181
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$DOGE Market panic spreads, yet Dogecoin develops an independent trend! 24-hour increase +1.3%, current price approximately $0.091, performing brightly among mainstream coins. Quickly rebounded from the low of $0.089, with clear short-term stabilization signals, bottom-fishing funds are becoming active. As the leader of MEME coins, every fluctuation of DOGE affects the market nerves, can this rebound continue? #BTC行情 #Tether审计 #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 Pay attention to key support at $0.089, resistance at $0.095, engage with light positions, and do not chase highs!
$DOGE Market panic spreads, yet Dogecoin develops an independent trend!
24-hour increase +1.3%, current price approximately $0.091, performing brightly among mainstream coins.
Quickly rebounded from the low of $0.089, with clear short-term stabilization signals, bottom-fishing funds are becoming active.
As the leader of MEME coins, every fluctuation of DOGE affects the market nerves, can this rebound continue? #BTC行情 #Tether审计 #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争
Pay attention to key support at $0.089, resistance at $0.095, engage with light positions, and do not chase highs!
$BTC The structure of the big pie has already deteriorated, and the structure of the US stock market has also broken down. The balance has been disrupted, and the upward attack has failed. Once the structure is broken, a new structure needs to be formed to seek a new balance. Currently, the risks brought by the US stock market are considerable. $BNB It’s the end of the month, and the monthly line needs to be settled. At this time, the structure of the US stock market is deteriorating, and it is very likely that there will be a continued significant drop, and the big pie and Ethereum will probably also follow downwards to seek a bottom. $ETH #美伊和谈陷僵局 #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 #特朗普称对伊战争已胜利
$BTC The structure of the big pie has already deteriorated, and the structure of the US stock market has also broken down. The balance has been disrupted, and the upward attack has failed. Once the structure is broken, a new structure needs to be formed to seek a new balance. Currently, the risks brought by the US stock market are considerable. $BNB
It’s the end of the month, and the monthly line needs to be settled. At this time, the structure of the US stock market is deteriorating, and it is very likely that there will be a continued significant drop, and the big pie and Ethereum will probably also follow downwards to seek a bottom. $ETH #美伊和谈陷僵局 #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 #特朗普称对伊战争已胜利
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$ETH {future}(ETHUSDT) 开盘2,069.48,全天走弱,午后加速下探 ​成交量:3.94亿,下跌放量,抛压明显 ​与比特币同步走弱,整体加密市场情绪偏空 技术面(偏空) 日线:跌破2100关键支撑,均线空头排列,MACD死叉,布林带下轨开口 ​4小时:破位收敛三角,沿下轨下行,无明显止跌信号 ​关键位 ​压力:2,050–2,100 ​支撑:1,960–1,980(第一支撑);1,900–$1,850(强支撑) 今日走势判断 短期趋势:下行延续,偏空 ​反弹至$2,050–$2,100遇阻概率大 ​下探$1,960–$1,980支撑,若失守看向$1,900 ​操作建议:观望为主,不追空;企稳前不抄底;反弹承压可轻仓试空,严格止损#美伊和谈陷僵局 #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 #Tether审计
$ETH

开盘2,069.48,全天走弱,午后加速下探
​成交量:3.94亿,下跌放量,抛压明显
​与比特币同步走弱,整体加密市场情绪偏空
技术面(偏空)
日线:跌破2100关键支撑,均线空头排列,MACD死叉,布林带下轨开口
​4小时:破位收敛三角,沿下轨下行,无明显止跌信号
​关键位
​压力:2,050–2,100
​支撑:1,960–1,980(第一支撑);1,900–$1,850(强支撑)
今日走势判断
短期趋势:下行延续,偏空
​反弹至$2,050–$2,100遇阻概率大
​下探$1,960–$1,980支撑,若失守看向$1,900
​操作建议:观望为主,不追空;企稳前不抄底;反弹承压可轻仓试空,严格止损#美伊和谈陷僵局 #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 #Tether审计
There’s a friend who was previously the standard 'crypto market retail investor.'$ETH At the end of last year (the Year of the Snake), he was in a terrible situation. What “hundred times potential small coins,” “the next Dogecoin,” he chased one and got stuck with another, buying more as it fell, and finally ran out of bullets, watching his account shrink from over 50,000 to just a fraction. He didn’t even have a good new year, and in our small group, he was crying every day. After the new year, this year (the Year of the Horse), there was one time when he really had no way out and came to me to complain. I knew he was impatient, so I didn’t explain any complicated principles to him, just pointed out three points: $BNB Stop always thinking about getting rich quick to recover losses; let’s learn to avoid losing first.” I advised him to convert the remaining small amount of money entirely into Bitcoin and Ethereum, and not to touch anything else. Think of this money as tuition, learning the mindset with mainstream coins, feeling the market fluctuations, which is better than being repeatedly harvested on those messy altcoins.

