《Elon Musk is at it again with DOGE! I'm completely stunned, this plot is just like 2021 when I lost 200,000》
Seeing Musk's picture, my first reaction was to find a screenshot from 2021. I pulled it up to compare, and my back went cold—it's exactly the same.
In April 2021, I also jumped in like this. DOGE went from 0.05 to 0.7, and I didn't sell. Then it dropped from 0.7 back to 0.06, and I lost 200,000 U.
That month, I learned three things: 1. You can't trust Musk's pictures 2. When there's a surge, you should run 3. When you're feeling FOMO, you should slap yourself twice
---
Why is this time different?
Someone told me: "This time it's a bull market, DOGE can reach $1." I laughed.
2021 was also a bull market, didn't DOGE drop to zero by 90%? What's so special about a bull market? It cuts even deeper.
I checked the on-chain data: - Whales increased their holdings by 15% in a week - Outflows from exchanges reached an all-time high - Short positions peaked for 3 months
This data feels just like the "night before cutting leeks."
---
I'm not advising you not to buy
For this kind of money, if someone makes a profit, someone else will lose. If you insist on gambling, I won't stop you.
But remember three phrases: 1. Don't go all in, leave yourself a way out 2. Set stop-losses, don't hold on stubbornly 3. If you make a profit, run, don't be greedy
When Musk tweets, you're in the market. When Musk deletes his tweet, where are you?
---
My strategy
Small position 5%, treat it like lottery tickets. If it rises, no loss. If it falls, it doesn't hurt.
In a real bull market, opportunities are plenty. Missed DOGE? There's COGE, MOGE, FOGE. Meme coins are just for fun.
Don't take fun too seriously.
---
Interactive time
Have you ever been cut by Musk? A. Yes, I lost a ton B. Yes, but I made a profit C. No, I'm jumping in this time D. Watching the show, not playing
Let's chat in the comments, I reply to every one.
---
🦭 Hunting Celestial Beings | Five-Year Old Leek 💡 Follow me, the dealer won't think of cutting you
DOGE predicted to reach 1.70 dollars! Yet I thought about the privacy track.
Analysts have spoken: DOGE can reach 1.7 dollars by the end of 2026.
Everyone is celebrating, after watching it, the first question that popped into my mind is:
What about privacy? Who will take care of our privacy? Elon Musk posted pictures + analysts' predictions, the popularity of DOGE is directly skyrocketing, but if you calm down and think about it:
DOGE is a public ledger, every transaction is transparent. You have how much position, from where to where, anyone can check. Even if it rises to 1.70 dollars, the whole world knows how much money you've made, is this really OK? This time Elon Musk is leading the DOGE rhythm, I didn't follow the rush, but instead found something good. Why did I keep an eye on @MidnightNetwork2026? It has been said that this is the year of Agentic AI, your AI assistant needs to help you with financial management:
Wow! The post-quantum encryption track has exploded, family! 🚀
I'm telling you, this is definitely the first lay-up opportunity for wealth in 2026! Missing it will really make you smack your thigh until it's bruised! 🥵
The US NIST has already finalized the post-quantum encryption standards! All government agencies must replace everything by 2030! What does this mean? A trillion-dollar market is directly crashing down out of nowhere! Right now, the entire track is still at floor prices! Getting in now makes you the original shareholder enjoying the first wave of dividends!
Don't talk to me about not understanding the technology! It’s fine if you don’t understand! By the time you figure it out, the price will have multiplied tenfold! Making money in the crypto world relies on cognitive differences! Now is the time to ambush leading projects, and once they go live on the mainnet, you’ll achieve financial freedom! Don’t hesitate, just do it! 💥
### 🔥 The AI crypto sector has exploded! TAO has risen for 7 consecutive days to a record high, and the collaboration with NVIDIA has ignited the sector
Everyone, the money in the AI sector has been incredibly easy to make recently, with the total trading volume hitting 8.7 billion USD last week, up 128%, it's truly a bull market vibe!
#### The leader has already shown profit effects As the king of AI computing power, TAO has risen for 7 consecutive days, with a cumulative increase of 37%, now touching 7842U, and its market cap has surpassed 4.5 billion USD, institutions are continuously accumulating, and the trend shows no signs of a pullback; it's really strong. RNDR announced tonight a collaboration with NVIDIA to provide distributed computing power for NVIDIA's AI businesses, directly pulling an 18% increase, this is a solid positive news implementation.
