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灵猫_韩一鸣

大闹一场,潇洒退场。
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Polymarket's prediction for the Oscars in 2026 has a win rate of over 90%, reaching 94%. This represents a paradigm shift in information sources and also provides people with the opportunity to make money.
Polymarket's prediction for the Oscars in 2026 has a win rate of over 90%, reaching 94%. This represents a paradigm shift in information sources and also provides people with the opportunity to make money.
In the last 2 days, very few BTC longs have been liquidated, I can only comfort myself: don't touch leverage, spot won't be afraid.
In the last 2 days, very few BTC longs have been liquidated,

I can only comfort myself: don't touch leverage, spot won't be afraid.
As of January 29th, this moment: The market value of "digital gold" still has 21 times the space to catch up with the market value of gold...
As of January 29th, this moment:

The market value of "digital gold" still has 21 times the space to catch up with the market value of gold...
The ERC-8004 protocol is set to be deployed on the ETH mainnet on January 29, This is the first standard protocol on ETH to establish a decentralized identity, reputation, and verification framework for AI agents. Foreseeable future: Users will transition from current operators to future command issuers, where everyone can give commands to the AI agents with the best reputation to directly participate in on-chain transactions, DeFi, arbitrage, and other scenarios, allowing collaboration between AI agents.
The ERC-8004 protocol is set to be deployed on the ETH mainnet on January 29,

This is the first standard protocol on ETH to establish a decentralized identity, reputation, and verification framework for AI agents.

Foreseeable future:

Users will transition from current operators to future command issuers, where everyone can give commands to the AI agents with the best reputation to directly participate in on-chain transactions, DeFi, arbitrage, and other scenarios, allowing collaboration between AI agents.
In the beautiful country, taking IBIT as an example: Why is ETF better to use than 'real BTC'?
In the beautiful country, taking IBIT as an example:

Why is ETF better to use than 'real BTC'?
In the beautiful country, taking IBIT as an example: Why is ETF better to use than 'real BTC'?
In the beautiful country, taking IBIT as an example:

Why is ETF better to use than 'real BTC'?
Summary 2025: Player turnover!
Summary 2025:
Player turnover!
Avoid decisions made under emotions: ➠Rising Fear of missing out ➠Falling Fear of loss ➠Volatile Agitated ➠Sideways Can't help but trade ➠Surge Regret not being fully invested
Avoid decisions made under emotions:

➠Rising Fear of missing out
➠Falling Fear of loss
➠Volatile Agitated
➠Sideways Can't help but trade
➠Surge Regret not being fully invested
Bad news cannot stop the bull market from continuing; World War cannot stop it either; On the contrary. ——Livermore
Bad news cannot stop the bull market from continuing;
World War cannot stop it either;
On the contrary.

——Livermore
Among the top five asset management giants globally, BlackRock and Fidelity have already issued crypto ETFs, and Vanguard, as the second largest, also announced yesterday that it will soon launch an ETF. From the margins to the mainstream, there are more and more advanced players, hoarding Bitcoin for the long term, enjoying a laid-back life.
Among the top five asset management giants globally, BlackRock and Fidelity have already issued crypto ETFs, and Vanguard, as the second largest, also announced yesterday that it will soon launch an ETF.

From the margins to the mainstream, there are more and more advanced players, hoarding Bitcoin for the long term, enjoying a laid-back life.
Excess profits come from significant divergences. Timing for positions during significant divergences: ➠Crash (-30~50%) ➠Fear index < 10 ➠KOLs collectively bearish ➠Liquidation > 1 billion ➠Media mocks BTC/ETH to zero ➠Needle prick The more conditions met, the more profits.
Excess profits come from significant divergences.

