龙哥交易日记

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If you want to make money, have ambition, have a good horse and a talent scout, why worry about not making money? Keep up with Long Ge's rhythm and take one step at a time!
#美国政府停摆 #美国结束政府停摆 #币安HODLer空投ALLO #Strategy增持比特币 #稳定币监管风暴 $ETH

With a good judge of horses and excellent steeds, is there still a worry about not making money? Brother Long plans to make at least one deal a day, trying to wait for opportunities under unclear directions, and waiting for trends to establish; those without patience are not forced!

Follow the commands, timeliness is very important, the fluctuating prices are our opportunities to make money. Brother Long, who doesn't want to make money, is also not forced; there are so many people in the market, each with their own ideas!

$ETH #SOL生态季节来了？ #加密市场反弹 #CPI data is coming!

I can tell you very clearly —
This time, Bitcoin is not a "pullback"; a structural collapse has already occurred.
Many people are still immersed in the narrative of "volatile accumulation," but the market has already given an answer:
👉 Weeks of compression is not accumulation but distribution.
When prices continually raise the lows in an upward channel and repeatedly test the upper edge, most people see it as "bull control."
But what I see is something else: liquidity is being slowly drained.
The final result is also very straightforward:
The resistance above is rejected.
The structure is directly broken.
The trend has officially turned bearish.
This is not a test, this is confirmation.
The current market is very simple:
Any rebound is likely to give you a better selling position.
First, let's talk about key levels:
📍 $64,000: The first liquidity magnet.
This overlaps with previous reaction zones + areas of high trading volume, and the price is very likely to "seek it out."
📍 $62,000: A deeper liquidity sweep area.
Once selling pressure accelerates, this will be tested quickly, or even directly broken.
Many people ask if it can still rise? It can, but you need to understand the nature:
That is not a reversal, it is a "relief rally."
Unless one thing happens:
The price quickly regains the upward channel and stands firmly above $68,000.
Otherwise, every rise is just the rhythm of the bears.
Now let's look at the finer details — 4-hour structure.
I’ll give you the conclusion directly:
The 4H has turned bearish, and the bears are regaining control of the rhythm.
Although liquidity is relatively low on weekends, the price has reacted from the weekly low, and short-term sentiment is slightly bullish, but this is just superficial.
Currently, there are two key scenarios:
① Rebound scenario:
Hold the lower OB (Order Block) and move upward to fill the imbalance.
First look at $67,300.
If strong, push to $68,800.
But be careful —
$68,800 is the new bear defense zone, the starting point for further declines.
② Direct sell-off scenario:
Break below the lower edge of the OB.
Don’t wait for a rebound; directly sweep liquidity.
No matter which path is taken, one thing is certain:
Imbalance will definitely be filled, but after the fill, it is highly likely to continue to decline with the trend.
In summary:
Short-term rebounds are possible,
But the structure has already deteriorated.
The real rhythm is:
Rebound = baiting the bulls.
Above = resistance.
Below = target.
Stop looking at the current market with a bull market mindset.
Now, it’s the bears who are setting the prices.
If you are serious about surviving or even making money in this cycle — trust in Long Ge.
#BTC行情

$RIVER Brothers, the rebound is ineffective, continue to watch for 9 dollars! Three times suppressed by the MA250 moving average, always a false breakout, the temptation to go long is obvious!
#全球市场波动

Baiting, baiting, baiting behavior, $RIVER touched the support below, giving the bulls a chance to catch their breath. There is a strong probability that it will continue to consolidate and test the bottom, but Long Ge's goal has not changed. The aim remains to go higher while maintaining a short position. The previous target of 9 dollars is still my unchanging goal!

On-chain data has started to signal, but most people are still unaware of the unusual situation. I will alert you! Pay attention to Long Ge!
#全球市场波动 #BTC行情

Every time after the waterfall, the market is a sea of silence, especially when it starts to drop on Friday. The two days of the weekend are calm as water, with no stimulating news. We need to see if the flow of funds tonight is large enough to make a good decision for the next target!
From the Ethereum daily Fibonacci sequence, it is essential to stabilize at the 1992 parallel line to prevent Ethereum from entering the next interval of 1899-1992, completely entering extreme panic. The market sentiment will again hit a low point.
The strongest support level below is 1948, which is the central position of the interval and also the position for the bears' liquidation. At this position, I can only say one thing: the window period is not long!
For those who want to keep up with the rhythm, ask key questions in the chat room!
$ETH $BTC #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 #BTC行情