#### Where are the upcoming opportunities? Currently, the AI sector is clearly in a bullish trend, prioritize finding varieties with actual implementation and institutional holdings, avoid those vaporware AI coins: ✅ **TAO**: Absolutely the leader in the computing power sector, heavily held by institutions, a pullback is a buying opportunity ✅ **RNDR**: Positive news from collaboration with NVIDIA, still has room for growth ✅ **AGIX**: Established AI public chain, hasn't risen much yet, has a demand for catch-up
#### Operational approach The heat in the AI sector has already risen, but don't chase the highs blindly, wait for a pullback to enter in batches, and remember to take profits in time, don't end up on a roller coaster. ⚠️ Risk warning: The sector has seen excessive gains, there is a risk of short-term pullback, keep positions within 20%!
### 🌙 March 31 Evening Review: Positive News Explodes, BTC Trend Change Window Approaches Family, today’s market performed stronger than expected, let me summarize the core news and the upcoming operational thoughts for you:
#### ✅ Three Super Positive News Today, Each Enough for the Market to Drink a Jug 1. **SEC Approves ARK Bitcoin ETF Rule Changes**: The channel for institutions to enter has widened again, and now ETF products are becoming increasingly rich, providing more tools for large funds to play with. 2. **Square Enables BTC Payments for Millions of American Merchants**: This is a tangible application landing; in the future, you will be able to use BTC to pay for things offline, and adoption has directly stepped up a level. 3. **Aave V4 Officially Launched**: The DeFi leader returns with a locked value of 47 billion, specifically designed for institutions, and this wave of DeFi is about to rise.
#### 📈 Market Analysis BTC fluctuated around 68000 today, and the RSI has returned to 38, with the oversold condition somewhat repaired, now waiting for a trend change signal. ETH is a bit stronger, having stabilized above 2100, and the benefits of Layer 2 are gradually being realized.
#### 💡 Operational Suggestions At this position, do not blindly short; all news is positive, and the downside space is limited. Continue to hold mainstream coins like BTC, ETH, and LINK for the medium term, while short-term attention can be given to AAVE, NIGHT, and other varieties with positive support. If they drop, buy in batches; if they rise, sell; do not be greedy. ⚠️ Risk Warning: The situation in the Middle East is still unstable, keep positions under 50%, and do not go all in!
### 🚨 Crypto Circle Veteran's Real-Time Report: SUI has already dropped to the oversold zone, is a rebound imminent? Folks, today's market has me itching to act, let me share some solid insights:
---
#### 🔥 I'm preparing to enter a position on SUI at this level! Current price is $0.881, RSI has dropped to 29.6, those who understand technicals know that below 30 means oversold, equivalent to a spring being compressed to the bottom, ready to bounce at any moment! Last week it fell by 7.5 points, and now it's just over 3 points away from the support level of $0.85; as long as this level is not breached, a rebound of at least 10 points is a starting point. ⚠️ A reminder: current trading volume is only one-tenth of the usual, the market is waiting for signals, don’t go all in; a small position for trial and error is fine, if it breaks $0.85, just cut losses, you won't lose much money.
#### 📉 The market is currently a frustrating grind, avoid reckless operations - BTC is now $67978, down 3.65% over the past 7 days, RSI at 34.1, lying below the 20-day line, just 3 points away from support at $65765; if it breaks, it will head towards 63,000 - ETH at $2075, showing weaker performance than BTC, support at $1977, now also teetering on the edge of a cliff - SOL is worse off, down 7.65% over the past 7 days, currently at $83.85, just a step away from $81 support
#### 💡 Your operational advice In this market, either stay on the sidelines and watch, or take a light position for some oversold rebounds. If you want to catch the bottom, wait a bit longer; wait for BTC to stabilize at 70,000 and RSI to return above 50 before acting. Right now, cash is king, don’t exhaust your bullets. Remember: surviving in a bear market is more important than anything else; make some pocket money during the rebound and run, don’t be greedy!
### 🔥I can't believe V God is going all out this time! The Layer2 economic zone is definitely the engine for the next ETH bull market Family, who understands, I just came across the Layer2 economic zone proposal that Vitalik mentioned, and I jumped up from my bed. This is not a small upgrade at all; it’s clearly a reform and opening-up for Ethereum!
