Crypto钟良

Raising the position is only to clear short leverage, definitely not a market reversal. Although the previous shorts have stopped out, we face it calmly and still openly release the stop-loss orders! On Thursday, let’s continue to short Bitcoin at 72600-73000, publicly across the network. The stop-loss and target are all clearly stated. The revenge battle has begun, and currently, the short position is profitable. Here at Zhongliang, we never play any tricks or post-factum comments. A given order is just that, a loss is a loss, and a profit is a profit. Isn’t it worth a free thumbs-up from the brothers? #伊朗新领袖

This week's macro outlook: Non-farm payrolls meet US stock market closure, the US-Iran conflict is about to face a critical turning point!

On March 30, the US-Israel-Iran conflict has lasted for a month, and the coming week will still be full of variables and black swans, whether peace talks or escalation of conflict, each small step will trigger the market's tense nerves. In addition to geopolitical conflicts, the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve will show their interest rate hike expectations roadmap to the market, and the US non-farm employment data will also have a significant impact on market liquidity expectations, as follows:

On Monday at 07:50, the Bank of Japan will release a summary of the opinions of the committee members from the March monetary policy meeting;

On Tuesday at 04:00, New York Fed President Williams will give a speech;

On Wednesday at 00:00, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee will deliver opening remarks at an event hosted by the bank;

On Wednesday at 23:00, 2026 FOMC voter and Dallas Fed President Logan will give a speech;

On Thursday at 20:30, the US will report initial jobless claims for the week ending March 28 and the US trade balance for February;

On Friday at 20:30, the US unemployment rate for March, the seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls for March, the year-on-year average hourly wage for March, and the month-on-month average hourly wage for March;

On Friday at 21:45, the final value of the US March S&P Global Services PMI.

Finally, on April 3 (Friday), the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and Nasdaq will be closed all day; trading in precious metals and US crude oil futures will be suspended all day; stock index futures will end early (Beijing time 21:15); foreign exchange and US Treasury futures will end early (Beijing time 23:15); Brent crude oil futures will be suspended all day. #亚洲股市跳水

3.30 BTC/ETH Market View:

Good morning everyone in the new week. It's been quite a ride, and indeed, it's been a while since I updated daily. The market remains the same, whether it's rising or falling, there will always be many people facing liquidation. Early in the morning, the price went on a roller coaster, first dropping from around 66700 to the 64900 line, then quickly rising back to the 67000 line. It is said that this wave has liquidated the long position commander, and with unlimited bullets, envy cannot be achieved, one can act freely. Last Friday, I suggested a high short position at Bitcoin 66600 and Ethereum 2010. If set up with a staggered take profit, I'm sure profits could be made.

Bitcoin's weekly K chart has closed in the red for two consecutive weeks. Unfortunately, the strong support at 65000 has not been broken, so the price cannot drop, and the space below remains closed. On the daily K chart, four large bearish candles have come down, breaking through the middle track support, frequently testing the lower track support, with the lower Bollinger Band opening downwards, brewing space. On the short-term 4-hour level, after a long lower shadow broke through the lower track support, it quickly recovered, and this large bullish candle that closed immediately pulled the price up. From the indicators, both KDJ and RSI are turning upwards, and MACD's bullish volume is increasing. On the hourly chart, the price is currently testing the upper track resistance, with KDJ and RSI also turning upwards, and MACD's bullish volume increasing.

This morning's rapid surge was influenced by yellow hair, which has led to a strong rebound demand in the indicators; however, the trend is bearish, and the price has not risen significantly. From 64900, it rebounded to around 67500, with an increase of 2600 points. In terms of intraday operations, one should not chase the rise anymore, as the sudden price surge has caused the indicators to lag, catching up late. At this point, chasing the rise could easily reach the top. The intraday strategy is mainly high short, with upper resistance focusing on 67500, 68500, and the 70000 mark. For high shorts, these are the positions to watch, participating in ambush around these levels. Lower support focuses on 66000 and 65000. Only by breaking below 65000 can the market open up space for a new significant drop, and if it breaks below 65000, we can look down at the support levels of 64000 and 62000.