Bitcoin, the danger signal has been lit ⚠️
Let me be direct, this round of decline is not just a "normal pullback," but a key signal that may change the medium-term trend.
On Friday, BTC plummeted over 7% during the day, directly crashing to $65,700, hitting a three-week low. Many people are still waiting for a rebound, but the market has given a very clear answer: at this position, if it can't hold, the sky will change.
Since the crash in February, Bitcoin has been trapped in the range of 65,000—72,000, oscillating. The current question is not "will it fall," but rather—where will it stop falling.
If the boundary of 65,000 is effectively broken, I believe the market will very quickly give the next action:
👉 6%—10% accelerated decline
👉 Target range: $60,000—$62,000
What makes me more vigilant is the structure.
BTC has formed a nearly two-month bearish flag pattern on the daily level and has repeatedly tested the lower edge. At this position, once it loses, it essentially means—pattern confirmation, trend continues downward.
Looking at momentum:
The upward trend of RSI has been broken, and momentum is continuously weakening.
This is not an adjustment; this is "weakness."
I can even say something that many people are reluctant to hear:
👉 This round of decline is a matter of time, not a matter of probability.
History does not simply repeat itself, but it does rhyme.
Over the past 10 years, after Bitcoin breaks below the long-term holders' cost and its -0.2 standard deviation range, it often experiences a deep retracement of 30%—45%.
Where is the corresponding key range?
👉 $48,000
👉 Around $36,000
This is the real "buying zone before a bull market."
Another key point that many people overlook—200-week EMA.
BTC has once again broken below this long-term lifeline, and it is turning it from "support" into "resistance."
If the weekly close confirms a break this week, it means:
👉 Medium to long-term structure begins to weaken
Don’t be misled by short-term rebounds.
What truly determines the direction is the weekly close.
To summarize my view, it’s very simple:
• 65,000 is the lifeline
• Breaking below = accelerated decline
• 60,000 is just the first station
• A deeper retracement is completely possible
The market never rewards fantasies, only rewards those who are prepared.
Next, focus on one thing:
👉 This week's BTC weekly close
This is the key battle that determines the fate of the next phase.
$BTC #BTC行情

$SIREN Three new users have added positions to the top ten addresses on-chain, two of whom have not sold their chips, and the other only has a bottom position left. This is just the top ten addresses; there are over forty thousand on-chain holding addresses. The big players will not put all their chips in one address. We just need to see the biggest trends. Buying so much indicates that they are not simple characters!
#全球市场波动 #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争

$SIREN awesome, what kind of technology are you talking about? Various indicator analyses, they can pull it up or smash it down whenever they want, it's just playing with you retail investors!
I have money to give to Ethereum but wouldn't give it to the dead!
#特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 #BTC行情

$ETH It really rose for four hours, but only fell for five minutes. Selling pressure doesn't even cost money; basically, not many people would short here. Looking at the data, it's clear that there are mainly long positions. The amount of long position liquidations in 24 hours is 397 million USD, while short positions only amount to 50 million USD. For those looking to buy the dip, it's completely disheartening!

Without signs of stabilization, patiently wait for the market to show up. Never rush in; when the market is sideways with no volume, what awaits in the end is definitely a waterfall!
#BTC行情 #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 $BTC

$ETH Long Ge will briefly discuss the strategy for this wave operation, how to ensure fans can steadily receive 3300u in half an hour.

In the morning, Long Ge analyzed the macro situation and the emotional fluctuations brought by the market. Funds will not invest a large amount under uncertain factors; without an increase in volume, there is only a larger empty space!

Moreover, Long Ge waits until the options are settled before proceeding, to avoid being affected. One more thing is that it is easy for signs of a rebound to appear at this position; the market is prone to back-and-forth speculation, waiting to determine the next target at a higher level!

When it comes to trading, taking it slow can actually be faster; only by following the rhythm can the wallet become thicker!
#BTC行情 #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 #美国加密法案再次遇阻

$SIREN I should have told everyone on the 25th that the biggest address has already profited out, and there are still people fantasizing about getting in at the bottom? If you want to copy its low, it will copy your house! The market is perilous

It really is exactly the same as the trend on the 23rd, and next we should look towards the target of 0.5. If you think it's the bottom, you're actually halfway up the mountain. Keep your funds for the mainstream, don't send them to the crematorium for nothing!
#BTC行情 #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 #美国加密法案再次遇阻

$RIVER has been continuous from the 25th to the current date, totaling 34 points, and Long Ge's target remains steadfast, continuing to look at $9, while surveying on-chain addresses. The remaining two basically only have their base positions left, and the cost on-chain is lower than that of everyone present. When the rhythm is right, making money is just a side effect!
The hardest part of trading is actually not predicting the market correctly, but resisting the urge to make impulsive moves. I only focus on opportunities I understand now!
#BTC行情 #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争

$ETH at 4 PM, this year's largest options expiration, the nominal amount is 13.2 billion. Before it was announced, it was kept on hold. The current position is slightly unfavorable; the upward momentum is already weak. After four hours of rise, it dropped in five minutes.

