From the latest hourly chart, gold continues its strong upward trend in the morning session. The price closed around 4667 yesterday, and today’s morning saw a rapid rise, now standing at 4706, with an increase of 0.84%, peaking at 4724, refreshing recent highs. The entire market presents a one-sided upward attack pattern, with bulls fully engaged, continuously engulfing previous resistance levels, and prices firmly holding above the MA20 moving average near 4622. The moving average system has shifted from flat to clearly diverging upwards, with short-term support rising layer by layer. Every pullback is quickly picked up by bulls, demonstrating a strong ability for bullish control.
Currently, market sentiment is noticeably warming up, and risk assets are performing strongly overall. 4700 has become a new stronghold for bulls; once stabilized, the upper space will be further opened up, with the 4720-4750 area in sight. The MACD indicator's red bars continue to expand, with strong momentum being released, showing no obvious signs of exhaustion. In this strongly bullish tempo, blindly chasing shorts carries high risks.
In terms of operations, maintain a firm bullish stance in the morning session. Although the current price of 4706 shows short-term overbought signs, the pullback space is limited, and any pullback represents a good opportunity for additional positions or low entry points. Pay close attention to the support zone between 4680-4700 below; if it holds above 4700 throughout the day and continues to expand, gold is likely to continue its strong upward movement. Aggressive traders may take small positions to chase long or buy on pullbacks, while conservative traders are advised to primarily hold long positions, patiently waiting for a breakout above 4725 or clear trend divergence signals before considering reducing positions.
Today's Strategy: The ascending channel is intact, and bullish momentum is strong. Focus on the resistance levels of 4725 and 4750 above; a breakthrough could lead to further targets in the 4780-4800 region.
Operational Advice: Buy on dips near 4680-4700, with targets at 4725-4750-4780 above #现货黄金 #外汇黄金
3.31 Ten Thousand Phenomena Morning Analysis: Yesterday, the precious metals market first rose and then fell, peaking around the 4580 range before being pressured back down. Subsequently, it fluctuated repeatedly around the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, closing at a relatively low position. Overall, it presented a narrow consolidation pattern after a high-level pullback.
There is still uncertainty in the geopolitical situation in the Middle East, leading to fluctuations in market risk aversion sentiment. Coupled with the fluctuations in U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. Dollar Index, these factors jointly influence the short-term volatility rhythm of various categories. At the same time, market expectations for the subsequent policy paths of overseas central banks continue to change, with bullish and bearish sentiments intertwining. It is highly likely that various categories will continue to operate in a range-bound state in the short term.
Currently, the Bollinger Bands on the technical chart are clearly narrowing, with prices operating around the middle track. The fluctuation space of the upper and lower bands continues to narrow, indicating that a directional choice is imminent for the short-term market; at this stage, prices are stabilizing above the previous low points, showing potential momentum for a technical rebound.
A pullback to around 4490—4480 could be a buying opportunity, with a target looking towards around 4550—4590. $XAU $XAG #现货黄金 #外汇黄金
Powell's hawkish speech + OECD inflation expectations raised, reinforcing the Federal Reserve's high interest rates for a longer duration, coupled with weakening demand for silver in photovoltaics and electronic consumption, and a continuous reduction in silver ETFs, multiple bearish factors are suppressing the mid-term downward trend.
From a technical perspective, silver is below the death cross of the daily moving averages, with a clear bearish trend; MACD and RSI indicate that the rebound is merely a correction of overselling, and bullish momentum is insufficient.
Strategy
• Enter around 70.1
• Add short at 71.1
• Target around 66.6–65.1
Personal opinion, not investment advice. #现货黄金 #外汇 $XAG
Gold has completely exploded! 4500 has broken, the bullish trend is irreversible!
From a technical perspective, the four-hour level V-shaped reversal pattern is clear, with gold prices stabilizing at the Bollinger Band's middle track of $4474.59. The KDJ indicator's three lines are synchronously diverging upwards, with the J value entering a strong bullish zone, supported by ample rebound momentum in trading volume.
On the news front, U.S. economic data continues to be weak, and market expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in June have surged sharply. U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar index are weakening in tandem, directly reducing the holding cost of gold. Coupled with the ongoing tense geopolitical situation in the Middle East, the risks to energy supply in the Strait of Hormuz are continuously fermenting. The recent correction in U.S. stocks has triggered demand for safe-haven assets, and the safe-haven and anti-inflation properties of gold have been fully re-evaluated, becoming the core engine driving gold prices upward.