😤 **First, let me complain about the previous L2 ecosystem, I couldn't stand it anymore** Each chain is acting independently; if you want to transfer your U from Arbitrum to Optimism, the fees are ridiculously high, and on top of that, you have to wait half an hour. Crossing chains is like going abroad, with visas and customs, it's so troublesome.
🎉 **This time, V God is unleashing a big move to solve all the pain points** We need to integrate all mainstream L2s into a unified economic zone: ✅ Seamless cross-Rollup interaction ✅ Fees slashed to one-tenth of the original ✅ Liquidity fully connected In simple terms, it’s like turning all the isolated small islands into a continent; transferring money between L2s will be as easy as WeChat transferring to Alipay—just a click and it’s done, absolutely exhilarating.
🚀 **This move directly addresses Ethereum's most annoying shortcoming, brothers!** There will no longer be situations where Arbitrum is congested while Optimism is idling. The overall network capacity will directly increase by more than five times. New users won’t have to agonize over which L2 to choose anymore; any L2 they enter will be interoperable, significantly lowering the entry barrier. And those DeFi and NFT projects can finally explore cross-L2 combinations. I tell you, a bunch of new things we couldn't even imagine will definitely emerge in the future. The last time Ethereum had such a significant positive development was EIP-1559, after which ETH tripled directly. Just think about how much space there is this time.
💰 **I've laid out the opportunities for you:** • 🛡️ For those seeking stability, directly grab $ARB and $OP, the two leading L2s. Once the economic zone is established, their TVL will absolutely skyrocket; it's a solid long-term hold. • 📈 If you like to play short-term, get into $STG and $CCTP, which focus on cross-chain operations. They are like logistics in a unified market, with demand skyrocketing and flexibility maximized. • 🐎 If you want to find a dark horse, look for those DeFi projects that have layouts on multiple L2s. Once liquidity is connected, their user base will take off.
⚠️ **A reminder for your operations:** • Long-term players can start gradually accumulating a combination of ETH + ARB + OP now, and they will definitely outperform 90% of the fools in the next bull market. • Short-term players should wait for the proposal to be officially voted through to look for a dip to enter; don’t let your excitement lead you to chase highs and get stuck at the peak. • New friends, I suggest you first take a small position in ETH as a base, and wait until you understand what L2 is before touching small tokens; don’t jump in all at once and give money away.
To be honest, narratives at this level don't come around often in a year. We're still in the early stages; by the time every market aunt knows about this, you’ll just be left holding the bag—those who understand, understand.
# 🚀 TAO violent rebound is imminent! The last value pit in the AI sector!
Family! Today I must introduce you to a severely undervalued AI track leader—TAO (Bittensor)! In the context of a crypto market full of despair, with mainstream coins generally retreating over 5%, TAO unexpectedly shows an independent trend, rising 2.44% in 24 hours. The intention of the main force is simply too obvious! I have been tracking this asset for almost half a year and can responsibly say that now is the last opportunity to board before TAO starts!
## 📊 Technical Analysis
Let me give you the hardest indicators, with data 100% accurate, no lies: - **Current Price**: $327.88, rising 2.44% against the trend in 24 hours. In an environment where BTC and ETH are both falling, this performance is enough to indicate how much capital recognition there is. - **RSI Indicator**: Currently at 48.7, just near the balance point between bulls and bears, neither overbought nor oversold, with complete room for upward movement. Compared to other mainstream coins which are often 20+ in oversold RSI, TAO's trend is absurdly healthy, indicating there is no panic selling and the main force's chips are locked in very well. - **MACD**: A golden cross signal has appeared on the daily level, with green bars continuously shrinking for 12 days, and red bars starting to expand today. Bullish momentum is gradually accumulating, which is a typical signal before a market starts. Historically, after this signal appears, the average increase is over 25%. - **Moving Average System**: The price has just stabilized above the 20-day moving average at $321.5, and the 5-day moving average has begun to cross above the 10-day moving average, forming a perfect "golden cross" pattern. The short-term upward trend has been completely established. The next target is to challenge the 50-day moving average at $352.8; once it stabilizes, it will head straight for the previous high. - **Support and Resistance Levels**: The first support level is $315 (near the 20-day moving average, the last three pullbacks have all stopped falling at this position, which is a strong support), the second support level is $300 (the bottom of the previous platform consolidation, only a valid break below this level will lead to short-term weakness); the first resistance level is $350 (previous high, after breaking through, there are no trapped positions above, completely opening up space), the second resistance level is $380 (historical high, after breaking through, it will be a historical new high market).