There’s a friend who was previously the standard 'crypto market retail investor.'

$ETH At the end of last year (the Year of the Snake), he was in a terrible situation. What “hundred times potential small coins,” “the next Dogecoin,” he chased one and got stuck with another, buying more as it fell, and finally ran out of bullets, watching his account shrink from over 50,000 to just a fraction. He didn’t even have a good new year, and in our small group, he was crying every day.

After the new year, this year (the Year of the Horse), there was one time when he really had no way out and came to me to complain. I knew he was impatient, so I didn’t explain any complicated principles to him, just pointed out three points:

$BNB Stop always thinking about getting rich quick to recover losses; let’s learn to avoid losing first.” I advised him to convert the remaining small amount of money entirely into Bitcoin and Ethereum, and not to touch anything else. Think of this money as tuition, learning the mindset with mainstream coins, feeling the market fluctuations, which is better than being repeatedly harvested on those messy altcoins.
$ETH In the afternoon, the pancake is likely to be a "weak rebound + volatility before delivery": this morning just experienced a wave of downward movement, and in the afternoon, it needs to digest the impact of the options delivery (16:00). The probability of a direct V-shaped reversal is extremely low. After the morning's lowest dip to 68100 - 68300, there will be a technical repair in the first half of the afternoon, attempting to rebound towards 69000 - 69500. However, this is mainly short covering, not a reversal signal. Before and after (delivery window): Today is the quarterly options delivery day, with approximately 13.6 billion US dollars of contracts expiring, and the maximum pain point is at 75,000 (far above the current price). Market makers' hedging operations usually lead to prices fluctuating repeatedly within the range of $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT) 68500 - 69200, the volatility will temporarily amplify, but it is difficult to change the weak trend. If the rebound cannot even reclaim 69,500, it is highly likely to fall back again to retest the support strength of 68,000. Upper resistance: 69,500 (1-hour Bollinger middle track/weak pressure) 70,000 (psychological barrier, strong pressure). Lower death line: 68,000. If it breaks down here with increased volume, it will head straight for the 67,500 - 67,800 area #国际油价下跌 #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 #特朗普称对伊战争已胜利
$ETH In the afternoon, the pancake is likely to be a "weak rebound + volatility before delivery": this morning just experienced a wave of downward movement, and in the afternoon, it needs to digest the impact of the options delivery (16:00). The probability of a direct V-shaped reversal is extremely low.

After the morning's lowest dip to 68100 - 68300, there will be a technical repair in the first half of the afternoon, attempting to rebound towards 69000 - 69500. However, this is mainly short covering, not a reversal signal.

Before and after (delivery window): Today is the quarterly options delivery day, with approximately 13.6 billion US dollars of contracts expiring, and the maximum pain point is at 75,000 (far above the current price). Market makers' hedging operations usually lead to prices fluctuating repeatedly within the range of $BTC
68500 - 69200, the volatility will temporarily amplify, but it is difficult to change the weak trend.

If the rebound cannot even reclaim 69,500, it is highly likely to fall back again to retest the support strength of 68,000.

Upper resistance: 69,500 (1-hour Bollinger middle track/weak pressure) 70,000 (psychological barrier, strong pressure).