Recommendation: Buy in batches near 4420-4440, aggressive buyers can enter near 4480, target 4550, 4600, and look for 4700 on a breakout.
Disclaimer: The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Operate at your own risk based on this information. #美国“无王”抗议 #现货黄金
3.24 Ten Thousand Phenomena Morning Thought: Today is a recovery day after a sharp decline, unable to rise or fall, fluctuating back and forth in the 4320–4450 range; 4350 is the lifeline, if it holds, there will be fluctuations, if it breaks, it will explore new lows.
The Federal Reserve is still at high interest rates, the dollar is still strong, there are many trapped positions above, as soon as it rises, someone sells, it has dropped too much, and at low levels, there are people bottom-fishing, and the central bank is also buying, propping up the bottom.
Gap down → slight rebound → back and forth fluctuations, high probability of closing with a small bullish line or a doji.
Long: 4330–4350 light position to try long, stop loss at 4300, target at 4420–4450
Short: 4450–4480 light position to try short, stop loss at 4500, target at 4380–4350 #特朗普48小时最后通牒 #现货黄金 $XAU
Regarding the opening conditions on Monday, Wanxiang provided a prediction yesterday. Strictly following Wanxiang's approach, we have at least gained 300 temples! #黄金创43年来最大单周跌幅 $XAU
(图一)(图二)Mr. Zhang from Hangzhou's two-week tripled profit plan has ended, from $100,000 to $300,000! (图三)Mr. Zhang's actual performance! (图四)Ms. Qin from Jiangxi's two-week tripled profit plan has also been completed on schedule! From $5,000 to $15,000 and successfully withdrew $10,000! (图五)Withdrawal screenshot from Ms. Qin Still the same saying, follow the right bet, win once; follow the right person, win a lifetime. Choosing is often more important than hard work. No matter how you did before, change starts from here!
Feel free to chat anytime; perhaps our conversation is the beginning of your turnaround! #现货黄金 #外汇黄金 $XAU
Yesterday, gold opened at 4830 and immediately encountered resistance, falling back to 4554, then fluctuating upwards to around the 1-hour mid-track at 4670, closing at 4652, showing a pattern of sharp decline followed by recovery.
The main reason for this round of gold's sharp decline is the strengthening of the Fed's hawkish guidance, with interest rate cut expectations significantly falling, and the rising dollar and U.S. Treasury yields suppressing the valuation of precious metals. Additionally, concentrated profit-taking from previous highs triggered a rapid decline.
Current negative sentiment is gradually being digested, with no significant data expected in the short term, and the market is entering a technical recovery phase, primarily focusing on range consolidation in the short term.
Short Selling: If it rebounds to 4680-4700 and meets resistance, one can sell in batches, targeting a breakthrough below 4630-4600, then looking at 4570.
Long Buying: If it stabilizes after a pullback to 4570-4590, one can consider light long positions, targeting 4630. #外汇黄金 #现货黄金 $XAU
Today's plunge in gold was indicated on Sunday evening, rebounding to 5050, decisively entering the market. Partners with a medium to long-term view have already gained a substantial 150 points! #外汇黄金 #现货黄金 $XAU
2w knife hit 180w knife we spent five months! The foreign exchange circle has never lacked miracles, it's just that you haven't followed the right people. #外汇黄金 $XAU
3.18 Morning Thoughts Core Conclusion: Cautious fluctuations before the decision, tug-of-war at the 5000 mark, mainly focusing on high selling and low buying in the range, with light position risk control, waiting for guidance from the Federal Reserve.
Current Price: 5002, slightly weak consolidation Yesterday: Bottoming rebound, after dipping to 4967, recovered to 5000, daily line closed with a bearish bias Key Drivers: Federal Reserve's decision outlook, cooling interest rate cut expectations, strong dollar, geopolitical risk support
Resistance: 5020–5035 (strong resistance); secondary resistance at 5010 Support: 4980–4970 (strong support); secondary support at 4990 Breakout Levels: Below 4960 looks at 4930; above 5040 looks at 5070
1. High Short Lightly short at 5020–5035, stop loss at 5045, targets 5000→4980→4970 2. Low Long Stabilize at 4970–4980 to go long, stop loss at 4960, targets 5010→5030 3. Wait and See Narrow range at 5000–5010, do not chase orders, wait for a breakout and pullback to enter Dovish rate cut signal: rebound looking at 5100–5150 Hawkish high rates for longer: pressured to test 4930–4900 #黄金 $XAU