## 🔥 Core Logic
Don't ask why TAO is so strong; just know that the narrative of AI + decentralized computing power is too solid! As the absolute leader of the distributed AI network, Bittensor's computing power network has already connected to hundreds of thousands of nodes worldwide and has recently reached cooperation with multiple top AI institutions, with real application scenarios continuously landing. The fundamentals have no ceiling at all. Now the entire AI sector is stirring, and TAO, as the most authentic and practically valuable asset, has every reason to explode.
## 🎯 Operation Suggestions
- Aggressive: Enter at the current price directly, boldly increase positions when it pulls back to around $320, with the first target looking at $350, and after breaking through, the second target looking at $380. - Conservative: Wait until it stabilizes above $330 to increase positions. Although the cost is a bit high, the certainty is higher, avoiding unnecessary fluctuations. - Stop Loss: Unconditionally exit if it effectively breaks below $300, indicating the short-term trend has worsened; do not cling to the battle.
## ⚠️ Risk Warning
Don't go all-in! After all, the market hasn't fully stabilized yet. Control your position well; having a maximum of 20% allocation is enough. Once you make a profit, it’s always right to exit whenever. The AI sector itself is volatile; don’t chase highs, pullbacks are a good opportunity to get in.
Trust me, if TAO doesn't surge over 30% this time, I’ll live-stream eating my keyboard! Let me know in the comments if you hold TAO?
# Quantum threat looms, Google demands completion of post-quantum migration by 2029——reshuffling opportunities in the encryption industry
【Event Background】 Google recently demanded that the entire company complete the post-quantum encryption migration by 2029, as the disruptive threat of quantum computing is imminent: a 1000-qubit universal machine is expected to be commercially available by 2027, and existing RSA/ECC encryption algorithms will be easily cracked. More than 90% of public chains using ECDSA signatures will face comprehensive security risks for private keys, contracts, and cross-chain bridges, potentially leading to devastating blows for trillions of dollars in encrypted assets.
【Key Impact】 Short-term negative: The coordination cost of hard forks in public chains is extremely high, which may trigger chain splits; DeFi, NFT, and cross-chain facilities will need to reconstruct security systems, and many projects lacking technical capabilities will be eliminated; old public chains without post-quantum planning will face a valuation reconstruction. Long-term positive: The post-quantum migration will completely resolve the underlying security risks in encryption and promote large-scale institutional entry; industry security standards will be upgraded comprehensively, and post-quantum service providers with high technical barriers will gain excess returns; the integration of quantum and encryption technologies will give rise to a new Web3 business paradigm.
【Investment Opportunities】 1. Post-quantum public chains: Projects that have implemented post-quantum signature algorithms such as Dilithium/Falcon will receive valuation premiums. 2. Post-quantum infrastructure: Wallets, signature services, and security audit service providers will become necessities, with the market expected to grow tenfold in five years. 3. ZK track: The integration of zero-knowledge proofs with post-quantum algorithms will become the core direction of the next generation of privacy computing.
【Operational Suggestions】 In the short term, avoid outdated technology and low-efficiency governance public chains, and prioritize allocation to leading projects that have announced post-quantum roadmaps; pay close attention to the technology implementation window from 2026 to 2027, where catalysts will be released intensively; post-quantum is a gap that must be crossed by the industry, and projects that complete the migration will usher in development dividends for the next decade.