Lower death line: 68,000. If it breaks down here with increased volume, it will head straight for the 67,500 - 67,800 area #国际油价下跌 #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 #特朗普称对伊战争已胜利
$BTC Can we eat meat today? Opportunities to eat meat are always available. 2070 is a turning point. Yesterday it dropped to around 2030, then rebounded to 2070, and has been fluctuating since. The uncertain trend is still mainly one of observation; it's better to wait until the trend becomes clear before taking action. Lao Liu will not announce any points here today. If you want to get started quickly, you need someone to guide you. $BNB Welcome to communicate! Main focus on Bitcoin, secondary on altcoins. Professional technician with over 10 years of experience! $ETH #美国加密法案再次遇阻 #美伊和谈陷僵局 #特朗普缓和局势
$BTC Can we eat meat today?
Opportunities to eat meat are always available. 2070 is a turning point. Yesterday it dropped to around 2030, then rebounded to 2070, and has been fluctuating since. The uncertain trend is still mainly one of observation; it's better to wait until the trend becomes clear before taking action. Lao Liu will not announce any points here today.
If you want to get started quickly, you need someone to guide you.
$BNB Welcome to communicate! Main focus on Bitcoin, secondary on altcoins.
Professional technician with over 10 years of experience! $ETH #美国加密法案再次遇阻 #美伊和谈陷僵局 #特朗普缓和局势
$ETH Ethereum has fallen below the 2000 mark In the past two days, Ethereum has been continuously declining. Looking at the fifteen-minute chart, it is already below the Bollinger Bands, with 2050 as a support $BNB From the one-hour perspective, it is still at the middle track and will continue to retrace On the daily chart, it is also at the middle-lower track of the Bollinger Bands, and the trend is still downward. It depends on whether the fifteen-minute line can stabilize at 2050. If the market situation is uncertain, it is better to watch more and act less $BTC #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 #美国加密法案再次遇阻 #美伊和谈陷僵局
$ETH Ethereum has fallen below the 2000 mark
In the past two days, Ethereum has been continuously declining. Looking at the fifteen-minute chart, it is already below the Bollinger Bands, with 2050 as a support $BNB
From the one-hour perspective, it is still at the middle track and will continue to retrace
On the daily chart, it is also at the middle-lower track of the Bollinger Bands, and the trend is still downward. It depends on whether the fifteen-minute line can stabilize at 2050. If the market situation is uncertain, it is better to watch more and act less $BTC #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 #美国加密法案再次遇阻 #美伊和谈陷僵局
$BTC This continuous decline is unsettling, with all moving averages diverging downwards, indicating that the bears have completely taken control of the market. The recent large bearish candle with high volume has directly broken the structure; this is not a normal pullback but an accelerated sell-off combined with panic selling. Overall, ETH has been oscillating around 2000 recently, unable to break through or stabilize at the pressure zone of 2200. $BNB At this position, we must keep a close eye on three points. First, the stop-loss near 2070 is just a short-term technical rebound, definitely not a reversal. Although the K-line has shown a slight rebound, the volume is clearly insufficient, and the MACD is still in a death cross pointing downwards. This type of rebound is highly likely just an opportunity for you to escape. $USDC Second, the lower structure has already broken, meaning the bull defense line has been breached. If the next rebound cannot surpass the 2100 area, it basically confirms a continued oscillation downwards, and a second bottom may even occur. Third, the sentiment is currently weak, the market is still digesting the previous decline, and coupled with macro expectations of interest rates suppressing, funds are simply unwilling to continue the relay. #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 #美国加密法案再次遇阻 #特朗普缓和局势
$BTC This continuous decline is unsettling, with all moving averages diverging downwards, indicating that the bears have completely taken control of the market. The recent large bearish candle with high volume has directly broken the structure; this is not a normal pullback but an accelerated sell-off combined with panic selling. Overall, ETH has been oscillating around 2000 recently, unable to break through or stabilize at the pressure zone of 2200.

$BNB At this position, we must keep a close eye on three points.

First, the stop-loss near 2070 is just a short-term technical rebound, definitely not a reversal. Although the K-line has shown a slight rebound, the volume is clearly insufficient, and the MACD is still in a death cross pointing downwards. This type of rebound is highly likely just an opportunity for you to escape.

$USDC Second, the lower structure has already broken, meaning the bull defense line has been breached. If the next rebound cannot surpass the 2100 area, it basically confirms a continued oscillation downwards, and a second bottom may even occur.

