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US FUTURES MARKET OPENING UPDATES
• Trump’s Strategic Move: President Trump stated he could take control of Iran's oil resources and potentially seize Kharg Island, which handles the bulk of the country's oil exports.
• Regional Tensions: Kuwait reported that a service building at a power and desalination plant was damaged in an attack on Sunday night, resulting in one fatality.
• Oil Prices Surging: Oil is currently trading at $102, up 2.7% following the geopolitical instability.
• Stock Markets Bleeding: * US Futures opened in the red, with the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all dropping by approximately 0.4%.
• Asian markets took a massive hit: South Korea's KOSPI plunged about 3.5%, while Japan's Nikkei cratered by around 4.5%.
• Safe Havens Bracing: Gold and Bitcoin (BTC) remain flat, showing little movement amidst the surrounding chaos.$BTC

US ETF Cash Flow (17/03🇺🇸 - 18/03🇻🇳)
🟢 BTC + 199.37 million USD
🟢 ETH + 138.25 million USD
🟢 XRP + 4.64 million USD
🟢 SOL + 17.81 million USD
⚪️ DOGE = 0
🟢 LINK + 359.17 thousand USD
⚪️ LTC = 0
🟢 AVAX + 246.41 thousand USD
🟢 HBAR + 405.08 thousand USD$BTC

BITCOIN IS "DIGITAL GOLD" - BUT WHY ARE THE TWO GOING IN OPPOSITE DIRECTIONS?
People keep saying "Bitcoin is digital gold", but in reality, these two siblings seem as different as water and fire lately. Last year, gold soared while Bitcoin sank. For the past three weeks, Bitcoin has been skyrocketing, while gold is deflating. Why is this deception happening?

The reason is not that one is better than the other, but because of the flow of money and the context:

"Sharks" are different: Gold is mainly in the hands of traditional big players. Whenever the market shakes, if they lack cash to cover losses elsewhere, they mercilessly dump gold. As for Bitcoin? It is firmly held by the "diamond hands" (holding on until death), ETFs, and companies are accumulating. The leveraged players burned out months ago, so now there’s no pressure to sell!

Those at the top, those at the bottom: Gold has risen over a long stretch, with many waiting to take profits. Bitcoin is creeping up from a low base, with few wanting to sell, while new money is flowing in, making the outlook brighter.

24/7 Online Market: Bitcoin operates 24/7 globally, running as fast as lightning, with "F0" money from ETFs pouring in. Gold is already held by many, with no new money breaking through.

Bitcoin and the "bipolar disorder"
The market is being stretched by two forces: the FED tightening money (suppressing risky assets) and geopolitical instability (pumping safe-haven assets). Bitcoin is stuck in the middle and is playing a dual role:

When money runs out, Bitcoin behaves just like tech stocks (risky assets).

When the world is unstable, Bitcoin tries to act as a safe haven. (And currently, the "safe haven" side is prevailing).
Bitcoin is in its adolescence. It is no longer a purely risky asset, but it is not yet mature enough to be $BTC .

The Fear & Greed index of Bitcoin has reached a level of 5 when the price was $67,000. The most recent times this index dropped to a similar fear level were:

August 2019: 5 → BTC @ $10,000
March 2020: 6 → BTC @ $5,000
January 2022: 6 → BTC @ $38,500
June 2022: 5 → BTC @ $17,000

The current level of fear is even higher than some historical events such as the FTX collapse, the COVID crash, and the bear market of 2018.

$BTC

2.68 billion USD liquidated in the past 24 hours

572 million USD liquidated in just the past 60 minutes $BTC

BNB Chain is building infrastructure for AI to operate as an "economic entity" on the blockchain, without the need for humans in between.

Specifically, they are implementing the ERC-8004 standard so that each AI has:
- A unique identity.
- A reputation history.
- Can be verified as real or fake.

Additionally, the BAP-578 standard helps AI:
- Have its own crypto wallet.
- Manage its own funds.
- Pay for services autonomously (for example, booking tickets, purchasing services).

Because BNB Chain has low fees and is fast, it is suitable for AI to conduct many small transactions.$BNB

Micro Strategy has purchased an additional 855 BTC ( ~ $75.3 million USD ) at an average price of $88,000

Currently, they are HODLing 713,502 BTC that were purchased at an average price of $76,052 $BTC

BTC around ~$78K, lower than the level of ~$102K at the time President Trump took office on 01/20/2025 and just slightly higher than the price on election day 11/05/2024 of about ~$69K.$BTC

Notable news on January 29

⚡ International News
- The Fed keeps interest rates unchanged, reveals timing for the next easing in 2026
- Shanghai silver prices soar by 60% since the beginning of the year, setting an unprecedented record
- The world's largest stablecoin issuer just purchased an additional 27 tons of gold
- Global gold prices witness an unprecedented increase within a few hours, reaching 5,600 USD/ounce
- The S&P 500 sets an unprecedented record of 7,000 points, U.S. stocks remain 'quiet' after the Fed keeps rates unchanged
- The world's first robot astronaut: China plans to send the PM01 robot into space
- Russia receives bad news from 140 million barrels of oil
- Hot: 14,000 personnel from the multinational technology group Amazon are about to be laid off, even key positions are not exempt
- The USD is being sold off, plunging to a 4-year low after Mr. Trump's statement

$BTC

🇺🇸 American Bitcoin Corp (ABTC), a company backed by President Trump's family and co-founded by Eric Trump, has increased its total Bitcoin holdings to 5,843 BTC after purchasing an additional 416 BTC, continuing its strategy of expanding reserves through both mining activities and direct purchases on the market.$BTC

🇺🇸🇨🇦🇨🇳 President Trump declared that the U.S. will impose a 100% tariff on all goods from Canada if Canada signs an agreement with China to become a transit point for goods into the U.S., while warning that the U.S. will not allow China to increase its influence or control over Canada.