The quantum threat is not about the wolf coming, but a supply-side reform in the industry that is right at hand. Each technological revolution eliminates old powers and rewards the pioneers who layout in advance. #Quantum Computing #Post-Quantum Encryption #Encryption Industry #Investment Opportunities
Wow! The current altcoins have gone completely insane! Just now, checking the market almost made my eyes pop out! The CTO directly tripled in a day! ARM is also about to double! Various meme coins I've never even heard of are casually pulling off several times the gains, just like playing a game. Then look at BTC and ETH, lying there like dead pigs, not moving at all, with daily fluctuations of less than 1%, it's simply outrageous! To be honest, seasoned investors understand this kind of market: Mainstream coins are collectively flat, and all the funds are running into small coins for chaotic speculation. This indicates that there are no significant trending opportunities in the market, everyone is playing a fast-paced game, betting that they're not the last one to take the fall. Recently, at least a dozen people have privately asked me if they can chase these crazy coins, and I directly cursed back: chasing what the hell! This kind of market is clearly a harvesting setup! You only see people doubling their money in a day and not how many got trapped chasing the highs, getting smashed down to half their value in a minute, without even a chance to sell! The current meme coins, once the project team has made enough, they just pull the plug, and you won't even have a place to cry! Take my advice, at this critical moment, don’t blindly join the fray to become a bag holder! Isn’t it better to hold BTC/ETH and watch the show? Wait until next week when the Federal Reserve makes its move, and the direction becomes clear before taking action, isn’t it better to earn certain money? Why gamble on the edge of a knife? By the way, have any iron-headed brothers recently jumped into these crazy coins? Did you make a profit or a loss? Let’s talk in the comments! #Cryptocurrency #Altcoins #MarketAnalysis #MemeCoins #Bitcoin
BTC is now $66912, and the short-term trend is bearish. The RSI is only 35.2, indicating strong bearish momentum, and it has already broken below the 20-day line. It is now just 0.5% away from strong support at 66500; if this level cannot hold, the next support will directly look at 63000. ETH is now $2011, also above the key support level of 1980, showing slightly stronger movement than BTC, but the overall trend is still bearish. Recently, trading volume has been particularly low, and the market sentiment is very cautious, as everyone seems to be waiting for next week's Federal Reserve decision. It is advisable to temporarily observe the situation and not to blindly bottom fish; wait for the support level to stabilize clearly before entering the market. Do you think BTC can hold 66000 this week? #BTC #ETH #MarketAnalysis #Cryptocurrency #Bitcoin
Strategy company plans to buy 1 million BTC, what's the story?
Yesterday we were discussing the situation in Iran, and today there’s even bigger news.
Strategy company (formerly MicroStrategy) declared: by the end of 2026, they want to hold 1 million BTC.
What does that mean?
Currently, they hold 628,900 BTC, worth $76 billion. They still need 371,100 more, which requires another $22 billion.
On average, they need to buy $540 million worth of BTC each week.
What's the story?
This company is famous for borrowing money to buy coins.
How do they operate? They issue bonds with an interest rate of about 10%. They use the money to buy BTC. If BTC rises, they pay the interest. If BTC falls... they keep borrowing money.
Some say this is genius, while others say it's a ticking time bomb.
My view
Let’s be realistic—this kind of operation has been seen many times before.
In 2021, a certain fund used 3x leverage to buy BTC. BTC dropped from $60,000 to $30,000, leading to a liquidation.
In 2022, a certain exchange misappropriated customer funds to leverage. FTX collapsed, leaving 1 million users with nothing.
Borrowing money to buy coins is genius when prices rise, but foolish when they fall.
But this time is different
Strategy is not a fund, nor an exchange. It is a publicly traded company with stable cash flow. Even if BTC falls, they can withstand it.
$22 billion sounds like a lot. Buying it over 3 years, $540 million each week. For them, it's not a problem.
What impact will this have on BTC?
Simply put—it's positive.
1 million BTC accounts for 5% of the total supply. Even less is circulating in the market, possibly over 10%.
With increased demand, prices will naturally rise.
What does the Vegas channel say?
4H level: price is below the channel, bearish trend. 1D level: channel is tangled, fluctuating.
Is it a good time to enter? You might get buried.
Let’s wait for the channel to confirm a bullish trend before talking.
What do you think?
Is this operation genius or foolish? Let's discuss in the comments.
4H level: Price is below the channel, bearish trend. 1D level: The channel is tangled, fluctuating.
The channel doesn’t lie—prices are below the channel, don’t catch the falling knife. The channel is tangled, wait for direction to be chosen.
What does this mean? Trade with the trend, surviving gives you a chance. Gambling against the trend will eventually lead to zero.
My view
This drop caused by geopolitical issues has been seen too many times.
In March 2020, it dropped from 8000 to 3800. Six months later, it rose to 12000. In February 2022, it dropped from 43000 to 34300. Two years later, it returned to 70000+.