It touched the MA250 moving average seven times consecutively and then rebounded. If it can stabilize at this position, I will consider starting a small position here to see the next oscillation range. The lower space is still the same; the space is getting smaller!

Compared to how much I can earn, I care more about how much it will retrace. Only stability can lead to long-term survival!
#特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 #美国加密法案再次遇阻

Talk about the reasons for yesterday's decline. Trump stated that he would extend the deadline for his commitment not to attack Iranian energy facilities by ten days. US stocks and cryptocurrencies continue to expand their declines. Mediators claim that the likelihood of a successful ceasefire remains very low, and the situation will become increasingly tense, plunging the market back into a state of fear! The emotions brought by this are very likely to push Ethereum below 2000. No trader or institution will make strong purchases under such uncertain conditions, and the market is changing rapidly, completely swayed back and forth by Trump. Currently, Ethereum has reached a critical dividing point. If you have no direction, don't rush in. The most expensive lesson in the coin circle: it's not about losing money, but about blindly following orders. Trust Long Ge! #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 #美伊和谈陷僵局 $BTC $ETH

I found that many bloggers are talking nonsense about some useless data. Let's talk about something practical; only the US-Iran situation is significantly relevant, as well as Trump's statements. Some expectations of interest rate hikes are about long-term impacts, and real-time data will always change due to external situations. This kind of minor non-farm data is even less to say; there is no volatility. Short-term data will reflect on the K-line, and we should be careful that Trump doesn't speak recklessly!
From the short-term perspective of Ethereum, it is currently falling to the MA250 two-hour moving average position, and it has not broken below. The last drop to 2102 was a touch and did not lead to a significant increase in the decline; here, we can refer to the moving average position as support.
$ETH if it can stabilize above 2128, it is highly likely that there will be a pin bar on the K-line today!
#国际油价下跌 #特朗普缓和局势

$ETH Long Ge accurately predicts the support level below 2118 again, but in reality, it is eight points lower than my prediction. Currently, it has not stabilized, so there is no need to rush to add more. Let's see if this is a short-term bottom! If it can be confirmed, then the target above can continuously be seen at 2160. Breaking through 2160, the next target is the previous high position at 2230. Don't rush in, watch Long Ge's points carefully! #特朗普称对伊战争已胜利 #特朗普缓和局势

$ETH The Ethereum one-hour candlestick chart has basically shown no fluctuations, and what is torturous is that it hasn't established a clear direction. The continuous two spikes have not broken through the previous high; is the market really willing but unable?

Yesterday, the total inflow of Ethereum and Bitcoin ETFs was only one hundred million dollars, which is basically negligible for the market. The geopolitical situation has been going back and forth like Tai Chi; after all, Trump can't afford to lose face, finding a step to take, but it seems like retail investors are being roasted on the fire.

Last night, Long Ge researched all night but couldn't find a breakthrough. After resting for a night, there was no strategy set, primarily for the safety of everyone's funds; stability comes first. Today, it remains focused on buying on dips, with a 3% position added at the lower end, gradually increasing later to lower costs while maximizing personal interests!
#特朗普称对伊战争已胜利 #特朗普缓和局势

$SIREN Last night at half past twelve, after a wave of selling, the K-line closing price was exactly 2.0000 after fifteen minutes. Isn't this intentional market manipulation by market makers? It is estimated that it is still controlled by quantitative robots; otherwise, how could it reach 2.0000 so accurately?
#特朗普缓和局势

$SIREN The largest profit address of 23 million dollars has been shipped, currently only one of the top ten addresses has not been cleared, but they are all at the bottom, basically already profited and run away, how do you play?
This wave of rise is simply a stepping stone for the previous wave of dumping with some unreturned funds. Yesterday, big players dumped, and no one took over, with some bottom positions still not sold. Today, after the rise, they slowly offload with the support of retail investors, regardless of whether it's long or short, there is only one outcome, which is liquidation!

To stabilize the market at this position and the price does not show a downward trend, while eating enough funding rates, this operator is also very powerful. We cannot control the market, it is recommended to just watch the show, find the opportunity to short all the way down!

The current trend is somewhat similar to the trend on the afternoon of the 23rd. For those who do not understand, pay attention to Long Ge, do not use money to test errors!
#特朗普称对伊战争已胜利 #特朗普缓和局势 $BTC $ETH