He believes that allowing China to exploit Canada as a "gateway" for trade will seriously harm the economy, society, and way of life of the Canadian people, and he asserts that this scenario will never be allowed to happen.$BTC

The price of silver futures has surpassed the milestone of 100 USD for the first time in history, while gold continues to reach new highs on its way to the 5,000 USD mark.$BTC

Liquidation of crypto exceeding 1 billion USD, about 182,000 traders were liquidated in just the past 24 hours $BTC

RAY DALIO WARNS OF "CAPITAL WARS" AND THE RISK OF LOSING FAITH IN AMERICAN ASSETS

🔹 Billionaire Ray Dalio (founder of Bridgewater Associates) warns that the world may enter "capital wars", meaning countries may reduce their purchases or sell off American assets, particularly USD and US bonds.

🔹 The US is borrowing too much. If faith declines, countries holding USD and US bonds will no longer want to finance the US deficit.

🔹 When geopolitical tensions arise, even allies will not want to hold each other's debt. They will seek harder and safer assets.

🔹 Therefore, he emphasizes that investors need to diversify and not rely on a single country or a single type of asset.

🔹 Gold is seen as an important defensive barrier and should comprise about 5% to 15% of the portfolio to protect when the financial system encounters risks.$BTC

🚀 BNB Chain is about to accelerate significantly with the Fermi upgrade

This morning, 14/1, BNB Chain has implemented its third major upgrade named Fermi – increasing block creation speed by 40% on the network.

⚡ According to Danny Cooper (an expert from the Venus ecosystem), this change may be small but has a significant impact:

- The network responds faster

- More stable during strong market fluctuations

- Smoother user experience

📊 BNB Chain is ramping up speed in the context of:

Blockchains are racing for speed and processing capability as Wall Street becomes increasingly interested in crypto.

The debate over the "impossible trinity" (decentralization – scalability – security) continues.

Earlier in January, Vitalik Buterin suggested that Ethereum is very close to solving this problem thanks to new technical upgrades.

😁 hoping we will have an awesome BNB Chain to uptrend to have more fun!!$BNB

🇻🇪 VENEZUELA BONDS BECOME HOTTEST TRADING ASSET ON WALL STREET, BUT RISKS REMAIN HIGH

🔹 Venezuela bonds maturing in October 2026 surged strongly to around 43 cents per USD, more than double the level in August.

🔹 The rally stems from expectations of faster political transition than anticipated and the potential for debt restructuring following Nicolás Maduro's arrest and a shift in U.S. policy.

🔹 Venezuela defaulted in late 2017, with the government and PDVSA's total debt obligations nearing 100 billion USD, equivalent to approximately 119% of GDP. PDVSA is Venezuela's state-owned oil company, controlling all oil and natural gas exploration, production, refining, and export activities in the country.

🔹 Major institutions such as Fidelity Investments and T. Rowe Price hold large amounts of these bonds.

🔹 Barclays upgraded Venezuela's bonds to neutral, but warned that upside potential may be limited.

Note: The ~43 cents level is still below par (par is 1 USD), meaning the bonds are trading below par, i.e., at a discount to their original value.$BTC

Do you think it's reasonable? 🧐

Liquidity is essentially driven by incentives, so it moves reactively to a very simple question:

"Where do I have the highest upside with the lowest risk?"

At each stage of the cycle, the answer is different.

🟡 Beginning of the cycle = Safe

⚪️ Middle of the cycle = Efficient

🟢 End of the cycle = Speculative

When yields at the peak of the chain begin to compress — as is currently happening with Gold and Silver — then cash flow must shift downwards to maintain profitability.

It's not that investors suddenly become stupid or more reckless, but because the risk remains almost unchanged while the upside gets smaller and smaller.

This forces capital to seek other places, and naturally, it will flow into smaller-cap assets, where the same amount of liquidity can create larger price fluctuations.

Gold → Silver → Bitcoin → ETH & large-cap → mid-cap → small-cap → meme & some random stuff

Yield compression forces cash flow to seek efficiency, not because people want to accept more risk.

And therefore, narratives only form after the cash flow has shifted.

🟡 "Gold rises because people lose faith in fiat currency"

⚪️ "Silver rises due to global supply shortages"

🟠 "Bitcoin rises because it is a better version of gold"

…and many other stories.

In essence, it is just the same liquidity being reused, flowing through different markets and creating new narratives.

Cash flow:

• into Gold → out of Gold

• into Silver → out of Silver

• into Bitcoin → out of Bitcoin

• into Altcoin → out of Altcoin
$BTC