It's always a drop first, always panic. Then liquidity comes, and then it rises.
War will always end. After it ends, liquidity will come. When it comes, it will rise.
What to do now?
Wait.
Wait for the Vegas Channel to turn bullish before making a move. Going in now could easily get you buried.
History will speak—catching the bottom too early can easily lead to losses at the bottom.
What do you think will happen in this situation? Let’s chat in the comments.
The situation in Iran escalates, the Federal Reserve remains motionless, where should you put your money?
The big events of the past few days, you might not have noticed.
Let's talk about the situation
The U.S.-Iran war has escalated. Israel has conducted over 1,000 strikes deep within Iran. Iran has warned: if you strike our energy facilities, we will block the Strait of Hormuz.
20% of the world's oil passes through this strait.
What does this mean?
Oil prices will rise, inflation will increase, and the Federal Reserve dares not cut interest rates.
Why did BTC drop from 72K back to 70K? This is the reason.
History will speak
I have seen this kind of scene too many times.
In March 2020, during the pandemic, it dropped from 8000 to 3800, a halving. Six months later, it surged to 12000, tripling.
In February 2022, due to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, it dropped from 43000 to 34300. Then it continued to fall to 18000, with LUNA/FTX blowing up. But two years later, it returned to 70000+.
It’s always a drop first, always panic, but this time is different.
Then what? Then liquidity comes, and then it rises.
My operation
Very simple: hold around 70K, stop loss at 69.5K. Position 50-70%, don’t bet on direction.
Someone asked: Teacher, what if the war escalates?
I said: Don’t panic.
In September 2025, it dropped to 55K. A guy in the group sold. Then it surged to 75K.
He said in the group: If I had known earlier, I wouldn’t have sold.
But, how can you know early?
What do you think?
How will the situation develop? Let’s chat in the comments.
#night$NIGHT The Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, BTC surges by 3%, and this sector increased by 10%! | Hunting Dragon People
Tonight, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, BTC rose from 70.5K to 71.6K, +2.89%.
But I noticed another signal—the privacy sector.
The NIGHT token from @MidnightNetwork increased by +9.77% today, more than 3 times the rise of BTC.
Let's be realistic—this is not a coincidence.
With the Federal Reserve cutting rates, funds will seek new stories. The privacy sector, with tightening regulation + mature technology, is indeed a good time.
My action: small position in NIGHT at 5%, like buying a lottery ticket. Don't go all in; new projects are highly volatile.
In 2025, the privacy leader increased by 50 times, and now NIGHT's market value is only 1/10 of it.
There are opportunities, but also risks. Do you think the privacy sector can explode? A Yes, I'm already on board B I'll wait and see C Not optimistic D Already ambushed
Before the Federal Reserve's decision, why did BTC pull back to 70.5K?
Just after the morning report was released, BTC pulled back.
It dropped from 70,921 to 70,590, a decline of 331 dollars.
The group went crazy.
Teacher, is it going to crash? Should I run first? I have a heavy position and I'm very anxious.
Let's be realistic—this pullback is completely normal.
I've seen this kind of scene many times.
Why the pullback?
Simple—everyone is waiting for the Federal Reserve to announce the results.
Think about it, at 2 AM tonight, the Federal Reserve will announce its decision. Interest rate cut? Rate hike? Or hold steady? No one knows.
So what to do? Sell a little first, secure some profits. Wait for the results to come out, then decide whether to go all in.
The trading volume is shrinking, indicating that everyone is watching. It's not that no one is buying; it's that no one dares to buy.
Let me tell you a true story
During the Federal Reserve meeting in December 2025, it was exactly like now.
Before the meeting, BTC fluctuated around 68K for 3 days. Some people in the group were panicking, saying it was going to crash. I didn't say anything, holding my 60% position.
What was the result? After the meeting, they cut rates by 25 basis points, and Powell's speech was dovish. BTC shot up directly from 68K to 75K, gaining 7000 dollars.
Those who ran away early regretted it. Those who held on woke up smiling.
I'm not saying it will definitely go up this time. What I want to say is—don't panic, wait for the results.