Third, the sentiment is currently weak, the market is still digesting the previous decline, and coupled with macro expectations of interest rates suppressing, funds are simply unwilling to continue the relay. #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 #美国加密法案再次遇阻 #特朗普缓和局势
$BTC fans have asked Old Liu whether it is possible to buy at the bottom now, is 2050 considered low? The daily line is still within the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, and there is still a downward trend. The support level for the hourly line is at 2000, and the support level for the fifteen-minute line is at 2050. If it breaks below, it will continue to drop; if it does not break below, it will oscillate again to explore new lows $ETH #美伊和谈陷僵局 $USDC #美国加密法案再次遇阻 #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争
$BTC fans have asked Old Liu whether it is possible to buy at the bottom now, is 2050 considered low? The daily line is still within the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, and there is still a downward trend. The support level for the hourly line is at 2000, and the support level for the fifteen-minute line is at 2050. If it breaks below, it will continue to drop; if it does not break below, it will oscillate again to explore new lows $ETH #美伊和谈陷僵局 $USDC #美国加密法案再次遇阻 #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争
61%
39%
108 votes • Voting closed
$BTC Today, let's take a look at BTC. The current price is around 71000–71300 USD. It has risen slightly by 0.3%–0.4% today and has increased by nearly 4% over the past 7 days, while rising about 8% over the past 30 days. The trading volume is around 40 billion dollars daily, with a market cap of 1.42 trillion dollars, still firmly holding the position of the crypto leader. In simple terms, here's the situation now: After falling from the peak: Last October, it reached a high of 126,000 dollars, and it is still nearly half (over 43%) below that. Since March this year, it has been oscillating between 67,000 and 74,000, without significant breakthroughs or crashes. $ETH Short-term trend (these few days to a week): Currently, it is hovering around 71,000, with slightly stronger buying pressure, holding the important support level of 70,000. Over 70% of the community believes the market is bullish, but the overall sentiment still feels a bit like 'extreme fear.' Why there hasn't been much movement: Recent interest rate expectations have risen a bit (some are worried about a rate hike by the Federal Reserve), coupled with geopolitical news, making funds a bit hesitant. Today, there was 160 million dollars inflow into ETFs, but it didn’t cause a sharp rise. On the technical side, the short-term candlestick is neutral to bullish, with 70,000–72,000 being the key battleground now #国际油价下跌 #特朗普称对伊战争已胜利 #币安人生 #特朗普称对伊战争已胜利
$BTC Today, let's take a look at BTC. The current price is around 71000–71300 USD. It has risen slightly by 0.3%–0.4% today and has increased by nearly 4% over the past 7 days, while rising about 8% over the past 30 days. The trading volume is around 40 billion dollars daily, with a market cap of 1.42 trillion dollars, still firmly holding the position of the crypto leader.
In simple terms, here's the situation now:
After falling from the peak: Last October, it reached a high of 126,000 dollars, and it is still nearly half (over 43%) below that. Since March this year, it has been oscillating between 67,000 and 74,000, without significant breakthroughs or crashes.
$ETH Short-term trend (these few days to a week): Currently, it is hovering around 71,000, with slightly stronger buying pressure, holding the important support level of 70,000. Over 70% of the community believes the market is bullish, but the overall sentiment still feels a bit like 'extreme fear.'
Why there hasn't been much movement: Recent interest rate expectations have risen a bit (some are worried about a rate hike by the Federal Reserve), coupled with geopolitical news, making funds a bit hesitant. Today, there was 160 million dollars inflow into ETFs, but it didn’t cause a sharp rise. On the technical side, the short-term candlestick is neutral to bullish, with 70,000–72,000 being the key battleground now #国际油价下跌 #特朗普称对伊战争已胜利 #币安人生 #特朗普称对伊战争已胜利
$BTC is currently in a wedge consolidation process, with the overall trend remaining bearish. However, this consolidation process and structure will be relatively complex, with quick sweeps from both bulls and bears. Yesterday saw a corrective rally, and today the likelihood of continued upward movement is slightly greater. 71500 USD remains a key resistance level, but testing it again should not be shorted; instead, consider shorting at higher levels of 72500-73000 USD. {future}(BTCUSDT) $XRP {future}(XRPUSDT) #国际油价下跌 #美国暂缓攻击伊朗发电站 #金价连续第十天下跌 Short-term support is at 70000 USD, and testing this level today could see a rebound. Overall, maintain the consistent strategy of shorting on rallies.