For Ethereum, upper resistance focuses on 2040, 2080, and 2120. Participate in ambush around these positions for high shorts. Lower support focuses on the 2000 mark, followed by 1950 and 1900. #美国“无王”抗议 $BTC

The high short strategy given on Friday, if executed as planned, would be a short on Bitcoin at 66700 and a short on Ethereum at 2010. Just now it hit a low of 64900 and 1936, which should be profitable, right? Although the market has pulled back up in just a few minutes, is this wave targeted at my buddy? Just finished blowing up his long position, and then Huang Mao spoke up to pull the market back up, what a pity...

True trading experts often "endure boredom".
If your trading is like a roller coaster,
making a fortune one day and then crashing for two days;
emotions rise and fall with profits and losses,
then sooner or later, you will be eliminated by the market.

The market has never been tailored for the "majority."
Here, what you truly face is not the candlestick charts,
but your own inner self.

Most people enter the market seeking speed.
They crave to double their funds.
They enjoy the thrill.
They seek that kind of excitement.
But those who can truly survive in the market focus on just one thing:
Whether the trading curve is stable.
They would rather earn less than suffer large drawdowns;
They would rather miss some opportunities than take risks with heavy positions;
They would rather live a "boring" life than let trading get out of control.

Real winners do not win because of the market.
They win because of their ability to control themselves.
When market volatility increases, they reduce their positions.
When market sentiment is high, they choose to wait and see.
When the market falls into chaos, they step back.
Because they understand:
Surviving in the market is far more important than seizing a single opportunity.

Mature traders share a common trait:
They first make a trading plan before entering the market.
How to manage funds when profitable?
How to decisively exit when losing?
When must trading stop?
Setting stop-losses is not admitting defeat,
but protecting the right to continue trading.
Reducing position sizes is not cowardice,
but a sign of respect for market volatility.

Trading is not a sprint.
It is more like a marathon.
Those who ultimately laugh the last laugh are not the smartest,
nor the most aggressive,
but rather a group of people—
who do not collapse in losses,
who do not become arrogant in profits,
who remain calm amidst market fluctuations,
and continuously optimize their strategies in the solitude of trading.
They do not seek the thrill that trading brings.
They pursue the repeatability of trading.
And in the end, the market will only hand wealth to those who trade stably #美国“无王”抗议 $BTC

Midnight BTC/ETH Market View:

Bitcoin has smoothly declined during the day, with a surge in long positions. Yesterday, I provided a short position at 70000, continuously advising to reduce positions in batches, looking at support levels of 67000 and 65000, with a minimum retracement at 65600. Those who followed the short positions enjoyed the gains. Ethereum suggested to short after breaking below 2100, looking down at the 2000 level, with a minimum retracement at 1966 stopping the decline, and those who followed also enjoyed the gains!

Currently, the price has slightly rebounded, but this rebound is not a reversal. For those without short positions, the resistance area at the top should still be short! On the hourly chart, the last candlestick is a bullish doji, and the current price has returned above the lower band. KDJ and RSI, after being oversold at low levels, are both turning upwards. The MACD is showing a decrease in bearish momentum, indicating a need for correction in the indicators.

On the 4-hour chart, the price has broken below the lower Bollinger band, RSI is turning downwards, and MACD's bearish volume is still increasing. The stop-loss signal has not yet appeared, and the closing line is also bearish with 4 large bearish candlesticks breaking through the lower band. The bearish trend is strong, so a rebound still requires shorts; it is not yet time to go long, as it hasn't dropped to the right level.

Of course, all analysis is just paper tigers in the face of news; it means nothing. If the yellow-haired one gets involved in some kind of peace talks, it might lead to a big bullish candlestick, with a massive bullish army coming forward. Therefore, it is essential to manage positions strictly and set stop-losses. Zhong Liang can only provide some personal views based on the market, for reference only!