Timing for positions during significant divergences:
➠Crash (-30~50%)
➠Fear index < 10
➠KOLs collectively bearish
➠Liquidation > 1 billion
➠Media mocks BTC/ETH to zero
➠Needle prick

The more conditions met, the more profits.
Do not chase prices Do not act rashly Do not make predictions Do not seize rebounds Do not get caught up in K-lines Only take action when the market is in a state of 'panic' Understand a lot but may not necessarily do it.
Do not chase prices
Do not act rashly
Do not make predictions
Do not seize rebounds
Do not get caught up in K-lines
Only take action when the market is in a state of 'panic'

Understand a lot but may not necessarily do it.
In the past 30 days, although BTC has dropped more than 30% from its peak, the BTC balance on exchanges has decreased instead of increased, with a net outflow of 60,000 coins from CB, likely flowing into USA institutions. Today, there was a downward spike in liquidity, and the current price has reached some shutdown prices, getting closer to the cost price of MicroStrategy and ETFs, with limited downward space remaining. That hard and solid big pie will eventually come back.
In the past 30 days, although BTC has dropped more than 30% from its peak, the BTC balance on exchanges has decreased instead of increased, with a net outflow of 60,000 coins from CB, likely flowing into USA institutions.

Today, there was a downward spike in liquidity, and the current price has reached some shutdown prices, getting closer to the cost price of MicroStrategy and ETFs, with limited downward space remaining.

That hard and solid big pie will eventually come back.
1011 is an internal black swan in the industry, disclosing 20 billion has disrupted everyone's rhythm, and market makers need time to recover. Every time such a black swan appears, leverage is removed, the divergence between bulls and bears increases, and the turnover of chips accelerates, thus disrupting the four-year cycle of Crypto in advance. Crypto has a strong vitality; after panic, there will always be greed. In the current situation where the cycle is disrupted and the divergence between bulls and bears is enormous, it is necessary to think further ahead and adjust to a position that makes oneself feel less uncomfortable.
1011 is an internal black swan in the industry, disclosing 20 billion has disrupted everyone's rhythm, and market makers need time to recover.

Every time such a black swan appears, leverage is removed, the divergence between bulls and bears increases, and the turnover of chips accelerates, thus disrupting the four-year cycle of Crypto in advance.

Crypto has a strong vitality; after panic, there will always be greed. In the current situation where the cycle is disrupted and the divergence between bulls and bears is enormous, it is necessary to think further ahead and adjust to a position that makes oneself feel less uncomfortable.
Market sentiment has reached extreme panic, falling to the low point of February 2025. Liquidity will improve, and sentiment will also get better.
Market sentiment has reached extreme panic, falling to the low point of February 2025.

Liquidity will improve, and sentiment will also get better.
The probability of interest rate cuts in September has soared to 86%. Now it's time to bet on whether it will be 25bps or 50bps.
The probability of interest rate cuts in September has soared to 86%.

Now it's time to bet on whether it will be 25bps or 50bps.
BTC total network holding 82 billion ETH total network holding 64 billion The holdings of both The market value differs by 4 times, highlighting the current divergence and market heat of ETH. #ETH
BTC total network holding 82 billion
ETH total network holding 64 billion
The holdings of both
The market value differs by 4 times, highlighting the current divergence and market heat of ETH. #ETH
Call it a bear as soon as it drops, call it a bull as soon as it rises, how can you enjoy the big feast?
Call it a bear as soon as it drops, call it a bull as soon as it rises, how can you enjoy the big feast?
After this wave of adjustments, ETH is about to reach new highs. It's also good to have an adjustment before the new highs, allowing for some chip rotation; a target worth hundreds of billions needs strong hands to push it. The average price for Bitmine and SharpLink is over 3900, close to 4000.
After this wave of adjustments, ETH is about to reach new highs.

It's also good to have an adjustment before the new highs, allowing for some chip rotation; a target worth hundreds of billions needs strong hands to push it.

The average price for Bitmine and SharpLink is over 3900, close to 4000.
Wall Street's 'coin-stock' institutions are vying to hoard ETH like a qilin. If you still think it can't break the historical high (4868), then that's really...
Wall Street's 'coin-stock' institutions are vying to hoard ETH like a qilin.

If you still think it can't break the historical high (4868), then that's really...
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