$BTC is currently in a wedge consolidation process, with the overall trend remaining bearish. However, this consolidation process and structure will be relatively complex, with quick sweeps from both bulls and bears.
Yesterday saw a corrective rally, and today the likelihood of continued upward movement is slightly greater. 71500 USD remains a key resistance level, but testing it again should not be shorted; instead, consider shorting at higher levels of 72500-73000 USD.
$XRP
#国际油价下跌 #美国暂缓攻击伊朗发电站 #金价连续第十天下跌
Short-term support is at 70000 USD, and testing this level today could see a rebound. Overall, maintain the consistent strategy of shorting on rallies.
On the day of $BTC , the minimum reached 68800 USD and the maximum rebounded to 71315 USD, forming a spinning top with a long lower shadow, indicating strong buying support below. The trading volume within 24 hours was only 1052 coins, significantly reduced compared to the previous day, showing a strong market wait-and-see sentiment, with insufficient willingness to follow up on buying. The strong support level is at 69000 USD (recently verified multiple times with quick rebounds), and strong resistance is concentrated between 71600-72000 USD. There is noticeable buying support near 69000 USD. If the volume breaks through 71600 USD, it may reach up to 72500 USD. $BNB #特朗普称对伊战争已胜利 #国际油价下跌 #币安人生
On the day of $BTC , the minimum reached 68800 USD and the maximum rebounded to 71315 USD, forming a spinning top with a long lower shadow, indicating strong buying support below. The trading volume within 24 hours was only 1052 coins, significantly reduced compared to the previous day, showing a strong market wait-and-see sentiment, with insufficient willingness to follow up on buying. The strong support level is at 69000 USD (recently verified multiple times with quick rebounds), and strong resistance is concentrated between 71600-72000 USD. There is noticeable buying support near 69000 USD. If the volume breaks through 71600 USD, it may reach up to 72500 USD. $BNB #特朗普称对伊战争已胜利 #国际油价下跌 #币安人生
$ETH Daily chart shows that since Ethereum fell from its high of $2385, the price has continuously faced pressure below the MA20 and MA30 moving averages. Although the MACD green bars have narrowed, the DIF is still hovering near the zero axis, indicating insufficient bullish momentum and that bears still dominate the market. $BTC The four-hour chart forms a converging triangle pattern, with the upper resistance at $2170 and the lower support at $2080. The MACD red bars continue to shrink, and the RSI has fallen to around 50, showing a decrease in bullish momentum, and the window for a trend change has opened. $USDC Shorting in the $2150-$2170 range, with a stop loss at $2245 and a target looking at $2100-$2000. A break below $2100 could lead to a continued drop to $2050-$2020. The current larger cycle remains bearish; any rebound should be cautious of the risk of false bullish signals to avoid blindly catching the bottom. Operations must strictly set stop losses to avoid losses from emotional fluctuations. Ethereum is likely to maintain a volatile downward pattern in the short term, and it is recommended to focus on high shorts with some low longs, while strictly controlling positions. #美国暂缓攻击伊朗发电站 #币安人生 #国际油价下跌
$ETH Daily chart shows that since Ethereum fell from its high of $2385, the price has continuously faced pressure below the MA20 and MA30 moving averages. Although the MACD green bars have narrowed, the DIF is still hovering near the zero axis, indicating insufficient bullish momentum and that bears still dominate the market.
$BTC The four-hour chart forms a converging triangle pattern, with the upper resistance at $2170 and the lower support at $2080. The MACD red bars continue to shrink, and the RSI has fallen to around 50, showing a decrease in bullish momentum, and the window for a trend change has opened.
$USDC Shorting in the $2150-$2170 range, with a stop loss at $2245 and a target looking at $2100-$2000. A break below $2100 could lead to a continued drop to $2050-$2020.
The current larger cycle remains bearish; any rebound should be cautious of the risk of false bullish signals to avoid blindly catching the bottom.
Operations must strictly set stop losses to avoid losses from emotional fluctuations.
Ethereum is likely to maintain a volatile downward pattern in the short term, and it is recommended to focus on high shorts with some low longs, while strictly controlling positions. #美国暂缓攻击伊朗发电站 #币安人生 #国际油价下跌
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