For Bitcoin, pay attention to the resistance at 66700, 67500, and 68500 above. High shorts can consider entering at these levels, while the support below is at 65500, 64000, and 62500.

For Ethereum, the resistance above is at 2010, 2050, and 2100. High shorts should reference these positions for ambush, while the support below is at 1960, 1920, and 1860. #BTC行情 $BTC

Tonight this is watching the bulls explode, over $440 million has been liquidated in the past 24 hours, more than 127,000 people have been liquidated, Bitcoin is now looking at whether it can stop falling around 65,000 here. Those who shorted at 70,000 must be feeling good! Ethereum broke below 2,100 and then fell below 2,000. Next, focus on the support around 2,010, and see if it can stop falling here tonight. It's not yet time to go long, no need to act rashly!

In the past hour, long positions suffered over 190 million USD in liquidations, in the past 4 hours, long positions suffered over 250 million USD in liquidations, in the past 12 hours, long positions suffered over 270 million USD in liquidations, in the past 24 hours, long positions suffered over 400 million USD in liquidations, over 120,000 people were liquidated...

Bitcoin just hit a low of 66,100, with shorts from yesterday at 70,000, which were held steady, looking down towards 67,000 and 65,000, those who followed have been happy. Ethereum broke below 2,100 to pursue shorts, with attention on the 2,000 level, it just hit a low of 1,980, tonight do not consider going long again, and do not chase shorts, missing out is just missing out.

If you really want to go long, pay attention to the support situation here at 65,000, if it tests this level and holds, a rebound upwards to take a long position can still be considered, with a stop loss of a few hundred points, looking upwards towards 67,000 and 68,500. #BTC行情 $BTC

This time, if you go long, it must feel uncomfortable! Yesterday, I told everyone to short at 70000, Ethereum broke below 2100, and I shared it all the way down. The short positions were reduced at 67000 and 65000 as support. Pay attention to the 2000 support for Ethereum. Is it step by step reaching there? For the short positions, have you all made a profit? Have you all held steady? #BTC行情 $BTC

Bitcoin's short at 70000 yesterday, Ethereum's short at 2100 can both be held. As mentioned last night, after adjusting to break even, continue to pay attention to the support levels of 67000 and 2000 below. If you are holding, you can continue to hold; if you have already exited, there is currently no opportunity to re-enter!

Bitcoin's lower upward trend line has not been broken yet, so shorting is not suitable. Shorting below 70000, while near the trend line support, does not have a high cost-performance ratio. At the same time, whether on the 4-hour level or the hourly chart level, the indicators show a bearish trend, so this position is also not suitable for going long. If after a long period of oscillation, grinding, and testing, it has not effectively broken down, then trying to go long again may have a higher probability of success, but for now, the time is not right!

In trading, many times it is not just about going long or short. Many retail investors often can't control themselves; when they see an empty position, they panic, fearing that the market will suddenly come, and they will miss the opportunity to get in. However, not getting in is much better than getting in at the wrong time! Not getting in won't make money, but getting in at the wrong time will incur losses! Some positions can only be observed and waited for. If it breaks down, then short; if it doesn't break and rebounds, then it should be a long. Most of the time is spent waiting and observing for the right entry opportunity…#特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 $BTC

The intraday thinking is very clear: either bounce back high to short, or break down to continue shorting! Friends who have seriously looked into it, Ethereum broke below 2100 to short in, just hit a low of around 2050, so a small profit can be taken. As for the short position at 7000, those who followed it just hit a low of around 68500, also making over 1000 points in profit. Reduce positions in batches, continue to hold down, looking at the 2000 level and 67000 support. After reducing positions, change to break-even loss and continue to aim for greater profits! Recently, the flow is not good, what have the old friends been busy with?
#特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 $BTC

