The main market indicator may still go up within the wave 5 of C, and as soon as it goes up, the longs in the market will be finished.
In the Premium group, I have already laid out Bitcoin according to Elliott's waves. I am waiting for my entry.
Yesterday at the lows we closed the short, adding a positive trade to the piggy bank. 2 over the weekend is wonderful. Moreover, they are in different directions, both long and short.
To sell gold, you need to see a downward impulse with the formation of a bearish imbalance, then you can look for an entry point. So far, everything looks like the beginning of the development of the 3rd wave down.
Более четко индекс рисует структуру, отюились от 18 уровня фибо, полагаю, конечная диагональ закончит свое формирование всеми 5ю волнами, крипта пока ожила следом.
Below are the estimated liquidation volumes and position ratios for major crypto perpetual futures over the last 24 hours: - $BTC : liquidated for a total of 128.13 million US dollars (70.23% of long positions) - $ETH : liquidated for a total of 96.14 million US dollars (72.63% of long positions) - $SOL : liquidated for a total of 22.35 million US dollars (85.83% of long positions)
According to Lookonchain, an anonymous whale, owning 130 000 $ETH (268 million dollars), acquired an additional 5,039 ETH worth 10 million dollars in the last two hours.
$BTC Long positions in Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on Bitfinex reached their highest level since November 2023, CoinDesk reported, citing TradingView data. The publication noted that while an increase in long positions typically reflects bullish sentiment, in the past this has often acted as a contrarian indicator, coinciding with price declines. For example, in the fourth quarter of last year, when long positions on Bitfinex increased by about 30%, the spot price of Bitcoin fell by about 23%. This trend suggests that crowd psychology can move in the opposite direction of the market, CoinDesk explained.
Stop following the price. Start following the liquidity. You think you are trading against other people. This is not the case. 80% of short-term Bitcoin movements are not organic. This is algorithmic liquidation. Here is the real market structure: The game is managed by two types of bots.
Зараз ми бачимо репетицію Третьої світової війни, — УП.ㅤㅤ
• Війна в Перській затоці — не така вже чужа. Не встигли ми озирнутися, як виявились фактично залученими до неї. І почали всією країною пожинати її плоди. • Різке зростання світових цін на енергоносії, що дісталося й українських АЗС. Додаткові багатомільйонні надходження до бюджету рф та зняття санкцій Трампом з неї. • Вже зараз негативні наслідки війни в Перській затоці помітно переважують умовний позитив. А якщо ця війна надто затягнеться, то ризики для Києва зростуть у багато разів. • Ніхто не знає, що робити, якщо ціна енергоносіїв довго триматиметься на високому рівні. Ніхто не знає, як бути, якщо запаси ракет-перехоплювачів, які життєво необхідні Україні, скоротяться до критичного рівня. Проте майже всі розуміють, що за такого розкладу доведеться розпрощатися з надіями на економічне виснаження рф у найближчому майбутньому.
The volumes of cryptocurrency exchanges have reached their lowest level in the past 12 months. Thoughts: Looking at the charts, the ongoing war with Iran serves as a significant macroeconomic overlay on top of the high level of loan reduction following BTC and already tight interest rates. Since Bitcoin is currently trading about 45% below its all-time high of around 126,000 from October 2025, the price movement does not reflect panic selling. Instead, it indicates a measured wait-and-see position that keeps trading participation low in Asia, Europe, and North America. A swift ceasefire could partially alleviate this pressure, help restore confidence, and potentially contribute to the recovery of supply volumes. However, as the conflict drags on amid daily events and uncertainty, we should expect continued caution from investors. One factor that may further influence Bitcoin's price behavior is a sharp market jump between expectations of an interest rate hike by the Fed and its decrease. Although history has shown that some of the strongest buying opportunities for bitcoins arose during or immediately after periods of Fed policy tightening, many market experts argue that current prices partially reflect the market's tendency to overreact. If such positioning quickly weakens, it could lead to even greater uncertainty and keep Bitcoin's price low for longer, while investor confidence remains fragile.