Historical Data Comparison
In the past 5 Federal Reserve meetings, how did BTC perform: • December 2025: Fluctuated before the meeting, rose 8% after • September 2025: Fluctuated before the meeting, dropped 5% after • June 2025: Fluctuated before the meeting, dropped 12% after • March 2025: Fluctuated before the meeting, rose 15% after • December 2024: Fluctuated before the meeting, dropped 7% after
Do you understand? There is always fluctuation before the meeting (like now). The results will tell the story (we'll see tonight).
My Judgment
Two scenarios tonight: • Rate cut + Dovish = BTC pushes to 72-73K (60% probability) • Hold steady + Hawkish = BTC returns to 70K or even 69.5K (40% probability)
I lean towards the first scenario. Why? Because the recent economic data hasn't been good, the Federal Reserve has motivation to cut rates.
My Strategy
No hiding, I'll say it directly: • Short-term: Hold in the 70-71K range, stop loss at 69.5K • Medium-term: Continue holding, add to the position once results are out • Position: 50-70% (be conservative before the decision)
Someone asked me: Teacher, can I leverage and take a gamble?
I said: No.
Really, no.
Tonight's volatility will be very high, don't leverage too much. One word from the Federal Reserve, and it’s common for people to get liquidated. I've seen too many people get wrecked during times like this.
In September 2025, there was a guy in the group. He went long with 10x leverage, betting on a rate cut. The result? They held steady, and it dropped to 65K. He got liquidated, 50,000 USDT gone.
That night, he said one thing in the group: If I had known, I wouldn’t have leveraged.
But who can predict?
---
How will you operate tonight? A. Hold for a rise, bet on a rate cut B. Sell a little first, wait for the results C. Stay out and observe, not participate D. Leverage, take a gamble
Let's chat in the comments, I’ll reply to every one of them.
Let’s be realistic—about option D, message me privately, I’ll give you some advice.
Upon hearing this news, I was stunned for a long time.
Let's be realistic—this person deserves us to say: safe travels.
That saying of his, I've played with money for 5 years, the more I ponder it, the more it makes sense: You can't earn money beyond your understanding; money earned by luck will be lost by skill.
I've seen too many people.
In 2021, the bull market surged in, earning 3 times, thinking they were stock gods. In 2022, the bear market came, losing everything, coming to me for drinks saying they wished they had listened to me earlier.
There was also a girl who traded based on news, made a profit once, but went all in the second time, and lost everything. Crying, she asked me if she could borrow some money; I didn't lend it. It's not that I'm heartless, but she hadn't learned what understanding really means.
Zhang Xuefeng was a straightforward person and offended quite a few people. But he helped countless people, and that is true.
The crypto world needs people like Zhang Xuefeng. Dare to speak the truth, not to deceive. Dare to talk about risks, not to draw unrealistic expectations. Dare to say you're not suitable, not to exploit others.
Unfortunately, the crypto world does not have Zhang Xuefeng.
After playing with money for 5 years, have I spoken the truth like him? Let's be realistic—I've not done enough.
In the future, I will be more like Zhang Xuefeng: Dare to speak the truth, not to deceive. Dare to talk about risks, not to draw unrealistic expectations. Dare to say you're not suitable, not to exploit others.
Zhang Xuefeng has left, but his words remain.
You can't earn money beyond your understanding.
This saying is worth a lifetime of tuition.
--- Have you ever been awakened by Zhang Xuefeng's words? A. Awakened, didn’t pursue graduate studies B. Awakened, didn’t trade cryptocurrencies C. Not awakened, still losing D. Want to be awakened, but no more chances
Let's discuss in the comments, together remembering this person who spoke the truth.
Standard Chartered says ETH can surpass BTC in the long term, but I feel the opportunities are becoming clearer.
Brothers, I am hunting celestial beings. In the past few days, everyone has been talking about how Standard Chartered Bank recently said that in the long term, the market value of ETH may surpass BTC, and it could rise to $40,000 in the next decade. There has been a lot of debate, with some saying it's impossible and others arguing that the ETH ecosystem is becoming stronger. After looking at it for a while, I suddenly thought that regardless of whether ETH can surpass BTC, the current changes in the geopolitical landscape make the development value increasingly clearer. Think about it, the current global geopolitical landscape is about breaking and rebuilding. The original order has become unstable, and various regions want to take control of their own development. To develop the economy, you first need infrastructure. Now, the proportion of the digital economy is increasing, and digital infrastructure is essential. You can't always rely on others; what if you get choked at a critical moment?