Ethereum fell below 2100 to short, what if you short it? If you short it, you can still make a small profit. Bitcoin at the 70000 mark short, also has a few hundred points of profit, the market fluctuates repeatedly, the situation is still unclear, those who should reduce their positions, should reduce their positions, this market is too exhausting...#特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 $BTC

3.26BTC/ETH Market View:

Yesterday there was a day of fluctuations, and when I woke up, the market was still in this state, making it difficult to take action. It remains in a converging pattern, with the upper resistance not yet reached and the lower trendline support not broken, putting us in a passive position. There are no suitable positions for going long, and it's not the right time to go short either, so we can only remain silent and wait for the market to break out of this fluctuation situation…

Bitcoin's price yesterday stood above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and today it opened directly at the upper level. On the 4-hour level, the upper band of the Bollinger Bands is opening downwards, while both the middle and lower bands are opening upwards. The KDJ and RSI indicators are turning downwards, and the MACD bullish volume continues to shrink. Yesterday, there was a rebound around 72000 that faced resistance and continued to fluctuate downwards, but the current middle band support has not been broken, so it's not the right time to chase a short position.

In terms of intraday operations, it's advisable to watch more and act less. For those who want to short at a high level, at least wait for the 72000 level to face pressure and resistance before considering a small position to try. Additionally, the upper level of 74000 is a strong resistance, so if you short too early, either go for a small position with a tight stop loss and exit in time, or be prepared to get stuck and add more at higher levels.

For those wanting to go long at a low level, attention should be paid to the strength of the pullback. The lower support at 69000 must hold; otherwise, we can consider chasing a short position if it breaks. The next supports downwards are at 68000 and 67000, followed by 65000.

As for Ethereum, the upper resistance to watch is at 2200 and 2300, which are the levels to focus on for a short position. If you want to go long at a low level, then the support at 2100 cannot be broken. If this level is broken, going long at a low level is not advisable, and you may consider chasing a short position, with lower supports to watch at 2050 and 2000. #国际油价下跌 $BTC

3.28BTC/ETH market perspective:

The market has once again fallen into a state of fluctuation, with the yellow-haired shouting for negotiations, and Iran immediately coming out to refute, like a child's play, leaving one unsure of the truth. The market seems to have entered a wait-and-see mode. Last night, a public sell signal was given at 70000 and 2140, with the lowest pullback at the 68900 and 2102 lines. In the short term, a small profit can be made, as the market tests back and forth, fluctuating repeatedly. Operationally, it can't be set in stone; one can only reduce positions when there is profit and then switch to a break-even loss.

After Bitcoin stopped falling from 59800, it formed an upward trend line below, and the current low points of the pullback have not broken the trend line, so the bears should not be too optimistic. Shorts can only be made when the price rises; for short positions in the middle range, one can only take profits and run after a small gain. On the 4-hour level, the middle and upper bands of the Bollinger Bands are both opening upwards. The KDJ and RSI indicators are turning upwards, and after receiving support at the middle band last night, the price rebounded. The daily K-line Bollinger Bands are flat and narrowing; it is not advisable to enter short positions too early, and one should not overlook the demand and strength of the rebound.

In terms of evening operations, if you want to short at a high price, you need to pay attention to the resistance at 72500 and 74000. After being blocked at a high point, short positions can be entered in line with the trend. If you want to long at a low price, then you need to wait for a pullback; if the pullback does not break the support at 69000, you can enter long as the price rebounds. In these middle positions, it's not very good to participate in operations!

As for Ethereum, if you want to short at a high price, you need to pay attention to the daily K-line upper band resistance at around 2300 and the previous high at 2385. Only after being blocked at this high point can one enter short positions in line with the trend. If you want to long at a low price, you need to pay attention to the support at 2100 during the pullback process, and if this pullback does not break, you can try to enter long. #国际油价下跌 $BTC

Bitcoin revealed its position at night, openly, directly giving a short near 70000, Ethereum short near 2140, current price around 69000, near 2110, short-term traders have already made profits, it is possible to reduce positions, congratulations to friends who followed the short orders, no hindsight commentary! #特朗普缓和局势 $BTC

The intraday rebound of Bitcoin is not strong, the upper Bollinger Band on the 4-hour level is opening downwards, and the price is testing the support of the middle band. KDJ and RSI, after being overbought at high levels, have turned down around 70000, Ethereum around 2140, should we try opening a short position? The lower Bollinger Band on the hourly chart has already been breached, and after the intraday rebound tests the upper band, it retracts. $BTC #特朗普缓和局势

On March 24, according to Coinglass data, if Bitcoin falls below $68,000, the cumulative long liquidation intensity of mainstream CEX will reach 1.068 billion. Conversely, if Bitcoin breaks above $72,000, the cumulative short liquidation intensity of mainstream CEX will reach 1.075 billion.

$BTC

3.24BTC/ETH Market Viewpoint:

The market experienced a pull-up after the yellow-haired drawings yesterday, and then Iran came out to refute rumors, leading to a pullback. Currently, the market is in a narrow range of fluctuations, still digesting the impact of the news. Yesterday's news also caused a large number of retail investors to be liquidated, so currently the volatility is small, and everyone is in a wait-and-see mode.

Bitcoin's daily K line has pulled up with a large bullish candle, and the current price stands above the middle support of the Bollinger Bands. The KDJ and RSI are turning upwards, while the MACD's bearish volume is continually shrinking. Be cautious as the market may pull up and explode the shorts based on news. From a 4-hour perspective, the price must break below the middle support at 69500 for the risk of a market rebound to end, and it will continue to move lower to test the support at 68000 and 6500. The current price is around 70600, and it is not suitable to directly chase the rise here; likewise, it is also not suitable to directly short here, as it is a middle position that can go up or down, and we still need to observe!

If you want to short high, then pay attention to the upper resistance at 72500 and 73500 during the day. High shorts need to observe the pressure situation here to see if you can participate. Alternatively, if the market effectively breaks below the support at 69000, you can consider chasing the shorts, aiming for the supports at 68000, 67000, and 65000.

If you want to long low, then you need to pay attention to the support situation around 69500 and 69700. If the pullback tests here and does not break, then you can consider participating in a short-term long, with the target focusing on the upper resistance at 71500, 72500, and 73500.

For Ethereum, the upper resistance to watch is 2250 and 2300. If the rebound effectively tests pressure here, then consider doing high shorts around here. The lower support focuses on the 4-hour middle track support around 2110, and if it holds up during the pullback, then consider betting on the rebound, with resistance above at 2200, 2250, and 2300. If it breaks below, then the rebound ends, and those who want to short should take a shot, with further support to watch at 2050 and the integer level of 2000.

Where exactly the market will be pressured and unable to rise at which resistance level, no one knows, and where it will hold at support to rebound, no one knows either. The significance of resistance and support is that when you reach this position, you need to pay attention to the market to see if you can go high based on the pressure testing situation. Every time you take action, it is a test, so positions need to be built in batches. Every order carries the risk of being stopped out, and profit and risk always coexist! $BTC #特朗普缓和局势

The artillery fire in the Middle East, is this to be reimbursed from the cryptocurrency circle? After the long positions exploded, a sudden piece of news instantly pulled up and exploded the shorts, the international situation is turbulent and unstable, you must manage your positions well, otherwise it will just be a back-and-forth sweep... This liquidation data, in the past 24 hours, has already exceeded 200,000 people being liquidated, with long positions liquidated at 420 million dollars and short positions liquidated at 360 million dollars...

Extremely unreliable in one sentence, the entire market trembles three times, all welcomes a rebound, with a sudden surge... A round of analysis as fierce as a tiger, the rise and fall all depend on the extremely unreliable...